Harmonic Patterns
The rebound short-selling trend remains unchangedFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3297-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316 is paid attention to. The pressure at 3324 is focused on. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be the main short and the trend is downward. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. The overall main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged relying on this range.
XAUUSD is holding falling pattern H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 and Market has to lift up at range of 3330-3320 for completion of Leg then drop.
What's possible scanarios we have?
BULLISH SCANARIO:
As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3280-3285 and we have margin towards 3320 but how we achieved it ? If the H1-H4 candle closes above 3305 then our targets we'll be 3330.
BEARISH SCANARIO: (PREFERRED)
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280-3275 then buying will be limited and market will join the 3250 then 3230-3320. Most appropriate Sell will be at 3320-3330 zone for implusive move also we have Weekly structural Resistance at 3330-3350 piviot point.
Gold rebounded from oversold!Gold fell continuously on Friday, and the daily line closed in a cross. Although the previous closing was a small positive, the rebound was discontinuous and there was no strong upward movement, which means that the overall reversal has not ended and there is still room for downward adjustment. It continued to fall to the 3255 line and rebounded slightly, and then approached the 3280 mark. The support below is dense, and there is no condition for aggressive shorting. If you want to short, you still have to rebound and then short.
This week, the two key positions above 3295 and 3310 were suppressed. The monthly closing is likely to be a new low. Be cautious.
GBP/AUD – Bullish Flag Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re currently observing GBP/AUD on the 1-hour chart, where the pair remains in a strong bullish trend. The RSI is comfortably ranging between 30–70, suggesting healthy momentum without being overbought or oversold.
A clear bullish flag pattern has formed, typically a continuation pattern signaling further upside. Additionally, based on the AB=CD harmonic projection, there’s still significant room for the price to move higher as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) is still far away.
We are planning a buy stop entry at the breakout of the previous higher high, with a balanced risk-reward profile.
🔹 Pair: GBP/AUD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: Bullish Flag
🔹 Divergence: None
🔹 Bias: Bullish
🔹 Entry (Buy Stop): 2.10414
🔹 Stop Loss: 2.09377
🔹 Take Profit 1: 2.11451
🔹 Lot Size: 0.29
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Waiting for confirmation via breakout of previous structure high. Trade is set with disciplined risk management.
📌 #GBPAUD #ForexSignals #BullishFlag #TrendContinuation #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutSetup #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #RiskManagement #FXTrading #BullishBias
Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300
Gold rose in the Asian session today
Buy on dips and technical rebound:
Last Friday (June 28), gold fell 2%, hitting a low of $3247/ounce. Some investors believed that it was oversold in the short term and bought on dips during the Asian session.
Key support level of $3,270:
From a technical perspective, there is a concentrated area of institutional buying near $3,270, which will trigger a short-term rebound.
Near $3,300 is still a strong resistance range.
Although Powell maintains a hawkish stance, the market is still betting on a rate cut in September (with a probability of more than 90%), and the decline in the US dollar index supports gold.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The current fluctuation range of gold price: 3240-3300, with a fluctuation range of nearly 60 US dollars
Short selling strategy:
Sell: 3295-3300 range
Stop loss: 3305
Target: 3280-3270-3250
Buy 1: 3250 (conservative)
Buy 2: 3270 (stable)
Buy 3: 3280 (aggressive)
Stop loss: 3240
Target: 3300-3320+
It is recommended to pay attention to the long-short strength dividing line near 3300
Standing at 3300, the market will continue to rise this week
As long as the gold price is below 3300, take a high-altitude mentality
#CHR READY TO NEW EXPLODE !#CHR
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.0474, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 0.0756
First target: 0.0768
Second target: 0.0785
Third target: 0.0810
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
XAU/USD 4H Bearish Setup📉 XAU/USD 4H Bearish Setup – June 30, 2025
Gold is showing signs of continued downside after a brief intraday bounce. Price was rejected around the $3,295–$3,300 supply zone, and the current structure favors a continuation lower if it remains below $3,314.
🔻 Short Setup Details:
Entry: $3,294.99
Stop Loss: $3,314.45 (~0.60%)
Take Profit: $3,189.48
Target: -3.20% | 105.51 pts
Risk/Reward: 1:5.33 🔥
📊 Technical Outlook:
RSI (14): Holding below 50, showing bearish momentum
MACD: Script error noted — needs re-application, but visual bias remains negative
Volume Profile: Thin support between $3,245 and $3,190 suggests possible quick move if breakdown sustains
📌 A break and hold below $3,290 could accelerate downside toward $3,245, with extended target at $3,189.
Could the Crude Oil reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 66.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 61.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 72.33
Why we like it:
There a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
🔋 1. EV Demand Growth
Strength: 9/10 → 9/10
Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍
🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model
Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10
Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment.
⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement
Strength: 8/10 → 8/10
Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist.
🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout
Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10
Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind.
🚩 5. Competition
Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10
Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation.
📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs
Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10
Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before.
💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies
Strength: 6/10 → 6/10
U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor.
🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs
Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10
Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate.
📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates
Strength: 5/10 → 5/10
A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies.
🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance
Strength: 4/10 → 5/10
Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched.
________________________________________
🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings
Rank Driver Score
1 EV demand growth 9
2 Affordable model 8.5
3 Battery costs/margins 8
4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5
5 Competition 6.5
6 Trade & tariffs 6.5
7 Regulatory incentives 6
8 Commodities 5.5
9 Fed Rates 5
10 Musk reputation/governance 5
________________________________________
📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets
• Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside
• Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder”
• Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning
• Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout
• UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations
Consensus snapshot (FactSet):
• Mean price target ≈ $311–$312
• Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5)
________________________________________
🗞️ Recent Headlines
• “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule”
• “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum
• “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5%
• “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens”
________________________________________
🔍 Summary Outlook
Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks:
• Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative.
• Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis.
• Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener.
Upcoming triggers to watch:
1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July).
2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance.
3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve.
4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets.
________________________________________
✅ What This Means for You
• Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range.
• Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350).
• Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
Bullish bounce off major support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,265.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 3,121.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Trade Plan 30/06/2025Dear Traders,
📉 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
🇺🇸 English:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline and is now pulling back toward the resistance zone between $3,313 – $3,324.
This area serves as a confluence of resistance (previous support now turned resistance + horizontal resistance).
A bearish reaction from this zone could trigger a continuation to the downside.
The potential target for this move lies around the $3,210 – $3,225 support area, which has historically acted as a demand zone.
Alternative scenario: If price breaks and holds above $3,324, the bearish outlook would be invalidated.
Summary:
🔻 Resistance zone: $3,313 – $3,324
🎯 Bearish target: $3,210 – $3,225
❗ Entry condition: Bearish reaction and rejection from the resistance zone
Regards,
Alireza!
#Celo coin market structure analysis#CELO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.262.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.253, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.265
First target: 0.268
Second target: 0.273
Third target: 0.279
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 146.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.