Eurusd analysis move down read the caption This chart represents an analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Below is a detailed breakdown of the key elements in the analysis:
1. CHoCH (Change of Character):
Multiple "CHoCH" labels are marked to signify reversals or shifts in market structure. These highlight areas where the price changes from a bullish to bearish trend (or vice versa).
2. BOS (Break of Structure):
BOS is labeled, showing significant points where price breaks through key structural levels, confirming continuation or reversal trends.
3. EQH (Equal Highs):
Equal highs indicate potential liquidity zones where stop-loss orders may be positioned. These zones are likely to be targeted by the market.
4. Weak Highs and Trendline:
A weak high is identified within the red zone, suggesting a lack of strength to continue upward. This creates a bias for potential downward movement.
The yellow and blue trendlines illustrate a descending wedge pattern, highlighting bearish pressure.
5. Target Zone (1.03411):
A blue box around 1.03411 represents the target price area for potential bearish moves, aligning with the downward arrow projections.
6. Bearish Plan:
The analysis expects a downward trajectory after a liquidity grab (red arrows) and weak highs. The market is forecasted to form lower highs and lower lows, eventually reaching the target zone.
This is a structural and liquidity-based analysis indicating bearish expectations while leveraging trendlines, BOS, CHoCH, and liquidity zones.
Harmonic Patterns
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/NOK has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 11.76991
1st Support: 11.67979
1st Resistance: 11.8250
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 108.81
1st Support: 107.43
1st Resistance: 109.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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Heading into overlap resistance?GBP/CHF is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1248
1st Support: 1.1190
1st Resistance: 1.1297
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold 4H Chart Analysis – Path to New Highs or Rejection?Gold has been forming a bullish structure with consistent higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating strong upward momentum. The market is now approaching a key daily supply zone, which could act as a critical resistance area.
If the price successfully breaks above this supply zone, we could witness a continuation of the bullish trend and a potential move toward new highs. However, if the supply zone holds and the price faces rejection, we might see a pullback toward the $2,753 level or even the $2,740 support zone.
The EMA 200 also aligns with the bullish trend, confirming the overall upward bias. Traders should carefully monitor price action at the supply zone for a breakout or rejection to plan their trades accordingly.
Scenarios to Watch:
A breakout above the supply zone could signal further upside potential.
A rejection may lead to a correction toward $2,753 or $2,740.
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Bullish breakout?AUD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5697
1st Support: 0.5657
1st Resistance: 0.5752
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSDAs of January 23, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $2,751.87 per ounce, slightly down from the previous day's near three-month peak of $2,763.43.
Technical analysis suggests that gold prices may continue to rise, with potential targets at $2,765 and $2,795.
However, analysts note that gold might face resistance around $2,759, which could trigger a correction.
Given these factors, if gold reaches the $2,760 level, it may encounter resistance, potentially leading to a price correction. This could present an opportunity to consider selling positions. However, it's crucial to monitor market conditions closely, as various factors, including U.S. trade policies and Federal Reserve decisions, can influence gold prices.
*Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.*
Technical Take: USD Support in Play across Key TimeframesAccording to the US Dollar (USD) Index, the USD finished the week on the ropes, down 1.8%. Despite the growing sense that US President Trump may not live up to the hype of his pre-inauguration statements – placing a question mark on USD upside – technical studies appear to favour bulls.
Long-Term Technicals Favour Bulls
Technically speaking, I have been banging the drum for monthly resistance at 109.33 for quite some time now, which, as you can see, recently entered the fray and held ground. For anyone interested, I am a staunch advocate of yearly opening levels, and 109.33 has demonstrated a solid track record as a support and resistance – extended from as far back as 2001. However, while a notable area, several technical factors support USD bulls. This includes the overall trend facing to the upside, clear (local) support at 105.91-107.39, both the 50-month (101.09) and 200-month (91.16) simple moving averages (SMAs) rotating higher (the 50-month SMA has also been north of the 200-month SMA since early 2017), and, finally, the monthly chart’s Relative Strength Index maintaining position north of the 50.00 centreline since 2021 (positive momentum), albeit scraping the threshold several times since 2023. Consequently, it would appear that sellers have their work cut out for them.
Daily and H1 Support Enters the Fight
Across the page on the daily chart, Friday wrapped up the session probing through bids at support from 107.77 (now marked resistance) and touched gloves with the 50-day SMA at 107.58, as well as a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at 107.24 (note that support is also present nearby at 107.05). Although you could argue that the earlier break of trendline support (extended from the low of 100.18) may fuel further technical downside, current support between 107.05 and 107.58 is not an area to overlook, particularly when it blends with the upper edge of monthly support (107.39). Were buyers to take control here, 107.77 resistance is an obvious hurdle before confirming a bullish scenario on the daily scale, while rupturing support could unearth another support as far south as 105.62.
Shorter-term flow on the H1 chart is in a clear downtrend, consisting of a series of lower lows and lower highs. Given the break of clear lows around 107.70ish (blue oval area), this intensified downside pressure through tripped long positions and fresh breakout selling. I have been monitoring a key support level from 107.25 for a while, and I believe it may be a platform where buyers begin building a position. This is due to where we are trading from on the bigger picture (monthly and daily support) and fresh liquidity available from the break of short-term lows at 107.70. As you can see, together with the H1 support, a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio at 106.86 (harmonic traders may recognise this as an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bullish setup) and a 100% projection ratio at 106.84 (equal AB=CD formation) resides below current support, which buyers may use as their lower threshold to construct a support zone with 107.25. We have already witnessed some buying from 107.25 on Friday. Still, if the daily resistance from 107.77 is consumed, this would likely encourage buying and eventually pave the way toward the monthly resistance mentioned above at 109.33, closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance from 109.53.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
DOGEUSDT.1DThe daily chart of DOGE/USDT showcases a consolidation phase within a range-bound structure, following a period of significant bullish momentum earlier. This phase presents both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on the breakout direction.
Key Levels of Interest:
Resistance Levels:
R1: The immediate resistance lies at $0.4285, a critical barrier for bulls to overcome. This level aligns with previous highs and has repeatedly rejected price advances.
R2: The longer-term resistance trendline, marked in red, indicates the potential for upward expansion toward $0.5000–$0.6000, provided the bullish momentum sustains.
Support Levels:
S1: The nearest support is at $0.2574, marking the lower boundary of the current range and a strong accumulation zone.
Chart Patterns and Market Structure:
The price is trading within a horizontal range, with the upper boundary at R1 and the lower boundary at S1.
A breakout above R1 would indicate bullish continuation, with the potential to target R2 and higher levels. Conversely, a breakdown below S1 could trigger a deeper correction.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD histogram is neutral, with the lines converging near the zero line. A bullish crossover could confirm upward momentum, while a bearish crossover may signal downside risks.
RSI (14): The RSI is currently neutral at 52.32, suggesting that the market is balanced but leaning slightly bullish. A move above 60 would confirm bullish strength, while a dip below 40 could indicate renewed selling pressure.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been decreasing, which is typical in consolidation phases. A significant volume spike will likely accompany the breakout or breakdown, confirming the next major move.
Conclusion: DOGE is currently consolidating within a well-defined range. The key level for a bullish breakout is $0.4285 (R1), which would likely lead to a move toward $0.5000–$0.6000 (R2). On the flip side, a breakdown below $0.2574 (S1) would expose DOGE to lower levels, potentially testing $0.2000 or further downside.
Strategic Approaches:
Bullish Setup: Consider long positions upon a confirmed breakout above R1, with targets at R2 and beyond. Set stop losses just below R1 to manage risk.
Bearish Setup: Enter short positions if the price breaks below S1, targeting lower support levels near $0.2000. Place stop losses above S1.
Risk Management: As DOGE is trading within a range, false breakouts are a possibility. Use tight stop losses and confirm breakouts with volume spikes before entering trades.
EUR/GBPA **falling wedge** is a bullish chart pattern that forms as the price moves between two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. It indicates weakening bearish momentum and often precedes an upward breakout. The breakout, confirmed by a price move above the upper trendline (often with increased volume), signals a potential bullish reversal or continuation. The price target is typically calculated by adding the height of the wedge to the breakout point. While commonly bullish, traders should confirm the breakout before acting.
ETHUSDT.1DThe daily chart for ETH/USDT reveals a well-structured technical setup with both bullish and bearish scenarios, making this a critical phase for Ethereum's price action.
Key Levels of Interest:
Resistance Levels:
R1: The immediate resistance lies near the descending trendline, currently aligning with $3,500–$3,550, which has been a strong cap for upward moves.
R2: The next major resistance level is at $4,066.49, where Ethereum last encountered significant selling pressure, marking a medium-term bullish target.
Support Levels:
S1: The initial support zone is at $2,998.25, representing a pivotal level for bulls to defend to maintain the current uptrend.
S2: A deeper correction could push prices toward $2,208.24, which aligns with historical accumulation zones and the lower boundary of the chart's visible support structure.
Trendlines and Patterns:
Ethereum is trading below a key descending trendline (R1), which has acted as a persistent dynamic resistance. A breakout above this trendline could signal a reversal in the bearish structure and a move toward the $4,000+ range.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above S1, Ethereum could retest the lower support at S2, marking a continuation of the bearish structure.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD histogram is close to neutral, with a slight bullish bias. A confirmed crossover above the signal line would validate bullish momentum, while a bearish crossover could confirm downward pressure.
RSI (14): The RSI is hovering at 46.69, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish market sentiment. A move above 50 would strengthen bullish confidence, while a drop below 40 could accelerate selling pressure.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been tapering off as the price consolidates, reflecting indecision in the market. A breakout or breakdown accompanied by increased volume will confirm the next significant move.
Conclusion: Ethereum is at a decisive juncture, with the descending trendline (R1) acting as the key hurdle for a bullish reversal. A breakout above this level would target $4,066.49 (R2) and potentially higher. On the other hand, failure to hold above $2,998.25 (S1) could lead to a retest of $2,208.24 (S2), marking a bearish continuation.
Strategic Approaches:
Bullish Setup: Consider entering long positions upon a confirmed breakout above R1 with volume confirmation. Targets should focus on R2, with stops placed below the trendline.
Bearish Setup: Short positions can be considered if the price breaks below S1, with targets at S2. Stops should be placed above S1 to minimize risk.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to critical levels, risk management is essential. Traders should ensure proper stop-loss levels to avoid being caught in false breakouts or breakdowns.
XRPUSDT.4HThe 4-hour XRP/USDT chart reflects a period of consolidation following a strong bullish rally, signaling that the market is pausing to decide on its next directional move.
Key Levels of Interest:
Resistance (R1): The immediate resistance lies at $3.3885, which has capped the recent upward movement. A break and close above this level could pave the way toward the next significant resistance zone (R2), located around $4.0000–$4.2000.
Support (S1): On the downside, the nearest support level is marked at $2.7561, aligning with prior accumulation areas and the ascending trendline.
Major Resistance (R2): If the price clears R1, R2 will likely act as a medium-term target, reflecting a strong psychological barrier for the bulls.
Chart Patterns and Market Structure:
XRP is currently consolidating in a horizontal channel, forming a flag-like continuation pattern after the sharp upward breakout. This indicates potential bullish continuation, provided the price holds above S1 and breaks R1 with volume confirmation.
However, failure to hold S1 could trigger a retest of lower support zones, invalidating the bullish outlook in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD shows signs of stagnation, with both the MACD and signal lines near the zero line. A bullish crossover or divergence could confirm upward momentum, while a bearish crossover might signal a deeper correction.
RSI (14): The RSI is hovering near the neutral zone at 49.29, reflecting market indecision. A move above 60 would validate bullish strength, while a dip below 40 could intensify selling pressure.
Volume and Momentum:
Declining volume during the consolidation phase is typical of a flag pattern, but a breakout will require a notable increase in volume to confirm directional bias.
Conclusion: The market is at a critical juncture, with the $3.3885 resistance level acting as a key barrier for bullish continuation. A breakout above R1 would likely target $4.0000–$4.2000 (R2), signaling the resumption of the uptrend. Conversely, a breakdown below $2.7561 (S1) could push the price toward lower levels, invalidating the bullish structure.
Strategic Approaches:
Bullish Scenario: Enter long positions upon a confirmed breakout above R1 with increased volume, targeting R2. Stops should be placed just below the breakout level.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below S1, consider short positions targeting the next significant support levels, with stops above the breakdown level.
Risk Management: Given the current consolidation phase, maintain proper stop-loss levels to protect against false breakouts or unexpected volatility.
BNBUSDT.4HThe 4-hour chart for BNB/USDT presents a consolidation phase, with the price trading within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout scenario in either direction.
Price Action and Key Levels:
Resistance (R1): The descending red trendline acts as a dynamic resistance, capping recent upward moves. A breakout above this line could open the door for bullish momentum, targeting higher resistance levels near $760–$800.
Support (S1): The ascending green trendline has consistently provided a strong base for the price, forming the lower boundary of the triangle.
Critical Support (S2): In case of a bearish breakout, the horizontal support at $525.48 becomes the primary downside target, aligning with the previous accumulation zone.
Chart Patterns and Potential Scenarios:
The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern, and a breakout in either direction is possible. However, the prevailing trend leading into the triangle is bullish, slightly favoring a continuation to the upside.
Should the price break below the green trendline (S1), it would confirm a bearish reversal, with an immediate target at S2 and potentially deeper levels.
Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD line is near the zero line, reflecting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. A crossover below the signal line would confirm bearish sentiment, while a crossover above it could signal bullish strength.
RSI (14): The RSI is currently neutral at 46.79, slightly leaning towards bearish territory. A move below 40 could accelerate selling pressure, whereas a break above 60 could validate a bullish breakout.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been decreasing as the price tightens within the triangle, which is typical before a breakout. A significant increase in volume on either side will confirm the breakout's direction.
Conclusion: BNB is at a critical juncture, with the symmetrical triangle acting as a prelude to the next major move. A bullish breakout above R1 could lead to a rally toward the $760–$800 range, supported by strong buying momentum. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below S1 would likely target $525.48 or lower levels.
Strategy Suggestions:
Bullish Setup: Enter long positions on a confirmed breakout above R1 with a stop loss just below the breakout level. Target higher resistance levels at $760 and $800.
Bearish Setup: Short positions can be considered on a breakdown below S1, with stops above the breakdown level and targets at $525 and lower.
Risk Management: Maintain proper risk-reward ratios, and stay vigilant for fake breakouts, as these are common near key patterns like triangles.
BTCUSDT.4HAs we examine the 4-hour BTC/USDT chart, several critical elements come into play that shape our immediate and medium-term outlook.
Price Action and Key Levels:
The price is trading within a defined channel, constrained by an ascending support line (S1) and a strong resistance zone (R1).
The primary resistance (R1) is located at $110,392.21, a level tested multiple times but has yet to break convincingly.
On the downside, the nearest significant support level (S2) is seen at $88,452.27, coinciding with the green ascending trendline, which has provided a reliable base during recent corrections.
Chart Patterns and Scenarios:
A potential double-top formation is evident near R2, indicating a possible bearish reversal if buyers fail to regain momentum above R1.
On the bullish side, a breakout above R1 and a sustained close above $110,392.21 would likely target the next resistance zones around $115,000–$120,000.
Conversely, should the price fail to sustain its position above the green trendline (S1), we could see a deeper pullback toward S2, potentially extending into the $85,000–$90,000 range.
Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD histogram shows weakening bullish momentum as it approaches the zero line, hinting at potential bearish divergence.
RSI (14): RSI is hovering around the neutral zone at 53.20, indicating indecision. A drop below 50 would confirm bearish dominance, whereas a move above 60 could signal renewed buying pressure.
Trendlines and Volume:
The upward green trendline (S1) remains critical to the broader bullish narrative. As long as the price respects this line, the uptrend remains intact.
Volume has shown a declining pattern in recent sessions, which raises concerns about the sustainability of the current range-bound behavior.
Conclusion: The market is at a crossroads, with a clear bias yet to be established. For a bullish continuation, BTC needs to decisively break above R1 with increased volume and a daily close above $110,392.21. In contrast, a break below the ascending support (S1) would likely result in a retest of S2 around $88,452.27, potentially marking a deeper correction phase.
For traders, this presents two strategies:
Aggressive buyers could consider entries near S1 with tight stops below the trendline, targeting R1 and beyond.
Conservative traders might wait for either a confirmed breakout above R1 or a breakdown below S2 before positioning.
Given the technical setup, I am cautiously optimistic but remain vigilant for a potential bearish divergence. Risk management remains paramount as we navigate this pivotal phase.
NRLA "double bottom buy stop" strategy is a trading approach based on technical analysis. It involves identifying a specific chart pattern known as a "double bottom," which consists of two consecutive troughs at approximately the same price level separated by a peak. The strategy entails placing a buy stop order above the peak that separates the two bottoms. This order is triggered if the price surpasses that level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Traders often use additional tools and indicators to confirm the pattern and manage risk effectively.