Copper Futures HG1!
HG1! - COPPER FUTURES - What to expect on DAILY/PREDICTIONI picked a random futures chart and copper seemed to have a nice setup in process. Might actually take this trade. Red circle shows closes above last move down to make our low, signaling possible trend reversal. At this point we are now in the middle of the pullback and it looks like it might make the desired higher low. This is where I would get long and take profits as it pushes to make the swing upward. Green hand drawn line is my predicted path of price action, just for fun. NOT TRADING ADVICE. TRADE SAFE.
Copper: Significant upside potential.Copper is on a 4H bullish leg (RSI = 62.650, MACD = 0.014, Highs/Lows = 0.0064), after finding support around 2.6000. It just crossed (marginally) above the MA50 and on similar patterns since September 18, this calls for a bullish extension at least towards 2.8400, which is our TP. Breaking above the MA200 enhances the probability for a test at the 2.95000 1D Resistance.
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Copper: the weak hands have been shaken out.Massive extensions are not uncommon:
Weekly chart:
The indices falling would not cause the price of copper to fall,
this did not happen previous it is not true that the price is tied
to the economy as what is told. Also chinese people use copper as a
safe store for their money.
Price went down in 2008 but this is irrelevant. Went up in 2000-2007.
Giants China and India are urbanising, demand for copper long term is up up up up.
Tech needs more and more copper. No brainer. Why wouldn't the price go up?
Copper: +7% bullish potential.Copper is on a standard 1D bearish sequence (RSI = 39.990, MACD = -0.034, Highs/Lows = -0.0234) that has just (marginally) crossed the 2.74170 Support. With the RSI however approaching the 32.800 mark, a bullish reversal alert is triggered as the last 4 times that the price bounced near or just below this mark, Copper gained +7 to +8%. Assuming that happens now we are looking at a 2.9000 target. If it takes place lower (-3.85% lower by the previous occurrence), we expect 2.80000.
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XAUUSD being led by XCUUSD by 13 daysThere is no reason why an inverted Copper chart should look like the Gold chart, but leading by 13 days (April 21=now). But it does look like it. I have bought at market (1290) for 1335 with a tight 1280 stop. RR 4.5:1.
Very small size, as I have no other. evidence.
Green Shoots, Bronze RootsCopper prices are beginning to break down as a confluence of indicators support further decline. Within Monday's weekly note to subscribers, to wit:
But, there is a divergence between the Chinese "green" shoots and the commodity complex. Especially, if you look at mining and base metals, they do not confirm the rally in Chinese manufacturing.
Copper is continuing to consolidate - not confirming the China bump. In fact, a continuing decline in the global trade data will begin to weigh on sentiment.
Admittedly early, we still see the CNYUSD as the primary catalyst for copper going forward. If the yuan begin to weaken, copper will retest the 2016 "global synchronized recovery" uptrend at 2.62.
If we look at copper and the Chinese 10-year yield, the duo trend very well with the 20-month correlation strong:
As markets look for green shoots out of China, the 10-year yield has rallied steadfastly; but, if markets begin to doubt China's recovery, we could see yields recouple.
Currently, copper has tagged the TACVOL range bottom. Unless factors begin to change, we'd be sellers of rallies.
Copper Buy & SellCopper is currently a sell but not long before buyers come back in. My labelled zones are only a rough idea of where i think the market may touch before turning around. Decide on your own Entry & Exit. If you do decide to enter a sell from this point, then i would put a SL around 10pips about zone A because market can always go back up to A again before coming back down to B.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk