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Headandshouldersformation

USD/CHF: a textbook H&S pattern has been formed. Time to drop?🧙Monitoring the H8 timeframe of USD/CHF, we may notice that a number of confluences has lined up nicely for a short bias. First of all, it can be observed that the price is trading within the borders of the descending channel plotted on the graph. After forming for a whole week, the price has been able to print a nice Head&Shoulders pattern around the area of the upper barrier of the channel. What is more, the neckline of the formed H&S pattern neatly aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and it has nicely been rejected. After some lower-timeframe pullbacks, we are expecting for the price to continue its downside movements and drop all the way down and reach the level highlighted on the graph.
Short
by Investroy
10
GBPAUD I Update - 140 pips to upside and what's next!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
by BKTradingAcademy
22
BTCUSD Daily overview on bearishness signsBTCUSD reached supply as it touched the Anchored VWAP at the 2022 high (@alphatrends insight), rejected the 23,000 price area after rising to 23,062 USD, which could be seen as a bull trap and a false breakout of the mother of all trendlines from ATH. This strong resistance combines the major trendline and the VWAP with a neckline of the 2021 bottom. Price action broke this dynamic trendline on June 13, 22 and tested it on August 15, 22; yesterday tested it and failed to break once again. From the point of view of chart pattern analysis, we can consider a massive and complex Head and Shoulders formation in the retracement phase up to the neckline, which can be considered as a partial validation signal, which can arouse more interest on the bear side. Key level for new short positions. If we double down on the head range, we might see a confluence with a Fibonacci retracement from the low of Friday-13-Mar'20 for the ATH, which the 88.6% level calls the 11.4k. Also, from a technical analysis point of view, we have a rare case of bearish divergence on this daily chart, on the RSI (not shown on this chart, but below), OBV, CCI and Chaikin Money Flow and Chaikin Oscillators. Awesome Oscillator analysis on H4: Ehlers Smoothed Stochastic plus Sctochastic Divergence H1 chart: Looking closely, if the price loses local support on a pullback in the regression channel, it is possible that we will see a pullback at least to the breakeven level in the 19k-18k range soon, for a correction of the imbalance. Price action may react positively as bulls identify this area as a buy zone. The lower deviation of the Regression Channel calls the 14k sublevel. Therefore, I see a high possibility that the price will hit the demand zone at 16k sub-levels in a corrective wave. On the other hand, if price holds 17k making a higher low, a sharp pullback could send the price action into a large contraction (triangle) formation. Intraday Triangle: Looking to the daily chart of TOTAL top 125 crypto-coins market cap we can see that the price pulled back to test the upper trendline of a bearish pennant: Psychologically, I think long-term buy-and-hold institutions may have an interest in voluntarily distributing this high level to spot traders so they can buy cheaper. Therefore, any pullback in the area of interest will be massively used by moonbois to inject liquidity. We are at a key point where market sentiment could turn from neutral to bearish. And the best choice, IMO, is to get ahead in short positions. But the scenario can only materialize with the definitions from the opening of the US Stock markets and a reversal from DXY. Mainly, I should keep an eye on S&P500 ES futures. This is merely a technical analysis to improve studies of hypothetical scenarios and not a financial advice. Best regards, Thiago Oliveira @firmestudio
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by firmestudio
11
📉📈 ZigZag IndicatorZigZag's primary goal is to focus on significant swings and trends by removing insignificant and misleading price changes. ZigZag connects the price's highest and lowest points using straight lines while ignoring minor swings. ZigZag just aims to make sense of the market's previous movements; it makes no attempt to predict the price of an item. It is only based on hindsight and is not predictive in any way. It is based on the past prices of securities and cannot forecast the next swing highs and swing lows. 🟢Advantages It eliminates market noise and displays the most significant price fluctuations. It operates in several timeframes. When utilized in cooperation with other technical indicators, it gives positive results. 🔴Disadvantages It will mark the latest high or low of the price with a time lag. The last stretch of the indicator (the one that involves the current price) may be redrawn. Not predictive in any way, has to be used in combination of other strategies to be effective. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow
Education
by QuantVue
Third time lucky!!! Buying NatGasTrade Idea: Buying Natural Gas Reasoning: Invesrse head & shoulders on hourly chart at major support level. Posted a bullish hammer on daily. Entry Level: 3.722 Take Profit Level: 4.418 Stop Loss: 3.543 Risk/Reward: 4:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OANDA:NATGASUSDLong
by Signal_Centre
1
Long Idea As we can see here HST has been moving in a huge symmetrical triangle as we can see here the stock consolidates for about 2 weeks and a half once touching down at support before breaking out to the upside to once again touch the resistance. Things to NOTE: 1. Bullish Divergence on the RSI 2. Inverse H & S @HERE 3.Bullish PIN BAR on the WEEKLY time frame These are very strong indicators that HST may see a move up on the upcoming weeks. Play it as you will, I'd love to hear your input on this or exchange ideas on other possible stock moves. Happy trading fellas :" }
NASDAQ:HSTLong
by eguerrero589
AUDUSD: Bearish 5-0 on Quarterly Timeframe Seaking 50% DeclineAUDUSD has this strange Inverse Cup with Handle / Bearish Head And Shoulders sorta look to it, but more clearly, it has formed a very real Massive Bearish 5-0 that has been in the making for many years and it has recently tested the PCZ as resistance at the 50% retrace and confirmed it with huge amounts of MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence. If this plays out fully, then we can expect that the Australian Dollar to lose well over 50% of its value from here out.
Short
by RizeSenpai
1
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern This lesson will cover the following What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation? How can it be confirmed? How can it be traded? The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement. As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like. Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized. Formation and confirmation In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way. While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands. Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern. The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows. The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger. In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it. The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one. Volume As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time. The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline. Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is. Protective stop There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot. The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal. Profit target The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below. And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why? Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1. This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target. However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well. Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above. Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
Education
by FOREXN1
1