USDCAD PRICE ACTION TRADING INV. HEAD ANS SHOULDERS Hello Traders, and welcome!
Today, we have an exciting setup to discuss involving the USDCAD pair. On its daily chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, and the price is currently trading above the neckline breakout at 1.36534.
We are looking to initiate a trade above the neckline breakout at 1.36534.
After a successful breakout, it's essential to monitor for a retest of the neckline.
Once the retest confirms the strength of the breakout, consider entering a long trade above the stop level at 1.35106.
For your target levels, you can consider the following:
- 62%: 1.40677
- 79%: 1.41701
Stay tuned and informed as this trade progresses. If you find this idea appealing and helpful, please show your support with a like. Additionally, consider following me to stay updated and not miss out on more trading opportunities like this.
Wishing you a fantastic weekend and successful trading ahead!
TCPLTP
Head_and_shoulder
IITDCEM - Inverted Head & Shoulder on WeeklyAfter a strong downtrend for 2 years and forming base(head in another 2 years)
Stock has broken 52w High today
IITDCEM has built a strong inverted head and shoulder pattern.
Long IITDCEM @ 145-150
Add more in dips near 125-130
Keep SL of 100 on WCB
Keep Targets of 193/229/250++
EURCHFEURCHF is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is very healthy retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could go for new HH
What you guys think of this idea ?
Head & Shoulders on AUDUSDThe AUDUSD fell from the 0.6480 level following the RBA's decision to hike rates by 25bps on Tuesday.
The retracement failed to break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, forming a head and shoulders pattern on the AUDUSD.
Anticipating recovery in strength on the DXY, look for the AUDUSD to break below the neckline at 0.6415 to signal further downside, with the next previous swing low at 0.6325 a possible target level.
A more conservative sell signal would be to wait for the price to break below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 0.6395
Currency Pair: GBP/AUD SellTrading Plan/Signal
Currency Pair: GBP/AUD
Action: Sell
Entry Price: 1.88326
Stop Loss (SL): 1.94732
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.85227
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.72405
Reasoning:
The trading plan involves selling the GBP/AUD currency pair. Here's the rationale behind this decision:
Head and Shoulders Reversal: The analysis has identified a head and shoulders reversal pattern. This pattern typically indicates a potential trend reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder and the head form higher peaks, while the right shoulder forms a lower peak, creating a bearish signal.
Downtrend Anticipation: The head and shoulders pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the market, indicating a potential downtrend in the GBP/AUD pair.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Enter the market with a sell order at 1.88326, as this is the point where the reversal is anticipated to start.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss at 1.94732. This level is set to limit potential losses in case the market moves against the trade.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): The first take profit level is at 1.85227. This is where the initial target for profit-taking is set, anticipating a portion of the potential downtrend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): The second take profit level is at 1.72405. This level represents a more significant target for profit-taking, in line with the expected downtrend.
Risk Management:
Risk-reward ratios have been considered in setting the stop loss and take profit levels.
Always trade with a risk that you are comfortable with and that suits your overall trading strategy.
Regularly monitor the trade's progress and consider adjusting stop loss and take profit levels as the market develops.
Please note that forex trading carries inherent risks, and it's essential to use proper risk management and only trade with funds you can afford to lose. This trading plan is for informational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice
Is finally going down?Too soon to tell, but apparently is forming a HS in the daily timeframe. Is having trouble to break the 460 level again, it did once, hit the 500 level and pulled back. I'm not shorting this again, I learned my lesson but I'm selling CSP of NVDS expiring on Friday. I don't think is goin to break the 460 any time soon. Every time it rallies I'll be selling CSP every week.
SPX and NQ - are we there already?I am cautiously optimistic that the the correction that started since mid July could be finally over and we could begin to see more ups rather than downs going into the final 2 months of this year.
SPX did come very close to its H&S target while NQ was 4% shy of its H&S "target" (close enough though!) before we had a bullish reversal this week.
One could still argue that this could just yet another "sucker's rally" (aka bull trap) that we have seen numerous times in the past 3.5 months.
However, there are a few factors that gave hope for medium term bullish bias this time:
1. A pretty bullish (large body with almost no wicks) weekly reversal candle, though still in the making for this week
2. Both SPX's and NDX's Weekly RSI could be breaking out of their downward trendline, which often could be an "early" signal of strength in the coming weeks.
Non-technical aspects:
3. More earnings announced this week have been beating market expectations and their stocks are now bouncing off a lower base.
4. Fed announcing a pause in in interest rate hike yesterday.
That said, we still need to see the indices breaking above their strong trendline resistences (shown in Red) for a confirmation that the "correction" could be over, plus there is always a chance that the trend going forward could remain sluggish despite no longer "bearish".
Let's see!
Disclaimer:
This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie trailing stop loss and position sizing) is (probably the most) important!
Take care and Good Luck!
GBPUSD: The price has not had a new breakthroughHello dear friends!
Similar to the EURUSD currency pair, GBPUSD is also experiencing long-term downward pressure. Currently, this currency pair is at 1.214 and has decreased by 0.08% in the day. It is currently calm, awaiting the decision from the FOMC on November 1st.
A head and shoulders pattern may form if a left shoulder and a peak have already appeared. If this pattern is completed, the next target for GBPUSD would be an increase to 1.217, followed by a decrease to the support level of 1.21.
What do you think? Do you believe GBPUSD will increase or decrease in value? And what is your target price for this currency pair?
GBPJPY - Perfect Breakout !
Hello Traders !
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The GBPJPY Price Reached a Daily Support Level (180.750 - 180.093)
Currently, The Price Formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
The Neckline is Broken.
The Resistance Line Was Broken and Became a New Support Line.
Currently, The Price Created a Correction and Touched The Neckline & Resistance Line
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
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TARGET: 185.800🎯
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if you agree with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
Tesla either forming a triangle or a reversed H&S pattern
Tesla drop stopped right onto what would be its right shoulder of a bullish reverse head & shoulders pattern.
As long as this support holds, the potential is bullish towards the all-time high near $414.50 then $500.
Otherwise, a break below the recent low near $194 would invalidate it and would probably mean that Tesla is in a longer process triangle formation.
Next support would be in the $136 area.
Short NVDA to $317?Traders,
Couldn't help it. Far too enticing to ignore. NVDA price will be attracted to that $317 level like a super magnet. Not only do we have a H&S pattern now in play, but we have that huge gap to be filled. I mean, trades like these don't come around every day! It's a no-brainer here.
Not fin advice. Pure entertainment only.
Stewdamus
NVIDIA Short sell ideaNASDAQ:NVDA is looking weak as per my analysis as the price shows a potential bearish H&S pattern with multiple confirmations. Weekly candles is heavily rejected from the 50 moving average and Daily EMAs have finally closed below all 50, 100 and 200 DMA. On top of this RSI shows momentum weakness which solidifies my short trade idea for $NASDAQ:NVDA. Would like to initiate shorts below ~$405 and target of ~$378 and ~$323 in the upcoming quarter
10 Year wants 5%...at a minimumDo you really need to ask if interest rates have topped out?
Head & Shoulders patterns at tops and bottoms are generally spot on...this Inverse H&S pattern occurred at a bottom, clearly broke out from the neckline and just wants 5%...at a minimum.
"Don't fight the Fed"
The Fed is not going to pivot to the downside anytime soon...why would they? What makes anyone think this is on the horizon?
Here are the 3 things Powell stated would need to happen for a pause (not a pivot ) at Jackson Hole:
1. Lower Growth
2. Softening Labor Market
3. Inflation on pace to 2%.
2022 Q2 vs. Q3 GDP came in positive and much stronger than expected, Jobs reports remain hot and inflation isn't anywhere near 2%. So at this point, we can't even check off any boxes for a possible pause in rate hikes let alone a pivot . In addition, Powell hasn't really wavered in his statements since Covid, he's been pretty straightforward, so why would he all of a sudden change his behavior?
Trading with Head and Shoulders patternUsually the head and shoulders pattern perform at the end of channel up as a sign of a reversal trend.
In this chart, we can see channel already broken on October 23, but the right shoulder has not fully performed yet.
To trade with this pattern, we have a several conditions :
1. Wait for right shoulder to completely perform to touch neckline at 1.0530. As long as right shoulder not higher than head , this pattern is still valid.
2. After we have a perfect right shoulder, we need one candle full to break down the neckline as bearish confirmation .
3. Usually broken neckline will bounce at previous support to retest neckline . This is the right moment to enter short position
4. Best stop loss position is above right shoulder, as long as the risk reward ratio is still above 2
5. Head to neckline are equal to neckline to target (AB=CD). So in this sample we have 1.0361 as profit projection
note : consider this pattern as failure , If step 1 to step 3 failed to perform
EURJPYEURJPY is trading in bullish parallel channel, and created Head and Shoulder pattern at strong resistance area. And a massive sell rally break the neckline of HnS pattern. any successful retest of broken level will be nice option to sell.
if the sell pressure continues, the next target could be the back to lows at 157 region.
What you guys think of this idea ?
Head and Shoulders Pattern: Friend or Foe for SP500 Traders?Not my usual style, as I don't trust or trade classic chart patterns cuz i m in love with "ict concept", but the SP500's daily chart shows a classic head and shoulders pattern forming. Brace for a potential drop. What's your take? 📉📷#sp500 #indices #marketanalysis
EURUSDEURUSD is trading in bullish parallel channel, and created Head and Shoulder pattern at strong resistance area. And a massive sell rally break the neckline of HnS pattern. any successful retest of broken level will be nice option to sell.
if the sell pressure continues, the next target could be the back to lows at 1.0490 region.
What you guys think of this idea ?
#BTC weekly In a little words :
Bitcoin has made its bottom at 16000
now :we are just waiting retest 25000....24000 region
SPY 410 Target Now ConfirmedTraders,
A couple of weeks ago you'll remember I expected a bounce off of our 200 day SMA which coincides with the bottom of my channel, making a strong area of confluence and support. But I wasn't sure if that was the end of our drop? Turns out, after testing the underside of our neckline for a patent classic retest, we have now broken below the 200 day SMA and channel. Tomorrow will provide confirmation. As of now, I will say that our $410 target down is certainly in play. And look how it coincides with the RSI! We should hit 410 right about the time the RSI is also finding its support on our long-trending touch and go.
Best,
Stew
PT 245 - 250. H/S pattern. Buyers weakening on TSLA. Lazy pump.The H/S pattern is a clear indication that buyers are weakening. If you see the day's price action you'll see that we couldn't even reclaim 262 or close at a weekly high.
Today, there was bad news and pumped $10 from the bottom. Yes we played calls here today (and a failed $40 lotto put), but that doesn't mean this price action is sustainable.
Anyway, "fundamentals" aside, let's look at some price action:
Buyers pushed the price up from blue TL.
Failed to make a new high. Forming a left shoulder.
Buyers went a little higher this time, but failed again.
Back down to blue TL. I alerted calls here and shares. Paid nicely!
Now, this week, buyers failed to reclaim 262 resistance and enjoyed a fake pump on Friday to close the week.
What happens next is either blue TL dip or white TL dip.
More likely is a white TL dip because that would be 3rd touch on white TL and 4th touch on blue TL. 4th is usually bearish. 3rd is bullish.
I'll buy again on white TL.
Hope this is helpful for you. We've been making fire calls all month. Welcome to follow or let me know how this is helping you.
NASDAQ:TSLA AMEX:SPY CAPITALCOM:US100 FX:NAS100