Hexcel CorporationKey arguments in support of the idea:
Hexcel Corp. (HXL) engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of lightweight structural materials. It operates through the Composite Materials and Engineered Products segments. The Composite Materials segment includes carbon fiber, specialty reinforcements, resins, prepregs and other fiber-reinforced matrix materials, and honeycomb core product lines and pultruded profiles. The Engineered Products segment refers to the lightweight high strength composite structures, engineered core and honeycomb products with added functionality, and additive manufacturing.
As of the end of 2024, approximately 40% of Hexcel’s revenue comes from Airbus and 15% from Boeing (BA). The latest quarterly outlook signals flat revenue expectations, although we believe there are still identifiable growth drivers.
While Airbus delivered fewer aircraft in Q1 2025 compared to the same period last year, the company reaffirmed its commitment to expanding production capacity for the A320neo—one of Hexcel’s the most exposed programs. A resolution between the U.S. and EU on tariffs would represent a highly favorable scenario for the company.
Hexcel’s second- and third-largest programs are the Boeing 737 MAX and 787. Recent delivery data from April shows Boeing is gradually increasing production for both aircraft, suggesting that Hexcel’s revenue share from Boeing could rise in 2025 and beyond. For context, Boeing accounted for 25% of Hexcel’s revenue in 2019, 10 ppts higher than the current level.
Hexcel’s stock performance has closely tracked that of Boeing over the past year. However, HXL has yet to fully catch up to Boeing’s recovery. HXL is currently trading above its 50-day moving average and is gradually gaining momentum.
We expect HXL shares to reach $61 within the next 2 months. We recommend setting a stop loss at $49.70.
