EUR/JPY 170 Level for shortIn the coming months, I believe that every XXX/JPY pair will probably remain in a prolonged downtrend that will be combined with recession fears for the US and EU. The euro is not at its strongest position currently, and the market knows that continuous war outbreaks and conflicts (Ukraine-Russia, Iran-Israel, China-Taiwan) will only add more pressure and volatility to an overvalued currency of a block that is dependent deeply on foreign countries regarding its trade flows and energy demands. Thus, I believe an imminent devaluation of the euro will be unavoidable in 2025. The yen will benefit from the current financial conditions with volatility staying elevated in the equity and currency markets.
Head and Shoulders
GBPCAD: Consolidation and Bearish TrendGBPCAD is currently moving sideways within a broad horizontal range.
After testing resistance, a head and shoulders pattern has appeared on the price chart.
I expect the consolidation to continue, potentially resulting in a decline toward the support level of the range. My target is 1.7909.
GBPCAD: Consolidation & Bearish MovementGBPCAD is currently trading sideways in a broad horizontal range.
Following a resistance test, a head and shoulders pattern was formed in the price chart.
I anticipate that consolidation will persist, leading to a potential decline towards the range's support level. My target is set at 1.7913.
NZDCHF: Possible Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming?NZDCHF is approaching a key support level. If this support holds, there’s a chance we could see a head and shoulders pattern take shape.
It’s still early, so I’ll be watching closely for how price reacts at this level. If the pattern completes, it could present a solid opportunity for a sell setup. Patience is key—let’s wait for the confirmation!
What’s your view? Do you think we’ll see the pattern form? Share your thoughts below!
Amazon (AMZN) - Potential H&S Reversal, Watch for BreakdownOverview:
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is often a bearish reversal indicator. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly defined, with the neckline situated near the $180-$176 zone. If the price breaks below this area, it could signal a larger move downward.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline Support: ~$180 - $176 (critical support area)
Trendline: Red ascending trendline, currently serving as additional support
Target Zone: Potential drop toward $168 or lower if the pattern confirms
Price Action:
The recent pullback from the right shoulder aligns with the overall pattern, and a daily close below $176 could confirm the reversal.
Watch for a bounce off the neckline for a potential short-term trade; otherwise, a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction.
Risk Management:
A sustained move above the right shoulder (~$190) would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation of the uptrend.
Catalysts:
Upcoming earnings and market sentiment around consumer spending could influence the stock’s direction, potentially acting as a catalyst for the breakdown or reversal.
GOOG: Top Signal Below Critical Resistance Line!Key Observations:
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: The chart recently completed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal. This breakout above the neckline (around $170.41) confirms the bullish sentiment.
Gap Resistance: There is a notable gap resistance around $183.33. Gaps often act as strong resistance levels, and the price exploded after the last earnings report, just to close its previous gap (with an incredible technical precision, by the way).
Top Signal Below Gap Resistance: The recent price action has shown a possible "top signal" just below the gap resistance level at $183.33. This could indicate exhaustion in the current bullish momentum and a potential area where sellers may become more active. What's more, according to Bulkowski's studies, a pullback after the breakout of the neckline of an iH&S occurs 65% of the time (Encyclopedia of Chart Patern). If GOOG is about to makes a sharper coreection, the timing couldn't be better.
21-day EMA: The 21-day EMA (blue line) is trending upwards and has provided strong support throughout this uptrend. As long as the price stays above this moving average, the overall trend remains bullish.
Conclusion:
GOOG is materializing a mid-term pullback, as observed on the daily chartt, which is statistically plausible. The 21-day EMA, along with the neckline at $170 are our next technical support levels. For now, there is no technical evidence suggesting that GOOG will reject the idea of a correction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
ASX 200 flirts with bearish reversal breakoutElection jitters are in the air, and it is weighing on Wall Street sentiment - and dragging the ASX 200 with it, which also faces pressure from a spate of weak China figures in recent weeks.
A potential head and shoulders top has formed on the daily chart, and prices are close to testing a support zone which could double up as a neckline.
For now, the ASX appears hesitant to break the 8130/50 support zone which brings could prompt a minor bounce over the near term.
A break beneath 8130 confirms the bearish reversal, which projects an approximate downside target near 7900 and the 200-day EMA. Also note the 8100 and 8000 levels which could provide support along the way
MS
SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
MOBILEYE ($MBLY) : BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE! TICK TOCK!!!NASDAQ:MBLY BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE!
In this video, we talk about:
1.) Why the stock is down 5%
2.) Why everything on the Technicals/ Fundamentals point to a STRONG BUY.
3.) My earnings prediction & fair value
Thanks for watching! I know it was a longer video, but I always want to be thorough. Especially with a name as polarized as this one.
Are you a BUYER, will you FOMO, or am I WRONG? Let me know in the comments.
YouTube:
@TheRonnieVShow
NFA
#BuyingOpportunity #BuyTheDip
XAUUSD(Gold) - Trend Reversal ExpectationFrom a technical perspective, XAUUSD has been in a bullish trend for a while due to several factors. All good things come to an end, in a simialr way I'm expecting Gold to start it's trend reversal.
Gold is currently facing resistance at 2740-2750 levels.
I'm expecting Gold to turn bearish in the coming days and I also see a start of a trend reversal pattern forming in Gold in Day TF.
The levels are marked in the chart.
Good Luck with your trading plans!
Shiba Ready to Explode? Two Patterns Point to Massive VolatilityAltcoins like Shiba Inu are gaining momentum as Bitcoin edges closer to a new all-time high.
For Shiba, the last 135 days of price action on the 3-day chart reveal two significant patterns. First, an inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests that a breakout above the October 18 high could drive Shiba Inu up by 37.71%, reaching the upper level indicated on the chart. Additionally, over the last 30 days, Shiba Inu appears to be in a smaller rectangle-like pattern that would also trigger on a move above the October 18 high, signaling a potential 20.95% gain. Ideally, the market would trade sideways for the next 48 hours just below this key level, setting up an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for a breakout opportunity.
What’s your take on Shiba Inu’s potential?
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Natural Gas: Inverse Head & Shoulders targets $4.67The series of three valleys with the lowest bottom in between shaped notorious Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern in Natural Gas futures chart.
It's bullish reversal pattern.
Price eyes to break above the Neckline to trigger the pattern.
Target is located at the size of the Head added to the Neckline break point at $4.67.
Invalidation is below the trough of Right Shoulder at $1.88
Indicators support this bullish pattern:
1) RSI retested the midline and bounced up
2) Price retested 52-week MA and bounced up
Those who are shorting or want to short remember to readToday, the market has reached my target position of 2757, 2765.2770 for the third time. The long order has completely won. After the fast strategy of high-level selling and low-buying was announced today, members all made good profits. In such an extreme market, I think such a profit is acceptable. Maybe for many people, not losing money is a good result. But not for me. There must be a profit every day. And it must be a good profit.
Next is the short selling plan. Today, the New York market is expected to retreat to 2765 or below. If it reaches, continue to go long. The target is 2775. The Asian market can continue to wait for the position of 2780. The announcement of GDP the next day needs to be paid special attention. If the data is negative, the probability of reaching 2800 this week is not high. If the data is positive, then 2800 is very close. Because there will be a non-agricultural data release on Friday this week. This value can determine whether the market can reach 2800 points. In layman's terms, the gold price will continue to rise from today to tomorrow.
It has been expanding profits for a month. Others verify based on the winning rate. My verification method is based on the failure rate. If you want to save your account, follow me. And leave a message.
Bullish End of Year?This chart shows the price development of Alphabet (Google). Since reaching its high in July, the stock has been in a downward correction. However, it now appears that this correction may be ending. The price has formed a higher low, which could serve as the right shoulder in an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern.
Additionally, the SMAs are bullishly aligned once again. If the price breaks above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, I anticipate a bullish move toward the end of the year.
DIXON Short Setup: Evening Star & Potential HNS with Trendline Weekly Analysis
Pattern Observed: Evening Star on Weekly Timeframe
Additional Insights
- The Evening Star pattern tends to be more reliable on Daily and Weekly timeframes, making this setup particularly noteworthy for swing traders.
Trade Setup
1. Entry: Enter after a decisive break below the low of the third (red) candle in the Evening Star pattern.
- Alternatively, you may enter on the fourth candle if it signals a reversal, with a stop loss set according to your risk tolerance.
2. Stop Loss (SL): Can be set based on your risk preference, usually just above the high of the Evening Star pattern.
3. Target (TGT): Consider scaling out at key support levels or use the measured HNS target as detailed below if the formation completes.
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Potential Head and Shoulders (HNS) Formation
Trade Setup for HNS Pattern:
1. Entry : Enter when price decisively breaks below the neckline on a closing basis.
2. Target (TGT): Measure the distance from the top of the head to the neckline and project it downwards from the neckline for your target.
3. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop above the head of the HNS pattern.
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Additional Confirmation
I've drawn a trendline to monitor for a potential breakdown. If either the Evening Star or HNS pattern aligns with a trendline break, it would serve as an additional confirmation for a short position.
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This setup combines a confluence of technical factors, making it robust for weekly trading decisions. Comments and thoughts welcome!
IMPORTANT THINGS TO REMEMBER
1. Don't be fooled by opearators Theyll try it take it up to sell
2. Don't be a hero, follow SL with 1% extra loss max. (as setup is on Weekly TF)