Potential Trade Idea: Long Heating Oil/Short NatGasRecently our Unum Trading Desk analyst, Lester Davids identified a potential pairs trade on Heating Oil and Nat Gas.
"I am bullish on NatGas with a medium term view. We recently saw a break of the downward trend with an inverse head and shoulder developing. In the short term though, we could see a pullback following the breakout. On that basis, one could be short NG and Long Heating Oil."
We decided to wait for a better entry level on the medium term trade, rather than playing the ultra-short term reversal. It is now approaching our entry point.
On the NG chart:
"NG is approaching incline support around the $2.77 level. We also have horizontal support near $2.74. Potential buy/long opportunity. Keep on the watchlist for possible entry."
For the pair we want to LONG NG and SHORT Heating Oil.
If you want more details on the trade email tradingdesk@unum.co.za
Heatingoil
1D Channel Down. Short on low break out.Heating Oil is trading within a long term 1D Channel Down and is coming off the most recent Lower High (RSI = 45.169, MACD = -0.007, Highs/Lows = -0.0171, B/BP = -0.0334). The downside potential is significant but we will only go short if the August 02 low (2.0863) breaks. TP = 2.0421.
Heating Oil - BreakOut LONGHeating Oil this week broke above its 2 year high. The move was confirmed with a strong day's close above the high, and now the weekly bar is closing above - N.B: provided that Heating Oil holds in today's session.
Seasonally August & September are strong months which lends another dimension to a pure chartist approach.
19 point MP, Testing orginal points "heatingoil"Stil need the right amount of points for USOil. Trying 19 points with 1 or 2 pivot points.
Following the numbers , After 19 its Dangerous to trade because pivot point 19 marked in red can occur more then once thus altering its path.
Trade on your own risk, use proper risk plan ect....
HEATING OIL HO 15MIN: 15min original supply zone shorting opprt.TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS
H4: We have started to turn back from h4 supply zone
H1: if 09 hour can manage to be closed lower than 1.4805 line, H1 will have been created too
15MIN: There is an original 15min supply zone inside of a potential h1 supply
TP1: 1:1 R:R
TP2: Trail till just before H4 Support
TP3: Trail till daily demand zone
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