I see a good opportunity on CopperThis metal is easy.
The price of copper is not only driven by industries / global gdp anymore.
Well still by industries in a way but now there is a new thing to consider: the climate change pseudo science.
As a pseudo science, we cannot go and say "this is how it is therefore this will be the answer", and once again, finance drifts away from "real science" in this way:
Wind power demands alot of copper, I don't get why they don't look more into biofuels and hydroplants maybe one day they will and demand will drop but for now anytime the herd gets all excited and starts being conviced minuscule amounts of CO2 will magically make temperatures go up 10°C and this will make antartica melt (-40°C with most of the ice much colder than this) or better forget about elementary school science and think that the polar ice cap will make sea level rise, or other kind of ignorant hysteria, demand will go up in the short term... We can probably predict short term price spikes when there is a worldwide hysteria moment and plans to build alot of "green" power generators.
Could be easy money for years to come, possibly... And few people are interested in copper it does not sound new so the duning kruger herd won't get very excited by it, could be an easy free money niche for several decades. Mass delusions of the past did not vanish in a few years, Galileo died in a world that was convinced earth was flat (how logical) and wasn't even buried in a mausoleum as was planned because "heresy".
COP25 climate talks failed today... Looks like a catalyst for price to go down or do I have this wrong?, plus price is at resistance and doing some sort of little rising wedge
The price gapped up because it's a ponzi or because market participants are idiots, or maybe it will go up for whatever reason I don't know.
Reminds me of that september natgas & oil gap after aramco attack.
Copper Futures HG1!
Are you in Copper yet ?63. Unless you are tracking a particular product , forex, futures, commodities,etc for that matter,
it may be hard to monitor so many charts at the same time.
Timing the market , i.e. knowing when to get in at the lowest and selling at the maximum profits has remain much of an illusive art of trading to many of us. Of course, some traders are excellent in spotting while others like me tend to get it occasionally.
Over the years, I have discovered, it is more important to buy a commodity ,stock, futures, forex, etc that is trending than being ecstatic on catching the bottom. There are charts that can stay at the bottom for many moons before it does anything, if it does. So, do yourself a favour and not be so hard on yourself if you are not able to. Leave that to others, no big deal.
Looking at this chart, we can see once again there is support and buying up at 2.498 to 2.5605. Of course, if you had caught it at this price range, then you are in profits now. Congrats! But , like me, if you have not, then the 2nd buying opportunity may be just round the corner, even before Christmas.
The price action has closed above 2.7545 but has met some resistance at the bearish trend line at 2.763. Let's wait for a few more days to see how it performs. Would there be a false breakout, forcing the price to goes beneath the trend line once more ? Or would it go as I indicate on the chart ?
Other than chart analysis, I get some confidence boosters from these articles :
www.mining.com
economictimes.indiatimes.com
So without going too in-depth, we can see that if China is the biggest buyer of Copper , then we can infer that the demand of copper would continue in the next few years for China. They need it for their infrastructure projects and storage is dwindling in their warehouse. Supply side at Chile is also affected due to heavy rain this year.
Do the math - high demand, restrained supply, price has to go UP.
Let's see if my prediction is right in a few months time. Trade safely
[COPPER] POTENTIAL BULLISH SETUP (part. 1)Good morning Traders!
Copper could develop some interesting swing in short to medium term, having said that, if the price action will confirms the first bullish rally, it is possible to try to take a long position on pullback as shown on the daily chart. With this in mind, even if the TARGET seems very interesting from the BUY AREA OPPORTUNITY, the Money Management is not very good (we will have a R/R ratio <1: 3), so it should be correct to use a reduced size for this setup. During the next sessions we will continue to follow the copper, because at the moment the levels shown on the chart are only indicative.
If you think our analyzes are useful, support us with a simple "Like", thank you and trade with care!
Cheers.
fcx with another flag.. but ...what about the tariffs?fcx buyers are very excited for the future! has been a good run. but, seems we never really got past phase 0 on the trade deal.. will the tariffs start to become bullish? Harder us pushes maybe quicker we find a solution.. agree to disagree?
Taking a bit off table.. keeping close eye on copper.. who knows how high it may run. has been depressed for so long.. 4? 5? 10?! haha
GOOD LUCK!
Lets see where Copper wants to run- Because well, it wants to.Spoke with someone last night who emphasized the uptick in security at construction sites more or less specifically for people stealing COPPER. I am going to COP some COPPER. Don't do what I do. This is not financial advice. I do not know how to trade or chart, and this idea is just art : )
- Namnaste'
Happy Monday fam
P.S. Trade Futures? Send me a PM. Opening the doors to my small Discord today. If you are a serious trader- would love you to check out our community!
Copper: Short opportunity within an Ascending Triangle.Copper (XCUUSD) is trading within a 1D Ascending Triangle (RSI = 56.277, MACD = 0.016, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). Last week it was rejected on the 2.7000 1D Resistance and that should make it test at least the 1D MA50 (blue line). In our opinion since the RSI has been consolidating in the past 2 months, the potential pull back can make a Higher Low on the 1D Ascending Triangle so our Target is lower at 2.57000.
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FCX and the looming recession?pure play copper not exactly best idea for global recession positioning.. but, who knows how this thing is going to go down. Copper is so important, it cant be left behind for long? Maybe it can? But accumulation at least shows some promise.. Should be fun next few months! Please let me know your thoughts.. FCX performance lately is scary. Big money know some details the little guys arent privy to just yet?
Copper testing bounds of decade necklineCopper is interestingly a great gauge of economic health coming from Asia, and also a relevant view on global growth / inflationary expectations. We've been battling two head and shoulder formations since the GFC. First, the very large commodity bubble formed a big head and shoulders that peaked roughly around 2012, a time where China had maxed out its credit expansion. We got a smaller head and shoulders in the post 2015-2016 deflationary episode that tested the original trendline and bounced during the 2016-2018 bull market.
The smaller head and shoulders finally broke down, which led to Copper testing the boundary of the bigger head and shoulders. I expect this to break, although there will likely be some testing of this first.
Note: this is not just a technical move. There are many fundamental reasons Copper is breaking down, mostly macro related to USD strength, asian weakness, over-expansion of Chinese credit, weakening demand, etc etc. Copper interestingly mirrors the Korean Kospi index very closely, and that is also breaking down from a major long term trendline right now. Expect more deflation, and some big market problems when this finally confirms the break of the lower trendline.
Elliott Wave View: Copper Expected to Turn Lower SoonShort Term Elliott Wave structure in Copper suggests the rally to $2.64 ended wave (2). The metal has since resumed lower in wave (3). The internal of the move lower is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 2.64, wave ((i)) ended at $2.578, wave ((ii)) ended at $2.626, wave ((iii)) ended at $2.547, wave ((iv)) ended at $2.575, and wave ((v)) ended at $2.49. This move lower from August 14 high (2.642) to 2.49 completed wave 1 in the higher degree.
Wave 2 bounce is currently in progress to correct the cycle from August 14 high. The internal of the rally is proposed to be unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from $2.49, wave ((w)) ended at $2.549 and wave ((x)) ended at $2.528. Wave ((y)) of 2 is expected to reach the blue box area of 2.587 – 2.623. From this area, Copper should then resume lower or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t like buying the metal. Expect the metal to find sellers and extend lower soon or at least pullback in 3 waves as far as pivot at 2.642 high stays intact.
"COPPER (XCUUSD): ready to go up" by ThinkingAntsOkDaily Chart Explanation:
- Price is against a Weekly Support Zone.
- Price is under a Descending Trendline.
- Bullish Divergence on MACD.
- If price breaks the Descending Trendline at 2.68, potential to move up towards the Resistance Zone at 2.96 and, then, to the Weekly Resistance Zone at 3.2.
Our Weekly Vision supports this potential long idea. Take a look!
Weekly Vision:
Updates coming soon!
Copper: Buy Opportunity after a successful 1M Support test.Copper has touched the 1M Support (2.5400 - 2.5300) on the first week of August and has been rising since. This indicates that this long term demand level may once again accumulate long term buyers. It is still though on the early stages as 1D remains mostly on neutral grounds (RSI = 46.067, Highs/Lows = 0.0016, MACD = -0.018) so investors still have time to enter. The Resistance levels on 1D are two: 2.74500 provided by the MA200 and 2.8000 - 2.84000 provided by the symmetrical Resistance Zone.
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