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USD/CAD MIssed Short tradeHey guys and girls This is a late post This trade happened on Friday of late week I put my limit order 2 pips below the 50 ema on the 1 hr chart the night before The next morning around 7:30 am CST there was some movement in the USD/CAD and the price came within 1/2 a pip from filling my order and never filled Yes it sucks that this happened and is annoying because it would have been a huge winner, but i followed my plan so there was nothing else i could do When this happens NEVER CHASE THE TRADE!!! On to the next trade...
Short
by FXjoey90
PAY ATTENTION! Another Anomaly on USD Big Banks Fooling Us...Another anomaly, this time on USD/CAD. Big Banks and big Financial Institutions are trying to fool us again. A huge move up on USD/CAD, huge green candle BUT below average Volume. The daily candle has stopped a little bit above the March, April, May, June, July, August, September combined POC but below-average volume. Again, to break such strong POC without Volume is REALLY odd. In my humble opinion, this price will go up until around 1.33826 (which is a strong supply zone and June POC) to shake it up and panic the retailers and then strongly and heavily slump down. Be ready!
Short
by Gottmann
USD/CAD Stopped outAlthough its been busy in USD/CAD the past few weeks i haven't had much success, but that is OK because i am taking every trade that is according to my strategy. If this was years ago i would have giving up and though my strategy was not working and i would look for a new one Since then i have hired a trading coach and e taught my to think in probabilities and how to back test my strategy and that is what i have been doing Losses are a part of the game but if your strategy like mine over 2 years has a win % of 55 and you are keeping a 1:2 risk/reward then yo will be just fine
Short
by FXjoey90
An important lesson: bad traders and investorsThere so many random people starting hedge funds & all they have to do is shadow the market and voila, you are a millionaire (this is 100% true), in a batch of thousands of people some are going to be lucky - simply a normal distribution - and get better results and end up billionaires instead of millionaires. They are certainly good at marketing and presentation all that stuff to attract dumbvestors. Alot of people that really know this business say that 95% - or more - are complete frauds. I mean, at least they are able not to lose money. The cool thing is they have alot of money, and this money is ripe for the picking. They almost always underperform indices, and bring so much cash in, I think in late 2017 they had over 800 billion usd into stocks. Bringing plenty of volatility and volume, so easy to just ride on their backs when something strats trending then they follow the momentum and push it strongly... So today, let us look first at Bill Ackman. This guy became a billionaire somehow, probably just what a random normal distribution does, and he was bullish on valeant pharmaceuticals at 200$. Now what did it look like back then? Looks like a complete bubble. He is probably one of these guys that does not believe in TA. But any way you look at it you can clearly see it lost momentum, and it looks like a bubble. There was 1 small support and that is it. The price skyrocketed, of course there is a strong possibility it just skyrockets down... What did he do? Buy "the dip" at 200$, then he refused to sell because "it cannot go lower I am sure about this" and he even BOUGHT MORE "cheap" as the thing was going down. He wanted to hold it "for the long term" but under pressure and to convince investors he had not entirely lost his mind he ended up selling at something like 10-15$. Cringe. His fortune was over 2 billion, and now he only has 1 left. He used to be called "baby Buffet". No more. People just do not understand normal distributions. Second story. "Vadim Perelman was a young hedge fund hot shot not so long ago, overseeing a portfolio in the hundreds of millions at the age of 31, hopping on corporate boards, and issuing lengthy slide presentations about his favorite stock picks. But then Perelman placed an enormous bet on a single company, Walter Investment Management." Translation: Freshly out of school nerd started with wins due to how normal distribution works. He ended up with hundreds of millions quickly. And he probably considered himself a "legend". The new Warren Buffet, the genius of finance that would reinvent trading. Let's look at the story. I cannot find the chart in trading view so it is going to be all text. Trading legend and young prodigy Vadim Perelman hedge fund was the largest shareholder of Walter Investment Management in June 2015 when the share was quoted 23$. Perelman’s U.S. stock portfolio has gone from $854 million in 2013, including the notional value of a large number of options, to $35 million in September 2016, SEC filings show. Trading legends never cut losses... THIS ACTUALLY HAPPENS IN REAL LIFE REALLY???? There are so many examples, but I had enough for now. So not be one of those. Trading is easy, seriously, but some qualities are required, such as IF you go all in on something (why?) do not let it drop 95% before getting out. Or in other words, the quality of not being a complete moron. Nothing warms my heart more than watching an arrogant fool that gets lucky and thinks he is this superhero get struck by reality and fall face first on the hard ground. If they get angry it is even better. An amazing treat. On the flip side you might get the one that is really good but starts with bad luck, but I doubt that happens often... I just cannot believe all these "common errors" of trading I keep hearing all the time... but then I see experienced educated professionals make them... what is this? Really? "Oh I cannot just open a trade and forget about it or just follow my rules" why? why? People are broken lmao. Avoid all these dumb mistakes never cutting losses not being disciplined overtrading FOMOing etc and seriously it's basically impossible not to make money trading. Maybe I'll teach a dog or a 5 years old one day. Oh I think Dan TheChartGuys daughter knows how to make money and she is 10. Not sure but I think that is what I heard. Now that the crypto bubble is over, I will miss seeing a new "legend" pop out of nowhere get a lucky streak of 3-4 winners once every 3 days, call himself the son of god himself, blow up and disappear. People that are interested in trading - I think - are less dumb than alot of the people that appear during bubbles such as crypto. In all seriousness, I hope this never changes, thousands of morons playing with hundreds of billions of dollars, booooii I'm feeling tingles as I type this, the potential to rob them is enormous. For someone addicted to charts and that learns new things every day. Luckilly I am one of those. I CANNOT WAIT for my trading week to start, see some fear, see some panic selling and buy these dips then run away with their money.
EUREX:BVFF1!Education
by MrRenev
#NZDUSD ready to drop? #forex The first setup of the following week is the short scenario on NZDUSD. The kiwi is dropping since april in kind of stairs. This allows us the next sceanrio. Currently sitting on the weekly resistance , before we formed a new lower low. Tested the daily resistance beyond and dropped within 2 days. Seems we have more pressure for a next downside move with targets of the last low and the 27% Fib level. But before this happens , we 're looking for a nice close of one of the 4hour candles , thats confirmes our signal. Trade safe and have an eye on the upcomming news on USD and NZD. TEAM CRYPTO
Short
by jkfx13
2
#GBPCAD the trap of the Bulls? #forex First view on GBPCAD on the daily or 4hour Chart, you can easily see the Head and Shoulders formation. Left shoulder nice bounce between the daily resistance ( 1.73 & 1.7444 ) with continuation for the head . Head bounced at the weekly resistance ( 1.77178) and dropped to the lower daily support for the "body" . After that the push began to create the right shoulder. This one was formed within one 4hour candle bearish (over150 Pips in this candle) . Ended up the "Body" GBPCAD began to rise again . The idea to fall even lower , what is to expect at a Head and Shoulders formation, failed Currently we are fighting with the daily resistance and the 38% level. If this resistance is breaking we are heading to the head (weekly resistance). Which confluences do we have ? Seeing the SHS didnt play out as expect with a strong bounce of the daily support ( also 61,8% Fib level) let assume the bears losing controll. Also do we have a nice daily bullish monumentum with strong bullish candles ( spikes to daily and fib ) (bulls recover ) . Now waiting for the break and a strong daily bullish candle to increase our volume on this long trade. (70%) Entry : 1.74333 Stop : 60 Pips Target : 290 Pips Hope you enjoy and profit with us! TEAM CRYPTO
Long
by jkfx13
Interesting trading movementsAre those movements (see arrows) only random or are they the consequence of the trading of hedgefunds? A lot of reasons can be found: algorithms, stop-loss, sentiment of traders with weak hands (cyclical traders) Interestingly it hasn´t been only the up - and down movement of BTC but also the traded volume. This is the reason why I think that big hedgefunds are at least to a big part responsible for this phenomenon. If this is the case alle technical analysis should be taken very careful; cause the hedgefundmanagers know more than us the function. They can take in mind the reaction of the market, give a little impulse and wait. So they can make profit in both directions. This isn´t illegal but we - the smaller traders - should never forget that " big brother " (hedgefunds) is watching you.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Luettis
1