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Hedging

Harvesting Risk Hedged Treasury YieldEver heard of risk-free rates? Risk free rates are commonly understood to refer to interest rates on 10-year US treasuries. These are considered risk-free as the likelihood of the US government defaulting is considered extremely unlikely. Treasuries pay out a fixed interest and can be redeemed for their face value at maturity. Fixed returns and negligible default risk make treasuries a critical addition to any decent investment portfolio. With inflation on the downtrend and Fed’s hiking cycle nearing its apex, long term treasuries provide a fixed income-generating asset with no reinvestment risk. Little default risk does not mean zero market risk. As highlighted in our previous paper , bond prices are materially exposed to interest rate risk. CME Group’s treasury futures allow investors to hedge that risk. This paper has been split into two parts – the first provides an overview of treasury futures and their nuances while the second walks through the trade setup required to harness risk-hedged yield. TREASURY FUTURES Treasury futures enable investors to express views on a bond’s future price movement. Investors can also hedge against interest rate risk by locking in a coupon rate. CME treasury futures are deliverable with eligible treasury securities which ensures price integrity. QUOTING Treasuries are quoted in fractional notation as a percent of their par value. For instance, a bond quoted at 111’272 suggests that it is trading 11 + 27.2/32 (11.85%) above its par value. This allows standardized quotation of bonds with different coupon rates. Note that notion of quotes in cash markets may be different from futures. AUCTION SCHEDULE Treasuries are auctioned periodically depending on their maturity duration. • Treasury Bills with maturity between 4 to 26 weeks are auctioned every week while T-Bills with maturity of 1-year are auctioned every four weeks. • Treasury Notes with maturity of 2, 3, 5, and 7 years are auctioned every month while T-Notes with maturity of 10-years are auctioned every quarter. • Treasury Bonds are auctioned every quarter. The auctions for each type of security are staggered to reduce their market impact. CONVERSION FACTOR It is possible for a large range of “eligible” treasuries to be available for deliveries against standardised futures contract as new treasuries are regularly auctioned at changing rates. The most recently auctioned securities that are eligible for delivery are called “on the run” securities. To standardize the delivery process for varying securities, a conversion factor unique to each bond is used. The buyer of the futures contract would pay the Principal Invoice Price to the seller. The Principal Invoice Price is the “Clean Price” of the security and is calculated by applying the Conversion Factor to the settlement price. When the Conversion Factor is less than 1, the buyer pays less than the settlement price and when it is higher than 1 the buyer pays more. ACCRUED INTEREST In addition to the adjustment for the quality of the bond being delivered, the buyer must also compensate the seller for any interest the bond would accrue between the last payment and the settlement date. The final cost to deliver the treasury futures contract would be the Clean Price + Accrued Interest. CHEAPEST TO DELIVER Due to the Conversion Factor, which is unique to each bond, some bonds appear to stand out as cheaper alternative for the seller to deliver. So, if a seller has multiple treasury securities, a rational seller will choose to deliver the one that best optimizes the Principal Invoice Price. As a result, futures price most closely tracks the Cheapest-to-Deliver ("CTD”) securities. This also provides an arbitrage opportunity for basis traders. In this case, the basis is the relationship between the cash price of the security and its clean price on the futures market. Small discrepancies in these may be profited upon. Notably, specialized contracts such as CME Ultra 10-year Treasury Note futures with selective eligibility requirements diminish the effects of CTD by reducing the range of deliverable treasuries. HEDGING BOND PRICE RISK WITH TREASURY FUTURES Treasury securities are a crucial and substantial addition to any well diversified portfolio, offering income generation, diversification, and safety. With interest rates elevated and inflation heading lower, coupon rates for long-term US treasuries are yielding positive real returns. Moreover, 10Y yield is hovering at its highest level in 13-years suggesting a strong entry point. Since the coupon rate of the security is fixed and they can be redeemed at face value upon maturity, the present higher yielding treasuries are a great long-term income generating investment. Despite the inverted yield curve, which suggests yields on longer-term securities are lower, a position in long-term bonds protects against reinvestment risk. Reinvestment risk refers to the risk that when the bond matures, rates may be lower. With Fed at the apex of its hiking cycle, rates will likely not go any higher. So, a position in long term T-bond, locked in at the current decade-high rates, offers a lucrative opportunity. The position also benefits in the uncertain scenario of a recession as bond prices rise during recessions. This investment fundamentally represents a long treasury bond position which profits in two ways: (a) Rising bond prices when interest rates decline, and (b) Coupon payments. If the coupon payout is unimportant, fluctuations in the bond price can be profited upon in a margin efficient manner using CME futures. This does not require owning treasuries as the majority of the treasury futures are cash settled with just 5% reaching delivery. In the fixed income case, the bond is held until maturity which leads to opportunity costs from bond price fluctuations. CME futures can be used to harvest a fixed yield from treasuries and remain agnostic to rate changes, by hedging the long treasury position with a short treasury futures position. This position is directionally neutral as losses on one of the legs are offset by profits on the other. The payoff can be improved by entering the short leg after bond prices are higher. To hedge treasury exposure using CME futures the Basis Point Value (BPV) needs to be calculated. BPV, also known as DV01, measures the dollar value of a one basis point (0.01%) change in bond yield. BPV depends upon the bond’s yield to maturity, coupon rate, credit rating and face value. Notably, BPV for longer maturity bonds is higher as their future cashflows are affected more by changes in yield. Another commonly used term is modified duration which determines the changes in a bond’s duration or price basis of a 1% change in yield. Importantly, the modified duration of the bond is lower than 100 BPV’s since the bond price relationship to yield is non-linear. BPV can be calculated by averaging the absolute change in the bond’s yield-to-maturity, its value when held until maturity, from a 0.01% increase and decrease in yield. Where there are multiple bonds in a portfolio, the BPV for a unit exposure will have to be multiplied by the number of units. On the futures side, BPV can be calculated as the BPV of the cheapest to deliver security for that contract divided by its conversion factor. By matching the BPV’s on both legs, the hedge ratio can be calculated. This represents the number of contracts needed to entirely hedge the cash position. SUMMARY OVERVIEW OF CME TREASURY FUTURES CME suite of treasury futures allow investors to gain exposure to treasury securities across a range of expiries in a deeply liquid market. Each futures contract provides exposure to face value of USD 100,000. The 2-Year, 5-Year, and 10-Year contract are particularly liquid. Micro Treasury Futures are more intuitive as they are quoted in yields and are cash settled. Each basis point change in yield represents a USD 10 change in notional value. These products reference yields of on-the-run treasuries and settled daily to BrokerTec US Treasury benchmarks ensuring price integrity and consistency. Micro Treasury Futures are available for 2Y, 5Y, 10Y, and 30Y maturities enabling traders to take positions across the yield curve with low margin requirements. TRADE SETUP TO HARVEST RISK HEDGED TREASURY YIELDS A long position in the on-the-run 10Y treasury notes and a short position in CME Ultra 10Y futures allows investors to benefit from the treasury bond’s high coupon payment while remaining hedged against interest rate risk. Hedge ratios can be calculated using analytical information from CME’s Treasury Analytics Tool to obtain the BPV of each of the legs: The on-the-run treasury pays a coupon rate of 3.375% pa. and its last quoted cash price was USD 98.04. It has a DV01 of USD 76.8. Since, each contract of CME Treasury Futures represents face value of USD 100,000, the long-treasury position would need to be in multiples of USD 100,000. For a face value of USD 500,000 (USD 100,000 x 5) this represents a notional value of USD 490,000 (Face Value x Cash Price) . The long-treasury position's DV01 = USD 76.8 x 5 = USD 385. The cheapest-to-deliver security has a DV01 of USD 92.2 and a conversion factor of 0.8244. The futures leg thus has a BPV = Cash DV01/Conversion Factor = USD 92.2/0.8244 = USD 111.8. The hedge ratio = BPV of Long Treasury/BPV of Short Futures = USD 385/USD 111 = ~4 (3.4) So, four (4) lots of futures would be required to hedge the cash position which would require a margin of USD 2,800 x 4 = USD 11,200. Though the notional on the two legs does not match, the position is hedged against interest rate risk and pays out 3.375% per annum in coupon payments. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
TVC:US10YEducation
by mintdotfinance
1
EURJPY Grid Hedging 60 Pips (Type A)0.02 lot size. I am applying Grid Hedging (Type A) trading management to EURJPY. I will enter buy and sell trades. Close trade when the trade is in 60 pips profit and open another 2 buy and sell trades. (Exit A) When buy trades more than sell trades, if last buy trade is 60 pips profit, I will close all trades. (Exit B) When sell trades more than buy trades, if last sell trade is 60 pips profit, I will close all trades. (Exit C) I will close all trades when total profit/loss of opened and closed trades has hit $72.
by gc1353
CHFJPY Grid Hedging 50 Pips (Type A)0.02 lot size. I am applying Grid Hedging (Type A) trading management to CHFJPY. I will enter buy and sell trades. Close trade when the trade is in 50 pips profit and open another 2 buy and sell trades. (Exit A) When buy trades more than sell trades, if last buy trade is 50 pips profit, I will close all trades. (Exit B) When sell trades more than buy trades, if last sell trade is 50 pips profit, I will close all trades. (Exit C) I will close all trades when total profit/loss of opened and closed trades has hit $60.
by gc1353
AUDCAD Grid Hedging 40 Pips (Type A)0.02 lot size. I am applying Grid Hedging (Type A) trading management to AUDCAD. I will enter buy and sell trades. Close trade when the trade is in 40 pips profit and open another 2 buy and sell trades. When buy trades more than sell trades, if last buy trade is 40 pips profit, I will close all trades. When sell trades more than buy trades, if last sell trade is 40 pips profit, I will close all trades. I will close all trades when total profit/loss of opened and closed trades has hit $48.
by gc1353
NZDCAD Grid Hedging 50 Pips (Type A)0.02 lot size. I am applying Grid Hedging (Type A) trading management to NZDCAD. I will enter buy and sell trades. Close trade when the trade is in 50 pips profit and open another 2 buy and sell trades. When buy trades more than sell trades, if last buy trade is 50 pips profit, I will close all trades. When sell trades more than buy trades, if last sell trade is 50 pips profit, I will close all trades. I will close all trades when total profit/loss of opened and closed trades has hit $60.
by gc1353
Preserving Your Capital Like A ChampIn the world of trading, effective trading capital management can mean the difference between success and failure. We cannot stress enough how critical this aspect is to long-term success. Today we will delve into the importance of managing your trading capital, the various strategies employed by many successful traders, and how you can implement these techniques to safeguard your investment and maximize profits. Understanding the Importance of Trading Capital Management Trading capital refers to the amount of money allotted for the purpose of trading your desired market. Proper management of trading capital is crucial for traders, as it helps them minimize losses and in turn, maximize profits. In essence, trading capital management is all about striking the right balance between taking risks and preserving your hard-earned money. One key aspect that differentiates successful traders from gamblers is their mindset. Gamblers tend to chase big wins, hoping for a life-changing payout, while traders focus on consistently generating small, predictable returns over the long term. Don’t get us wrong, big wins can and do happen, and they feel great when they do. Think of trading as a really long boxing match. It's rare and impractical for a boxer to believe they can knock out their opponent by flying out of a corner with no defense and going straight for a haymaker each time. The foundation for success takes many consistent jabs, and an unwavering defense, much like trading. Traders who want to be long-term successful will prioritize risk management and capital preservation, ensuring that they can continue trading even after incurring losses so they can pursue consistent profits. The Struggle is Real For New Traders New traders often find difficulty in managing their trading capital effectively. This is primarily due to their focus on making profits rather than minimizing risks. The desire to make money can lead to taking unnecessary risks, which can result in significant losses. It is crucial to remember that every loss must be recovered through a profitable trade to regain lost ground. So why not implement strategies that mitigate that lost ground in the first place? Strategies To Adopt for Long-Term Success So, what are some of the techniques that successful traders use to optimize their chances of consistent profits in the markets? Here are a few suggestions to improve your trading capital management: Implementing Stop-Loss Orders Always trade with a stop-loss. There are countless ways to implement a stop-loss, and we covered this in great detail in a previous article that is linked below. A stop-loss order allows you to specify a price at which your trade will be automatically closed if the market moves against you. This is the most practical and easily enactable capital management technique you can use. Some would consider trading without a stop-loss to be one of the cardinal sins of trading, as it prevents you from managing risk effectively. Utilizing Reward Risk Ratios (RRR) Every trade carries the risk of making a loss. Successful traders assess their potential trade risk and potential reward before entering a position. Utilizing reward-to-risk ratios may seem complicated, but it doesn't have to be. Many traders will often aim for a reward that is twice their risk or a ratio of 2 to 1. So in theory for every $1 you risk you aim to make $2 in profit. Your RRR can also help you understand what your theoretical minimum win rate would need to be a profitable trader. Utilizing this information is very handy when backtesting and forward-testing your strategy. In the early stages of a trader's journey, we highly recommend to keep a trading journal to keep track of these metrics. Keeping track of your wins and losses and keeping your RRR consistent offers deep insight into whether you are on the right path to consistency. Managing Your Money How much capital are you risking per trade? It's difficult to predict which trades will be profitable, but it's essential to risk a consistent amount on every trade. Coupled with an appropriate risk-to-reward ratio, this approach can help protect your trading account. For example, consider risking only 1-2% of your total trading portfolio on each individual trade with a maximum overall of 10% among your trades. This may not seem like much, but if you can remain disciplined with your stop losses and RRR you greatly increase the odds of success. If you have a small account don’t sweat it. It will help you grow that account size and compound those gains in a stable fashion that would outlast the method of throwing your entire account into each trade. Hedging Holding long and short positions on various assets in different sectors can help protect against any aggressive moves that affect the market as a whole. For instance, if there was a sudden 'flash crash,' the traders who solely went long would experience a loss or a potentially significant loss without proper risk mitigation. However, if you held both long and short positions, you could have made profits to offset the losses. Obviously, market events are hard to account for, but hedging can be a useful capital preservation strategy. Focusing on a Single Asset to Limit Risk Exposure Some traders prefer to concentrate on trading one asset to minimize risk exposure. This can be effective, especially when the trader has in-depth knowledge of the specific asset being traded. The potential downside is that this can limit your trading opportunities, but we highly advise this approach for new traders. Focusing on one asset can help you grow your experience and hone your strategy through a rigorously disciplined approach. Consistency in Risk and Money Management There is no one-size-fits-all approach to trading, and that's part of the beauty of it all. A strategy that works for one trader may not work for another. The key to improving your trading strategy is to adopt a disciplined approach to risk and money management. While this approach may not be as flashy as some in the trading community portray, consistently minimizing risk is an essential aspect of enhancing overall profitability and is a massive attribute to long-term success. Final Thoughts on Trading Capital Management Effective trading capital management is crucial for success in the world of trading. By adopting a disciplined approach to risk and money management, traders can minimize losses, maximize profits, and safeguard their investments. The techniques discussed – implementing stop-loss orders, utilizing reward-to-risk ratios, managing money, and diversifying trades – are all essential components of a successful trading capital management strategy. Remember, the key to success in trading lies not in chasing the knockouts but rather by consistently landing the jabs while maintaining a stout defense. By following these strategies adopted by long-term, successful traders and focusing on preserving capital, you can improve your chances of obtaining that same long-term success in the markets.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by LeafAlgo
Are we approaching the last cycle expansion phase?The last cycle expansion phase or the euphoric stage, has already occurred between 2020 and 2021. Sir John Templeton said: “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” Reference of Nasdaq: E-mini Nasdaq-100 & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index & Opt Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
2
GBP - Try again to fix the hedgeNo particular plan right now, Just observe the channel and see what breaks. -If we have a strong run out and up, the hedge buy target becomes a focus, and then match sell from that level. -If we have a strong run out down, the hedge sell, or breakeven(depending where it break) will be the focus, then match buy from that level. No targets as of right now, just alerts and observations. Pretty sure I just got suckered by the supply zone break, but, this is where it is now lol. Should've taken the 23 pip loss on the sells yesterday when I had the chance, but tried to hold out for the plan, and didn't think much about flexing at the time from all the stop running and just general chaos in the movements. This time, I stay flexible! Neutral, though still feel short is probably the right way, just trying to manage a breakdown of the channel and trade to the goal of getting out of these positions at this point.
by ForexStoryteller
1
JPY TroublesThe Situation- It was going GREAT.... Until it wasn't... I mis read the trade, and got it wrong with a bad entry, then another, then another. I made that entry worse trying to move out of the position at breakeven before close of the week Managed to recover half of the drawdown amount through scalps, then after some "analysis fatigue" it got a bit worse, so I hedged out to go through the weekend and observe the open for a possible outcome: The Plan: I've selected a few levels and target points for few different outcomes, but with an overall short Bias. Plan A, & Plan A Alternative: Should price open and move up, I will look to close the buys (3 separate units, Blue Arrows) around Point 2, making a net profit of 84 pips. Point 2 has some support and resistance within a short span of time, so it's a little questionable, but I will be waiting for some rejection before entering a second sell from this level (3 units), as I already have a slightly higher order count than I should have because of some scalps that didn't fully work out, so make sure before entry. If there is no rejection, or not much rejection, I will re-hedge up to the next level at Point 5, where there looks to be significant resistance. This will also secure another 270 pips (90 x 3 units) of profit if it makes it, otherwise will watch to see if it will reverse before to close premature, but the safest play would be go to the level or close the additional hedge at break even. I expect the price to likely follow the idea of coming up to Point 2, get some volatility, then drop, clearing the sell trades at breakeven, and then look for a new fresh opportunity. Plan B: Price naturally opens down with the trend outlook in play, dropping all the way to Point 1 below at a key level. At that point, I will liquidate the sells for a net gain of roughly 360 Pips (120 x 3 units) I will then immediately enter a buy sell from this level, Looking to close back above revisiting the level around Point 4 with a pullback. Just above halfway between Point 1 to Point 4, so any natural retracement should be able to clear out the buys near breakeven or small loss, before turning back down. Once the Buys get cleared (Breakeven or slightly better, as I'm expecting price to continue running down fairly quickly (just my experience of the nature of the JPY) Hedge Protection for any new positions: Fixed around 25 Pips beyond any buy or sell in the opposite direction, with major levels as targets for new hedges. This will allow enough space for the hedge to benefit the equity in an advantageous way to cover any new positions of correction with boosted free margin, and give plenty of possibility for meeting in the middle of a level quickly to breakout of some positions without much loss, but preferable and most likely for break even for either set of directions, with significant gain if major levels make it into the outcome. Plan B will give the most gain, but I am not looking to force the market, only make a success with what is presented while protecting the account from further mistakes on this trade setup.
Short
by ForexStoryteller
2
GOLD : What Drives the Price of Gold ?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is highly sought after, not just for investment purposes and to make jewelry but also for use in the manufacturing of certain electronic and medical devices. As of February 2023, the price of gold was more than $1,870 an ounce. While down around $100 from a high posted in April 2022, it is still up considerably from levels under $100 seen 50 years ago. But what factors drive the price of this precious metal higher over time ? KEY TAKEAWAYS 1 Investors have long been enamored by gold, and the price of the metal has increased substantially over the past 50 years. 2 Not only does gold retain additional value, but supply and demand have a huge impact on the price of gold—especially demand from large ETFs. 3 Government vaults and central banks comprise one important source of demand for gold. 4 Gold sometimes moves opposite to the U.S. dollar because the metal is dollar-denominated, making it a hedge against inflation. 5 Supplies of gold are primarily driven by mining production. Conclusion : Gold Is a high Value Asset , Which Can be Hedge Against Growing Inflation.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by INVESTRONE
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #18 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #18 ---------------------------------------------------------------- What is the Blockchain? - The Blockchain is a decentralized ledger that is append-only meaning that data can only be added to it. Once information is added, it is extremely difficult to modify or delete it. The Blockchain enforces this by including a pointer to the previous Block in every subsequent Block. The pointer is a Hash of the previous block. Hashing involves passing data through a one-way function to produce a unique Fingerprint of the input. If the input is modified even slightly, the Fingerprint will look completely different. Since the Blocks are linked in a Chain, there is no way for someone to edit an old entry without invalidating the Blocks that follow, allowing a secure structure. What Is a Blockchain Consensus Algorithm? - A consensus algorithm is a mechanism that allows users or machines to coordinate the agreement of what is a valid block in the Blockchain in a distributed setting. It needs to ensure that all participants in the system can agree on a single source of truth. Types of consensus algorithms include Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS). What is Proof of Work? - Proof of Work (PoW) is a mechanism for preventing the same bitcoin funds from being spent more than once. Proof of Work consists of a consensus algorithm, which is a protocol that sets out the conditions for what makes a block in the Blockchain valid. It ensures the security and integrity of bitcoin’s distributed ledger. RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS - Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities. Hedging Portfolio Risk Hedging bitcoin exposure with the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures (BMC) contract is a way to manage portfolio risk by taking a directional position opposite to the underlying asset as protection. For example, a hedger may have plans to hedge downward price movement in bitcoin using futures contracts based on in-house market and portfolio analytical processes. The market analysis may use common technical analytical techniques such as support and resistance to formulate the trade decision. If bitcoin is expected to weaken as it nears the resistance area, the hedger may plan to enter into a short futures position using the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures contract under either price levels of $27,500 or $32,500 to lock in the value of their underlying bitcoin position. Alternatively, if the hedger was in a short bitcoin position and wanted to hedge their position as price rose, entering a long futures position above price levels $12,500 or $16,500 could be considered. TRADDICTIV · Research Team -------- Disclaimer: We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
ICESG:SDX1!Education
by traddictiv
LAZR Hedged Options StrategyLuminar Technologies, Inc. makes sensor technologies and software for vehicles and is distributed internationally. Laser imaging, detection, ranging sensors, perception and autonomy software are becoming the norm in newer cars. LAZR stock has also made a few headlines this week as a couple of institutions have started or added to their positions, and most analysts have rated it a buy or hold. There's some recent rallying in growth stocks in general. Overall, it seems to be a promising young company making in-demand LiDAR products. The doubts: Big name analysts (like GS) have cut its target price. Northland downgraded it from outperform to market perform. Fed rate hike next week. Technically, it's testing the lower EMAs and levels with some bullish patterns but who knows with the random gaps up and down these days. Here's our hedged strategy Buy 1 $5.00 Call Buy 1 $7.50 Call Sell 4 $2.50 Put All expiring 1/19/24 This strategy can make up to 26% (20% annualized) and protect from a drop of up to 66% (cushion set way down to $2.50) as of 1/19/24. Capital Required: $999
NASDAQ:LAZRLong
by oliveinvest
1
SHOP Options StrategyCanadian e-commerce platform Shopify Inc (SHOP) offers 1.7 million online retailers in 175 countries (as of 2021) a range of services including payment, marketing, shipping and customer engagement. After online shopping boomed during the pandemic, it crashed ~80%, laid off 10% of its workers, and acquired Deliverr (product shipping) and Dovetail (influencer marketing). Shopify has also announced expansion into brick-and-mortar with its new product, the POS Go -- a device that allows retailers to provide wireless checkout anywhere in the store and analyzes sales, inventory and other data for merchants. Market cap $35B. If SHOP has hit its low and is on its way up, here's an options strategy that maintains growth potential of up to 18% (26% annualized) but also allow some downside protection as SHOP is given room to fall 47% before breaking even. Capital required: $2969.64 Hedged option legs: Buy 1 $25 call Sell 1 $30 call Sell 2 $15 puts Exp 6/16/23 Win probability: HIGH
NYSE:SHOPLong
by oliveinvest
Classic 10x While HEDGED''Oh Professor, I am a directional trader, I don't make money when I blend my positions. Hedging doesn't work for me'' Well, once again, I can assure you that hedging does work. Many charts and many tokens, some will rise and some will fall. In a market that changes direction in seconds you probably want to reconsider.. My message to my Turkish brother, while having some coffee. Also my message to you too. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR Ps. i have bad weeks and i have good weeks, i have bad days and months and good days and months but at the end of the day i enjoy trading without stress. Get rid of people and things that stress you out, trade as a GAME first and with money you can play with and use your real buying power to selct good SPOT and accumulate between now and 2024-2025. Just my humble opinion, you are on Tradingview where we supposed to all be logical, grown ups. You look, you listen or you post and you always decide what YOU will do with YOUR money. ATOM IDEA GOES AS NEUTRAL SINCE IT'S CLOSE TO TAKE PROFIT LEVEL AT 17,34$
A
by FX_Professor
3
The hedged grid trading system experiment The hedged grid trading system uses the principle that one should be able to cash in at a gain no matter which way the market moves. No stops are therefore required at all. The only way this is logically possible is that one would have a buy and sell active at the same time. Most traders will say that that is trading suicide but let's take some to look at this more closely. Let's say that a trader enters the market with a buy and sell active when a currency is at a level of say 100. The price then moves to 200. The buy will then be positive by 100 and the sell will be negative by 100. At this point we start breaking trading rules. We cash in our positive buy and the gain of 100 goes to our account. The sell is now carrying a loss of -100. The grid system requires one to make sure that cash in on any movement in the market. To do this one would again enter into a buy and a sell transaction. Now, for convenience, let's assume that the price moves back to level 100. The second sell has now gone positive by 100 and the second buy is carrying a loss of -100. According to the rules one would cash the sell in and another 100 will be added to your account. That brings the total cashed in at this point to 200. Now the first sell that remained active has moved from level 200 where it was -100 to level 100 where it is now breaking even. The 4 transactions added together now magically show a gain:- 1st buy cashed in +100, 2nd sell cashed in +100, 1st sell now breaking even and the 2nd buy is -100. This gives an overall a gain of 100 in total. We can liquidate all the transactions and have some tea.
NASDAQ:AEHREducation
by zrrsys
INVEST NOW AND TAKE PROFIT BY NOVEMBERTHIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE The hedged grid trading system uses the principle that one should be able to cash in at a gain no matter which way the market moves. No stops are therefore required at all. The only way this is logically possible is that one would have a buy and sell active at the same time. Most traders will say that that is trading suicide but let's take some to look at this more closely. Let's say that a trader enters the market with a buy and sell active when a currency is at a level of say 100. The price then moves to 200. The buy will then be positive by 100 and the sell will be negative by 100. At this point we start breaking trading rules. We cash in our positive buy and the gain of 100 goes to our account. The sell is now carrying a loss of -100. The grid system requires one to make sure that cash in on any movement in the market. To do this one would again enter into a buy and a sell transaction. Now, for convenience, let's assume that the price moves back to level 100. The second sell has now gone positive by 100 and the second buy is carrying a loss of -100. According to the rules one would cash the sell in and another 100 will be added to your account. That brings the total cashed in at this point to 200. Now the first sell that remained active has moved from level 200 where it was -100 to level 100 where it is now breaking even. The 4 transactions added together now magically show a gain:- 1st buy cashed in +100, 2nd sell cashed in +100, 1st sell now breaking even and the 2nd buy is -100. This gives an overall a gain of 100 in total. We can liquidate all the transactions and have some tea.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by zrrsys
The hedged grid trading systemThe hedged grid trading system uses the principle that one should be able to cash in at a gain no matter which way the market moves. No stops are therefore required at all. The only way this is logically possible is that one would have a buy and sell active at the same time. Most traders will say that that is trading suicide but let's take some to look at this more closely. Let's say that a trader enters the market with a buy and sell active when a currency is at a level of say 100. The price then moves to 200. The buy will then be positive by 100 and the sell will be negative by 100. At this point we start breaking trading rules. We cash in our positive buy and the gain of 100 goes to our account. The sell is now carrying a loss of -100. The grid system requires one to make sure that cash in on any movement in the market. To do this one would again enter into a buy and a sell transaction. Now, for convenience, let's assume that the price moves back to level 100. The second sell has now gone positive by 100 and the second buy is carrying a loss of -100. According to the rules one would cash the sell in and another 100 will be added to your account. That brings the total cashed in at this point to 200. Now the first sell that remained active has moved from level 200 where it was -100 to level 100 where it is now breaking even. The 4 transactions added together now magically show a gain:- 1st buy cashed in +100, 2nd sell cashed in +100, 1st sell now breaking even and the 2nd buy is -100. This gives an overall a gain of 100 in total. We can liquidate all the transactions and have some tea.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by zrrsys
The hedged grid trading systemThe hedged grid trading system uses the principle that one should be able to cash in at a gain no matter which way the market moves. No stops are therefore required at all. The only way this is logically possible is that one would have a buy and sell active at the same time. Most traders will say that that is trading suicide but let's take some to look at this more closely. Let's say that a trader enters the market with a buy and sell active when a currency is at a level of say 100. The price then moves to 200. The buy will then be positive by 100 and the sell will be negative by 100. At this point we start breaking trading rules. We cash in our positive buy and the gain of 100 goes to our account. The sell is now carrying a loss of -100. The grid system requires one to make sure that cash in on any movement in the market. To do this one would again enter into a buy and a sell transaction. Now, for convenience, let's assume that the price moves back to level 100. The second sell has now gone positive by 100 and the second buy is carrying a loss of -100. According to the rules one would cash the sell in and another 100 will be added to your account. That brings the total cashed in at this point to 200. Now the first sell that remained active has moved from level 200 where it was -100 to level 100 where it is now breaking even. The 4 transactions added together now magically show a gain:- 1st buy cashed in +100, 2nd sell cashed in +100, 1st sell now breaking even and the 2nd buy is -100. This gives an overall a gain of 100 in total. We can liquidate all the transactions and have some tea.
NASDAQ:SDIG
by zrrsys