Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.23
1st Support: 99.29
1st Resistance: 101.09
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Harmonic Patterns
MSFT – A correction brewing? zero day CRWD-like scenario?In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities.
💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum.
🔍 In the chart above:
Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure
Clear gap beneath current price action
TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline
TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD
⚠️ Key distinction:
CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact
Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash
🎯 Conclusion:
If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (DJ30) has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resitance and could drop from this levle ot our takeprofit.
Entry: 44,643.47
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance levle.
Stop loss: 45,133.50
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 43,954.50
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
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TONUSDT Forming Falling WedgeTONUSDT is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, which is widely recognized in technical analysis as a bullish reversal signal. After a period of consistent downward price compression, the narrowing structure on the chart signals that selling pressure may be weakening. This setup often precedes a significant bullish breakout, especially when accompanied by growing interest and steady volume—as is currently being seen in TON’s market behavior.
The fundamentals behind TON (The Open Network) are also strengthening, with increasing adoption across the Web3 ecosystem and a growing number of partnerships tied to Telegram's user base. The synergy between Telegram and the TON blockchain has created an environment where real-world utility is beginning to align with on-chain momentum. This alignment often catalyzes strong upward price moves, making TONUSDT one of the more promising altcoin setups in the current market landscape.
The expected gain of 140% to 150% from current levels is not just speculative—it aligns well with the technical breakout projection based on the wedge’s height and the last key swing high. If TON can maintain support above the lower boundary of the wedge while volume continues to increase, the likelihood of a breakout followed by a strong upward rally becomes much higher. Historical breakout moves from similar wedge patterns often show explosive growth in relatively short timeframes.
TONUSDT is a high-potential chart right now and should be closely monitored by traders and investors looking for large-cap altcoin opportunities with bullish technical setups. This could be the start of a major trend shift for TON, especially as broader crypto sentiment begins to tilt bullish again.
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JSTUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumJSTUSDT has recently gained attention among traders as it moves closer to a key breakout level. The chart shows a series of higher lows, indicating underlying bullish momentum despite short-term rejections near resistance zones. The price action reflects a coiling structure with tightening price ranges, hinting at an imminent breakout. Volume has remained consistent, which is often an early sign of accumulation and growing investor interest.
As JSTUSDT continues to test its resistance zone, a successful breakout could lead to a sharp upside move. The projected gain of 20% to 25%+ aligns with the measured move from recent consolidation zones. This movement is supported by market interest in JST, which is a core part of the TRON ecosystem, providing decentralized finance capabilities like stablecoin lending and borrowing. The project’s integration and use within the TRON network continue to attract both retail and institutional investors.
Technically, the price is respecting key support and resistance levels, with clear zones marked out on the chart. The support zone has held strong on multiple tests, making it a potential launchpad for the next leg up. With volume backing the setup, and favorable sentiment across broader market conditions, JST is well-positioned for a breakout rally.
Short-term traders and mid-term investors should keep JSTUSDT on their watchlist, especially as momentum builds near the upper resistance area. If the breakout confirms with a daily close above resistance backed by volume, it may trigger rapid price movement.
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total 3 crypro cap without eth , bearish
Bearish harmonic patterns are advanced technical analysis tools used by traders to identify potential trend reversals to the downside. They are based on the principle that market movements often follow specific geometric and Fibonacci ratio relationships. When a price chart forms one of these patterns, it suggests that the current uptrend is losing momentum and a downward move is likely.
Here are three of the most well-known bearish harmonic patterns:
1. The Bearish Gartley Pattern
The Gartley is one of the oldest and most reliable harmonic patterns. It is a reversal pattern that looks like an "M" shape and forms after an uptrend.
Structure: The pattern is a five-point formation labeled X, A, B, C, and D.
Fibonacci Ratios: It is defined by these specific ratios:
The outlook for EUR/USD in the upcoming weekIn the past week, EUR was in a downtrend on the lower cycles, while showing a corrective move on the higher ones.
Following Friday’s news, we saw a strong bullish candle. Unfortunately, the market closed shortly after, so we couldn't confirm whether it was the beginning of a solid trend or just a reaction to the news.
As a result, in the coming week, we need to be more cautious and patient when looking for setups. Since the recent candles were news-driven, it's important to wait for a clear confirmation before acting.
In the chart, three possible scenarios have been outlined — be prepared for any of them.
BULLISH ON GOLDLet's take a look at some key things happening with gold and why I decided to go long. The first and most convincing factor for me is the market structure shift after taking sell-side liquidity, followed by strong displacement to the upside. We also have equal highs. Additionally, there’s a 4-hour breaker, and if you look at DXY, it has broken down after running ITS buy-side liquidity. Bonds (ZBU2025) are also showing strength. Gold is still in a range market, and right now we are at the range lows. So, even if you're not bullish on gold, it doesn’t make sense to short. I also wouldn’t feel comfortable shorting because of the equal highs above.
INVALIDATION IS RECENT 4HR LOW.
USDT + USDC Dominance🦇 Bearish Bat Pattern Forming :
A potential Bearish Bat is developing, with price nearing the final zone where reversals typically occur — the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
What to watch:
🔻 If the pattern completes and gets rejected in the PRZ:
That could signal a shift away from stables and back into riskier assets — a bullish sign for altcoins and the broader crypto market.
🔼 If price breaks through the PRZ:
The pattern fails. That would point to continued risk-off behavior — more capital flowing into stables and away from alts.
🧠 Pattern isn't confirmed yet — the key move is still ahead. Watch price closely as it enters the PRZ. The reaction there will shape the next major trend.
BTC Double BottomFibonacci sequence is a mathematical concept; it appears in various aspects of everyday life and nature. It's not directly used in a calculated way, but its principles are reflected in the patterns we see around us. Its key for traders to pinpoint these reversal areas to keep a positive risk/reward ratio. Bulls will target 116k if this low can be sustained.
EUR/USD Chart Summary (Bearish Setup):Trendline Break: A long-term bullish trendline has been broken.
Price below Ichimoku Cloud: Indicates bearish momentum.
Bearish Retest: Price pulled back to retest the broken trendline and is now forming a bearish continuation pattern.
Double Target Zones Identified:
1st Target Point: ~1.1329
2nd Target Point: ~1.1144
---
🟠 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry (Sell):
Around 1.1585 (where price is hovering now; or on a small pullback).
🔻 Take Profit (TP):
🎯 TP1: 1.1329 (short-term target)
🎯 TP2: 1.1144 (main target if bearish momentum continues)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
Place above the recent swing high or cloud resistance — around 1.1670
---
📊 Risk-Reward:
TP1 = ~250 pips
TP2 = ~440 pips
SL = ~85 pips
This gives you a favorable risk-reward (1:3+ to TP
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...?
Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over.
My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices.
For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels:
110,880
109,770
Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens.
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Bitcoin is experiencing a major collapse!BTC/USD – Historical Cycle Analysis & Mid-Term Outlook (1W)
Exchange: Coinbase
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Key Observations:
Long-Term Trendline Resistance
The black ascending trendline has historically acted as a major resistance zone since 2017.
Every touch of this line in the past has been followed by a significant correction.
Bearish Divergences (DIV / HDIV)
Red arrows indicate historical bearish divergences on RSI/MACD.
Each divergence marked a local or macro top before a sharp retracement.
Major Historical Resistance – $64,899
Derived from 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the primary cycle.
Served as a key ceiling during previous cycles before new all-time highs.
Bitcoin Cycle Behavior
BTC historically forms parabolic tops followed by deep corrections.
The current cycle (2024–2025) mirrors 2017 and 2021 structures, suggesting we may be approaching a macro inflection point.
Mid-Term Scenario
Price near the trendline (~$120K) implies high risk of volatility and correction.
Primary support zone: ~$65K (historical + Fibonacci confluence).
Likely scenario: range-bound movement between $65K–$120K before any sustainable breakout or new parabolic leg.
Gold trend analysis!From the price level of 3368 and above, gold is expected to pull back at least until the Stochastic on the M30–H1 timeframes reaches oversold levels.
After that, a bullish continuation is likely, pushing the price up to around 3400.
This area will be a critical decision point — determining whether the market will continue its uptrend or reverse into a downtrend.
If the H4 chart prints a reversal candlestick pattern, it would indicate the beginning of a bearish trend, which could potentially lead to a downward movement of up to 20,000 points.