NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES DETAILED ANALYSIS. FUTURE TREND!!I have drawn many things in this idea, stay with me till the end, and I will clear you.
first, let me talk about the future trend(because based on that and my prediction I have drawn the rest drawings), the future trend is the dark black line(drawn both support and resistance). the trend is based on the markets getting consolidated and its reaction shown by nifty finserv components.
now how is that trend came to surety says the pullbacks drawn by arcs circle and arrows.
i have drawn many of them, have a good good at those, those are majorly pullbacks and pullouts. its just that the market was very volatile at that time, like FII SELLING, DII BUYING, interest rates, money incoming etc..
so that made to disturb the trend, but we get to know it by the pull back strategy.
now if you looked very carefull you could observe that the last arc drawn is in black, because nifty finserv, did not supported my trend, that actually because major FII selling had come on.
like in major stocks like hdfc, icici, bajaj finance. banking stocks and bajaj finance(one to give high returns), sum the nifty finserv about 85%. thats a lot, so mostly nifty finserv is very closely related to bank nifty chart.
since bank nifty chart has almost reached its top and making new ATH, this says that nifty fin serv, is at a very discounted, and at any time rally could come in. but this rally could be defined when US markets react positive and FII selling starts coming. and which is already started.
DISCOUNTED STOCKS are meant by those which has a good possibility to go up. stocks such as hdfc, kotak, bajaj finance are much in discounted. icici bank has given a good rally, and same acts for SBI.
the next part is the brush drawing: i feel that market could be volatile for several days/weeks because nifty50 is a bit overvalued so this could afraid the market to go in a buy side. there could be a clash of buying and selling, mostly giving some doji candles. if such happens, then January of next year, could be a great possibility to give a bull rally, in nifty finserv components. although this volatile theory could go wrong if market directly sees an upmove, instead of waiting much. to add on as a final point, markets where volatile at the time from AUG- OCT, after a bull rally came in. such case could be possible but this volatile market could be a small one, since many things have been formulated, and bad things(like global conditions, no need to mention it) are coming to an end.
the price action and following trends is the best thing. mark some good levels in your chart, and check the trend, based on that start taking positions.
