Using Derivatives for Hedging Risks on ForexUsing Derivatives for Hedging Risks on Forex
In the dynamic world of forex trading, understanding how to protect one's position is paramount. This article delves into the strategic use of derivatives, specifically CFDs, to hedge against potential adverse currency movements, offering traders a safety net in the volatile forex environment.
The Concept of Hedging in Forex
Hedging, in the realm of forex trading, refers to the strategic use of certain financial instruments, such as derivatives, to protect an investment or portfolio from adverse price movements. By employing this technique, market participants can potentially offset losses from their primary investments, ensuring a more balanced financial outcome.
Companies that use derivatives to hedge risk, for example, aim to safeguard their operations from volatile currency fluctuations. For individual traders, hedging risk with derivatives becomes a key tactic, especially in the unpredictable waters of forex markets. The primary goal isn't necessarily to profit but to create a safety net against potential losses.
An Overview of CFDs (Contract for Difference)
CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, are derivative financial instruments that allow traders to speculate on price movements of underlying assets without actually owning them. In the forex context, CFDs enable traders to gain exposure to currency pairs' price changes without physically exchanging the currencies involved. Instead, traders enter into a contract to exchange the difference in value of a currency pair between the time the contract is opened and when it's closed.
One of the primary uses of derivatives in risk management is employing CFDs to take an opposing position, thereby potentially reducing exposure to adverse market movements. The perks of CFDs include flexibility, leverage, and the ability to go long or short. However, these benefits come with downsides, such as the risk of amplified losses due to leverage and the possibility of incurring additional costs like overnight funding fees.
The Mechanics of Hedging with CFDs
The mechanics of hedging forex trades with CFDs are the following:
1. Establishing a Primary Position
Traders first establish a primary position in the forex market, predicting a currency pair's direction. For instance, a trader might expect the EUR/USD pair to rise and hence buy or "go long" on it.
2. Recognising Exposure
Once the primary position is established, traders identify potential risks. Is there an impending economic event? Could geopolitical tensions influence the currency pair's movement? Recognising these exposures is pivotal in hedging using derivatives.
3. Taking an Opposing CFD Position
To hedge, traders take an opposing position using a CFD. If our trader has gone long on the EUR/USD, hedging would involve going short on the same pair through a CFD. This doesn't mean expecting the EUR/USD to fall but rather creating a protective stance using derivatives to hedge risk.
Another option is to use a negatively correlated asset from another asset class, e.g. commodities, to the currency pair you trade and open a CFD trade in that asset.
4. Monitoring and Adjusting
Successful hedging isn't a set-and-forget approach. As the forex market fluctuates, the effectiveness of the hedge might change. Platforms like FXOpen's TickTrader provide traders with the necessary tools and real-time data to monitor their positions effectively.
If the primary position experiences an unfavourable move, the opposing CFD position can offset some or all of those losses. Conversely, if the market moves favourably, gains from the primary position can be realised, while the loss from the hedging position is an accepted cost for protection.
5. Closing Positions
When traders believe the risk has subsided or their trading goals are achieved, they can close both their primary and hedging positions. Depending on the market movement, this could result in a net profit, a minimised loss, or a break-even scenario.
In the world of derivatives and risk management, CFDs offer a nuanced tool for traders navigating the often-tumultuous waters of the forex market. When executed correctly, hedging with derivatives, like CFDs, can provide a layer of protection against unwanted market swings.
A Brief Look at Options
Options are a type of financial derivative that gives traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. Unlike CFDs, which track the underlying asset's movement, options are based on the probability of reaching a particular price point.
While they can be used for hedging purposes, their complexity often deters many retail traders. The steep learning curve associated with options means they're not typically the first choice for risk mitigation, especially when simpler derivatives like CFDs are available.
Considerations Before Hedging with Derivatives
Before implementing hedging strategies using derivatives, traders take into account several crucial aspects to ensure their risk management tactics align optimally with their financial objectives. Here are some essential considerations:
Understanding the Derivative's Structure
Before diving into hedging, it's crucial to thoroughly understand the derivative you're using, whether it's a CFD, option, or another instrument. Each derivative has unique features, payout structures, and costs. A lack of understanding can lead to unintended exposures.
If you use derivatives, it's vital to determine the position size, as leverage leads to increased risks. The theory states that a trader’s CFD position shouldn't be larger than the trade they hedge.
Cost Implications
While hedging can safeguard against potential losses, it's not free. Factors like spread costs, overnight financing, leverage, or premiums (in the case of options) can impact the profitability of a hedged position. Traders factor these costs into their risk management calculations.
Duration of Hedge
How long do you anticipate the need for the hedge? The time frame can affect the choice of derivative and its cost. Some hedges might be short-lived due to specific events, while others could be more extended due to ongoing market uncertainties.
Effectiveness of the Hedge
No hedge is perfect. Consider the effectiveness of the derivative in relation to the primary position. How closely does the CFD or option's performance correlate with the asset you're trying to hedge?
Regular Evaluation
Risk management in the derivatives market requires constant vigilance. Market conditions evolve, and what was once an effective hedge might lose its potency. Regularly evaluate the hedge's performance and adjust if necessary.
Seek Expert Advice
Given the complexities, it's beneficial to seek advice from experts and explore in-depth resources. They can offer help in crafting a more tailored hedging strategy.
The Bottom Line
In navigating the intricate waters of forex trading, understanding hedging with derivatives like CFDs can offer traders valuable protection against unforeseen market shifts. This exploration has highlighted the nuances and considerations essential for effective risk management. For those keen to delve deeper into the world of CFDs and optimise their hedging strategies, opening an FXOpen account could be the next step in fortifying their trading arsenal.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Hedge
Crypto Hedge against Trumpism chaos, destruction and tariffsTrump is going to wreck havoc on the US economy which is why many are hedging against USD with crypto. Inflation, shortages and recession are coming in a few years.
For awhile, Biden policy will prop up USD but once Trump policy kicks in and effects the government, expect food shortages from deportations, recession from tariffs and draconian policy and more wars with Putin unchecked.
Chaos is coming in about year 2 into Trump presidency. Until then I expect positive Biden policies to continue to strengthen US dollar while smart hedgers long crypto the hedge against the chaos that is coming. When not if.
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf we ignore the election, we had a bearish weekly candle close this past week so I anticipate a sizeable pull back. If we considering election effects, usually the election week is bearish and then an unconditional rally comes soon after; typically it will last till the end of the year. If this pattern holds true, I would personally hedge a trade to profit on both sides. I'm still long term BTC bullish, but this week, I will consider shorting to hedge against my longs. I have marked a few places where I would take TPs on the short and DCA for my longs for you to reference. Trade safely! @Nate Alert
payo are you gonna correct?after the great boom payo brought us some great profits. tbh i havent closed anything and i am still bullish on payo.
payo accumulation and bingbongdingdong has been formed for 3 years as of this moment we are attempting to turn previous critical resistance into support.
2 scenerios according to wykoff theory.
1. correction then big money needs to defend its positions and at a reasonable price.
fundementally that could be previous value area high (vah upper white line) because we need to create a new value range it would only make sense to turn vah to the new point of control (poc) or the new value area low (where price is traded the most e.g mid range val bottom area)
another point to consider for the correction is the gap, so previous point of control to turn value area low or a sweep to that level would provide 4 things
first it will close the gap and get rid of that imbalance.
2nd it will shake off weak hands and get rid of breakout traders when it
grabs the single print
3rd it will provide a decent price for big money to enter at.. liquidity liquidity liqduidity.
4th provide the oprotunity for hedge shorting and basically thats more fuel to the upside when said shorts close. (so basically proffesionals get paid to pump the market for free)
2. leave everyone behind everyone whos waiting for the correction. that scenerio is less likely to anticipate, depends more on the company preformance and has less upside for big money that wants to accumulate low and provide big gains.
i believe the first scenerio is more likely that the other one.
the teal circles on the green lines are where i am looking to see reactions for swing fail patterns and adding to my positions
luckily i already have an open position on payo for quite a while now, so im chilling.
Inflation Increases 2.5%, Setting Scene for Rate CutMarket Update, September 13th 2024
Takeaways
Inflation stays under control: The Consumer Price Index increased 2.5% in August compared to the previous year, down from the 2.9% bump in July. The latest data indicates the Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
Bankrupt crypto exchange FTX has reached a $14 million settlement with Emergent Technologies, resolving a dispute over 55 million Robinhood shares: The agreement avoids further legal action and allows Emergent to finalize its bankruptcy proceedings.
US spot bitcoin ETFs have seen a streak of daily net outflows, with nearly $1.2 billion withdrawn in just eight days: The downturn coincides with broader market volatility.
The North Carolina Senate has passed a bill prohibiting state participation in any Federal Reserve-sponsored CBDC testing: The bill bans payments to the state using a CBDC. It passed despite a veto by Governor Roy Cooper.
🕰️ Topic of the Week: Understanding Interest Rates
🫱 Read more here
Bitcoin's local perspective 09.09.24Before looking at the local perspective, we would like to mention that globally we are now moving within two main patterns:
AMEXP on BINANCE:ETHBTC dated July 29👇
And the pattern on INDEX:BTCUSD , which we first recognized as MDB on the daily timeframe dated May 21 and later formed as EXP on the weekly timeframe and essentially describes the current trend 👇
Our expectations are now based on the fact that on BINANCE:ETHBTC we see a key magnetic level at 0.03492, which we will reach with a high probability (we have marked this block with a red square on the chart).
We also note that CME also opened with a GEP at $52,980, and CME:BTC1! has two nearest open GEPs: at $61,880 and $52,980👇
Locally, we now see three main scenarios:
1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the $56,552 level, after which it continues to decline with a target of $48,973
2️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD does not reach the level of $56,552 and continues its decline with a target of $48,973.
3️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the level of $56,552 and continues to move towards $61,700.
Now you have an open long on INDEX:BTCUSD and over the weekend we opened a hedging short on INDEX:ETHUSD for a portion of the INDEX:BTCUSD position, and now in the case of each scenario:
1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD close half on the first target around $56,552 and put the stop to breakeven, then on the downside close the profitable hedge short
2️⃣ Around $48,973 close the hedge-short on INDEX:ETHUSD on the fall and buy more INDEX:BTCUSD
3️⃣ Close INDEX:BTCUSD position on all targets, part of the profit is taken by a losing hedge-short on $INDEX:ETHUSD.
Thus, in the current market situation we have formed such a construction, which will allow us to earn in most of our expected scenarios
BTCUSD Will Rally In Multi-Leg Phase Targeting $104kMy longer-term research suggests BTCUSD will rally through multiple trending-flagging stages and attempt to reach the $104 area before the end of 2025.
My broader market research suggests a unique underlying market phenomenon is taking place, and a Vortex Rally will initiate throughout the end of 2024.
This Vortex Rally phase is a "decoupling" event between the US economy and other global economies. It will most likely be seen in Asian economies.
Because of this, I believe hedge assets will see a fantastic benefit over the next 16 to 48 months. Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin will all increase over the next 16+ months as global traders attempt to hedge against this Vortex Rally and weaker currency rates.
Of course, this move in Bitcoin will happen in stages (phases or legs). The price does not go straight up. It always moves through trending/flagging phases.
Get ready. Defending this $57k level is critical for the next move up to $70.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTCUSD Appears To Complete Final Leg Of Flag FormationI believe BTCUSD will attempt to rally back above $60.5k and attempt to settle above the flag support level before rocketing higher in late August or early September - possibly setting up a very big price advance above $80k.
Watch this video to learn more.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
IWM/SPX spread - Long smallcapsBeen watching for a reversal of the trend between the 2 indexes and a breakout of this bullish falling wedge for a while.
Fundamentally it made sense to look for this breakout result because of the looming interest rate cuts and frothy bond yields since the start of the year. Small caps are highly sensitive to such things.
Long IWM or TNA is the play on this breakout. But the best value will be found in heavily beaten down individual small caps.
If you want to hedge against a market correction long small caps short large would be the other play.
GOLD Cycle Patterns - Get Ready - Rally - Rally - RallyThis short video shows how my GOLD Cycle Patterns are set up for a broad upward price move in Gold/Silver over the next 5+ trading days.
If you've been following my Plan Your Trade videos (for the SPY/QQQ), you'll probably love these Gold Cycle Patterns and my metals research.
Some people continue to comment that my research is "Spot On". I tend to agree, but remember, these patterns are only about 80% accurate over 12 months.
Still, there is nothing else like these SPY/GOLD Cycle Patterns that provide clear/actionable trading signals/insights 2~3 weeks into the future.
Check it out... Get ready for Gold to target $2550+ over the next 5+ trading days.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTCUSD Makes Big Breakout - Now Targeting $67k to $71kBitcoin broke away from my flag formation and has established a new bullish price trend targeting FWB:67K to $71k (or higher).
This is fantastic news for bitcoin traders as we should see a very solid rally phase over the next 4+ months.
Get ready for $95k++, possibly before the end of 2024.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin at a Critical Level: What Investors Need to KnowBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently at a crucial juncture. The 3-month chart suggests that if Bitcoin drops below the $50,000 level before moving above $70,000, we could see further downside, potentially to the $40,000 - $35,000 range.
Election Impact
This potential scenario might coincide with the upcoming election, which could have a significant impact on market sentiment and liquidity. Political events often introduce volatility and uncertainty, affecting investor confidence and market stability.
Investment and Trading Strategy
For investors, a potential dip to the $40,000 - $35,000 range presents a buying opportunity. However, traders should consider hedging their positions to profit in case of further declines. This approach can help manage risks and take advantage of market fluctuations.
Long-term Outlook
Over the next 6 to 8 months, these market dynamics could lead to increased buy-side liquidity and higher prices. This period of stabilization might create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Conclusion
While the short-term may bring challenges, particularly due to the election, the long-term outlook remains positive. Investors and traders should prepare for potential short-term declines but remain optimistic about increased liquidity and higher market prices in the future.
Golden, Green, or ScarletHey There, Welcome Back. Today we analyze the evergreen hedge commodity.
- If you are an Indian, Given that Gold rallied almost 17% in a very short span You must be quite happy. We Indians love gold. Especially, the ladies in our homes.
- The chart of Gold Futures is showing something interesting. The price took quite a rejection from the recent support zone.
- If this rejection holds, we may see a correction/retracement.
- On the other hand, we may just see a consolidation phase (Which is usual after a good rally)
- Only future price action will tell what's what but in the meantime, here are a few rumors/updates to know in the vicinity of Gold (Some are just rumors so take it with a pinch of salt) :
- BRICS Bloc is rumored to introduce a gold-backed currency that will any day be more reliable than the flat currency every other country has.
- US is battling Economy slowdown and recession. The United States has the world's highest national debt with $30.1 trillion owed to creditors as of the first quarter of 2023- Al Jazeera.
- The US Credit ratings were reduced to AA+ from the elite AAA
- If the BRICS Currency comes out, 85% of the global population will stop using US Dollars for intra trades settlement (BRICS Nations)
- Russia is out of the SWIFT System meaning USD Dealings are off the table. That reduces the demand for dollars.
- Saudi Arabia is rumored to join BRICS. Also, for the first time, they are considering accepting other currencies besides the Dollar for Oil trades. This may hugely impact the almighty dollar.
- In the calendar year 2022, central banks around the world purchased a record 1,136 tonnes of gold.
- RBI’s hoard of gold is now almost 800 tonnes
- China’s Central Bank is accumulating gold for straight 9 months
- Gold may soon be the King once again.
Does that mean we will start buying gold at any given price? Absolutely Not. But we will surely keep a check on the global news, the price action, and our overall asset allocations.
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Hedging is the only solution in this market. MMs disrespectful.Look at this intraday price action on SPY.
Bulls thought they had a win. +0.40% in one candle. "Wow must be going up forever to all time high!"
MMs (market makers): SIKE! Drops 0.42% which is even lower than the initial pump.
How do you play it then? Hedge.
For example, I started with puts:calls 4:1 ratio. Sold +20% and held the call -10%. Sold the call eventually +5% and it continued to +100%. Rinse and repeat.
I'll update this post with more examples as we go along.
Don't get disrespected by MMs. Hedge all your plays even if they're scalps. Follow me and drop questions in the comments if you have em!
QQQ Topping Out After ATHQQQ looks like it may be due for a pullback after 5 consecutive ATHs. The RSI is back well in the overbought range, and many gaps below may look to be filled. Much like we saw at the end of December, a strong rally needs quick pullbacks to maintain its health. A pullback to $413 and retest the breakout wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. Hedging longs with some $SQQQ.
Inverse Chart of TEL "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of KUCOIN:TELUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)
- Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April
- KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days
- With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while
- End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest
Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup
- Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points
- High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles
- Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements
- Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation
- Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade
- I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news
Additional Remarks
Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Inverse Chart of BAX "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of BITTREX:BAXUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)
- Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April
- KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days
- With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while
- End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest
Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup
- Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points
- High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles
- Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements
- Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation
- Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade
- I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news
Additional Remarks
Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Inverse Chart of VRA "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)Inverse Chart of KUCOIN:VRAUSDT "Massive Dump Inbound" | Mid Term (12HR)
- Accumulating small and micro cap ALTs to hedge against market correction/pullback period to begin in earnest within the next 30 days and lasting up to and through the BTC halving event in April
- KUCOIN:VELOUSDT KUCOIN:VRAUSDT KUCOIN:TELUSDT BITTREX:BAXUSDT KUCOIN:BLOKUSDT are some of my main picks, in order of preference, all of which with massive profit potential within the next 90 days
- With any luck, these small/micro cap ALTs will run over the next 75 days, while BTC and the rest of the broader market top 100-200 ALTs by market cap take a nose dive into the dirt and cool down for a while
- End result, flush with profits from small/micro cap plays, at time when my primary investment interest coins like OKX:CSPRUSDT and BINANCE:XRPUSDT are at discount prices, for the last time, before the Crypto bull market starts in earnest
Personal Approach & Base Chart Setup
- Stacked Parallel Channels for Grid of Confluence Points
- High Time Frame (HTF) Fib Extensions, Retracements, & Time Cycles
- Red Filled Horizontal Rectangles between areas of major Fib level from Extensions and Retracements
- Teal Filled Horizontal Rectangles are areas of major support and price points for further DCA long order accumulation
- Price Label Callout with Red Circle highlighting points of interest where I'd consider making a trade
- I will consistently monitor and adjust taking into consideration long/mid/near term price action and market conditions/news
Additional Remarks
Something I like to do to give myself some valuable perspective when looking to invest/trade for after I've mocked up HTF price action and possible movements with fibs, parallel channels, and fractals, is to then inverse the chart (Keyboard Shortcut ALT + I), and zoom out... Sometimes just seeing things from an alternate perspective, can give you that last little bit of confidence needed.
Nice floor on SE here - good hedged play opportunityThis floor on NYSE:SE has been the exact bounce spot for the last few months. Has always found a way to bounce to 40-45.
This kind of play I wouldn't touch without a short term hedge (so, put) because if it breaches the floor, it'll see new lows. Why wouldn't you want to bank on the way down too if you're wrong?
BTCUSD crypto short triggers and hedgeI personally don't like short positions, especially with BTCUSD pair. However there are a few triggers that may cause crypto market to fall.
1. Stock market fall. Nasdaq has touched its ATH. And it is a strong resistance level.
2. SEC can delay spot bitcoin applications again. So January 2024 is a very important month.
3. Last week BTC recorded $ 860 million worth of net inflows into crypto exchanges (accoording to IntoTheBlock analytics company). If we count this amount in BTC its not much, just about 20 000 BTC or 0.1 % of all current allocation.
But we don't know how many bitcoins have been sold in OTC market. Big players always hide what they do.
If all three triggers work together, the crypto market will be down. That is why I'd like to discuss how to hedge your long positions.
The best way to hedge our investments is to see what institutional crypto investors do.
Accoording to Coinshares YTD BTC flows is ~ 1.7 Billion while BTC short is ~ $ 62 million.
Here is how to count the size of our hedge short position. To divide: 1 700 000 000 / 62 000 000 = ~ 25.
So If we want to hedge long positions in the bull market our profit / loss ratio should be 25 / 1
For example if you have invested in BTC, say, $ 100 k, your short position in BTC should be = 4 k. But I strictly urge you, don't open margin positions. x1 is a must (not x2 or x3) in crypto futures.
If you open x1 short BTC position now, your liquidation should be at ~ $ 80 k for 1 BTC. But if 1 BTC = $ 80 k , you have ~ $ 200 k ($ 100 k in profit) and you lose only $ 4 k.
That is very profitable, isn't it!
MrStocky - S&P500 Active HedgingThe expected weakness in equities arrived with a sharp reversal following early gains in the day.
I increased my SHORT position after reducing it yesteray. Doh!
Looking ahead, this may be the start of broader weakness although I don't expect anything too dramatic at this stage.
CME_MINI:ES1! TVC:SPX AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ