ERX Energy Play Head and Shoulders BearishOn the one hour chart, ERX ( triple energy ETF) completed a head and shoulders
and is now downtrending with a crash through the EMA 100 and EMA 200
and now one standard deviation below the VWAP. The Momentum Indicator
shows downside momentum is greater than it has been in recent months.
The inverse ETF called the ERY would be expected to be the inverse of this.
The XLE would be similar but not triple leveraged.
This appears to be setup for a good long term swing short or a put option
expiring in late January or February.
Headandshouldersformation
Is Oil dying? I can't know if Oil is dying because I cannot see into the future. So what's on the chart?
1- There is a death cross on a daily timeframe which is always a significant event.
2 - The red stepwise line (the ATR) is telling us that there is heavy bear pressure in this market.
3 - Twice price was rejected in 31 days.
4 - Now there is a big struggle at a neckline.
5 - Price pushed outside the ascending wedge pattern, and has now fallen through the base. Not a good sign for bulls.
Price can go up or down at the leading edge. True trend-followers would have held short once price is below the 1D ATR line. Nobody knows how far that may go.
This is a dangerously volatile market on the daily, with no good short entry positions at this time.
A better entry short would have been at price point 100 - and still under the switch in the ATR.
But wow - look at the volatility one would have had to withstand over months. This is for strategists - not gamblers.
Stay safe. Don't burn cash.
XTZ - Potential Inverse Head&Shoulders!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
XTZ is sitting around a strong support zone and round number 1.0 so we will be looking for buy setups.
XTZ is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern but it is not ready to go yet.
For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the gray neckline.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, XTZ would be overall bearish and can still trade lower.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURGBP Head and shoulders ShortWhat we can see in the chart is a head and shoulders pattern. Once the price breaks down the neck line than the pattern can be considered validated.
Take profit when the price reaches the target. The targets are shown on the chart. Enter the short position only if/when the price breaks down the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
XAU/USD - 1H - Breakout SetupXAU/USD is in a bearish trend on 1H making LHs & LLs. Price is currently testing a falling resistance after recently forming a Head & Shoulders pattern.
The price might break above the falling resistance and rise towards the Neckline or the Volume Profile POC.
The Bullish Bias is based on the following confluence:
Strong Support + 38% Fib Retracement
Bullish divergence on RSI
Price respecting 200 SMA
OBV divergence with price (downtrend lacks conviction)
Long bottom wicks and Bullish Engulfing candle on Support
Volume Profile POC of previous trend
A break above falling trendline might give control to bulls. There's also an opportunity to go short if the support breaks downside. Wait for confirmation before going in any direction.
Trade safe. Hit like & follow for more analysis.
USDCAD Sell!!USDCAD has created a beautiful and rather neat Head and Shoulders Pattern . Recently, the price tested the neck of the pattern and got pushed down ! not just the retest but also the fact that price is now back inside the parallel channel on the daily chart is a good confirmation of a downward move ! my final Target is 1.3069 ( the pivot line of the parallel Channel )
A major pattern failure in this one indicates a very good upsideAs the charts show,
- Weekly head and shoulder pattern failure.
- A major downtrend got reversed from a gap which happened on Monday(a very important thing to look out).
- 45% up after taking the support of the gap.
- Very strong daily close today.
- Start the accumulation now for great upside from 65 and up levels.
KBANK | Wave Analysis | Bearish Projection Diagonal 4-wavePrice action and chart pattern trading
> A 2 conflicting pattern with a bearish move from the larger Head & Shoulders pattern and a bullish one with current bull pennant.
> The larger HS pattern could be overshadowing the smaller pennant pushing the price lower - SMA20 dead crossed SMA50.
> A strong symmetrical resistance; upper volume profile, price resistance, and SMA200.
> This 4-wave diagonal projection is based on the unsuccessful breakout scenario with an upcoming C leg downtrend extension 0.786 - 1.0 approximately - 10 - 15% downside.
> A bullish scenario is based on the successful breakout of bull pennant and SMA200 targeting the previous 3-wave high with a +20% upside.
> Indicator: bearish MACD signal crossing below the signal and baseline
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
US100Trying to recover from the bears ....we are long on NAS100 too....second shoulder formation is on to allow the bulls in
feel free to jump in with me we are buying NAS100 today traders
AAPL: A TOP sign? What's next on it?• Since our previous post, AAPL did everything it should do, as we expected, filling our last gap, and it hit our key resistance at $152 before doing a top sign yesterday (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual);
• Now, this might indicate a correction, and in this scenario, the Fibonacci’s Retracements are the next support levels to work with;
• Although there’s no clear buy sign right now, any bullish reaction near a key support could be a buy opportunity, with a good Risk/Reward ratio;
• It seems the only thing AAPL has to do in order to correct is to trigger the H&S chart pattern in the 1h chart;
• In addition, the volume is low in the past couple of days, another weakness sign;
• Therefore, I would pay close attention to the retracements from now on, especially if AAPL triggers a bearish pattern in the 1h chart, as there’s a good chance one of them will work as support next.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
LINKUSDT 2nd Bear LegAfter a recovery rally that reaches the upper trendline of the descending triangle, the price action appears to be printing a Head and Shoulders formation, the right shoulder can be formed after a possible reaction from the green box area (local support), then the price can turn to react to volume POC Level @ USDT6.4 which is the same level as the low of the September 1M inside bar Candlestick pattern. The decreasing breakout of the ascending micro wedge has placed the Fisher Transform oscillator in a bearish crossover, which suggests a possible 2nd leg swing below the entry POC. The previous swing made an ABC retracement of 0.549, which AB=CD (0,548 ==> 1,825) reciprocal points to a harmonic target @USDT4.9, being TP2 previously speculated with a 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at the key level.
XRP 2022-2023 Head & ShouldersAre we seeing a possible head and shoulders forming here? This could be an interesting pattern with everything that is happening in crypto given the FTX collapse/contagion and other possible toxic accounts that have not been revealed that could be the last leg in bringing crypto to the last shakeout in this market. Target price with this pattern is around $0.13
TASI Tadawul All Shares Index
Since Covid Bottom Level, market has taken 135% Bullish Rally until May 2022.
It has taken correction up to 22%.
It may retrace from any fib level.
H&S formation is complete and correction may lead to it's target.
However, a strong horizontal support will be help retracement.
USDCAD Buy Opportunity- I am expecting some bullish pressure of the USD this week.
- Price may may a final bearish push that may create a bearish reversal pattern, testing the below area of support
- From there price will test the previous area of support which created the above head and shoulder (or triple top) before it broke below.
-This move is just a retracement to test that area before possibly dropping lower.
-Looking for price to test the 1.35 area.
Please, like or comment your idea/analysis !
Where Does The Future Hold For The S&P500 ?With the consistent hike in interest rates, it really would not be surprising to see the SP500 take a dip after a corrective month of price action. There are 2 classic indications that we may see this turnaround this week on the chart illustrated. 1) Countertrend line break and 2) A possible head and shoulder formation. Let's keep track of this!
USDCAD I Structure broken - next moveWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**USDCAD - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
USD/CAD -8/11/2022-• USD/CAD risks of suffering severe losses if the 1.35 support breaks
• Head and Shoulders bearish pattern in play, with neckline support at 1.35, where bears and bulls are fighting now
• A confirmed and successful break of the mentioned level exposes the pair for a projected target around 1.31 (range between neckline and head)
• Typically, a head and shoulders pattern's right shoulder is found to have lower peak than the left one, a condition fulfilled here
• Trading recommendations:
Sell at current level with stop loss above recent highs or 1.355-1.36 with TP at 1.31 --- Risk reward: 4:1