Long Idea As we can see here HST has been moving in a huge symmetrical triangle as we can see here the stock consolidates for about 2 weeks and a half once touching down at support before breaking out to the upside to once again touch the resistance.
Things to NOTE:
1. Bullish Divergence on the RSI
2. Inverse H & S @HERE
3.Bullish PIN BAR on the WEEKLY time frame
These are very strong indicators that HST may see a move up on the upcoming weeks. Play it as you will, I'd love to hear your input on this or exchange ideas on other possible stock moves. Happy trading fellas :" }
Headandshouldersformation
Head and shoulderThe monetary system is about to collapse. You cannot extort money out of recessions. You can't just breathe out, you have to breathe in too. You can try, and then you will find that in the end you just have to take a breath so as not to die.
We have so far seen a fall of around 35% from the peak. I expect a drop of at least 66%. So my goal for this year and maybe a little into next is down to 5873.
AUDUSD: Bearish 5-0 on Quarterly Timeframe Seaking 50% DeclineAUDUSD has this strange Inverse Cup with Handle / Bearish Head And Shoulders sorta look to it, but more clearly, it has formed a very real Massive Bearish 5-0 that has been in the making for many years and it has recently tested the PCZ as resistance at the 50% retrace and confirmed it with huge amounts of MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence. If this plays out fully, then we can expect that the Australian Dollar to lose well over 50% of its value from here out.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern
This lesson will cover the following
What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation?
How can it be confirmed?
How can it be traded?
The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement.
As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like.
Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized.
Formation and confirmation
In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way.
While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands.
Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern.
The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows.
The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger.
In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it.
The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one.
Volume
As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time.
The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline.
Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets
We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is.
Protective stop
There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot.
The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal.
Profit target
The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below.
And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why?
Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1.
This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target.
However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well.
Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above.
Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
a head and shoulders pattern is forming on the EURUSD chartIf there is a head and shoulders pattern forming on the EURUSD chart and there is also a bearish divergence in the relative strength index (RSI), it may be a good idea to consider selling the EURUSD forex pair and setting a take profit order at 1.06160.
To sell the EURUSD pair, you can place a sell order with your forex broker. You may also want to set a stop loss order to limit your potential losses in case the market moves against you. The take profit order will automatically close your position when the market reaches the level of 1.06160, allowing you to lock in your profit.
XMRUSD: ABCD Bullish BAMM ContinuationWe have Hidden Bullish Divergence at the neckline of what appears to be a Bearish Head and Shoulders, XMR has been quite Bullish though and is still in the process of completing a Bullish BAMM so this may be a nice time to counter the Head and Shoulders Pattern and go for the 1.272 ABCD Completion.
NQ with Head and Shoulders Pattern Identified on the 4H CME_MINI:NQ1! A Head and Shoulders pattern was identified on the 4H timeframe. This pattern was identified in confluence with a bear flag pattern on the 1H timeframe. Price then broke just below the flag. I believe that NQ will see more downside. After I zoomed out further, I noticed that we spiked from a demand zone November 10, 2022. Perhaps NQ will retrace back to where it spiked from on November 10, 2022. A screenshot is provided below for your review.
After I zoomed out further, I noticed that we spiked from a demand zone November 10, 2022. Perhaps NQ will retrace back to where it spiked from on November 10, 2022. A screenshot is provided below for a quick reference.
*This is not financial advice.
If you like my trading idea follow or search "MrALtrades00" on the TradingView platform for more ideas.
MrALtrades00
GOING SHORT in AUDUSD BY TRADING STARTEGYBearish Indications
1. Lower Highs and Lows
2. Three Black Crows on LH
3. Significance Resistance and support area
4. Head n Shoulder Reversal Pattern
5. 0.6591 and 0.66903 fib levels restest on 1D TF
6. Significance Bearish Divergence
Bullish Indications
1. December Remains positive for the last 3 years
There are more bearish indications so I will open a short position by managing proper risk/reward which is 3% of my portfolio
HEAD AND SHOULDERS BUY AND SELL OPPORTUNITYThe market has appeared to form a left shoulder & inverted left shoulder of consolidation/support and resistance. The market then broke out of both support and resistance forming a Head and inverted head .. wait for market to break in, close, retest resistance and sell to support, then buy once market retests support.
BARC to break from IH&S.Barclays - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 152.62 (stop at 145.44)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed.
Short term bias has turned positive.
Prices have reacted from 132.06.
A break of the recent high at 152.22 should result in a further move higher.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 170.78 and 175.78
Resistance: 151.00 / 160.00 / 170.00
Support: 143.00 / 140.00 / 132.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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BTCUSD - short term upside potentialBITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been trading in a downtrend for quite a while and had many investors worried. It is still in an overall downtrend but looking at lower timeframe, it seems to have stalled for now and looks like it could make a short upside move if it succeeds in breaking the resistance level.
On a daily timeframe, price is consolidating near the resistance level 17240. Volume is also gradually decreasing.
On 3H timeframe, price is making a triangle pattern and almost ready to breakout from it. You can also notice reverse head and shoulder structure and upside price moves with volume spikes. It indicates a presence of demand and we could see a nice short term move up to 18150.
Share your thoughts in the comment sections. Happy and safe trading! :)
$FTSE - Where to next? Longer term.$FTSE - Where to next? Longer term.
Here's a look of what could happen with the ftse going forward.
Technical view:
Got a stocks and share ISA? Take advantage of the great price points. As we are getting towards end of the year adjusting portfolio and to seek out further long term positioning. One specific instrument I have been looking at is the FTSE - Any pull back towards 700-630 - I will be buying the dip! The same principle goes for various other indices as well. FTSE - Inverse H&S if we break below 620 - this idea is no longer valid. I will be taking into considerations fundamentals as well.
Not Signal Provider or Investment Advice