Apple - All This Was Expected!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) perfectly plays out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Apple perfectly retested the rising channel resistance trendline and has been creating the expected bearish rejection. This could perfectly form the next all time high break and retest, which would eventually lead to another significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $190
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Harmonic Patterns
GBPJPY• Key Support: 191.70 – A bounce from this level could push prices higher.
• Upside Targets: 194.00, 195.50, and 195.70 if the bullish trend continues.
• Bearish Scenario: A break below 191.70 could lead to further declines toward 190.90, 190.00, and 189.00.
Conclusion: The trend remains bullish unless GBP/JPY drops below 191.70, which would signal further downside risk.
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target:
Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up.
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Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Gold is rising strongly, is it one step closer to 3200?Gold has risen sharply again, and the current surge has reached the 3167.5 US dollar line! Gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further increases! It is not easy to operate at present. The resistance is the intraday high, and a small stop loss is needed to be short. In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3138-3140 is the focus, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3110 is the focus.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3175-3178 of gold rebound, stop loss 6 points, target near 3155-3145, break to see 3140 line;
Strategy 2: Long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3138-3140 of gold pullback, stop loss 6 points, target near 3160-3170, break to see 3180 line;
Gold's upper resistance appears, trend analysisGold has recently shown a strong upward offensive, and the daily line has been rising continuously, showing an upward trend. What gold needs to pay attention to is that the end of the rising market is not determined by the high point, but by the breaking of the key support level. The current upper resistance is at 3148-3152, and the lower support is at 3122-3117. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and low and long as the auxiliary.
Gold strategy:
long at 3127/28, stop loss at 3120, target 3140-3145; if 3145 is not broken, short on rallies and then look back to around 3130-28.
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
Tariff policy triggers roller coaster marketTrump's tariff stick is wielded around the world, and gold bulls have taken advantage of the trend to pull up, demonstrating its safe-haven properties. Although the gold price has fallen back, the K-line has stabilized above 3110, and the bulls' strength should not be underestimated. After falling below the support level of 3130, the market has weakened, and we need to be alert to the risk of further correction. At present, the focus below is on the support of the integer mark of 3100, which is also the location of the previous small double bottom. The upper resistance is in the range of 3137-3141. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly go short on rebounds.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to go short at the rebound of 3137-3142, with a stop loss of 3150. The target is 3110-3100, and the battle for 3085 will be launched if it breaks.
Gold fluctuates bearishly to welcome non-farm payrollsGold's 1-hour moving average continues to show signs of turning downward. If a death cross is formed downward in the 1-hour moving average, then the gold shorts will have a greater advantage. The 1-hour downward trend line also suppresses the rebound of gold. The rebound is still short. The trend suppression has now moved down to around 3110. Gold rebounds under pressure and continues to short at 3110. If the European market is strong in the afternoon, then give up the idea of shorting. Continue to wait for the market to stabilize.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The top short-term focus is on the 3110-3115 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 3054-3066 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3110-3112, stop loss 6 points, target around 3090-3075, and look at 3065 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3065-3068, stop loss 6 points, target around 3090-3100, and look at 3110 if it breaks;
euraud analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
Gold's counter draw 3115-18 is still an excellent short spotGold fell after hitting a high of 3135, but failed to stand firm at the 3121 real level. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating significant selling pressure from above. The current key watershed is in the 3115-3121 area: if the closing price falls below this position, the lower side will test the strong support band of 3085, and the medium-term trend may turn to shock adjustment. Pay attention to the 3115-3118 pullback opportunity, and you can arrange short orders in place. There are two points to note: First, if the price fails to quickly pull back to 3115, it may accelerate downward; second, if it unexpectedly recovers 3115, it is necessary to adjust the strategy. Gold operation suggestions: short in the rebound 3115-3118 area, stop loss 3125, target 3085.
aggresive sell set up 3054 APRIL 4 2025
🚀 ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADING PLAN – APRIL 4, 2025
WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🏦💰🔥
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📊 Market Overview
• Current Price: $3,103.825
• POC (Point of Control): $3,128.059 (Above price, acting as resistance)
• Premium Zone: Above $3,128 - Heavy Sell Zone
• Equilibrium Zone: Around $3,100 - Neutral Price Zone
• Discount Zone: Below $3,080 - Buy Interest
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🏛 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity
• Smart Money Selling: Price rejected from premium ($3,128), respecting major institutional sell zones.
• Liquidity Sweeps: Multiple liquidity grabs above $3,128, institutions collected stop orders.
• Volume Delta: Heavy selling pressure confirmed after sweep. (💥)
• Order Blocks: Bearish order blocks holding below $3,128.
Institutions are currently DISTRIBUTING and selling Gold at premium. 🏦📉
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📰 News Headlines & Sentiment
• Gold Hit New All-Time Highs but now retracing after tariff news (Trump tariffs).
• Market Sentiment: Switching from Risk-Off ➔ Risk-On (DXY rising slightly, equities bouncing)
• FED Influence: No emergency cuts, hawkish Fed tone lately = Negative for Gold
• Geopolitical Tension: Mild, no extreme uncertainty.
Conclusion: Bearish bias short-term. Gold is losing momentum after hitting peaks. ⚡️
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✅ Technical Indicators Check
Indicator Reading Verdict
RSI (7) Mid-zone, slightly bending downward 📉 Sell Bias
MACD Bearish crossover confirmed 🔻 Sell Bias
50 EMA vs 200 EMA 50 EMA starting to slope down (momentum loss) 📉 Sell Bias
Fibonacci (from low to high) Price retraced below 50% - bearish retracement 🚨 Sell Bias
VWAP Price below VWAP 🚫 Sell Bias
Volume Selling volume dominant after liquidity sweep 💣 Sell Bias
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⚡ Execution Plan
🔴 SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY):
• Sell Now: $3,103.5 - $3,104.5 Zone ✅
• Stop-Loss: $3,110 (Above equilibrium + stop hunt protection) ❌
• Take-Profit 1: $3,092 (Previous weak low) 🎯
• Take-Profit 2: $3,080 (Discount zone boundary) 🏁
• Take-Profit 3 (Final): $3,054 (Major liquidity cluster) 🚀
Risk-Reward Ratio:
• Minimum 3:1 (PERFECT Institutional Trading Standard) 🏦✅
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🔥 FINAL VERDICT:
Decision Action Confidence
SELL 📉 Sell now or on minor pullbacks 80% HIGH PROBABILITY 🌟
Institutions are selling. Momentum is fading. No strong bullish reversal yet.
This is a classic premium distribution phase!
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🚀 LET’S MILK THE MARKET – ONE STRATEGIC MOVE AT A TIME!
TRADE SMART, EXECUTE SHARP, DOMINATE THE MARKET! 🏦💰📈🔥
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Would you also like me to prepare a ready-to-go text that you can copy-paste into your trading journal for today’s execution record?
(Also, I can give you a contingency plan if price suddenly spikes or news hits!)
Would you want that too? 🚀✨
Gold Trade Plan 02/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold still Bullish and i expect price will be Try to Make New ATH ,
Today Resistance Area : 3145 , 3170
Today Support Area : 3113 , 3090 , 3060
I dont Recommend Trade Today 2 April ( Trump Speak )
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Regards,
Alireza!