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BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf we ignore the election, we had a bearish weekly candle close this past week so I anticipate a sizeable pull back. If we considering election effects, usually the election week is bearish and then an unconditional rally comes soon after; typically it will last till the end of the year. If this pattern holds true, I would personally hedge a trade to profit on both sides. I'm still long term BTC bullish, but this week, I will consider shorting to hedge against my longs. I have marked a few places where I would take TPs on the short and DCA for my longs for you to reference. Trade safely! @Nate Alert
by Nate36989
payo are you gonna correct?after the great boom payo brought us some great profits. tbh i havent closed anything and i am still bullish on payo. payo accumulation and bingbongdingdong has been formed for 3 years as of this moment we are attempting to turn previous critical resistance into support. 2 scenerios according to wykoff theory. 1. correction then big money needs to defend its positions and at a reasonable price. fundementally that could be previous value area high (vah upper white line) because we need to create a new value range it would only make sense to turn vah to the new point of control (poc) or the new value area low (where price is traded the most e.g mid range val bottom area) another point to consider for the correction is the gap, so previous point of control to turn value area low or a sweep to that level would provide 4 things first it will close the gap and get rid of that imbalance. 2nd it will shake off weak hands and get rid of breakout traders when it grabs the single print 3rd it will provide a decent price for big money to enter at.. liquidity liquidity liqduidity. 4th provide the oprotunity for hedge shorting and basically thats more fuel to the upside when said shorts close. (so basically proffesionals get paid to pump the market for free) 2. leave everyone behind everyone whos waiting for the correction. that scenerio is less likely to anticipate, depends more on the company preformance and has less upside for big money that wants to accumulate low and provide big gains. i believe the first scenerio is more likely that the other one. the teal circles on the green lines are where i am looking to see reactions for swing fail patterns and adding to my positions luckily i already have an open position on payo for quite a while now, so im chilling.
NASDAQ:PAYOLong
by Captainobvious5454
1
Inflation Increases 2.5%, Setting Scene for Rate CutMarket Update, September 13th 2024 Takeaways Inflation stays under control: The Consumer Price Index increased 2.5% in August compared to the previous year, down from the 2.9% bump in July. The latest data indicates the Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. Bankrupt crypto exchange FTX has reached a $14 million settlement with Emergent Technologies, resolving a dispute over 55 million Robinhood shares: The agreement avoids further legal action and allows Emergent to finalize its bankruptcy proceedings. US spot bitcoin ETFs have seen a streak of daily net outflows, with nearly $1.2 billion withdrawn in just eight days: The downturn coincides with broader market volatility. The North Carolina Senate has passed a bill prohibiting state participation in any Federal Reserve-sponsored CBDC testing: The bill bans payments to the state using a CBDC. It passed despite a veto by Governor Roy Cooper. 🕰️ Topic of the Week: Understanding Interest Rates 🫱 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Bitcoin's local perspective 09.09.24Before looking at the local perspective, we would like to mention that globally we are now moving within two main patterns: AMEXP on BINANCE:ETHBTC dated July 29👇 And the pattern on INDEX:BTCUSD , which we first recognized as MDB on the daily timeframe dated May 21 and later formed as EXP on the weekly timeframe and essentially describes the current trend 👇 Our expectations are now based on the fact that on BINANCE:ETHBTC we see a key magnetic level at 0.03492, which we will reach with a high probability (we have marked this block with a red square on the chart). We also note that CME also opened with a GEP at $52,980, and CME:BTC1! has two nearest open GEPs: at $61,880 and $52,980👇 Locally, we now see three main scenarios: 1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the $56,552 level, after which it continues to decline with a target of $48,973 2️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD does not reach the level of $56,552 and continues its decline with a target of $48,973. 3️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the level of $56,552 and continues to move towards $61,700. Now you have an open long on INDEX:BTCUSD and over the weekend we opened a hedging short on INDEX:ETHUSD for a portion of the INDEX:BTCUSD position, and now in the case of each scenario: 1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD close half on the first target around $56,552 and put the stop to breakeven, then on the downside close the profitable hedge short 2️⃣ Around $48,973 close the hedge-short on INDEX:ETHUSD on the fall and buy more INDEX:BTCUSD 3️⃣ Close INDEX:BTCUSD position on all targets, part of the profit is taken by a losing hedge-short on $INDEX:ETHUSD. Thus, in the current market situation we have formed such a construction, which will allow us to earn in most of our expected scenarios
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
BTCUSD Will Rally In Multi-Leg Phase Targeting $104kMy longer-term research suggests BTCUSD will rally through multiple trending-flagging stages and attempt to reach the $104 area before the end of 2025. My broader market research suggests a unique underlying market phenomenon is taking place, and a Vortex Rally will initiate throughout the end of 2024. This Vortex Rally phase is a "decoupling" event between the US economy and other global economies. It will most likely be seen in Asian economies. Because of this, I believe hedge assets will see a fantastic benefit over the next 16 to 48 months. Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin will all increase over the next 16+ months as global traders attempt to hedge against this Vortex Rally and weaker currency rates. Of course, this move in Bitcoin will happen in stages (phases or legs). The price does not go straight up. It always moves through trending/flagging phases. Get ready. Defending this $57k level is critical for the next move up to $70. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
IWM/SPX spread - Long smallcapsBeen watching for a reversal of the trend between the 2 indexes and a breakout of this bullish falling wedge for a while. Fundamentally it made sense to look for this breakout result because of the looming interest rate cuts and frothy bond yields since the start of the year. Small caps are highly sensitive to such things. Long IWM or TNA is the play on this breakout. But the best value will be found in heavily beaten down individual small caps. If you want to hedge against a market correction long small caps short large would be the other play.
AMEX:IWMLong
by cc1
1
GOLD Cycle Patterns - Get Ready - Rally - Rally - RallyThis short video shows how my GOLD Cycle Patterns are set up for a broad upward price move in Gold/Silver over the next 5+ trading days. If you've been following my Plan Your Trade videos (for the SPY/QQQ), you'll probably love these Gold Cycle Patterns and my metals research. Some people continue to comment that my research is "Spot On". I tend to agree, but remember, these patterns are only about 80% accurate over 12 months. Still, there is nothing else like these SPY/GOLD Cycle Patterns that provide clear/actionable trading signals/insights 2~3 weeks into the future. Check it out... Get ready for Gold to target $2550+ over the next 5+ trading days. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
BTCUSD Makes Big Breakout - Now Targeting $67k to $71kBitcoin broke away from my flag formation and has established a new bullish price trend targeting FWB:67K to $71k (or higher). This is fantastic news for bitcoin traders as we should see a very solid rally phase over the next 4+ months. Get ready for $95k++, possibly before the end of 2024. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
Bitcoin at a Critical Level: What Investors Need to KnowBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently at a crucial juncture. The 3-month chart suggests that if Bitcoin drops below the $50,000 level before moving above $70,000, we could see further downside, potentially to the $40,000 - $35,000 range. Election Impact This potential scenario might coincide with the upcoming election, which could have a significant impact on market sentiment and liquidity. Political events often introduce volatility and uncertainty, affecting investor confidence and market stability. Investment and Trading Strategy For investors, a potential dip to the $40,000 - $35,000 range presents a buying opportunity. However, traders should consider hedging their positions to profit in case of further declines. This approach can help manage risks and take advantage of market fluctuations. Long-term Outlook Over the next 6 to 8 months, these market dynamics could lead to increased buy-side liquidity and higher prices. This period of stabilization might create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Conclusion While the short-term may bring challenges, particularly due to the election, the long-term outlook remains positive. Investors and traders should prepare for potential short-term declines but remain optimistic about increased liquidity and higher market prices in the future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by moneymagnateash
Golden, Green, or ScarletHey There, Welcome Back. Today we analyze the evergreen hedge commodity. - If you are an Indian, Given that Gold rallied almost 17% in a very short span You must be quite happy. We Indians love gold. Especially, the ladies in our homes. - The chart of Gold Futures is showing something interesting. The price took quite a rejection from the recent support zone. - If this rejection holds, we may see a correction/retracement. - On the other hand, we may just see a consolidation phase (Which is usual after a good rally) - Only future price action will tell what's what but in the meantime, here are a few rumors/updates to know in the vicinity of Gold (Some are just rumors so take it with a pinch of salt) : - BRICS Bloc is rumored to introduce a gold-backed currency that will any day be more reliable than the flat currency every other country has. - US is battling Economy slowdown and recession. The United States has the world's highest national debt with $30.1 trillion owed to creditors as of the first quarter of 2023- Al Jazeera. - The US Credit ratings were reduced to AA+ from the elite AAA - If the BRICS Currency comes out, 85% of the global population will stop using US Dollars for intra trades settlement (BRICS Nations) - Russia is out of the SWIFT System meaning USD Dealings are off the table. That reduces the demand for dollars. - Saudi Arabia is rumored to join BRICS. Also, for the first time, they are considering accepting other currencies besides the Dollar for Oil trades. This may hugely impact the almighty dollar. - In the calendar year 2022, central banks around the world purchased a record 1,136 tonnes of gold. - RBI’s hoard of gold is now almost 800 tonnes - China’s Central Bank is accumulating gold for straight 9 months - Gold may soon be the King once again. Does that mean we will start buying gold at any given price? Absolutely Not. But we will surely keep a check on the global news, the price action, and our overall asset allocations. Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇 ⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
MCX:GOLD1!
by TheChartereds
Hedging is the only solution in this market. MMs disrespectful.Look at this intraday price action on SPY. Bulls thought they had a win. +0.40% in one candle. "Wow must be going up forever to all time high!" MMs (market makers): SIKE! Drops 0.42% which is even lower than the initial pump. How do you play it then? Hedge. For example, I started with puts:calls 4:1 ratio. Sold +20% and held the call -10%. Sold the call eventually +5% and it continued to +100%. Rinse and repeat. I'll update this post with more examples as we go along. Don't get disrespected by MMs. Hedge all your plays even if they're scalps. Follow me and drop questions in the comments if you have em!
AMEX:SPY
by kingdips
1
Inverse Chart of TEL "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of KUCOIN:TELUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR) - Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April - KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days - With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while - End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup - Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points - High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles - Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements - Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation - Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade - I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news Additional Remarks Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Long
by Trevictus
Inverse Chart of BAX "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of BITTREX:BAXUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR) - Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April - KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days - With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while - End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup - Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points - High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles - Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements - Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation - Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade - I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news Additional Remarks Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Long
by Trevictus
Inverse Chart of VRA "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of KUCOIN:VRAUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR) - Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April - KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days - With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while - End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup - Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points - High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles - Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements - Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation - Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade - I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news Additional Remarks Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Long
by Trevictus
1
BTCUSD crypto short triggers and hedgeI personally don't like short positions, especially with BTCUSD pair. However there are a few triggers that may cause crypto market to fall. 1. Stock market fall. Nasdaq has touched its ATH. And it is a strong resistance level. 2. SEC can delay spot bitcoin applications again. So January 2024 is a very important month. 3. Last week BTC recorded $ 860 million worth of net inflows into crypto exchanges (accoording to IntoTheBlock analytics company). If we count this amount in BTC its not much, just about 20 000 BTC or 0.1 % of all current allocation. But we don't know how many bitcoins have been sold in OTC market. Big players always hide what they do. If all three triggers work together, the crypto market will be down. That is why I'd like to discuss how to hedge your long positions. The best way to hedge our investments is to see what institutional crypto investors do. Accoording to Coinshares YTD BTC flows is ~ 1.7 Billion while BTC short is ~ $ 62 million. Here is how to count the size of our hedge short position. To divide: 1 700 000 000 / 62 000 000 = ~ 25. So If we want to hedge long positions in the bull market our profit / loss ratio should be 25 / 1 For example if you have invested in BTC, say, $ 100 k, your short position in BTC should be = 4 k. But I strictly urge you, don't open margin positions. x1 is a must (not x2 or x3) in crypto futures. If you open x1 short BTC position now, your liquidation should be at ~ $ 80 k for 1 BTC. But if 1 BTC = $ 80 k , you have ~ $ 200 k ($ 100 k in profit) and you lose only $ 4 k. That is very profitable, isn't it!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by vitsha
Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish TrendIntroduction G old has always been an intriguing asset for investors, often seen as a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainty. In this analysis, we take a closer look at a chart showing the price of Gold (OZ) on the Gold-USD market compared to USD ($) to identify trends and potential scenarios for gold's future price movement. So, let's dive into the chart and explore the dynamics of the Gold market. Bullish Momentum T he chart reveals a powerful bullish trend in the Gold market, culminating in a local bullish double top pattern on October 27 and October 31, with the price reaching around $2010. This bullish momentum signals a robust demand for gold, driven by various factors like geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. A Double Top Formation T he double top formation represents a potential turning point in the market. While there are no immediate signs of a bearish reversal, the double top could trigger a consolidation phase. This consolidation might occur within the price range of $1952 (support line) to $2010, forming a support zone indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart. T he consolidation period is depicted by the white arrow on the chart and could extend until December. This consolidation isn't necessarily a sign of weakness but can be seen as a sign of increasing investor interest and strengthened buying power. Investor Opportunity A prolonged consolidation provides an opportunity for both new and existing investors to consider buying into the market. It allows gold to gather sufficient funding, and as long as the investor sentiment remains positive, there's a chance that the price could break the resistance zone (purple rectangle on the chart) between $2002 and $2010. Further Upside Potential E ven if the price breaks through this resistance zone, it doesn't necessarily mark the end of the bullish trend. It could trigger further consolidation or higher resistance zones as potential targets. The next significant resistance zone to watch out for is between $2055 and $2065. Bearish Concerns H owever, if gold falls from the support zone, it raises doubts about the sustainability of the bullish trend. In such a scenario, the next support zone could be around $1904, where a possible bearish reversal might be considered. Volume and Investor Sentiment A part from price and technical indicators, the chart analysis also considers trading volume. In October and November, the volume has been consistently high, suggesting a global need for diversification with gold in portfolios containing indices and other assets. Investors continue to view gold as a valuable precious metal for diversifying complex portfolios, particularly in uncertain economic times. Key Drivers for Gold Investment S everal factors are driving investor sentiment towards gold. These include concerns about high inflation in national currencies, increasing oil prices, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and the long-standing belief that gold tends to rise during times of war. Conclusion W hile this analysis provides insights into the current gold market trends, it's essential to remember that investing in gold is a long-term strategy. The precious metal serves as a hedge in complex portfolios and aims for long-term appreciation rather than fast gains. P lease note that this analysis is not investment advice, and historic results do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your research and consider various safety measures when making investment decisions. Kind regards, Ely Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an endorsement of any specific investment. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elysian_Mind
15
Metals Setup Apex "V" (PANIC) Bottom - Rally Will ContinueGold and Silver are setting up a nearly perfect deep "V" bottom after a bout of PANIC selling over the past few weeks. This sets up a move for Gold to rally above $2250 and Silver to rally above $28.50. Ultimately, I believe Gold will exit the Setup Phase and peak in the next phase, the Breakaway Phase, above $2450. Silver will follow with a rally to levels above $31 as it moves away from the Setup Phase and peaks in the Breakaway Phase. These are big moves for Gold and Silver - 15% to 25% or more. This also sends a clear message to the general/global markets that traders are hedging the uncertainties of the conflicts and the central bank/global economy credit issues. I see the next 14 months, before the US POTUS elections (Nov 2024) and possibly a few months beyond, as very concerning for the US/Global markets. Where will the economic growth come from to drive expansion? China is contracting. Asia is contracting. Europe is contracting. The US is still operating reasonably well, considering much higher interest rates. Canada is still holding up okay, considering an extremely over-inflated asset bubble. How long before something breaks if the US Fed decides enough is enough and moves to PAUSE rate hikes? I guess we won't see a pause in the US Fed until possibly May/June 2024. And that will drive a fear/hedging/panic cycle where USD assets and precious metals become an effective hedge against risks. Pay attention. This next move in metals should be very explosive.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny