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Harmonic Patterns

Ethereum H4 | Potential bearish reversalEthereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 2,551.80 which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 2,700.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 2,364.35 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:ETHUSDShort
by Tradu
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take proft. Entry: 36.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resitance. Stop loss: 37.24 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 34.78 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Could the Crude Oil reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 66.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 61.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 72.33 Why we like it: There a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Gold Trade Plan 30/06/2025Dear Traders, 📉 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Timeframe) Date: June 30, 2025 🇺🇸 English: Price has broken below an ascending trendline and is now pulling back toward the resistance zone between $3,313 – $3,324. This area serves as a confluence of resistance (previous support now turned resistance + horizontal resistance). A bearish reaction from this zone could trigger a continuation to the downside. The potential target for this move lies around the $3,210 – $3,225 support area, which has historically acted as a demand zone. Alternative scenario: If price breaks and holds above $3,324, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. Summary: 🔻 Resistance zone: $3,313 – $3,324 🎯 Bearish target: $3,210 – $3,225 ❗ Entry condition: Bearish reaction and rejection from the resistance zone Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
Bullish TiqGPT setup todayMARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the Gold Spot (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of recovery from a recent downtrend. The 1D chart shows a series of declining peaks, but recent candles indicate a potential reversal or pullback. The 4H and 1H charts confirm this with a clear recovery from the lows, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. The 15m, 5m, and 1m charts show a more granular view of this recovery, with price action forming higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a short-term bullish momentum. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a significant sell-off, targeting liquidity above previous highs to trap late bearish entries. The recent bullish candles across lower timeframes suggest an engineered push to create a bullish sentiment, likely to induce retail traders into the market before a potential larger move. LEARNING POINT: "1H and 4H show recovery with potential liquidity sweeps above recent highs indicating a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment." SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: XAUUSD ENTRY PRICE: $3,290.25 STOP LOSS: $3,280.00 (just below the recent swing low on the 15m chart) TARGET PRICE: $3,310.00 (near the previous high on the 1H chart) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $3,290.25 after confirming a bullish continuation pattern on the 15m chart. **RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=**0.25, Reward=**9.75) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. Market Structure: Recovery from lows on higher timeframes with higher lows and higher highs on lower timeframes. Momentum: Bullish candles forming consistently across multiple timeframes. Liquidity: Targeting stops above $3,300, a psychological resistance and previous high. Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe recovery analysis, liquidity targeting above recent highs. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on current bullish momentum and institutional activity) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$10.25, Reward=$19.75, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum) RISK/REWARD CALCULATION: Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $3,290.25 - $3,280.00 = $10.25 Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $3,310.00 - $3,290.25 = $19.75 Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $19.75 ÷ $10.25 ≈ 1.93 FINAL DECISION: WAIT The calculated risk/reward ratio is slightly below the minimum threshold of 2:1. Therefore, while the setup shows bullish potential, the current positioning does not offer sufficient reward relative to the risk. Awaiting a better entry point or adjustment in stop loss/target prices could enhance the trade's viability.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Mistermoriarty
WIF/USDT – Major Breakout Incoming! Potential Upside Over +400%!Technical Analysis: The WIF/USDT (dogwifhat / Tether) pair on the 1D timeframe is currently showing signs of a bullish breakout from a well-defined descending channel that has formed over the past few months. 📌 Key Highlights: Price has been consolidating within a descending channel since March 2025. It is now attempting to break out above the upper boundary of the channel – a strong bullish signal. The breakout is forming after a strong bounce from the $0.70–$0.75 support zone, indicating accumulation and potential trend reversal. 📈 Resistance Levels (Target Zones): 1. $1.0251 – first key resistance to watch. 2. $1.2008 – minor resistance, ideal short-term target post-breakout. 3. $1.8468 – major historical resistance level. 4. $2.1772 – key psychological and technical level. 5. $2.9503 – extended bullish target. 6. $4.1525 – maximum bullish projection in case of parabolic move. 📉 Support Levels: $0.8627 – current price level. $0.70–$0.75 – previous strong support zone and lower channel base. 📊 Strategy Insight: A potential entry could be considered on a confirmed breakout and retest around $1.02. Targets can be scaled based on resistance levels mentioned above. Use proper risk management and stop-loss below the channel to avoid fakeouts. Conclusion: WIF/USDT is showing a strong bullish reversal structure, breaking out from a mid-term descending pattern. This could be the beginning of a massive upward impulse, with over +400% potential gain if key targets are reached. A critical moment for traders and investors to pay attention! #WIFUSDT #WIFBreakout #CryptoAnalysis #AltcoinSeason #Dogwifhat #BullishSetup #BreakoutAlert #CryptoTrading #CryptoSignals #WIFArmy
Long
by CryptoNuclear
BTC LONG TP:110,000 30-06-2025Still riding the bullish pattern 🚀 Looking for an entry between 106,200 – 106,700, targeting 109,500 – 110,500, with a clean 4 RR average. 🕓 Timeframe: 4H ⏳ Duration: 40–50 hours Context: This is all about catching a manipulative wick — small entry now, stack more if price hits the suggested levels later. If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the trade is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
2
Dogecoin $0.1725 Next Target ? #DOGE The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.1624. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 0.16000, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.1656 First target: 0.1682 Second target: 0.1713 Third target: 0.1752 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Weather and Corn: Understanding the Precipitation Factor1. Introduction: Rain, Grain, and Market Chain Reactions In the world of agricultural commodities, few forces carry as much weight as weather — and when it comes to corn, precipitation is paramount. Unlike temperature, which can have nuanced and sometimes ambiguous effects depending on the growth stage, rainfall exerts a more direct and consistent influence on crop performance. For traders, understanding the role of rainfall in shaping market sentiment and price behavior isn't just an agricultural curiosity — it's a trading edge. This article unpacks the relationship between weekly rainfall levels and corn futures prices. By leveraging normalized weather data and historical returns from Corn Futures (ZC), we aim to translate weather signals into actionable market insights. Whether you're managing large agricultural positions or exploring micro futures like MZC, precipitation patterns can provide vital context for your trades. 2. Corn’s Moisture Dependency Corn is not just sensitive to water — it thrives or suffers because of it. From the moment seeds are planted, the crop enters a delicate dance with precipitation. Too little moisture during the early stages can impair root development. Too much during germination may lead to rot. And during pollination — particularly the tasseling and silking stages — insufficient rainfall can cause the plant to abort kernels, drastically reducing yield. On the other hand, excessive rainfall isn't necessarily beneficial either. Prolonged wet periods can saturate soil, hinder nutrient uptake, and encourage fungal diseases. Farmers in the U.S. Corn Belt — particularly in states like Iowa, Illinois, and Nebraska — know this well. A single unexpected weather shift in these regions can send ripple effects across global markets, causing speculators to reassess their positions. For traders, these weather events aren’t just environmental footnotes — they are catalysts that influence prices, volatility, and risk sentiment. And while annual production is important, it's the week-to-week rhythm of the growing season where short-term trades are born. 3. Our Data-Driven Approach: Weekly Rainfall and Corn Returns To understand how rainfall impacts price, we collected and analyzed decades of historical weather and futures data, aligning weekly precipitation totals from major corn-growing regions with weekly returns from Corn Futures (ZC). The weather data was normalized using percentiles for each location and week of the year. We then assigned each weekly observation to one of three precipitation categories: Low rainfall (<25th percentile) Normal rainfall (25th–75th percentile) High rainfall (>75th percentile) We then calculated the weekly percent change in corn futures prices and matched each return to the rainfall category for that week. The result was a dataset that let us measure not just general trends but statistically significant shifts in market behavior based on weather. One key finding stood out: the difference in returns between low-rainfall and high-rainfall weeks was highly significant, with a p-value of approximately 0.0006. 4. What the Numbers Tell Us The results are striking. During low-rainfall weeks, corn futures often posted higher average returns, suggesting that the market responds to early signs of drought with anticipatory price rallies. Traders and institutions appear to adjust positions quickly when weather models hint at below-normal moisture during key growth stages. In contrast, high-rainfall weeks displayed lower returns on average — and greater variability. While rain is essential, excess moisture raises fears of waterlogging, planting delays, and quality issues at harvest. The futures market, ever forward-looking, seems to price in both optimism and concern depending on the volume of rain. Boxplots of these weekly returns reinforce the pattern: drier-than-usual weeks tend to tilt bullish, while wetter periods introduce uncertainty. For discretionary and algorithmic traders alike, this insight opens the door to strategies that incorporate weather forecasts into entry, exit, and risk models. 📊 Boxplot Chart: Weekly corn futures returns plotted against precipitation category (low, normal, high). This visual helps traders grasp how price behavior shifts under varying rainfall conditions. 5. Strategy: How Traders Can Position Themselves With the clear statistical link between rainfall extremes and price behavior in corn futures, the logical next step is applying this insight to real-world trading. One straightforward approach is to incorporate weather forecast models into your weekly market prep. If a key growing region is expected to receive below-normal rainfall, that could serve as a signal for a potential bullish bias in the upcoming trading sessions. This doesn’t mean blindly buying futures on dry weeks, but rather layering this data into a broader trading thesis. For example, traders could combine weather signals with volume surges, technical breakouts, or news sentiment to form confluence-based setups. On the risk management side, understanding how price behaves during extreme weather periods can inform smarter stop-loss placements, position sizing, or even the use of option strategies to protect against unexpected reversals. Additionally, this information becomes particularly valuable during the planting and pollination seasons, when the corn crop is most vulnerable and the market reacts most strongly. Knowing the historical patterns of price behavior in those weeks — and aligning them with current forecast data — offers a clear edge that fundamental and technical analysis alone may not reveal. 🗺️ Global Corn Map Screenshot: A world map highlighting major corn-growing regions with weather overlay. This helps illustrate the geographic variability in rainfall and how it intersects with key production zones. 6. Corn Futures Contracts: Speculating with Flexibility For traders looking to act on this kind of seasonal weather intelligence, CME Group provides two practical tools: the standard-size Corn Futures contract (ZC) and the Micro Corn Futures contract (MZC). Here are some quick key points to remember: Tick size for ZC is ¼ cent (0.0025) per bushel, equating to $12.50 per tick. For MZC, each tick is 0.0050 equating to $2.50 per tick. Standard ZC initial margin is approximately $1,000 and MZC margins are around $100 per contract, though this can vary by broker. Micro contracts are ideal for those who want exposure to corn prices without the capital intensity of full-size contracts. They’re especially helpful for weather-based trades, where your thesis may rely on shorter holding periods, rapid scaling, or position hedging. 7. Conclusion: Rain’s Role in the Corn Trade Precipitation isn’t just a farmer’s concern — it’s a trader’s opportunity. Our analysis shows that weather data, especially rainfall, has a statistically significant relationship with corn futures prices. By normalizing historical precipitation data and matching it to weekly returns, we uncovered a clear pattern: drought stress tends to lift prices, while excessive moisture creates volatility and downside risk. For futures traders, understanding this dynamic adds another layer to market analysis. As part of a broader series, this article is just one piece of a puzzle that spans multiple commodities and weather variables. Stay tuned for our upcoming releases, where we’ll continue exploring how nature’s forces shape the futures markets. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.1745, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension. The stop loss is placed at 1.1582, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing in Play Tracking the Snap Zone & Energy Reset I’m watching a probabilistic swing scenario on Bitcoin where the price might need to dive into the 100k - 101k zone to build enough energy for the next major move. The key area I’m tracking is the EMA 200 on the daily chart (~95k - 97k). This would be the natural deep target if the price sweeps lower. The EMA 200 often acts as a long-term support where markets "reset" and gather strength. 👉 It’s also worth noting: Institutional traders traditionally view the daily EMA 200 as a key buy zone in an overall bullish market structure. That’s where many large players reload positions, aiming to ride the next expansion wave. What I’m expecting: A retracement into 100k - 101k to snap the short EMAs together. A potential liquidity sweep below the EMA 100, possibly down to the EMA 200 zone. Key bullish signals: wick rejections, strong bounce candles, and engulfing patterns on the 4h or daily. This would set up the energy for a clean bounce and a probable move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k. Without this deeper retracement, the move would likely run out of steam earlier, probably capping out around 112k. I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural price swings, EMA wave dynamics, and energy compression zones. 📌 Chart and path idea attached. What’s your view? Are you watching this zone?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by getthelukas
Dogecoin - This is the key structure!Dogecoin - CRYPTO:DOGEUSD - has to reverse now: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) A couple of months ago Dogecoin retested the previous all time high. We have been seeing a harsh correction of about -65% thereafter. However Dogecoin still remains in a bullish market with bullish structure. In order to validate this trend, a reversal must happen now. Levels to watch: $0.15, $0.5 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12