From the highest of 10 mark till the lowest of 1.5.. at the moment Natural Gas is giving the golden opportunity to buy and accumulate for apparently 1-2 months of holding with a good reward of 1:4+. This is literally a NO LOSS Trade but for those who can wait patiently for a golden reward Good Luck!
Not a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP +...
Natural gas was once considered a byproduct of oil production. It is now becoming increasingly important as one of the cleanest burning fossil fuels and a key piece of the clean energy transition. Today, it forms the backbone of global energy production. This paper delves into the supply and demand factors affecting natural gas prices and proposes a long...
This week, natural gas performed nearly perfectly. The wave count remains unchanged. Although I am still unsure about the ultimate shape of wave b, the scenario allows me to open cautious shorts. Of course, this is not advice. I look forward to the structure shaping the bottom and entering long positions into the winter.
The chart is non-tradable (though I did enter some cheeky shorts). Natgas is tracing out something really intricate, as is its typical behaviour. I suspect (and this is only specualation at this point) that the market is undergoing a compex [ w] [ x] [ y] correction as wave b where [ x] is a flat with an expanding diagonal in wave (C). Then there has to be...
If I elaborate on my earlier scenario with unfinished correction, Natgas might perform a spectacular drop over the next few days before resuming the uptrend. Before this, I expected a triangle, then a flat with an ending diagonal and now a classic expanded flat in wave b. Since wave a was a contracting diagonal, there is an 80% chance that wave c is a quick...
It seems like the correction is not yet done as the triagnle is part of wave b not c.
Natural Gas has followed my previous outlook by posting what seems to be a simple zigzag with ending diagonal in its final stages. From here we can expect a new wave up. Alternatively this correction can be complicated into ABC flat or WXY double zigzag. But tradingwise there is no reason to expect such further complication at this moment. I also expect oil...
I believe the leading diagonal wave (a) has ended, and we are now in wave (b), which can take various forms (including the possibility that it has already ended). I suggested a few possible paths. Once there is a pattern or a mature wave count in wave (b), I can make an assumption when exactly the next leg up will occur.
I'm keeping an eye out for a potential leading diagonal. For rigour, I should also include the possibility of expanded diagonal (pale red), which is thought to be unusual but extremely uncomfortable if realized, sowing doubt and despair.
Natural gas in the US is collapsing. In part this has to do with LNG exports to the rest of the world being halted due to a fire to one of the export terminals. However in my honest opinion, there is more to it. It probably has to do more with the deflationary forces taking over, as high interest rates, money supply shrinking and inflation being too high, have...
Henry Hub Natural Gas So we have a possible double bottom forming on natural gas. If price fell 8c more on the last low we would have a bullish divergence now. Throw in a spinning top reversal on the 2nd bottom, STO primed for an increase, weak volume and stronger RSI all things point to the sky. RSI: Relative Strength is 37 on the second low versus 25 on the...
A cold weather snap forecast across much of the United States is driving demand for natural gas as a heating fuel higher. Prices of front month Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures have risen over the past week as a result. The front of the curve has moved more than the rest of the curve. The curve is now close to where it was two weeks ago. Natural gas in storage is...
✅NATGAS is going up now But a strong resistance cluster level is ahead Thus I am expecting a pullback And a move down towards the target SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
US natural gas prices have formed a head and shoulders top pattern, which may signal a weakening of the current major bullish trend and a subsequent reversal into a bearish one. The left shoulder coincided with the relative highs at the end of July at $9.30/MMbtu, a level that was then followed by a pullback to $7.53 (August 8) prior to the beginning of a new...
Recent moves in the EUR/USD exchange rate have been driven primarily by the price differential between natural gas in the United States and Europe, rather than by the ECB's historic rate hike last week. Over the last 90 days, the correlation coefficient between EUR/USD and US-EU gas price differentials is 0.88, indicating a very strong relationship between the...
Since last week the media has published videos and Chinese politicians' statements about the Chinese military drills near Taiwan. Taiwan has also conducted military exercises and preparatory work with the civilian population in the event of an attack. On August 3, the NYT, quoting Chinese state media, published an article about the following Chinese military...
Energy commodities are a volatile bunch. Amid a complex backdrop of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, a summer filled with heat waves and macroeconomic headlines, energy prices can swing in both directions quickly. From a risk management point of view, one way to maintain exposure in the energy market whilst limiting directional/market risk is to trade a spread...