Might still not be too late to invest in BITCOIN!BTCUSD, The modern day diamond in the trading world seems to be fomulating a promising cup and handle setup. This might be a perfect time to invest in the coin by leverage buying it at its risk entry!
Hedgefunds
The Japannese Yen continues to Override the US Dollar!USDJPY which went bearish, from atleast a month ago continue to show a serious plummet after failing to break the the H4 Timeframe trendline. Hopefully this might be a great comeback for a devastated Japanese economy!
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - Sentiment Analysis**🚀 Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series! 📚**
Are you looking to level up your trading game? Join us for the next 10 lessons as we dive deep into essential trading concepts that will help you grow your knowledge and sharpen your skills. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to better understand the markets.
**📊 What is Sentiment Analysis?**
Sentiment analysis gauges the mood of market participants towards an asset or the entire market. By analyzing news, social media, and financial reports, you can determine whether the sentiment is bullish, bearish, or neutral, helping you anticipate market moves.
**👥 Who Are the Most Important Market Participants?**
The market is shaped by various players: Retail traders, institutional investors, market makers, central banks, high-frequency traders, and arbitrageurs. Each plays a crucial role in price movements and market efficiency.
**📈 Why Does Sentiment Matter?**
Sentiment drives market behavior. Understanding it allows you to anticipate trends, avoid potential pitfalls, and make informed decisions before significant market moves.
**🔍 How to Read the Market Sentiment?**
Analyze news headlines, social media, market indices like the VIX, and sentiment indicators like the Put/Call Ratio to get a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
**🎯 The Right Indicator**
Selecting the right sentiment indicator depends on your trading focus. Use tools like the Bullish Percent Index, AAII Sentiment Survey, and VIX to gain deeper insights.
--> ❤️ I love the sentiment indicator by Dreatblitz: Bull Bear Power Trend (BBPT) - I use it to find divergences in price and emotional trends.
**👍 Pros and Cons of Sentiment Analysis**
**Pros:** Anticipate market moves, identify overbought/oversold conditions, and complement other analyses.
**Cons:** It can be subjective, rapidly change, and sometimes lead to irrational market behavior.
**🔚 Conclusion and Recommendation**
Sentiment analysis is a powerful tool in your trading arsenal. Combine it with technical and fundamental analysis for the best results, and always prioritize risk management. With practice, you'll become adept at reading market sentiment and using it to your advantage.
**🔥 Can’t get enough? Don't Miss Out!**
Subscribe, share, and engage with us in the comments. This is the start of a supportive trading community—built by traders, for traders! 🚀 Join us on the journey to market mastery, where we grow, learn, and succeed together. 💪
**💡 What You'll Learn:**
- The fundamentals of trading
- Key technical and sentiment indicators
- Risk management strategies
- And much more!...
Best wishes,
TradingMasteryHub
USDJPY - Lack of Supply, Fueled by Hidden DemandThe USDJPY currency pair has recently experienced a significant surge in value, defying expectations based on visible supply signals. Despite the absence of apparent selling pressure, price action has broken through the last known supply area, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Upon closer examination, it becomes evident that a previously identified demand zone has played a pivotal role in fueling the price increase. This zone, marked on the chart, represents an area where buyers have historically been active, and it has served as a catalyst for the recent rally.
Furthermore, indicators that monitor institutional activity on the market have been flashing bullish signals, suggesting that large players are accumulating USDJPY positions. This influx of institutional buying power has provided additional momentum to the upward trend.
With price action now trading above the previous supply area, the path of least resistance remains higher. Traders should be aware that the current rally may continue until a new supply zone is encountered or until the bullish momentum fades.
XRP Entering another 175 Week cycle. $220 EOY ExplainedRed projections is 2014-2017 price action. We take that entire cycle place it at the end of the prior 8 week cycle which week of 11/9/20 and get projections.
As new cycles begin that's where the red projections start price inverts the most at the start as we see and begins to slowly line up and the inversions slow down and line up the closer we get to entering a new cycle which we see.
This repeating price action & inversion it's simply predetermined algo based price action "its a a booked market place" it's masking movement but we can see it's lining up again as we enter the pump the inversions slowing fading and now price is lining up which indicates significant price movement is close.
"News is the excuse for the moves" - NeverWishing
-We have settlement approaching.
-Ripple IPO.
-Feb 7th 24 Congress wants to regulate Stable coins & the need for clear rules and federal regulatory oversight.
This is just naming a few events but the main focus is to remember the only digital asset with legal clarity in the United States is XRP. It has obtained a unique legal status being the only altcoin to enjoy such certainty. XRP is the only digital asset other then bitcoin with legal clarity in the U.S
-Neverwishing
Staying Cautious on Bitcoin Until After The ETF DecisionsI don't know about you, but with all of the hype for the Bitcoin ETF going on, I am staying pretty cautious in the markets right now. Even though there are some big movements going in other altcoins, most eyes are watching good ole BTC.
Nobody truly knows what is going to happen, there is a ton of speculation going on and the price action we are seeing is people trying to buy coins before the hedge funds go nuts with their money.
Many say it will be a 'sell the news' kind of event. This may be the case. In 2017, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust opened up futures trading on the CME, and that is what started the collapse of that market cycle. So who really knows.
In times of crazy news cycles like this, I pay more and more attention to the charts for my direction. Right now I am seeing Bitcoin hitting a very solid line of resistance. It needs to break through the 48K level and find it as support for me to be more bullish. If we get rejected on the news, we could see a big dip down to the high 30's or low 40's which is where, if the ETFs pass, the hedge funds will be looking to scoop up. So don't be surprised to see some market manipulation going on.
So we may see some fireworks for sure in the next couple of days, but whether they are red or green fireworks has yet to be seen. I am just staying cautious and not going to make impulsive decisions either way.
What are your thoughts on the Bitcoin ETFs and where do you think the price will go?
VIX - THE RECESSION INEVITABLE?The "VIX = Volatility Index S&P500" has predicted us in the last 3 decades, quite reliable possible "extreme movements".
= Why in the next 2-years such an event could occur, we will take a closer look in the following article.
WHAT IS THE VOLATILITY INDEX S&P500
= Expresses the expected range of fluctuation of the U.S. stock index S&P 500.
= To determine volatility, it measures the distribution of options that run on these stocks.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1st part = VIX
- 2nd part = VIX PROPERTIES + USE
- 3rd part = CURRENT SITUATION
- 4th part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"PAST."
If you compare the past of the "VIX" with the S&P500, you will notice that the - 36.47 - mark played / continues to play a very important role.
Every time the "VIX" exceeded the - 36.47 -, there was extreme volatility in the S&P500 and other asset classes.
PAST EXTREME MOVEMENTS .
> 01.10.1998
> 01.10.2008
> 03/02/2020 (near crash)
Why the VIX has such a big impact on the S&P500 and how we can actively factor this into our trading follows in part two.
PART TWO
"VIX CHARACTERISTICS"
The "VIX" provides information on how serious fluctuations could be based on the option volume.
= "VIX" goes up -> Statistically more likely that the S&P500 will fall.
= "VIX" goes down -> Probably that the S&P500 gains slightly.
Additionally, it can be noted that as soon as the "VIX" gets close to - 36.47 - many market participants take profits.
WHY IS THIS SO?
The market has already reached a "VERY VOLATILE point".
> Price - FALLS - fast = SHORT positions will take profits > BUY
> Price - RISES - fast = LONG positions will take profits > SELL
CONSIDERATION OF "VIX" IN TRADING?
"VIX" = Negative correlation to the S&P500 = "VIX" goes up = S&P500 goes down.
= This negative correlation occurs because institutional investors use options to hedge against high volatility (hedge against stocks).
RISING "VIX"
= less liquidity in the stock markets + position reduction = stocks fall
FALLING "VIX"
= More liquidity in the equity markets + position building = equities rise
PART THREE
"CURRENT SITUATION"
> The "CORONA crash" could not make a new HH in the "VIX", which is why this could still be pending at the current view.
= 2020 the market "fell" "35.41%" in the SPX
= 2008 the market "fell" "57.69%" in the SPX
With the technical analysis, I come with the current constellation, to a higher "VIX" value than the 2008 reached.
= which would mean a bigger sell-off.
> Since 2018, we have been testing a "falling resistance line."
= Similar resistance lines resulted in the past when broken, with significant volatility + movement in the S&P500 (= traditional markets).
= The current resistance line has been respected several times, resulting in reactions.
> The "rising resistance line" since 1990 + "the arc" + "the macroeconomic environment", suggest another "VIX" breakout .
> The rising resistance line was tested at the two "extremes" - 01.10.1998 + 01.10.2008 - on.
= this meant, both times, the temporary end of the extreme volatility
= in 2020 we could not reach it, which additionally suggests another "breakout".
> If the price trend continues to consider the direction of the arc, then this leads us to a much higher target than 2008 / ever before.
PART FOUR
CONCLUSION
"If the VIX is high, then it's time to buy, if the VIX is slow, it's time to go"
> Regardless of the outcome of the analysis, anyone who hasn't used the VIX before should now have gained a little insight.
The future looks anything but bright for now, however we can use this time to learn and grow .
The VIX could delay the final decision for another 2-years, which is certainly to the advantage of each of us.
= Despite this still "long" period of time, a decision will be made in the future.
> Let's discuss it in the comments and exchange our perspectives, your view on the whole thing would interest me "burning".
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would greatly appreciate a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!
Shadow Banking The shadow banking system is something you're probably not familiar with.
Until today!
the shadow banking system is made up of mainly investment banks i.e. your market whales or market makers, money market funds i.e. like schwab and vanguard, and hedge funds. these financial entities dont give out loans to you or I, but rather trade amongst themselves. which is what is known as the shadow banking system.
one of the main functions of the Shadow Banking system is to provide liquidity aka money (which is mostly made up anyways) to the financial system. for example if a whale wants to move a massive amount of money into a position, or what happened to Zimbabwe a while back and give an entire nation a loan at a ridiculous amount of interest they're able to do so, or take a massive position in a promising opportunity and need capital fast!
How does this work? How do you ensure that a hedge fund will pay back on their loan?
collateral!
Usually in the form of government issued bonds and bills. one can trade an equilivent amount of t-bills plus interest for X-amount of dollars to carry out said transaction.
example:
Hedge fund A wants to take a position shorting the RMBS market. (strictly coincidental) Hedge Fund A is so confident in their analysis they are willing to take a whales position. they need the capital. well like all good risk management practices they have off set their high beta shares with low risk positions. the lowest risk investment you can have is a US Bond or Treasury Bill.
So, Investment bank A says okay I can lend you 10 Billion Dollars at a 4% interest rate per day for 3 days, if you default I keep your Bonds. The swap happens.
Now, Hedge Fund A has not only to make their money back on the bond trade, but they have to make at least 4.01% to make the trade profitable and they have 3 days to do it.
Another way this can be done is Hedge Fund B says I too am going to short the RMBS market but i am going to offer it to all the investment banks and other hedge funds. So they offer it as an investment opportunity. the offering fund takes a small fee and the winnings or losings are dealt accordingly.
while this might sound a a little familiar... well it is! names and places have been changed to protect the innocent.
The major critique the financial system has with this Shadow Banking is that its not really regulated. becasue going back to our example with Hedge Fund A
If Hedge Fund A Doesnt pay then Investment Bank A can shoot their interest rate from 4% to 40% in one day making the loan almost impossible to pay back causing the Hedge Fund to collapse and all the unsuspecting investors in the Hedge Fund are out of pocket.
Or my personal favorite. Lets Say Hedge Fund (HFA) A is going to short the RMBS market with a 10 Billion dollar Position for 3 days and Investment Bank A (IBA) wants to short the CMBS market with a $20 billion position for 5 days. well the trade between HFA and IBA happens 10 billion will float to HFA at a 4% interest rate per day for 3 days.
Now, IBA wants to short CMBSs they will approach Life Insurance Group A (LIA) and will offer $20 billion dollars in bonds 10 from their reserve and the 10 billion from HFA. at a 5% per day interest rate for 5 days.
Now, you might see the problem. but i will continue.
Day 3 is up. HFA made their little profit. IBA doesnt have their bonds (because theyre with LIA). So, IBA will probably give HFA 10 billion of their own bonds which for this post is what happens.
HFA is squared away with IBA.
Now, in the 5 days that IBA is holding LIAs money the fed decided to raise interest rates 200 base points. the bond market yields sky rocket causing their prices to plummet.
but fortunately IBA made 10% on their risk they pay LIA their 5% interest and take a 5% loss on their bonds and come out BE or Break even.
As you can see in this overly simplified example how if any one part of these parties failed it could be detrimental for a lot of people. Because peoples pensions are held by hedge funds, countries and other governments have their investments with the Investment Bank peoples money and loans are held with the Life Insurance groups.
I believe this shadow banking system is also the Stock Markets (yes the entire stock markets) Stop Loss!
AMC GapFill play around $4.0Hediges are shoring again into CPI day, possibly down to $4.0 and then rebound to 200MA...
If you are heavily down, it is a good area to do either a good amount of averaging down, or just play the swing.
Buy Oil WTI - IMO should bounce on this L/T +++ Ascending Trend line Line - L/T Technical support from March 2020 lows.
Using a weekly candle chart,
Crude right on an upward trend line testing, using the March 2020 low.
Crude should bounce from here current level having been tough to break over the last 2 years.
Unless we are about to live a historical correction moment on Oil (liquidation/ news flow / Itan) the current price action set up is favouring longs here.
As an aside we are also reaching a 50% retardement Fibonacci ratio level taking High 2022/ March 2020 Low.
NYMEX:CL1!
Revisiting my prior theory on creation of GME FTDs through TTTHello everyone, Chem here..
Earlier this year along with the help of copious amounts of information on Reddit.
I discovered that it is super blatant that
TTT (ProShares Ultra Pro Short),
seemingly spikes strongly into GameStop
run ups.
Overlaying the charts has allowed
me to view and observe perfect symmetry
between the two.
My theory and ideals on this entire topic
stands. If you wish to read my extremely
detailed ideas and rant topics then feel
free to somewhat educate yourself.
Kenny G, ain't no stoppin' me.
Cant stop. Wont stop. GameStop.
Just sold my car for more shares, I bike to
my chemical warehouse job where I work
80 hours a week at. I'Il inhale cancerous
products 24/7 just to fuel GME fractional
amounts if it means cell one day. You give
me power Kenny G. Thanks you
Check out my other great topics about this
same idea.
GME to the moon
Not financial advice.
Also I'm 100% on my calls so far, in terms
of success, if that means anything to you
analytical people.
Further explanation in comments.
How MM's work..How MM's work.. Manipulating and buying dips (=investing) to sell with giant profits.
Why price reacts to s&d zones before breaking themWhy price reacts to s&d zones before breaking them.
We tend to see a reaction for one simple reason;
- BFI's need liquidity to accumulate a sizable position.
So, how would a reaction provide them with this liquidity?
- Retail traders will enter aggressively at these s&d zones
expecting price to move away from them. Now, BFI's will
use all this liquidity to accumulate a sizable position,
targeting the next pool of liquidity which is
retail's stop-losses on the opposite side of the zone.
UsdchfThe market might go up and then it gonna retest the points.. thats how hedge funds work.. they leave the market to go up and then they will earn there money
GME and the day the brokers said f*** youI am not a legal financial advisor or consultant, everything shown here is strictly for learning purposes and is of my own opinion. Please do your own research and due diligence and never take any one persons words as 100% truth. GME, GME, GME. man oh man what a year GME had. this failing business had the perfect idea to get back on it's feet and what did the hedgies do? Shot the living crap out of it, would have fail if not for WSB. (LOOKING AT YOU SEC LOSERS) Now this stock has become a meme stock and brokers around the world hat it so much some platforms are still restricting the buy and sell of it. I think in this regard, GME is doomed. And so is this legal and financial system to boot. Profitism is a cancer that caused half of 2020 and 2021 problems (the other half by it shall not be named) If anything GME has lost a bit of money and we will see this trend continue as a financial tug of war happens between short hedgies and WSB yolo trades. It's such a clown show people.
GME WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!!!!Gme formed a pennant and broke out of it and will make new all time high , gme will be incredible as of the price target i can't really give one , but if brokers don't pull any dirty tricks and cause massive sell offs i really do seeing this going to the thousands, currently on the elliott wave it seems that we are heading to the 4th wave for correction and after that GME WILL GO NUTS!!!!!! Volkswagen squeeze in 2008 managed to shoot all the way to 1000 with a short float of 13% , but GME in the other hand has a whopping float of 20.99% insane , this is not financial advice this is just a fellow ape's analysis on GME, remember these hedge funds will do whatever the hell they could do to make you sell your precious shares don't fall victim, the gme situation is basically supply & demand and it's basically our choice on what we want the price to be, im signing out from here , any questions or concerns feel free to comment and if i made a mistake i'd very much appreciate some comments , be blessed and make that cheese,In God & GME we Trust!
AMC (hedge funds are desperate)If they're using bots and shills to comment on YouTube and DM you, you know you're winning!
(GME) GameStop: The SqueezeIs it me or does this look like breakout is imminent? I like the stock. I'm bullish for the coming weeks.
This is not financial advice. My opinion only.
USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Update #3 (3 Mar 2021)Summary of technical analysis on the USD/JPY:
- Fib(0) changed to 106.957 high of 10:00 candle
- Stophunting session to grab the selling liquidity
- Temporary long ('short squeeze') & then short
- Swing is overextended to the upside
- RSI pullback to probe above the 70
- Extremely low volume for a new high
Bitcoin met a brief correction - next stop; $50,000?$32,000 seems to be the low for $BTC these times. I think we'll see the price trying to break through ATH soon. 📈
In the bullrun in 2017, we saw the public being somewhat ready for mass-adoption but people are having even better opportunities to buy BTC now. 🙌🏽
Furthermore, huge hedgefunds and banks are not actively shorting Bitcoin like they have done before. US banks are hedging by holding huge amounts of cryptocurrency. 😅
FED is printing a tremendous amount of dollars to back the coronavirus relief-packages, which obviously means higher inflation. This gives BTC an advantage. 🖨
If you have any ideas or thoughts about my chart or Bitcoin, let me know! I'd love to hear other peoples opinion on the matter 👏🏽
If you want to support my work, please consider using my referral ID when you register on Binance:
11366025
NOK+LUMN+INO: a big LONGS SQUEEZE for the small investors Hedge funds circumventing every rule of technical and fundamental analysis were indulged in a vindictive trading
against small investors from around the world who invested in NOK, LUMN and INO stocks.
These companies are financially sound, with excellent fundamentals and brilliant prospects and have nothing to do
with other companies with problems.
Is this how Wall Street wants to attract investors from all over the world?
If that's how things work on Wall Street, investors can also visit a casino to ‘invest’ their money.
Prompt: New traders should take some time and carefully read the post entitled 'You can't beat the market' that is located in my profile.
Disclaimer
The author of this text is not an investment advisor. The preceding content is intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only.
It is not an advice or inducement for the purchase or sale of the products mentioned. Before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances,
it is very important to do your own research and analysis and also take independent financial advice from a professional to verify any information provided here.
