Bitcoin Update: Head and Shoulders Pattern Points to $75kThe Head and Shoulders pattern has now formed on the one day chart, and Bitcoin is approaching the neckline. If we break below that neckline, we could see Bitcoin heading down to $75k.
At the same time, Bitcoin is also showing a bearish flag. If this flag breaks to the downside, we could see Bitcoin moving toward $81k as well.
My analysis over the past few weeks has pointed to a target range between $75k and $81k, so I’m keeping a close eye on these levels. Let’s see how things play out over the next few months.
I’ll keep you all updated with any changes. Stay tuned and watch the price action closely. 🚨📊
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Head_and_shoulder
S&P 500: Bearish Momentum BuildsAs we move further into 2025, the S&P 500 continues to show signs of weakness, intensifying the bearish outlook from my last post. The Rising Channel breakdown and Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern remain dominant, with the price now trading firmly below the 50 EMA.
Attempts to reclaim the Rising Channel have failed, confirming that the long-term bullish structure is no longer in play. The neckline of the H&S pattern, previously broken, has become a strong resistance zone, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The 50 EMA has flipped to resistance, making it even harder for bulls to regain control.
Currently, the 200 EMA is providing critical support. If this level fails, the downside momentum could accelerate significantly, leading to much lower targets. Key levels to watch include 5,687.33, 5,600.45, and the channel projection target of 5,119.26.
Bulls will need to defend the 200 EMA and push the price back above the 50 EMA to have a chance at reversing this trend. Otherwise, the market seems poised for further downside. Let me know how you’re approaching this setup shorting, waiting for a bounce, or something else? Stay sharp and trade carefully! 🚀
Be Careful Now!Crypto Trading Fam,
It's time for me to put out a note of caution. I have been bullish but a few days ago while doing my video, I spotted this pattern mid-session, hoping I would be wrong. Looks like I was not. The H&S pattern has now formed. This means we have an 85% probability that we'll drop to our next support of 75k. Yikes!
Now, 15% of the time a H&S pattern can fail. We can only hope this will be the case. But while hoping, prepare your SLs. Could get ugly for those alts!
✌️ Stew
FET's downfall is close!BINANCE:FETUSDT
I'm still bearish on FET.
head and shoulder Pattern can be reliable, and I think we should say goodbye to the price!😅
if a bearish movement happens, the price shall decrease as much as the head length which will reduce the price by 45%
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This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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GBPCAD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame):
While the price is below the resistance 1.82310, beginning of downtrend is expected.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.82320 on 12/19/2024, so more losses to support(s) 1.79228, 1.78439, 1.76819 and minimum to Major Support (1.74790) is expected.
Take Profits:
1.79228
1.78439
1.76819
1.75765
1.74790
1.72705
1.70900
1.69267
1.67670
1.65599
1.63703
1.60894
Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame):
A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken.
Price is touching the neckline again.
It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area.
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Daily dose of Chart :Intrasector rotation with Tech. SMH vs HACKEven if the XLK (Tech sector ETF) hitting all time highs. But within the sector we see major rotation from Semis to Software to Cyber security. Last 6 months the Semis underperformed the Cybersecurity sector. But this has flipped recently on the daily basis. There is a bullish head and shoulders pattern forming on the SMH / HACK.
BTC/USDT - H1 - Head & Shoulder PatternThe BTC/USDT pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined H&S pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 99204
2nd Support – 101.051
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
FTM: The prospect of increasing?BINANCE:FTMUSDT
As you can see, FTM has created an ascending head and shoulders and is also located in the megaphone, which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the target (AB=CD).
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!
Critical Turning Point for the S&P 500: Bullish or Bearish?Happy New Year, everyone! 🎉 I hope you all had an amazing start to 2025. Let’s dive into the S&P 500 chart because it’s showing some critical patterns that could define the market's direction moving forward.
The S&P 500 has now broken below the Rising Channel, confirming a bearish breakdown from the long-term uptrend. This move adds to the bearish pressure initiated by the previously formed Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern.
The breakdown of the Rising Channel, combined with the confirmed H&S pattern, suggests a significant shift in market sentiment. With the price also sitting below the 50 EMA, the bears appear to have the upper hand.
1. Rising Channel Breakdown : After respecting the channel boundaries for months, the price has decisively fallen through the lower boundary, signaling the uptrend is over.
2. H&S Pattern Confirmation : The neckline has been broken, further validating this bearish reversal structure.
3. 50 EMA Resistance : The inability to reclaim the 50 EMA solidifies the bearish momentum.
Targets to Watch
* 5,687.33: The next immediate support level where price could pause or consolidate.
* 5,600.45: A breach of 5,687.33 could send the price toward this stronger support zone.
* 5,119.26 (Channel Projection): If bearish momentum accelerates, the longer-term target aligns with the channel's projected downside.
What’s Next?
With the Rising Channel broken, the market’s bullish structure has collapsed, leaving traders watching key support levels to assess the depth of the pullback. Bulls will need to reclaim the 50 EMA and push the price back into the channel to regain control, but this seems unlikely in the short term.
The market now leans bearish, and the next few sessions could confirm whether this breakdown leads to a larger correction or stabilizes near support.
Let me know your thoughts and how you plan to approach this setup. Wishing you all a successful and profitable trading year ahead! 🚀
#SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakdown #RisingChannel #HeadAndShoulders
ES - two monthly levels worked as a resistanceOn a micro 15 min chart we can see a bearish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
The green line is the Monthly Support drawn by my Month Opening Range indicator.
see:
Note that the green line, the monthly support, once broken started to work as a resistance for the very last push higher.
Technical Analysis Idea for SPYChart Pattern Identification:
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Left Shoulder: Look for a decline followed by a minor rally, forming the left shoulder.
Head: A further decline creating a lower trough, forming the head.
Right Shoulder: A subsequent rally and decline forming a higher low, creating the right shoulder.
Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the left shoulder and the head. This line acts as a resistance level.
Entry and Exit Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position when the price breaks above the neckline with strong volume, confirming the pattern.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the right shoulder to manage risk.
Target Price: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and project it upwards from the breakout point to set a target price.
Squeeze Momentum Indicator:
Confluence Signal: Use the squeeze momentum indicator to confirm the breakout. Look for a shift from red to green bars, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
Momentum Confirmation: Ensure the squeeze dots turn from black to green, signaling the end of a consolidation phase and the start of a potential upward move.
Additional Considerations:
Volume Analysis: Confirm the breakout with a significant increase in volume, supporting the validity of the pattern.
Market Context: Consider broader market trends and news that might impact SPY's price movement. PYTH:SPY AMEX:SPY
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders confirmed
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders confirmed, with a slight adjustment, that it targets approximately 81k, including my prediction of potential developments.
$88,770 will act as support since that was the RSI high using the 14 period and will receive a positive reaction, bouncing off the head and shoulders trend-line, then failing, and ultimately reaching the target of 81k. I believe we will test the November 5th election candle, which serves as a macro swing at the 68k range.
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
ONE Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!As you can see, ONE has created an ascending head and shoulders and is also located in the Falling wedge , which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the target (AB=CD).
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!