HEAD
XMRUSD MONERO LONG!!!Inverse head and shoulders forming on the 4h time frame with a break and retest of neckline occurring.
4h also reveals the formation of a higher high
On the Daily, there is bearish convergence on the RSI, signalling a trend reversal to the upside.
Price on the Daily has also rejected the 61% fibonacci previously and has done so again. This is also reinforced by the lower bound of the wedge formation, creating strong support.
Price is expected to test the higher bound of this wedge formation at which our TP will be set
Entry:$214
TP: $320
SL:$178
Ascending wedge drop target dropped to the exact length of wedgeJust wanted to show you all how the purple ascending wedge once it was broken out of dipped the exact height and angle of the wedge...so a very reliable pattern. Also wanted to note that we now have 2 4 hour candles that have closed below this head and shoulder neckline with the bulls desperately trying to lift it back up above the neckline...so far on the 1 day chart though we have yet to close below the neckline...I wouldn't consider it a definite breakout until I see 2 1 day back to abck candles close below the neckline...but with 2 closing below it on the 4 hour its definitely not a good sign. Hoping for a false breakout because if it is a valid breakout you can see by the red dotted trendline that it would take us all the way down to the red fib retracement level....which would be lower than both the grey ascending trendline which has acted as extremely strong support multiple times since last July and would take us even further down than the bottom we hit in February. So if you see today's 1 day candle close under the neckline be prepared to play the short game waiting on 1 more 1 day candle for confirmation. If the bulls can find a way to get the 1 day to close above the neckline...then there's still a slight chance for a ltitle more downside possibly finding good support at the ascending grey trendline or if it breaks below that at the same price we found februarys bottom at.....Once we find a clear bottom that is likely the time I will go fishing for extreme bargains in the alt coin market, but the way this head and shoulders is looking right now, there's a chance we could dip into the $4,000s before then. I certainly hope not but if so I intend to find a way to allow the dip to make more more btc in the process. You make your own decisions however as this once again is not financial advice. Best of luck.
BTC hits ascending wedge drop target, flirting w/ h&s breakdownBTC has just reached the target price drop of the ascending wedge breakdown shown by the purple dashed line. WWhile it doesn't surprise me it hit this price, it does worry me, because now we are in real danger of breaking below the neckline of this current head and shoulders..we have already sent a wick below it. In order to break it we will need at least 2 closes below the neckline on the 4 hour chart. Even then its not a guarantee that its not a fake breakout but the probability and odds are then at that point greatly in favor of a successful breakout. However 2 closes on the 1 day chart under the head and shoulders neckline will indeed signal a valid head and shoulders pattern. If this happens we may possibly plummet below my grey ascending trendline and possibly dip even lower than februarys low which is a very scary thought. So these next few candles are clutch. I'm still hoping we will eventually find strong support and a huge bounce back up from either the grey ascending trendline or just under it at the same price as februarys low thereby creating a massive double bottom pattern. The latter would probably be preferable, as it would have greater potential to take the price far higher. Anyways be careful out there if you aren't already still short, and you see 2 confirmation candles below the hea and shoulder neckline it may be wise to go short at least until right above the grey ascending trendline or possibly right above it if you are fishing to trigger a limit with a wick. A more adventurous trader may try to put their limit buy back in just above the low of february. As of right now technically the inverted head and shoulders pattern is also still in play because we haven't gone below its head but I have taken it off the chart currewntly as to not muddy up things with overlapping h&s patterns.
Bitcoin funny Inverted Head n Shoulder behaviour...Hi,
This is my first Trading View trading idea attemp and this is more a question than an idea...
Didn't we manage to finish the inverted head and shoulder pattern? Shouldn't it go up instead of going down... :/ ?!
I guess that we miss a candle close above the neck line, right?
Cheers and enjoy my 1st crappy trading idea :D !!
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well defined head and shoulders patternwell defined head and shoulders pattern with a 131ish neckline
We officially have gone above the neckline!We are officially above the neckline on the 4hr chart!! And with only 4 minutes left to go before this 4 hour candle closes...we may actually close this candle above the neckline! Very exciting time to be invested in btc! Now remember folks we still even if it closes above the neckline on the 4 hr chart are going to need the next 4 hr candle to close above it as well...we also want to see a huge swell in bullish volume to help confirm it. Also always good to double check indicators such as mac d and rsi to be safe....the biggest confirmation won't be until we have closed to 1day candles above the neckline...however 2 4hr candles closing above is a really good sign...I would even tread lightly and wait for a 3rd 4 hr candle if I was being super conservative. We may very well see the price dip back udner the neckline as a false breakout initially though so be prepared if that happens I imagine it will only take another day or 2 max before we get a legitimate breakout. Of course, this could be the legitimate breakout and we might not even ahve to worry about any fake outs. Best to be patient and see just to be safe though.
NEXT UP: BITCOIN In Major Fight Against Reigning Champion! SIGH.Hello Friends & Family, Ladies and Gentleman
Tomorrow... we are going to witness, the most anticipated match in the history of crypto trading for the heavy weight championship of the Woooorld! In the blue corner, we have BITCOIN, up and coming super star with a record of 10 wins and only 3 losses. In the red corner we have THE reigning, undisputed champion of the World, Mister 11,8K, with 25 wins and only 1 loss!
Are you ready?? Cryyypto-faans, aaaaare youuuuu reeeeady?? For the millions of people watching around the world, live directly from TradingView, ladies and gentleman, aaaare you reaaady to ruuuuuuuuuuuuuuumblee??
We are now taking a look at the 4h BTCUSD Chart. D4rkEnergYs 55 % scenario has been spot on so far. We are finally in an uptrend with the EMA50 way under us. The EMA100 are almost crossing the EMA200. Life IS indeed wonderful!
As you can see, we are still on the 3rd subwave on the 5th Elliot Wave. That means we are still cruising up, up, up. I want to you take notice of the RSI. If we don't manage to make 3 higher highs, we will very soon have a smaller correction, before we reach our first target at 11,8k, due to the ascending wedge on the RSI. But don't it let scare you. I also want you to pay attention to the MACD, how the bulls 2 times managed to reject a bearish MACD-Cross.
Last but not least. Many people have mentioned the lack of volume lately. And you guys are right. But there is a reason. In other markets when you shift into an uptrend we usually see more volume. The reason why that's not the case here is because the crypto market is still new, and we don't have big institutional buyers yet. But don't let it fool you.
So D4 is still super bullish on BTC, and it will only be a matter of time before we will stand face to face with the reigning champion of the World, Mister 11,8k! This will indeed be a tough match, but as I already predicted many weeks ago: Bitcoin WILL WIN in the end due to the inverse HS pattern and the new trust in the market.
I will follow up, and give you guys updates. Please hit that LIKE BUTTON and FOLLOW. Thank you so much <3
D4 is everywhere
D4 predicts everything
RSI Reaching overbought conditions on the 4hrThe past 3 4hr candles have been somewhat indecisive closing as dojis with the most current 4hr candle started by dipping down low as a red candle all the way to the support line of the TLine(in yellow) before bouncing back upwards. Thecurrent minor retracement/dojis is mainly due to the RSI reaching up and touching the 70 range on the 4 hour...However the RSI is still looking very steady on the day chart so I think with enough bearish wicking on the next few 4 hour candles with them ultimately closing as dojis and helping to drop the 4hr RSI rate...I predict a much tighter range of resistance and support and lots of sideways trading for the next 1/2-3 days tops...However I think the big whales involved in bitcoin probaby want to see us break above the inverted head and shoulder pattern's neckline even more than us guppies so they likely won't be afraid to flex their dominance to help break that neckline within the enxt 1/2-5 days...the longer we go the smaller the amount bitcoin will have to climb to break that neckline. These patterns become somewhat of a self-fulfilling prophecy the more the big traders make their trading decisions based on them being triggered. I'd say only buy in at this point and really try your best to do so during dips(which as of now is anything in the 11200s or udner) With the 4hr RSI currently at near overbough levels this is usually when you will be able to catch great temporary dips.
Bitcoin is flirting with the neckline!Bitcoins bulls have been unstoppabull recently and witht he current price around 11430 it only has to reach 11600 to be firmly above the neckline. If it can close above on the 4hr and then close another followup 4 hour candle above that, odds are very good at that point that we have a valid inverted head and shoulders on our hands....those who have been following me for awhile now will realize that I was the first to call a second much more massive inverted head and shoulders that used the same head as the first one we saw weeks ago. I was calling this to happen before the second potential shoulder had even began to form. At the time I was calling it hypothetical because I wasn't certain a head of a head and shoudle rpattern could be triggered twice. Now that we are this close I'm pretty confident we will see it break/close above the neckline and form a valid pattern. Of course until it does that it won't be valid, but I'm more confident now than ever before that it will. Today's big resistance is at 11500...if the bulls can topple that as easily as they did the resistance lines of 11120, 11300, and 11400 yesterday then I see us very potential breaking above the neckline as early as the upcoming 1 day candle. it may decide to trade sideways for a day or 2 and possibly even retrace a slight bit before this happens though. So hodl with all your might and I reccomend buying in more at any convenient dips.
1day candle closes as green spinning top confirming breakoutToday's 1 day candle has closed as a green spinning top giving us a confirmed breakout from the descending chqannel and also taking us another big step closer to having a valid massive inverted head and shoulders pattern. The Galaga Battleship is nearing completion and readying itself for blastoff....will have to break the neckline and have both a 4hr candle c lose above it and a big influx of volume to go with it..although leading up to a confirmed inverted head and shoulder we usually see volume placate during the forming of the second shoulder, however right after we break the neckline you should see a healthy increase in bullish volume. I'm thinking we should see a break above the neckline by the 5th or the 6th but that is just a guess there could be plenty of sideways price movement to extend that a few day longer and it could also happen even quicker than my projection. I'm still confident it will happen...but until you see a break above the neckline and close above it as well (around 11700) then there is not yet a valid pattern. Currently on the gdax order book we can see that at 11120 there is a huge sell wall of 300 coins and surounding that on either side are 100 coin orders and just above and below those orders of 50 coins or greater....collectively that should be enough to keep the price at bay and under that number for at least a few bounces....I've seen orders of only 12-20 coins go up against 100+ coin walls though recently and find ways to grow large enough in the moment to overcome them...so there's still a chance they could overcome that wall at 11120 as early as tonight...but for now it's forming very strong resistance.
Bitcoin retracing before mooning?So, overall Bitcoin is showing a few bullish signs.
I believe that the drop from 20k to 5,8k formed corrective ABC Waves.
If that's the case, we can expect impulsive waves higher.
Furthermore, BTC seems to be forming an inverted H & S pattern.
If Bitcoin manages to breakout the neckline (around 11,3k), 17k is a likely scenario.
Hard to say when exactly, but for sure not immediately.
If the breakout fails yet again, I expect a healthy retrace to the 0.618 FIB level, which would be around 8,2k.
What concerns me for the most part is the low volume.
We need fresh money coming in, if we want a proper breakout towards the upside.
Feedback is highly appreciated
Regards
Fractals - Inverse Head and ShouldersAs much as I'd like to see one more lower low, the fractals of the inverse head and shoulders are hard to ignore.
The small head and shoulder broke out to the precise distance of a measured move to form our 1 wave in white. Once resistance of the downtrend, shown by the purple line, is broken we should see a move to the $17,500 level, which also coincides with the 1.618 fib level taken by the wave 1, and retracement of wave 2. If that plays out impulsively, the larger head and shoulder could see bitcoin break all time highs to the $26,950 level - $30,000 level.
"Annsell" " ANN" ASX Chart price increase to $28.00 The initial catch of eye was the head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart.
After looking at the daily we see a similar patter to a double bottom ( not a proper double bottom given position of trend, but can also be perceived as a cup and handle. Moving averages and momentum produce a buy signal and so do the candle sticks in relation to volume.
The relevance is the break of resistance on the weekly and daily chart cup and handle followed by and increase in volume to confirm its validity. The $28 target is easily done as future price action will probable exceed the $30 mark given time.
This is my thoughts and analysis.
Cheers,
Steve
BTC may be trying to form a cup and handle on the 4 hourThanks to the sudden burst from the bulls a cup and handle pattern is currently in play...which is just the type of thing we would need to be able to break above the descending grend channel top trendline which is necessary to break the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder pattern....We shall know if we have a cup and handle pattern on our hands within the next 8 hours.
The Death Cross I was warning about sent the price plummeting.As I had said a couple days ago in a previous idea the death cross of the purple and blue moving average lines was dangerously close to occuring and would either cause a plummet in price or could potentially bounce off as well. The probability was much more highly in favor of the cross happening and at the beginning of the current days candle the 4hr chart 50EMA crossed under the 200EMA sending the price dpiraling downward. Major support happened at the 9200s region just as I was expecting and because of it we have seen a boucne back up. However the 50ema is still very much under the 200ema on the 4 hour so we need to see it reverse course soon if this inverted head and shoulders is going to become valid. The current bounce looks good on the 4 hour but the candlesticks on the daily seem to suggest a little more downside. On the 4 hour we got a nice green bullish reversal hammer though so hopefully the current 1 day candle will close as some sor t of doji. I still have hope for the head and shoulder pattern. Be cautious and try not to make any big moves at this time.
Why btc could drop into the 9200s before it reboundsShown here on the 4 hour chart I have a dotted horizontal white line representing the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. below that I have connected a yellow dotted trendline from the low of the first shoulder to the candles we currently have now on the 2nd shoulder. I also took a dotted white line and made it run parallel with the necklines slope...one I did that you can see the smaller dotted white line is a few pips lower than the yellow dotted line...this is where the price would need to fall to make the slope of the shoulders parallel to the neckine. I don't know if that is a requirement for a head and shoulder pattern but I'm guessing it probably is commonly the case. This is why I make this prediction. Time will tell whether or not I'm right and whether or not the head and shoulders even plays out in the first place.
Head and Shoulders / Elliot Wave Looking to Re-test 6k
We bounced off the long term down trend line at 12k (the head) showing that the bulls weren't quite ready yet
Copleting the head and shoulders by EOD Saturday could mean we continue the elliot wave down to 8k support
If we bounce there and then reach resistance at the shorter term trend line top (pink), we could re-test support as low as 6-6.5k again
Inverted head & Shoulders still very much in play / Death CrossHey all just an update...I've pulled my btc position via stop loss last night at around 10490 but have decided to leave ethereum in for now as its doing well with robinhood...As the price continues to pullback the good news is an inverted head and shoulder pattern is still very much in play....however as you can see with the small yellow dotted lines that show the current price in a trendline with the deepest price point on the left shoulder, we might still not be at the depth peak of the right shoulders dip just yet.... the small white dotted line directly underneath the yellow dotted line has the exact same trajectory as the dotted white neckline of the head and shoulders and that line bottoms out around 9580. so we could still dip to the 9500s in fact that's the exact pricerange I see on the gdax depth chart where it looks like we have enough support volume at that pricepoint to carry us back into the 1100s.....Now I'm sure there's been plenty of head and shoulder patterns who's necklines and shoulder tops didn't run exactly parallel to eachother but there is at least a increased likelihood and mild improvement in probability that if the price did pivot in the 9500s at the parallel price point that the odds of it becoming a legitimate inverted head and shoulders once the shoulder reaches the end of the right shoulder fot it to indeed be a massive validated head and shoulders pattern with at that point after volume confirms it a lot of upside. Let me know in the comments how often the head and shoulders pattern's shoulder and necklines don't follow a parallel trendline if you happen to know or get a chance. Lastly we recently had a brief golden cross recently between the 200EMA and 50EMA but it appears the blue line and grape line are headed towards eachother again..it may lead to another death cross or it could bounce off before that happens...a death cross could be what finally pushes things down to the 9500 range. Thanks for reading...play responsibly. Always set responsible exit and entrance points to whatever fits best with your life.
Inverted H&S with an Impulsive 5 wave Elliott waveHere i see an inverted H&S pattern with a impulsive 5 wave Elliott wave completing the head, and an ABC correction starting the right shoulder. I Believe this ABC will once completed, cause a wave 1 completing the right shoulder, wave 2 will be short lived with completion of the H&S pattern which will then be the wave 3 of the next 5 wave impulsive Elliott Pattern.