S&P500 idea based on current Options & DarkPool dataShortly and succinctly, but on the subject - how I see it from Swing Trading approach when it comes to option data and S&P 500. After the last OpEx, I expect a temporary advantage of Bulls with a short break around 4500. The move will end in the supply zone 4548-4567, where Virgin VPOC from 10.02 should be retested. Then a few subsequent sessions will bring drop in price, retesting Virgins on 4357 and 4220.
Options data is available for free - inquisitive and curious traders I invite you to my profile and via DM. This data will allow you to get a market advantage now, by indicating sentiment and key levels where a billion dollars from Smart Money has been placed - as they use options for hedging their risk.
Hedge
Gold is a buy, or a wait-and-buy for manyI think as a hedge against inflation Gold (or metal products) will increasingly become popular. Cryptos may be the future, and Equities may love inflation, but when fear strikes, even the most aggressive speculator may want to lay their foundation in the one thing that has historically spanned centuries as a hedge against turbulent times. Gold is old, but it's not going away anytime soon.
XRP Long ThesisAs I study the daily chart, I realize the EMA Clouds have been converging for a while. In my opinion, this only means one thing, and that is, XRP is ready to make a big move. Due to Swift restrictions, I believe this coin will play a substantial role in the transfer of capital in the coming months. It's on sale if you were considering investing long-term. I'm very confident in this.
BTC, ETH, ADA, GOLDComparison of crypto currencies to gold.
The buying and selling decisions depicted in this chart suggest that gold is still considered a flight to safety.
BTC will once again have to become the centre of public and policy maker's thoughts in order for it to reverse.
** Do note that the assets depicted are on separate scales (ie high beta in crypto compared to gold = greater percentage price moves).
SPDN SP500 HedgeIf you believe the SP500 market will trade lower, but still have bought the market. The SPDN gives a trader a way to limit their loss in case of failure.
A stop loss below 14.60 and a profit limit order above 15.62 means you could limit your loss if the SP500 trades lower below 4000.
$PAXG/BTC 12h (#BinanceSpot) Ascending channel on supportPaxos Gold is pulling back and retesting 100EMA where it is likely to bounce and continue bullish, let's hedge crypto!
If you know how to Margin trade, you can use up to 2x for that set-up
Current Price= 0.04565
Buy Entry= 0.04553 - 0.04381
Take Profit= 0.05023 | 0.05473 | 0.05972
Stop Loss= 0.04096
Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 | 1:2.71 | 1:4.03
Expected Profit= +12.45% | +22.52% | +33.63%
Possible Loss= -8.31%
Fib. Retracement= 0.5 | 0.883 | 1.272
Margin Leverage= 1x | 2x
Estimated Gain-time= 5 weeks
Tags: #PAXG #PAXGBTC #PaxGold #Paxos #Gold #XAU #PreciousMetal
Website: paxos.com
Contracts:
#ERC20 0x45804880de22913dafe09f4980848ece6ecbaf78
#BEP20 0x7950865a9140cb519342433146ed5b40c6f210f7
#BEP2 PAXG-9B2
Silver - An opportunity of a lifetime? Hello All,
If you saw my last post about the bullish potential of Gold then Silver should pique your interest. Silver has not had a new All-time high since 1980 / 2011. Gold and Silver have a tendency to move together and act in tandem. Silver also has many use cases for technology that I will not get into here but a simple Google search can reveal that.
A large break out in Gold could push Silver much high and offer a larger percent return to the holder if this plays out. It would be good to keep your eye on these key levels over the next few months/years. This could be an opportunity of a lifetime.
This is a play that would require much patience but the time may be coming near.
IMPP GAS / CARGO STOCKImperial Petroleum, Lowest float & market cap GAS stock on WEBULL.
The webull readout said 3000% of the float was turned over yesterday on tuesday, adn then today another 3000% of the float was turned over. The company did an offering for 11,000,000$ underwritten for ships, cargo / oil shipping.
With the war on Ukraine, this is exactly the type of stock I used to hedge for inflation and to help provide a means of production at the same time to reduce the cost of oil.
My projection is neutral but long.
1.25 was our high of the day, with a low of about 1.03, targets are approximately 1.50 2.10 3.50.
Short interest is 100% utilized, the borrowing fee is 100% annual.
The float is 14,000,000 total.
There is a small chance for a retracement to the .80s, but it would still be a good valued stock at these levels.
OIL and SHIPPING will grow over the next 6 months I believe.
it looks like shoulder 2 of a large Elliot wave.
The Golden Cup.... And Handle Since gold's high of $1,924 back on the 29th of August, 2011, gold has been forming a long-term cup and handle formation. With gold reaching $1,900 recently, and a myriad of other macro economic factors such as rampant inflation, global civil unrest, supply chain shortages, and geopolitical tensions, to name a few, we could easily see gold hit the psychological price target of $2,000 an ounce by the end of this year or even sooner. This would be followed by a bull rally super cycle in gold where we will be in a price exploratory phase where the heights are endless.
Now is the time to head down to your local jeweler and pick up some physical gold coins. These coins will act as your hedge against an economic break-down. You will at least have access to some form of currency in the event of a bank run or other situation in which individuals cannot access cash in their bank or their crypto for that matter. Think this isn't possible? Well, think again and refer back to the great depression where there was a bank run and people weren't able to withdraw cash. Gold acts as an insurance policy and is a good alternative to storing your wealth all in cash. It is recommended to have at least a 5% allocation to physical metals such as gold or silver. Now may be the time to consider adding physical gold to your portfolio. Plus, who doesn't enjoy playing with a little gold? It makes a special ringing sound when you flick it into the air that you have to experience yourself.
#thedailyinvestor
GBPNZD - LongsFX:GBPNZD
I will be watching for potential longs on GN but only if we come and liquidate these lows here. I will also be looking for shorts to cover if longs don't work!
Don't sit on your hands waiting for positions to come to you all the time, expose yourself to the fact that anything in the markets can happen!
What if you wait two days to go long and longs don't work? You have wasted time and money, be smart!
XLE to hit $130 by Jan 2025 a 300% gain from 2020 lowsCheck out the two trends prior to this. Clearly, you can see the run of over 300% that was 6 years long and then another 5-year trend at 142% gain. I believe we have entered commodities run and companies that produce oil and sell gasoline or diesel are going to benefit hugely. I am making a call that by January of 2025 we will see XLE at $130. Even if it doesn't, WTI Crude will hit that $130 mark. Two calls right there I think are very realistic repeating that 5-6 year trend which also matches the first 300% gain although the climb may be steeper. I think that climb coincides with how much inflation we have so I believe it's still a fair analysis overall.
If you have not watched my recent video on hyperinflation, I suggest you do. At least go compare a 1month chart of the M2 money supply (M2SL) to the SPX. Hand a hand increases and parabolic running back to 1960. It looks to be sometime around 2025 we hit our first level of lift-off, straight up as the curve stops and begins to head to the moon. This happens to land around my chart here with XLE being at $130 by 2025. After 2025 all bets are off. WE could be heading into a massive inflationary person and it could be a billion per share or something crazy. That number won't matter anymore of course as it's only nominal.
The Monkey and the Wise OwlOne night, the monkey was monkeying as usual, jumping up and down, left and right, holding his fingers straight out of his head as if they were horns of a fearless bull. The Owl watched carefully, one eye skeptical, the other sarcastic.
"What do you think you are doing?" said the wise owl.
"I am hedging with BTC against a market crash," said the monkey, who didn't need an adjective to have his character described.
"You are doing what?!" said the wise owl with half a chuckle, while still holding to its skeptical/sarcastic look. "Look deeper into my eyes and you shall see."
"Shall see what?" asked the monkey monkey eagerly.
"You shall see experience, you fool," replied the wise owl, "If you hedge volatility with more risk, especially if the correlation coefficient is almost 1 more than 80% of the time, and, even more, when the coefficient was low, it was because BTC was falling while the market didn't, then you must be insane."
"The past doesn't necessarily predict the future," echoed the monkey with one of those packaged sentences that he knows by heart.
"I will give you that," said the wise owl. "But then, why do you expect BTC to go up?"
"Because it always did in the past," replied the monkey confidently. "And even the market rises eventually after any crash," it felt the urge to add.
"Indeed," replied the wise owl so calmly, that kind of calmness which signals the lack of interest in further conversation. They waved goodbye.
Back to its precious solitude, the owl switched to is smartphone, navigated to the investment app, and opened a massive short position on the monkey's future, while using BTC as a hedge.
BITCOIN BTC Long idea Bitcoin has seen another big correction in the first week of January. BTC is now 40% down since the all-time highs of November. There has been some support formed at the low 42-41k level. I'm bearish on Bitcoin however whenever there has been a big sell-off, a small bounce from the support area nearly always happens. The target of this long idea is for BTC to rise and retest the 44k level. The stop-loss area for this trade is located just after the bottom of the recent wick near 41k.
FANTOM vs ETHEREUM: Today's Perfect PostsBuy the strongest, Sell the weakest.. in other words Hedge
Best case scenario? Watch both trades deliver profits!
In such a volatile and unclear crypto environment, Hedging is probably a necessity. Unless you can be a long term hodler ( Hope you didn't buy XRP at 3$ in 2017 and still holding tight. That sucks).
Ethereum dropped as expected whereas Fantom ended up 10% higher in a bearish market.
Stick around, we will try to do it again tomorrow~
Two loves (1 short 1 long),
the FXPROFESSOR