Harmonictraders
BTCUSDT Potential Harami bearish on 1MA Harami bearish, candlestick reversal pattern, is about to occur on 1M chart twice after the All-Time-High event. If this projected drawdown plays out. This indicate a strong bearish signal. Harami is highly reliable in bearmarkets, in which pattern is a signal of top price. A Harami bearish just played on 1W chart. This replication on monthly chart will signal potential lower low, i.e. the bottom 15k of moonbois is nothing but a dream.
Greater timeframe, greater reliability.
The micro price action is performing like a final phase (E) of distribution pattern of Wyckoff method.
Now, on hourly chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders top formation targeting local demand. Also, an Alternate Bat harmonic pattern can occur, projecting price more drawdown, as we can see on chart.
Abandoned Baby bearish candlestick pattern is also performing on H4.
Oscillator Fisher Transform bearish.
Elliot Wave Method ]
Bitcoin seems to be ready to ride a route-off of this choppy bear market, as in a turn-point to made the 5th wave of an expanding ending diagonal, in which a bearish impulsive wave can occurs to throw-over this broadening wedge structure. This indicate potential lower low.
According to my wave count, Bitcoin is about to accomplish this actuall supercycle, making a wave 4 of an expanding ending diagonal, in which one more supercycle may complete this potential pattern, which a new ATH can surpass 200k. The 5th wave of the ending diagonal, which will be the next bullrun supercycle to complete the wave I of the Grand Supercycle, don't needs to touch the upper trend-line. For the validation of this pattern, the bottom of this actuall bearmarket needs to be accomplished, completing wave 4. Then, the shape of the channel will be definetly drew. If this market respect Elliot Wave rules, a severe bearmarket will occurs to made the Wave II of Grand Supercycle.
From a chart pattern perspective, this peak can be consider a pullback to Head and Shoulders neckline in confluence with the back-test to anchored VWAP from ATH. Indicating turn-point.
Fibonacci
Historically, In all corrections, BTC retraced either 88.6% of the same measured Fibonacci retracement, decreasing more than 80% in it's price from each new all-time-high. As we can see applied on this chart, a drawdown either 50% can be expected.
Pivot levels
Stablished pivot levels from the sum of HH+HL+Close:3 from the choppy sectors selected. in a fractal manner, the pivot level is a potential area of interest to re-entry. The price can shakeout in this range due to the anchored VWAP from candle of 13-Jun'22 reaction, thus I've pinpoint these levels to be watched.
Harrmonic pattern prediction
In prediction, a Partizan 2.4 harmonic pattern can be formed on this speculative bottom region, lead price above to 40k supply region.
Calm before the storm GBPUSDAfter a long period of consolidation, GU has finally dropped. 4 hits to the high, the fourth hit being lower than the 3rd. I aspect some level of correction from the market to head towards the 61.8. I believe the MM would like to collect some money off any short sellers still holding and trick traders that it's going long, just for them to drop back down again. Price is in it's first push out of the 3 so I expect some level of correction even if it doesn't go all the way towards the 61.8.
P.S. Happy New Year, we're back after a very long time.
The Ultimate Algorand (ALGO) Analysis - Bottom $0.1618On the 22nd June 2019, Algorand opened at a price of around $3.28 on Coinbase, and slightly higher on Binance.
Over the next few months, it dropped to around $0.1648 (maybe $0.1618 on some exchanges) and then $0.097 at the Covid crisis.
Before the 2021 bull run, in November, ALGO's Support level was around $0.2247 (Point X of the harmonic) before it began its ascend.
In early February of 2021, ALGO topped around $1.8427 (Point A of the harmonic)
This increase is by an exact amount of $1.618, the main number in the Fibonacci sequence.
Coincidence? I don't think so.
After it dropped to Point B of the harmonic, around $0.67, which is a very strong Support/Resistance level.
Notice the number - 0.67 is exactly 2/3 of 100.
If I multiply 0.6667 by 0.6667 I get 0.44444.
0.6667 - 0.44444 = 0.223, the EXACT NUMBER of Algorand's Support level before the bullrun.
OK, now this is getting crazy.
Algorand then increased by 161.8% (A-B) to create Point C (around 2.5589).
It then dropped to around $1.5144 - the 0.444 support level (which I have marked "S"). (Remember that 0.4444 number from earlier? Yeah.....)
The price was then manipulated up to around $2.99-$3.
This manipulation point is a whole new conversation involved with even more complex numbers and I think its best we avoid this in this argument, since it doesn't affect this current idea.
ANYWAY, if we ignore the manipulation which we usually do in these circumstances and create Point C as our harmonic level, we can see that BC is a +1.618% of AB.
Now if we draw a fib between ZERO and A we get 0.618 which is at point B
OR
if we draw a fib between $0.223 (Start of 2021 bull run) and $1.84 ish (Point A), we get the retracement value around 0.707 which is half of the value of 1.414, and 1.414 is the square root of 2.
So AB is (XA x half of the square root of 2) and the next move entails a 1.618 move of that figure.
Crazy maths...
Anyway, In a standard AB=CD HARMONIC PATTERN, we have 3 different variations, AB=CD, AB=CDx1.272 or AB=CDx1.618.
The most common one is 1.272, which is the square root of 1.618.
Now what happens if we measure BC x 1.272?
The answer is a price of ALGO of $0.1618.
As soon as I saw that it hit me.
That's the bottom.
$0.1618, the Fibonacci golden number will likely be the bottom of Algorand in this cycle.
So what is the profit target?
So I checked a few measurements.
I tried CD x 1.618 (if we hypothetically say that $0.1618 is the bottom of Algorand this cycle) and that gave me a figure of around $4.03.
I also did (All Time High minus All Time Low) x 1.272 (the square root of 1.618)
and that gave me a similar figure of around $4.03.
OH ALSO, one last thing...
Algorand is currently in a Bear Flag, the target is around $0.223-0.226 to Buy the bounce. It will go lower around Christmas time, but if you look at the 1.414 level (square root of 2) of the Bear Flag, it also reaches the same point around $0.1618!
📊 Harmonic Patterns Cheat SheetHarmonic Patterns use the identification of quantified chart price action structures that have specific and consecutive Fibonacci ratio alignments that form the visual structures. Harmonic patterns calculate the Fibonacci levels of the price patterns to identify high probability reversal points on the charts. This method believes that harmonic patterns or cycles repeat on charts in cycles repeatedly. The key to using this strategy is to identify these patterns and to use them for creating good risk/reward ratio entries and to exit when a profit target is reached. Positions are taken based upon the odds that the same historic patterns will repeat after entry.
🔹 Butterfly
The structure of the Butterfly pattern requires a specific alignment of Fibonacci measurements at each point within the structure. Most important, a mandatory 0.786 retracement of the XA leg as the B point is the defining element of an Ideal Butterfly Pattern and it acts as the primary measuring point to define a specific Potential Reversal Zone. In many ways, the Ideal Butterfly Pattern is like the Gartley Pattern because it requires a specific B point retracement and possesses a tighter array of Fibonacci ratios within the structure. Specifically, the Butterfly incorporates a 1.27 XA projection with a “tame” BC projection, which is usually only a 1.618. In addition, the Butterfly usually possesses an equivalent AB=CD pattern or an alternate 1.27AB=CD pattern. Although the equivalent AB=CD is a minimum requirement, valid Butterfly structures rarely exceed the alternate 1.27 AB=CD completion point.
🔹 Shark
The Shark Pattern is dependent upon the powerful 88.6% retracement and the 113% Reciprocal Ratio, works extremely well retesting prior support/resistance points (0.886/1.13) as a strong counter-trend reaction. Represents a temporary extreme structure that seeks to capitalize on the extended nature of the Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave. Demands immediate change in price action character immediately following pattern completion. Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave utilized depends upon location of 88.6% level – these are minimum requirements. Requires an active management strategy to capture high probability profit segments.
🔹 Gartley
The important features of the Gartley are the specific location of the various points: X,A,B,C and D. The X-A leg is the largest price move in the pattern. It is followed by a counter move of A to B. The first leg, A to B, sets up the potential AB=CD, which is crucial to the completion of the pattern and to the indication of the reversal zone. After a brief and smaller B to C retracement, the C to D leg is established. A precise calculation of the AB=CD will provide a significant potential reversal point. Ideal Gartley The ideal Gartley set-up will be defined by specific Fibonacci retracements. One of the most important numbers in the pattern is the completion of point D at the 0.786 of XA. Although the price action might exceed this number slightly, it should not exceed point X. The pattern is a nice set-up, especially with the convergence of an AB=CD.
🔹 Bat
The Bat pattern is probably the most accurate pattern in the entire Harmonic Trading arsenal. The pattern possesses many distinct elements that define an excellent Potential Reversal Zone. The pattern typically represents a deep retest of support or resistance that can frequently be quite sharp. Quick reversals from Bat pattern PRZs are quite common. In fact, valid reversals from Bat patterns frequently possess price action that is quite extreme. The pattern incorporates the powerful 0.886XA retracement, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone. The B point retracement must be less than a 0.618, preferably a 0.50 or 0.382 of the XA leg. The most ideal B point alignment is the 50% retracement of the XA leg. The B point is one of the primary ways to differentiate a Bat from a Gartley pattern. If a pattern is forming and the B point aligns at a 0.50 of the XA leg, it is likely to be a Bat.
🔹 Three Drive
The three drives pattern consists of a series of higher highs or higher lows. It is similar to the ABCD pattern. The difference is that a Three drives pattern is made of 5 legs, while an ABCD pattern has only 4. Three-Drives is a reversal pattern, so it signals an upcoming change in a trend. Point A is at the 61.8% retracement of the drive 1. Point B is at the 61.8% retracement of the drive 2. Drive 2 is at the 127.2%-161.8% extension of A. Drive 3 is at the 127.2%-161.8% extension of B. You can enter the market when you are sure that the market has formed the point B (buy in a bearish Three-Drive and sell in a bullish Three Drive). Take Profit should be around the 127.2%-161.8% extension of B.
🔹 Cypher
The Cypher pattern, which can be either bullish or bearish, has five points (X, A, B, C, and D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, and CD). Like any other harmonic pattern, the theory behind the Cypher chart pattern is that there is a strong correlation between Fibonacci ratios and price movements. Eventually, the market is expected to reverse from point D after the four market swing wave movements – X to A, A to B, B to C, and C to D. B point retracement of the primary XA leg ranges between 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. C point is an extension leg with a Fibonacci ratio that should be between 127.2% to 141.4% of the primary XA leg. D point should break the 78.6 retracement level of XC.
🔹 AB=CD
In this pattern, the A to B leg is the first price move. After a brief retracement from point B to point C, the pattern will complete the C to D leg, which is the same length as AB. Simply, after the AB and BC legs have been established, you project the AB length from point C… Although the price action will not always be exactly equivalent, the AB=CD legs usually will be close enough to determine the reversal points. Sometimes, this pattern will be exact but I usually wait for the CD leg to at least equal the AB leg. The Fibonacci numbers in the pattern must occur at specific points. In an ideal AB=CD Pattern, the C point must retrace to either a 38.2% at a minimum to validate the structure. The maximum retracement of the AB leg is an 88.6% level that defines a less extreme AB=CD pattern formation but still valid.
🔹 Crab
The Crab is a distinct 5-point extension structure that utilizes a 1.618 projection of the XA leg exclusively. This is the most critical aspect of the pattern and the defining level in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The extreme (2.618, 3.14, 3.618) projection of the BC compliments the 1.618 XA extension. In addition, the Crab primarily utilizes an alternate AB=CD to compliment the PRZ. Although a minimum AB=CD completion is necessary for a valid structure, the alternate 1.27 or 1.618 calculation are the most frequent cases. The 1.618 AB=CD pattern is the most common alternate calculation utilized in the structure. It is important to note that the alternate AB=CD pattern within the Crab is the least important number in the PRZ.
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$O Childhoods End ODAI$O Coin childhoods end is setting up nice targets... deffinitely a long term one
Harmonics & Fibonacci on Turkish IndexIn follow up of BIST:XU100 since Dec 25, 2022;
Previous analysis:
Latest Observations :
Harmonics Bat Pattern; possible reversal zone around 3351;
Harmonics Gartley Pattern; possible reversal zone around 3619;
Fibonacci on Turkish Index; index may stabilize around 3664-3500;
Bearish Divergence
DOGE/USDT / LOOKING BEARISH/BULLISH! doge/usd
currenctly our short position but if they hit my sl or complete a head & shoulder pattern then i am gonna to open my long position my short position target achived then i am gonna to open my long trade because harmonic pattern are completed.
u are agree with my idea then like it :)
u are agree with my idea then like it :)
$BTC BitcoinBTC Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $20,731.01 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $29,721,602,588 USD. We update our BTC to USD price in real-time. Bitcoin is down 0.91% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1, with a live market cap of $399,332,928,479 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,262,593 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
What Is Bitcoin (BTC)?
Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”
Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.
Who Are the Founders of Bitcoin?
Bitcoin’s original inventor is known under a pseudonym, Satoshi Nakamoto. As of 2021, the true identity of the person — or organization — that is behind the alias remains unknown.
On October 31, 2008, Nakamoto published Bitcoin’s whitepaper, which described in detail how a peer-to-peer, online currency could be implemented. They proposed to use a decentralized ledger of transactions packaged in batches (called “blocks”) and secured by cryptographic algorithms — the whole system would later be dubbed “blockchain.”
Just two months later, on January 3, 2009, Nakamoto mined the first block on the Bitcoin network, known as the genesis block, thus launching the world’s first cryptocurrency. Bitcoin price was $0 when first introduced, and most Bitcoins were obtained via mining, which only required moderately powerful devices (e.g. PCs) and mining software. The first known Bitcoin commercial transaction occurred on May 22, 2010, when programmer Laszlo Hanyecz traded 10,000 Bitcoins for two pizzas. At Bitcoin price today in mid-September 2021, those pizzas would be worth an astonishing $478 million. This event is now known as “Bitcoin Pizza Day.” In July 2010, Bitcoin first started trading, with the Bitcoin price ranging from $0.0008 to $0.08 at that time.
However, while Nakamoto was the original inventor of Bitcoin, as well as the author of its very first implementation, he handed the network alert key and control of the code repository to Gavin Andresen, who later became lead developer at the Bitcoin Foundation. Over the years a large number of people have contributed to improving the cryptocurrency’s software by patching vulnerabilities and adding new features.
Bitcoin’s source code repository on GitHub lists more than 750 contributors, with some of the key ones being Wladimir J. van der Laan, Marco Falke, Pieter Wuille, Gavin Andresen, Jonas Schnelli and others.
What Makes Bitcoin Unique?
Bitcoin’s most unique advantage comes from the fact that it was the very first cryptocurrency to appear on the market.
It has managed to create a global community and give birth to an entirely new industry of millions of enthusiasts who create, invest in, trade and use Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in their everyday lives. The emergence of the first cryptocurrency has created a conceptual and technological basis that subsequently inspired the development of thousands of competing projects.
The entire cryptocurrency market — now worth more than $2 trillion — is based on the idea realized by Bitcoin: money that can be sent and received by anyone, anywhere in the world without reliance on trusted intermediaries, such as banks and financial services companies.
Thanks to its pioneering nature, BTC remains at the top of this energetic market after over a decade of existence. Even after Bitcoin has lost its undisputed dominance, it remains the largest cryptocurrency, with a market capitalization that surpassed the $1 trillion mark in 2021, after Bitcoin price hit an all-time high of $64,863.10 on April 14, 2021. This is owing in large part to growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, and the ubiquitousness of platforms that provide use-cases for BTC: wallets, exchanges, payment services, online games and more.
SUNTECK REALTYHello and welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame it formed a Bearish Harmonic ABCD in JAN 2022 near 590 and since then has retraced 62% of its last leg.
In the weekly time frame it has formed a Bullish Harmonic Gartley around 315 suggesting the correction is most likely over.
It can be a good stock to accumulate between 330-370 for upside levels of 420-500-650. The view would be considered invalid below 285.
Good risk reward set up for medium to long term at the current level.
Happy Investing