Inverse Head and Shoulders ?The inverse head and shoulders pattern is a widely recognized bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. For ADA/USDT on the chart, this pattern could indicate a potential trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. The pattern typically consists of three troughs, with the middle one (the head) being the lowest, and the two others (the shoulders) at a similar height. If ADA/USDT forms this pattern, a breakout above the neckline—drawn through the peaks of the two shoulders—would increase the probability of a bullish move. Traders often wait for a confirmed breakout with significant volume to gauge the strength of the reversal, with the pattern's target price typically being the distance from the head to the neckline projected upwards from the breakout point. However, external market factors and overall cryptocurrency sentiment should also be considered before concluding the likelihood of a strong upward move.
Head and Shoulders
The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!!
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal.
-According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with around 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit.
-More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken.
-A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases.
-However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%.
-The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, neckline breakout, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary.
-It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses.
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Head and Shoulders:
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways:
- Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading.
- In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern.
- It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal.
- The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary.
- Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses.
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NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
The importance of waiting for patterns to confirmGood morning,
I am monitoring the AVAX ecosystem and was paying close attention to JOE. When I checked the USDT pair I could notice a possible falling wedge forming:
Then, I checked the BTC pair, and I found a possible inverse head and shoulders:
So far we have not confirmed any pattern, and the pum that the AVAX ecosystem experienced, is fading, so what I get from here is the importance of confirming patterns.
Even if they are right eventually, your funds would be stuck in there, and you would miss other great oportunities.
Gold - Retracement ExpectedGold has hit All Time High. Now it's ranging near the ATH.
In Lower Time Frames, Goldd is trying to form reversal patterns to start the retracement ahead of FOMC.
Trendline and Head Shoulder pattens are visible in the formation of GOLD.
I'm expecting a retracement to atleast 50% fib levels.
Head & ShouldersHello traders this is my head and shoulders back test I usually back test my strategies every 3-6 months because they usually change and I often adjust them. This back test is based on Major pairs only from 2023-2024
For my head and shoulders strategy to be effective I will be implementing a few rules:
For TP Hit I will measure if the head and shoulders went as far as the height from the right shoulder to the neck.
I will not be including trades such as these .where the breakout was due to high impact news.
I will only be taking head and shoulders with a horizontal neckline only
I will be focusing on 1h tf
The ones I wouldn’t take in real trading:
Here are some of the trades that I wouldn’t take in my real trading, some of these trades have a tilted neckline while some have a wrong shoulder to head ratio.
Fake out:
TP hit:
SL HIT:
Conclusion:
Head and shoulders when paired with trend lines:
When I paired my head and shoulder with trend line breakout it has proven to be very powerful.
Ranging markets:
This strategy is a reversal strategy so it doesn’t work well when we have ranging markets even the head and shoulders indicator is having trouble identifying head and shoulders. The strategy does not perform well in NZDUSD Because it ranges quite a lot which indicates that this strategy can not be used on weak forex pairs such as EURGBP.
The minimum number of trades considered to be a good back test can be 100 to 200 trades my back test is way below the recommended mark. There are certain key points to note:
I used data from 2023 to 2024 only
I back tested only Major forex pairs
I used only Head and shoulders that broke not the ones that failed to even breakout eg:
approximate win rate 58%
BTCUSD- Inverted Head and shoulder (Buy on dips)Chart pattern- Inverted Head and Shoulder
Potential reversal zone- $52530.
BTCUSD showed a minor jump of nearly $1000 from a minor bottom of $57477. It hit a high of $58777 and is currently trading at around $58506.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 67% from 30% a week ago.
Technicals-
BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average 34- EMA below 55 EMA and below the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.
Minor support- $57000. Any break below will take it to the next level at $55000/$52500/$50000/$46000.
Bull case-
Primary supply zone -$60800. Any break above confirms a intraday bullishness. A jump to $61800/$63000/$65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.
Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.
It is good to buy on dips around $57500-550 with SL around $52000 for TP of $70000.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time For Pullback A sudden breach of the previous record high sparked a significant uptrend in the price of Gold last week, pushing it to a crucial resistance level at 2600.
Following a test of this level, the market began to consolidate and formed a head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart.
A break below the neckline of this pattern will be a strong bearish indicator, suggesting a potential retracement from the resistance.
To short with confirmation, wait for a breakout of the neckline/support of the range. Targets for this retracement are set at 2569 and 2564.
$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
Litecoin Short: Breakdown of H&SFirstly, beware of volatility from upcoming FOMC.
From my analysis using 15 mins timeframe, I can see a clear head and shoulders setup that has broken through. Using a standard measuring rule of 1-to-1 distance (distance from head to trendline), I project that the take profit target will be around $59.75.
FTMUSDT Bullish Head and Shoulders!FTMUSDT Technical analysis update.
FTM has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. The price is now moving towards the neckline for a potential breakout. Once the breakout is confirmed, we can expect a strong bullish move in FTM.
Buy level: After breakout confirmation on the daily chart.
Regards
Hexa
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TRADING STRETEGYAnalysis of NZDUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bearish trend
2. Bullish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Inverse Head & Shoulder reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop ON break out of inverse H & S neckline and stop loss at HL
HBAR BREAKOUT APPEARS IMMINENT! A major breakout appears to be imminent for HBAR! If you’ve seen the most recent HBAR chart I posted, you'll notice that HBAR is now at the very bottom of the handle in a 31-month Cup & Handle formation on the weekly and daily charts. Additionally, HBAR has formed and broken out of a very promising inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour, 2-hour, 3-hour, and 4-hour charts, and is currently retesting the neckline as I write this article. It is also near the bottom of the wedge pattern and very close to the previously established low range on the chart.
I believe we are about to see a significant breakout in the next few days, which could lead to a period of notable price appreciation in the short term. With the Cup & Handle pattern I’ve identified, this trend could continue over the next year as well.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
Solana Short SetupWelcome Bears
Currently see Solana inverse head and shoulders with a $160 long target
Ideally this all done inside the bear flag and back lower
there is also a chance at the red line neckline we dump early around $145 and not finish the long target
After this it can reverse or nose dive to $80 due to the active h&s (red line)
the other idea is below
Here is the HS on the weekly
Big CCD turnaround after new CEO moves HQ to London? September marked the start of experienced and proven Boris Bohrer-Bilowitzki as new CEO for Concordium. He immediately announced major plans and started by moving the HQ to London.
The company is gaining momentum in the current AI trend. Concordium positions itself at the heart of AI innovation and digital twin creation. Concordium's Web3ID emerges as a pivotal tool for AI companies, with accountability and transparency at its core. It is packed with ideas and partnerships with institutions and companies in the pipeline.
So.
Could the current double bottom mark the start of an (explosive) upward trend (like the IH&S)? The R&R makes me pay attention here!
low timeframe path for Bitcoin regarding to BTC/SP500 chartThis is a very bullish combination: H&S inverse confirmed at the time an important resistance is broken. It seems that we are going to be bullish on bitcoin at least until we reach the H&S projection (red line).
But don't be fooled. Bitcoin continues to have a bearish behavior (in medium timeframe) at least until the 70k barrier is clearly surpassed.
IMNM - 5 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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DOGS Analysis==>>Inverse Head and Shoulders PatternsOne of the tokens that has been trending for the past few days is the DOGS token . Did you participate in the DOGS Telegram project or not? Do you still have your tokens or have you sold them?
The DOGS token is moving near the Support zone .
Regarding classic technical analysis , it looks like DOGS is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD+) can be seen between the two shoulders of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern .
I expect DOGS to rise to at least the Resistance zone again after breaking the Resistance lines . And if this zone breaks, we can expect DOGS to increase to at least $0.00129 .
DOGS Analyze (DOGSUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.