Copper Is Forming A Bullish Running Triangle PatternHello traders, today we will talk about copper, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott wave perspective.
Copper is trading sideways since May 2021 and we see it trapped in consolidation, ideally within a bullish running triangle pattern in wave (4).
Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs A-B-C-D-E that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3 as an a-b-c. They appear to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. Triangles fall into four main categories i.e. ascending, descending, contracting, expanding. It is quite common, particularly in contracting triangles, for wave b to exceed the start of wave a in what may be termed a running triangle.
Triangles, by far, most commonly occur as fourth waves. Triangles are very tricky and confusing. One must study the pattern very carefully prior to taking action. Prices tend to shoot out of the triangle formation in a swift thrust. When triangles occur in the fourth wave, the market thrusts out of the triangle in the same direction as Wave 3.
Well, looking at the daily chart of copper, seems like it has completed a three-wave a-b-c decline for wave C and it's already trading now in final stages of "c" of wave D, so final leg E yet to come before rally back to highs for wave (5)?
Technically speaking, we see intraday resistance for wave D around 4.6 - 4.8 area, from where we may see final wave E slow down back to 4.3 - 4.1 support zone.
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Jamie Gun2Head - Selling CopperTrade Idea: Selling Copper after 78.6% resistance
Reasoning: Intraday head and shoulders top, looking to hit measured move target
Entry Level: 4.276
Take Profit Level: 4.175
Stop Loss: 4.301
Risk/Reward: 4.04:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Jamie's Gun2Head - Selling Copper Trade Idea: Selling Copper on 50% pullback
Reasoning: Rallied into resistance level, looking to continue move lower
Entry Level : 4.2170
Take Profit Level: 4.0370
Stop Loss: 4.2440
Risk/Reward: 6.67:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Copper Futures (HG1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip
Resistance: 4.5250
Pivot: 4.4920
Support : 4.4205
Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot level of 4.4920 which is in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement extension towards our 1st support level of 4.4205 which is in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price might break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance level of 4.5250 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper: Bullish Move From Key Level
Copper reached a very peculiar confluence zone:
we see a perfect match between a horizontal daily demand area,
618 and 786 retracement levels of the last two bullish impulses.
Analyzing the candlesticks, we may spot a nice dodji candle being formed on that structure.
Then, analyzing an intraday perspective, I spotted a bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern formation.
I assume that it will trigger a bullish move.
Resistances on focus: 800 / 805
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Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bullish BounceType: Bullish Bounce
Resistance: 4.5230
Pivot: 4.4320
Support: 4.3950
Preferred case: Price is moving nearer to the key pivot level. We are expecting the price to potentially bounce off from our pivot level of 4.4320 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st resistance level of 4.5230 which is in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Alternative scenario: Otherwise, the price might break our pivot structure and trigger a dip to the 1st support level of 4.3950 in line with a previous horizontal swing low support.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper Sell (Short term)We have seen an impressive bull run on Copper and Copper stocks over the past few months, my calculations / analysis shows that this may now be coming to an end and we should expect a short - term sell off on Copper and Copper stocks in the next coming weeks.
Copper (XCUUSD) will be entering a correction in the second quarter of 2022. At the current price, potential downside is about 22%. My first target for this quarter is $4.09/lb and $3.51/lb is the 'final safe' at which further analysis will be made available.
DISCLAIMER: This is purely educative content and must not be taken as investment advise.
Good luck
Copper: Classic Trend-Following Setup
Copper is trading in a strong bullish trend.
Since the middle of March, the market was consolidating within a horizontal trading range.
The market broke and closed above its upper boundary yesterday.
Now I expect a bullish continuation to 855
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Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip
Resistance : 4.7890
Pivot: 4.7740
Support : 4.7375
Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot at 4.7740 in line with 138.2% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st support at 4.7375 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7890 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip
Resistance : 4.7660
Pivot: 4.7370
Support : 4.6840
Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish continuation from our pivot at 4.7370 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement our 1st support at 4.6840 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7660 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bullish BounceType : Bearish Dip
Resistance :4.7220
Pivot: 4.6690
Support : 4.6145
Preferred case: We see the potential for a dip from our pivot at 4.6690 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 4.6145 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7220 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip
Resistance :4.7220
Pivot: 4.6690
Support : 4.6145
Preferred case: We see the potential for a dip from our pivot at 4.6690 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 4.6145 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below the Ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 4.7220 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: No major news.
how to profit from higher yieldsthis chart shows, how the moneyallocation rises while the fed highers yields.
The setup in RSI and the actual chartpattern has high similarities to the copper chart 2006, when Copper broke through a resistance and made exponential returns.
Now copper is again at a resistance, if it breaks through, we might see some crazy gains again.
Copper Makes Record High For March!Copper created record highs this month, where it peaked at a high of $5.0395,
breaching the previous all-time high from February 2011 once again.
The previous all-time high is proving to be a strong level of resistance as price
is unable to remain above this level for lengthy periods of time.
There is now a long wick above this month’s candle as the sellers have pushed
price down, but the candle's body remains bullish.
$4.6495 is now a support level and should price decline further, it could hold
price up, giving price enough momentum to make a new all-time high.
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Copper: Classic Trend-Following Setup
Copper is trading in a sharp bullish trend.
Recently the price dropped nicely.
The market reached a strong confluence area:
the blue zone is based on 786 retracement of a major impulse leg and a horizontal structure on the left.
From that zone, I will expect a bullish movement to
820
848
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AUDAustralian dollar looks like a buy relative to US dollar.
The Australian dollar the copper have a high correlation of movement between them. Copper has recently made new all time highs in US dollar terms.
The Australian dollar has not made a move yet versus the US dollar while many other commodities have made upwards moves. Australia is a natural resources rich continent with many commodities and it typically booms when commodity prices are high.
I think with a coming reevaluation of the US dollar, many people will reprice currencies of countries with a high concentration of commodities higher against the US dollar, essentially backing a country's currency with its commodities.
Copper is ready for higher pricesCopper's been trading tightly above the 50d/200dsma and is joining the commodities boom seen in agriculture and energy
Here's a view of the weekly chart with the 50 week moving average. That tightness in price action is exactly what you want to see before a major move higher. Measured target is at least mid 5s
2/27/22 FCXFreeport-McMoRan, Inc. ( NYSE:FCX )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Other Metals/Minerals)
Market Capitalization: 67.415B
Current Price: $46.34
Breakout price: $46.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $44.45-$41.10
Price Target: $45.90-$46.20 (reached), $56.00-$57.60 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 100-107d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $FCX 6/17/22 60c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.16/contract
Copper Futures : H1 Short (Price Action : LH + LL)Copper Futures HGU2021 H1 chart shows series of LOWER HIGHS + LOWER LOWS from July 26 2021. Contrarary to fundamentals (strike in copper mine would create shortage in supply, etc) the technical analysis shows there is a room for some more down side towards 4.285. The downtrend would end if the price trades above previous HIGHER HIGH.