Big Bullish Bat for Bitcoin BruhMy whiskers are telling me that what goes down must go up....
...so I've been hiding in the bushes and waiting to see where the reaction will be.
We could technically reverse anywhere between the current price point and the 1.13 XA (alternate Bat), but I'm looking for something sooner than the 1.13 XA. Just in case, the 1.13 would be at $36,202.64.
The .886 XA, 2.618 AB extension and the 2.618 ABCD look like a good zone for a reversal.
The area seems to coexist with the purple (green) zones that have acted as support so far in this period of space-time.
What do you think will happen?
Owhooooo!
Harmonictraders
my low risk/high reward ta on atomsaw a harmonic pattern forming. its either a gartley or bat, my confidence in this trade is quite low because the price didn't hit my orderblock but a choch already formed so I might as well take it since its only a low risk (0.28%) but with a high reward :))))
PS
not a professional student please dyor.
stay safe :)))
JPYUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: JPYUSD
Entry: 0.007905
TP: 0.007651
SL: 0.008149
Bias: Short
The trend is downward and very clear. All moving average lines are aligned and signaling a short opportunity . Our bias is short and we are hopeful that this trend may continue next few weeks creating further rooms for selling opportunity.
ROKU small drop then big pop - using harmonics and wolfekraftLook for a drop to around 104 (102-107 range = bounce zone) to start next week, followed by a pre-earnings run to 130s, then earnings pop/continuation to low 160s. After that it will be time to get short for a drop back to 120s-130s (will revisit and adjust for precise levels along the way and send updates).
Logic :
- My model for overall market (in sync with crypto) is for a small decline early next week- SPY 432 - and then upside through April 29-May 11 - SPY 450-455... after this expecting final leg down of bottoming structure (~ SPY 400-415 by late summer/early fall) to complete bottoming structure prior to starting a bullish impulse wave to new highs into 2023. The math for ROKU aligns with this direction and timeline, and so do a lot of other names!!
- Correlation to NFLX has been a thing for ROKU in the past - my model for NFLX expects Bullish Earnings price action (earnings this week)... pop and continuation to 400s by early May followed by drop back to 350ish. This schedule indicates ROKU will bottom (locally) prior to NFLX earnings release and then begin its own pre-earnings run up.
Chart :
- Completed Bullish Navarro 200 harmonic March 15th at the 98 level. The " enter long " for the start of retracement to 272 (pt1, expect by 2023), 500 (pt2, later...), 732 (pt3, like 3-5 years probably) is sustained run above 137
- Post-Navaro ROKU completed a Bearish Shark (semi-major) Harmonic and hit pt1, pt2 is 104
- I am noticing a larger (major) Bearish Harmonic* forming that will complete C near the 104 level, and would complete with a run to D = 161-168 {(*) could be any of the following: Max Gartley (most likely), Max Bat, Leonardo}
- Also noticing a (minor) Bullish Harmonic** forming in conjunction with (*) - (**) would complete D around 104 and have a 1.618 retracement to 161 and is likely a harmonic known as a TOTAL 1
- There was a bearish wolfe wave end of march with 1-4 projection/support still needing to be hit to complete downside move. This aligns with the 104 level early this coming week (4/18-4/20)
- There was a bullish wolfe wave that broke out of channel end of last week and will need to re-test top of channel before running to 1-4 projection/resistance... guess were the top of channel retest level is... hello 104 (again). Note that options are priced for move to 103-121 next week, 104 makes sense in alignment with chart structure.
Prediction: :
- Based on the above info, if ROKU bounces around 104 early next week my max initial target going into earnings is 139 in the right conditions (i.e. NFLX gets big earnings pop, market starts bullish run into May) - 139 would means 1-4 wolfe projection/resistance is hit by around Apr 25-27th , ROKU earnings is Apr 28. If this happens that would trigger enter long (above 137) on the retracement for major Bullish Navarro 200. A more conservative initial target is mid 120s going into earnings, this would save some room to continue to 1-4 projection post-earnings.
- Target by May 10 is 161
- Expectation after target is drop from 161 to test the 137 entry level. This drop would be in sync with expected market bottom. Depending on when Market bottom and where, ROKU could drop further than 137 in accordance with (*).
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, but if you're curious how I am playing this:
- looking to enter Apr 29 120.00 calls and May 13 130.00 calls IF ROKU bounces from 104ish early next week. Would take profits on the Apr 29s before the earnings release if my prediction materializes, and let the May 13s ride to target.
Bless you all, let me know your thoughts.
JPYUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: JPYUSD
Entry: 0.007973
TP: 0.007577
SL: 0.008201
Bias: Short
JPYUSD is at a very critical position . The pair is going downward continuously day after day as if there were no return from the short drive. Traders must pay close attention to the pair. However, our bias is short.
EURUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: EURUSD
Entry: 1.08194
TP: 1.04857
SL: 1.10407
Bias: Short
For EURUSD we are bearish . As we see the pair is going through a critical time facing lack of momentum and volatility as is expected. So the major drive that can be expected is bearish. So a sell trade is counted more logical.
USDCHF LongTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: USDCHF
Entry: 0.94255
TP: 0.96151
SL: 0.92977
Bias: Long
We are still bullish for USDCHF. Our bias grounds in concurrent fundamental factors which are upholding the strength of dollar to a higher scale. If the current situation persists ,we will stay bullish until we notice any major divergence signals.
AUDJPY UPDATE
Price is extremely overbought and over extended since the recent rally, on the weekly TF we can identify how price has formed a harmonic formation in which we expect the market to complete at the neckline, we also would expect a corrective move to happen sooner or later after such a bullish impulse- price is also testing strong level of weekly and monthly supply. Dropping to the lower TF we can identify how the market is consolidating in this rising wedge formation with a triple top. I would like to see the market maker push price above the highs to grab the liquidity of shorts and induce bulls into the market, before we can drop to the LTF and look for a valid entry to short
JPYUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: JPYUSD
Entry: 0.007947
TP: 0.007653
SL: 0.008143
Bias: Short
For JPYUSD we are also interested in selling as we see current price level is quite suitable for a reverse trade. Given the market condition, we cannot expect such congestion or reversion, we are just following the current trend.
XAUUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: XAUUSD
Entry: 1979.427
TP: 1882.027
SL: 2040.831
Bias: Short
For Gold our expectation is bearish and we are planning a short trade. As we see the current bullish price move is a discrepant accumulation of upward momentum which will be inundated by a new down surge soon.
Life of a currency (wabi)This analysis is purely a personal analysis...
Analytical tools:
1.Elliott Waves
2. Classic channeling
3.Macd indicator
4.Harmonic pattern
The currency is in a downward trend, which in Elliott terms is a combination
The bearish trend is expected to end soon and two prices are set to reverse the trend
Of course, increasing the trading volume is one of the important aspects in reversing the trend
The possibility of forming a harmonic pattern is very high because the butterfly pattern can reverse the trend
JPYUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: JPYUSD
Entry: 0.007954
TP: 0.007742
SL: 0.008131
Bias: Short
We are supporting the short bias for this pair. The price pattern indicate something very significant as we see it is a down ride and continuous selling pressure which may continue for next few weeks . But keep in mind that when any pair reaches such an edge , something against the general expectation can happen. However, our bias is short today.