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Will Home Depot Decline Before Summer?I am writing this analysis a little after the triggering signal as I watched the stock move up. The red and green boxes still indicate targeted movements (as detailed in prior analysis and below), however, I have looked for potentially stronger entry points for put options. As I previously mention, the stock may continue to move up in contradiction of the reversing signal, but this continued movement is limited. This continued movement based on median statistics (the black dotted arrow) had the stock move upward for an additional 3 days to 327.21. The 3 days was spot on, and so was the peak. The actual peak (assuming the stock continues to move down from this point) was 328.83. Ideally, the stock is finally obeying the reversal signal from April 14, 2021. The peak occurred in line with historical movement by occurring in the smaller red box. Based on historical movement, the peak could have occurred anywhere in the larger red box. The next targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the case on the prior 373 occasions. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. 84.45% of the 373 historical signals have seen the stock price drop at least 1.03% below the closing price on the signal bar. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on April 14, 2021 with a closing price of 320.02. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should drop to at least 316.71 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock drop 3.05% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock drop 6.366% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock drop 11.189% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would lead to a drop to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the drop can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max drop occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% drop must occur over the next 35 trading bars (days) in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 4 trading bars; half occur within 14 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 26 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:HDShort
by StockSignaler
1
HD - Testing Strategic Resistance Hello Traders ! First of all, this is not a professional analysis nor an advice of any kind. I’m only sharing my thoughts. This week, Home Depot is testing a strategic resistance level, represented by the yellow trendline, at around $314.90. This trendline hasn’t been broken since Sept ’18. If HD successfully closed above the trendline, then we will have to wait for the confirmation in the next week candle as it has to open and close above the trendline, then HD is bullish again. Otherwise, it might try to visit 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at around $288, which happened to previously work as a resistance level in Aug and Oct of 2020, let’s see if it will act as a support as well. (If you find this beneficial, don’t forget to LIKE). Happy trading!
NYSE:HD
by MoeGH88
Short HD; you can do it, I can help.A couple of indicators are showing divergence for the past week or so, as HD has melted up choppily. It needs some relief and is being sustained by erstwhile investors scrambling for a safe investment in a volatile bond market when the banks can't be counted on to manage their risk. I'd suspect that this could continue a little bit, but within the next week or so as the market changes again this should take a pounding. Note the marked divergences and the weakness of the indicators after we passed the shaded area. Today might well be the double top we need to leg it down. The way I see it, the weak technical picture hides an interesting scenario; bond yields calm, money flows back into more conditional investments like tech (this will keep happening to a lesser extent everytime yields 'decline' and consolidate) and away from HD. Bond yields increase and the market panics. Bond yields stay the same and people go back to their riskier bets. In all scenarios HD and other builder, stocks decline in the interum. Perhaps they'll pickup before earnings but they need price discovery now.
NYSE:HDShort
by PreferredStonk
18
HD bearish back down to 290Looks to respect the channel Just gonna play a bearish put spread of some sort Broad market somewhat weak Options markets are wide in this stock and therefore suck, but i think it's worth the fight to get filled. I'm long the April 290 puts and will sell another strike against those before end of day to leg a debit spread of some sort... not sure what yet. Depends on whether I'm +\- by end of day because if it were to drop enough today i'll just take it off Worst case scenario it breaks above the channel in a dramatic way and I'll have to address that
NYSE:HDShort
by Tidal_0BX
HD (NYSE) - When it breaks, price go up Greetings Humbled, we would like to thanks for your support who has already liked, commented and followed us. Your support, strengthens us, to help in analyzing the market. If you have any questions, feel free to send us message (inbox). Pra Trading : - Please care for Money Management - Have a good psychology - Do not be hurry to open position and do not do nothing if u see opportunity - Evaluate and upgrade your trading plan Execution Strategy : - Know what you want to buy, see the Fundamental - Decide that you are on investing or speculating - Consider what your strategy based on Investing/Speculating - Make Road Map Of Your Trading Plan - Decide a. Entry strategy b. Cut loss c. Target of Profit Post Trading : a. Do not be sad if you loss or do not be very happy if you win b. Just become a normal without emotion, Do not put emotion into your trading c. Evaluate your trading d. Keep on Learning e. Be Humble Idea : HD (NYSE) - When it breaks, price go up Note : 1. This is just a road map 2. After u know the rod map, u need to decide what is the entry strategy, and exit strategy where we do not explain here. if u will know more, let send us message 3. If your information/knowledge is intermediate, it is very dangerous to do trade.
NYSE:HD
by MultiAssetX
HD - Great stock with high dividends! Buy and thank me laterWe have a clean 5 wave impulsive move from the March 2020 low to August, followed by a clean 3 waves correction . Classic chartist among you can see a clean Bull Flag . I will maintain my bullish outlook as long as price doesn't close below 247! Trade it according to your own methodology. Personaly I'm already positioned and will look to add a bit on a pullback and once price breaks above the channel. My targets are 325 at first, followed by 380 and 500 next but it will probably take some time before reaching that level. Anyhow, Risk/Reward is a good 1/2.5 if buying now and going for the first target only, so I see no reason not to look to buy this stock.
NYSE:HDLong
by ElliottWaveBelgium
7
HD - Possible Swing OpportunityHD is currently at a strong R/S zone. If HD can hold/break above the $269 area price, we could be looking at a $275 PT. Things to look for other than confirming the support/resistance area: *in no specific order* 1) breaking levels with above average volume 2) overall market index strength 3) It's currently testing the 100 EMA as well which makes watching how it reacts at these levels that much more important before jumping in. 4) if stimmy does pump market all sectors could see an increase, but it may leave Dow stocks lagging a bit What are your thoughts on HD? Play, or Nay?
NYSE:HDLong
by Logical_Badger