Bull Trap Confirmed: HOOD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionHey Traders after the success of our last month trade on Tesla hitting all targets more than 35%+
With a Similar Trade setup I bring you today the NASDAQ:HOOD
Short opportunity on Hood
Based on Technical + Fundamental View
-Market structure
-Head and shoulder pattern
-Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame.
1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue
2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges
3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures
4. Intense Industry Competition
5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility
Technical View
Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a great Risk Reward ratio.
Pro Tip
Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone.
Target 1 - 35.52$
Target 2 - 30.81$
Target 3 - 26.26$
Stop Loss - 44.72$
Fundamental View
1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue
Robinhood’s revenue model relies heavily on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in trading activity. After a pandemic-driven surge in 2020–2021, user growth stalled, with monthly active users dropping 34% YoY to 14 million by mid-2022. Transaction revenue fell 55% in Q2 2022, and while assets under custody grew to $140 billion by Q2 2024, the platform’s dependence on volatile crypto and meme-stock trading amplified revenue instability.
2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges
The SEC’s scrutiny of PFOF and proposed trading rule changes threaten Robinhood’s core revenue source. In 2022, New York regulators fined Robinhood’s crypto unit $30 million for anti-money laundering violations. Ongoing legal risks, including backlash from the 2021 GameStop trading restrictions, have further eroded institutional trust.
3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures
Operating expenses surged due to aggressive marketing, technology upgrades, and compliance investments. Despite workforce reductions (23% layoffs in 2022), profitability remains strained. The company’s shift toward diversified products like retirement accounts and credit cards has yet to offset these costs.
4. Intense Industry Competition
Traditional brokers like Fidelity and Charles Schwab adopted zero-commission trading, neutralizing Robinhood’s initial edge. Newer platforms like Webull and Public.com also captured younger investors with advanced features, while Robinhood’s limited product range (e.g., lack of wealth management services) hindered retention of high-net-worth clients.
5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility
- Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a growth stock, HOOD declined amid rising rates in 2022–2023 and broader tech-sector sell-offs.
- Recent Market Turmoil: On March 10, 2025, HOOD dropped 18% alongside crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase due to Bitcoin’s price volatility and fears of inflationary tariffs under new U.S. policies.
- Retail Investor Pullback: Reduced discretionary investing and crypto crashes (e.g., Bitcoin’s 71% plunge in 2022) dampened trading activity.
NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISE
Headandshouldersformation
(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation."
Overview:
The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support)
🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level)
🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target)
Analysis:
✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off.
✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts.
✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected.
✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044.
Trade Idea:
📉 Sell below: $3,028
🎯 Target: $2,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade.
🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup.
📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern
The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback.
Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback.
Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend.
This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway.
📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation
Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line).
The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing.
A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels
Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones.
📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area):
0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in.
If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss.
This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone.
📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone):
The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken.
If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades.
A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline.
📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward.
This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area.
If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play.
📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy
This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade.
✅ Entry Strategy:
Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline.
Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position.
🚀 Stop-Loss Placement:
Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern).
Ensures protection from a potential false breakout.
🎯 Take-Profit Strategy:
First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern).
Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward.
📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations
While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider:
🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment.
🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup.
🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance.
📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability
This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity.
💡 Key Takeaways:
✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal.
✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry.
✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776.
✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation.
🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern
The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move.
A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components:
Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces.
Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength.
Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend.
2. Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected.
This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum.
🔹 Support Level (Neckline)
The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern.
Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal.
🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support)
The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated.
The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move.
3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern
Initial Uptrend:
The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern.
Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows.
Formation of Left Shoulder:
Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market.
Formation of the Head:
A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head.
However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement.
Formation of Right Shoulder:
The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder.
This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion.
Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation):
The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal.
This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup.
4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup
📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps:
Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward.
Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations.
Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation.
🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels:
1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline.
2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement:
A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts.
This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Risk Management & Market Conditions
✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability.
✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility.
6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD
🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal.
🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup.
🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists.
📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest.
📊 TradingView Tags:
#JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
JPY/USD Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Chart Bearish Move1️⃣ Chart Type & Timeframe:
Market: Japanese Yen (JPY) / U.S. Dollar (USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour chart (H1)
Platform: TradingView
This is an intraday chart used by traders to identify short-term price action and trend reversals.
2️⃣ Identifying the Key Chart Pattern – Head & Shoulders
The dominant pattern on this chart is the Head & Shoulders (H&S), a well-known bearish reversal signal that forms after an uptrend. Let’s break it down:
A. Formation of the Pattern
Left Shoulder: The price forms a peak, then retraces down to a support level.
Head: A higher peak is formed, followed by another decline, indicating buyers are losing control.
Right Shoulder: The price attempts another rise but fails to reach the previous high, showing bearish momentum is increasing.
B. Neckline & Trendline Support
The neckline acts as a key support level. A break below it confirms the bearish move.
The trendline, which has been supporting price action for a while, is also at risk of breaking.
3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level (0.006750 - 0.006819):
This is the previous high area where sellers are active. A stop-loss is placed above this level.
Support Level (0.006567 - 0.006468):
Key demand zones where buyers may step in. These are the take profit (TP) levels.
4️⃣ Price Action & Expected Movement
📉 Bearish Outlook – A potential breakdown from the neckline and trendline would confirm further downside.
If price breaks the trendline, a pullback to retest resistance is expected before dropping further.
Take Profit (TP) 1: 0.006567 – Minor support, possible bounce.
Take Profit (TP) 2: 0.006468 – Stronger support, deeper correction possible.
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 0.006819, just beyond the right shoulder and all-time high (ATH).
5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
💡 Entry Strategy:
Sell Breakout Entry: Short the market when the neckline/trendline is broken with strong volume.
Retest Confirmation: Wait for a pullback to the broken trendline and enter when price rejects it.
📌 Risk Management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher for an optimal setup.
Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits if TP1 is hit.
6️⃣ Market Psychology & Smart Money Behavior
The Head & Shoulders pattern reflects buyer exhaustion and increased seller strength.
Smart money often enters after the breakdown when weak hands get stopped out.
Conclusion: Trade with Confidence!
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trading opportunity based on a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, support/resistance dynamics, and trendline analysis. A disciplined approach with risk management will ensure better execution.
📉 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected – Sell the Retest!
🔥 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #TrendlineBreak
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context
This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target.
This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail.
📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail
The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are:
1️⃣ Left Shoulder
Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level.
A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support.
2️⃣ Head
Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high.
However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline.
This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal.
3️⃣ Right Shoulder
Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength.
The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward.
This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder.
4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level)
This is the most critical level in this setup.
It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder.
Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move.
📌 Key Technical Levels Identified
🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High)
The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times.
This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation.
📉 Neckline & Support Level
This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders.
A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777)
The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise.
If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544)
The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower.
📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup
🔴 Short Trade Entry
Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance).
Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management)
SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts.
Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup.
📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction
For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position:
✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further.
✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation.
✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion.
📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next?
Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected:
1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance.
2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower.
3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level.
4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone.
However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately.
📌 Final Thoughts & Summary
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Market Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline
Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048)
Take-Profit Target: $2,989
Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio
📉 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation.
Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
Dollar Index at Risk: Key Support Holds the Fate of the TrendThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken down from a Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a bearish reversal after a successful retest of the neckline. The price is currently near a key support area, and if it fails to hold, a drop toward the lower strong support zone is likely.
Additionally, RSI is showing bearish divergence and is below the neutral 50 level, indicating weakening momentum.
DYOR, NFA
Gold (XAU/USD) - Head & Shoulders Breakdown & Bearish MoveOverview of the Chart & Market Context
The 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reveals a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the recent uptrend has lost momentum, and a potential downside move could be in progress.
Currently, the price is testing the neckline, which serves as a key support level. If a decisive breakdown occurs, it could confirm further bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline toward the projected target price of $2,995.
Key Technical Analysis & Levels
🔹 Resistance Level & Reversal Zone (~$3,055–$3,060)
The price attempted to break this resistance but faced strong rejection, forming the head of the pattern.
The area was tested multiple times, confirming that sellers are in control.
This level acts as a supply zone, preventing the price from moving higher.
🔹 Support Level (Neckline of H&S Pattern at ~$3,025–$3,030)
This level represents the critical neckline, which has been tested multiple times.
If price breaks and sustains below this support, the H&S pattern will be validated, signaling a deeper drop.
A successful retest of the neckline as resistance could provide an optimal shorting opportunity.
🔹 Projected Target Price (~$2,995)
The expected downside move is calculated using the measured move technique, measuring the distance from the head to the neckline.
This target aligns with previous structure support, increasing its significance.
Detailed Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern
📍 Left Shoulder Formation
The market experienced an initial bullish push, reaching a local high, but sellers entered and pushed prices down.
This formed the first lower high, hinting at potential weakness in the bullish trend.
📍 Head Formation
After retracing from the left shoulder, buyers made another attempt to push prices higher.
The price formed a new peak, but it was unable to sustain the breakout above the resistance level (~$3,055–$3,060).
A sharp sell-off followed, reinforcing that sellers are dominant at higher levels.
📍 Right Shoulder Formation
The price attempted another rally but failed to break the left shoulder’s high, creating the right shoulder.
This failure confirmed a gradual loss of bullish strength.
After forming the right shoulder, the price began to drop toward the neckline support.
📍 Breakout Confirmation & Bearish Price Action
The price has now broken the neckline (~$3,030), indicating an early-stage breakdown of the H&S pattern.
If the breakdown holds, further downside movement toward $2,995 is likely.
A retest of the neckline as new resistance would be an ideal entry point for short positions.
Trade Setup & Risk Management
📌 Potential Short Trade Setup:
Entry: After a confirmed break and retest of the $3,030 neckline.
Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$3,045–$3,050) to minimize risk.
Take-Profit: Around $2,995, aligning with the measured move.
📌 Risk Factors & Market Conditions:
If the price fails to hold below the neckline, it could indicate a false breakdown and a possible bullish reversal.
Macroeconomic data (such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions) may impact gold prices.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation – increased selling pressure strengthens the validity of the breakdown.
Final Thoughts & Market Outlook
📉 The Head and Shoulders pattern signals that gold is losing bullish momentum, with a potential drop toward $2,995.
🔍 A break and retest of the neckline as resistance would confirm further downside movement.
⚠️ However, a failed breakdown could lead to a recovery, so traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
💬 What do you think about this setup? Are you going short on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! ⬇️
Intel - This Stock Is A Goldmine!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly respects all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years Intel clearly established a significant downtrend, dropping about -70% after we saw the previous all time high. This bearish pressure is now ending though and if Intel manages to create a bullish reversal break and retest, a new uptrend is starting to form.
Levels to watch: $25
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla
Based on Technical + Fundamental View
-market structure
-Head and shoulder pattern
-Double top
-Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame
-Product Development Delays
-Margin Pressure
-Decreased average selling price
- Increased Competition
- Flat /Declining Sales
- Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers.
Technical view
Double top
Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal.
Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4)
Pro Tip
Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone.
Target 1 - 307$
Target 2 - 271$
Target 3 - 237$
Stop Loss - 380.21$
Fundamental View
Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors.
Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs.
Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market.
Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions.
Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures.
Not an investment Advise
$AFRM $70 target into retest $80, pt. 1 chartI wish you could post multiple charts in the same size so you can see and I don't have to post twice. I looked at the D and W. This name should see it's IPO highs at some point this year, with the volatility it could be sooner than later as well. Resistance, in my opinion, looks to be $80 zone, a psyche area as well -- dating back to 3/2021, 1/2022, 2/2022, and 2/2025. Looks like $45-$50 which was once resistance now flipped to support. It touched the 200sma and riding the 200ema. & There almost seems like a huge cup and handle formed on the weekly as well... interesting. Also, look at the earnings on NASDAQ:AFRM ... lmao. Monstrous.
WSL
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out!
Key Support Zone
Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align:
Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92.
The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77.
A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark.
Volume Profile:
The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support.
Trade Setup
Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
Head & shoulders pattern: a bearish reversal setupThe Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic bearish reversal formation that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a decline.
Head: A higher peak forming the highest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak, similar in height to the left shoulder.
Neckline: A support level connecting the lows of both shoulders.
Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Confirmation: A valid pattern forms when the price breaks below the neckline, confirming a potential downtrend.
2️⃣ Entry Point: Traders typically enter a short position when the price closes below the neckline.
3️⃣ Target: The expected price drop is approximately equal to the distance from the head to the neckline.
4️⃣ Stop Loss: Placed above the right shoulder to manage risk.
This pattern, seen in the NASDAQ 100 Futures (4H timeframe), highlights a strong reversal, leading to a significant downtrend after the neckline was broken.
Do you trade the Head & Shoulders pattern? Let’s discuss in the comments!
FARTCOIN INVERSE H&S ??A clear head and shoulder pattern seems to be forming around a key HTF S/R Level. It is my belief that we are currently at the "right shoulder" which is level with "left shoulder" and notably higher than the "head".
Should price climb back above the KEY S/R and above the 1H 200 EMA level (purple MA) that would mark a series of higher lows from the head onwards and a clear move up to the neckline. Should price clear the neckline I could see a mirrored price move of the way down going the other way working towards the bearish orderblock.
Now like with all altcoins currently, this move does rely on BTC making a similar bullish move, if bitcoin were to roll over and go sub $91,000 then FARTCOIN and others will continue the bearish trend as shown in the chart.
As always these are just my thoughts and could very well be wrong, if so it's best to have a plan in place and proper risk management.
Rising Wedge Pattern For SWFTCoin.... Hidden Ascending Triangle!The rising wedge is a chart pattern used to identify possible reversals.
The pattern appears as an upward-sloping price channel featuring two converging trend lines.
It's usually accompanied by falling trading volume.
Wedges can either form in the rising or falling direction.
A rising wedge is often considered a bearish chart pattern, meaning it indicates a breakout to the downside.
Be careful of a shakeout-fake-out.
It appears as though an Ascending Triangle is hiding in the shadows.
It is very common for whales to accumulate at the bottom of these patterns..
glta
Tata Motors Forms Reverse H&S, Targets 61.8% Fibonacci Level?Tata Motors trying to form a reverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish indicator suggesting a potential price reversal. As the stock continues to rise, it is anticipated to touch the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level possibly before the upcoming announcement of Quarterly results (17% up move from current levels), a critical point often associated with significant price movements. Investors should watch for confirmation of this pattern to gauge potential upward momentum.
View invalidates below 720 on Daily close.
Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses.
Update: GBP/JPY +50 Pips Congratulations If U Entered Update: the price moved exactly as i mentioned before. It broke the neckline, retested it and moved +50 Pips. Congratulations all if u entered with me.
We have a very clear head and shoulders pattern here and also the price closed below neckline , so we can wait the price to go back to retest neckline and give us a bearish price action and then we can enter a sell trade .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
New analysis on CADCHF
OANDA:CADCHF we are have bullish push in last periods, ASCENDING CHANNEL is visible, its be breaked, price is make push around 40PIPS and its start reversing at end my ex. analysis on CADCHF i am CANCEL.
Currently price again pushing on same zone from last idea-strong zone(violet line), +H&S pattern looks like will not be continued after its have confirmation, which for me here is one more sign for bullishness.
NOTE: Analysis on CADCHF before this one will be attached
SUP zone: 0.63200
RES zone: 0.64000, 0.64200
HBAR’s Next Support and Resistance TargetsHBAR hit a key high at $0.3922 but faced rejection, suggesting the formation of a trading range or a potential ABC corrective structure. A developing head and shoulders pattern further signals possible bearish momentum in the short term.
Key levels and trade setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: Around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave
Stop Loss: Above the $0.3922 key high
Take Profit: Targeting the Fib Retracement 0.382 at $0.34356
R:R: A favorable 5:1 if taken from the 0.618 retracement or 2:1 when entering after losing the dOpen
Support Zone:
Anchored VWAP, weekly level and Fibonacci speed fan 0.618, depending on timing, align near $0.34356–$0.33284. This confluence provides a robust area for potential price bounces.
Long Setup:
Entry: Within the support zone, contingent on bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below the support zone
CADCHF now having bearish expectations
OANDA:CADCHF in analysis on CADCHF before this one, i am have expectations price will make stronger bullish push from ASCENDING CHANNEL, price is make push around 40PIPS
and its start creating zone and in zone is created and H&S pattern, at end zone is breaked and after todays events we are not see price moving again bullish in zone (which will have bullish impact), price is start falling.
Now in new analysis on CADCHF having bearish view.
SUP zone: 0.63500
RES zone: 0.62700, 0.62450