Hbar
HBAR is going down?One of our readers asked us to do an HBAR analysis. Technically, I don’t see any signs of strength and I’m waiting for the lows to be broken out in the near future, we have a preload to a level that I think will be broken and we will wait for HBAR around $0.04 because we don’t even see any significant volumes and buyer reaction in the current zone, so maybe it just appear below 📉
HBAR L1 narrative is probably dead. ETH has upgraded. The future is in Ethereum now. All problems Ethereum has before have been eliminated. No need to develop on unsecure chain like this when Ethereum is good now.
HBAR Ready to Rise for the 3rd TimeHBAR broke out of a falling wedge on its weekly chart a couple of months ago. It has since held above weekly support, and well above the wedge. If there is another dip prior to continuation, I could see it test the top of the wedge, near the bottom of support. However, if we lose support and close below the top of the wedge, this idea becomes invalidated.
Measured targets / fib levels:
-- TP 1 - 599-605 sats
-- TP 2 - 734-744 sats
Some confluence to support this idea:
-- Chart VWAP, with the full chart in view, wants average price to be near the top of the resistance area shown.
-- Zooming in to view the falling wedge moves the chart VWAP to line up with TP 1 as well (see chart snapshot below).
-- TP 1 lines up closely with our 0.618 fib (within 6 sats), where fibs are based on the previous move from trough to peak.
-- TP 2 also lines up closely with our 0.786 fib (within 10 sats)
-- RSI has bottomed out, slightly higher than our previous bottom, and it shows similar movement to the last two moves from bottom, theorizing that each in a series of 3 (assuming we've begun our 3rd move) has a consolidation period that begins closer to its initial impulse, and consolidates for a longer period each time.
-- Stoch RSI has also bottomed out and then reached top, also showing similar movement, and also theorizing that each in a series of 3 (again, assuming our 3rd move has begun) has a longer consolidation period between peak 1 and 2.
Zoomed in view of falling wedge and Chart VWAP lining up with TP 1:
Thanks for hearing my thoughts, please leave your own in the comments below. If this move does play out, I think it'll become highly likely that we see a new ATH before seeing any long-term bearish movement again. There is a linked idea for the HBAR/USD pair below under Link to Related Ideas, or here:
-dudebruh
HBAR great time to get in! Opinion:
Short term trade. TP at 0.08670! :)
Each level L1-L3 (S1-S3) and TP1-TP3 has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's and L's these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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$HBAR Log chart Elliott Wave Analysis. Floki here with the first of many Elliott Wave Analysis crypto updates.
Starting with HBAR, a coin very close to my heart, which I will qualify as Blue Chip going forward. The RL use cases it brings to the table are undeniable.
But on the technical side, is the correction done? I'd say the odds of it being done are at about 70%. There is still room (30% chance) to go lower with a final 5th wave of Ⓒ. That would make this whole move up and down a Macro i & ii. And we all know what comes next right ? The infamous wave iii on macro scale.
My bias was way off in my last analysis on January. But the market has shown us its hand as of now.
Trade safe y'all.
HBAR - Longterm View!Hello Kucoin S Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
WEEKLY: Left Chart
HBAR is approaching a strong support and demand zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
H4: Right Chart
HBAR formed a valid double bottom. For the bulls to take over, we need a break above the necklinemarked in gray.
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close above the last high in gray to buy.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, HBAR can still trade lower inside the blue demand zone .
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
HBAR - Possible Expanded Flat Correction HereHBAR dropped a bit lower than the typical expanded flat target @ 1.618 of its trend-based fib (which is around 9 cents as shown, and where I initially drew the green arrowed line for our reversal). Instead, we fell a bit lower to strong support at the area of the green box around 5-6 cents, but also held the daily and weekly trends. Weekly was nearly lost but was quickly reclaimed.
We also have strong bull divs showing on most of the major indicators, and OBV (not shown) has continued to rise throughout the downtrend, plus our 50 weekly MA wants price to break back above the daily trend and get us back to an area around 24 cents. Good confluence from indicators here on a lot of different fronts.
With all this in mind, if we can first break and hold above our weekly, and then daily trends, I'd suggest we're in a full fledged reversal and may see the expanded flat correction play out, taking us to a new ATH. Keep in mind this may take some time to come to fruition (months, not days or weeks), but we should start seeing signs of the reversal fairly soon if we continue to hold support at the green box.
It is still possible that we drop all the way down to 3 cents before reversing, should support not hold, but that could still keep everything above in play as long as we don't lose the weekly/daily trend bottoms w/out quickly reclaiming them again.
Here was my original post, prior to moving lower towards support:
Hedera | Reversal Candle Explained (185% Potential Profits)We have two candles marked on this chart, 5-July and 18-June.
The 5-July candle is a hammer and when it shows up near support it can signal an upcoming reversal.
Notice that this candles wick hit below the 18-June candles low, that is 0.0581.
It hit lower at 0.0550 but the close happened at 0.0617.
So the 18-June low holds as support which can lead to higher prices.
On top of the reversal candle we can notice EMA300 and MA200 starting to trend downwards.
When you see these indicators trending down coming from above, prices tend to shot up in the direction contrary to the moving averages.
We also have the low 12-May followed by a lower low on 18-June, a pattern that is also present in many altcoins that have grown two to three digits in a matter of days.
For traders, this is a very good chart setup.
The risk is very low, around 15%.
The potential rewards very high, over 100%.
If we lose, we lose small.
It is ok, we can take a loss, it is normal in this type of busines.
If we win, we win big.
That's perfect, that's what we like.
Namaste.
#HBAR / #USDT : Analysishello? Traders, welcome. If you "follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Like". Have a nice day!.
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Notes related to this analysis :
- The price is in the Zone of strong demand /Support that has caused the price to bounce upwards in the past