Hg1
Copper (HG): Strong long term Buy Signal.Copper is on a three day bullish streak since the February 3rd rebound near the 2.4800 Support. The 4H chart has already turned bullish (RSI = 54.648, ADX = 36.919, ADX = 36.919) but 1D is still bearish (RSI = 34.595, MACD = -0.070, ADX = 52.434, Highs/Lows = -0.0336) so the risk remains.
That risk is concentrated on the 1D MA200. As you see the MA200 on the 1D chart has acted as Resistance on previous occasions especially on the first rebound attempt after the last -13% fall in May 2019. If the price is rejected again (especially if a Double Top is made), then we expect a new rejection. On a different occasion (MA200 break out) we expect a new rally towards at least the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance (which is our Target).
There are numerous reasons that give more probabilities for a bullish break-out:
* The 1D RSI has bounced on a monthly Support level, which was last hit in July 2018. What followed last time the RSI hit 19.500 on 1D was a strong rally towards the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance, which is our Target.
* The current rebound is practically a Double Bottom as it was made near the 2.4800 Low of September 3rd, 2019.
* Last time Copper made a Double Bottom was on January 3rd 2019. The result was a bullish rally even higher than the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance.
Previous successful Buy Signal on Copper made last August:
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FCX updateNYSE:FCX
Revision to previous chart/idea. After earnings, fcx took a dump, thanks to corona virus news, copper prices dropping, and overall index weakness. Not really sure how the market will react to fed day on wed. Assuming its not too bad, i think the bullish pattern continues. FCX is on sale and could be a good long term entry. With production in Indonesia ramping up and a return to bullish copper prices we could easily hit $60 a share in a couple years.
On the other hand, if the fed disappoints and virus business continues to spook the market we might be headed to single digits (something that I have been waiting and watching for) before heading back to ATH's.
Something tells me we keep the boat afloat a while longer. Playing it day by day.
I apologize for the "busy" chart. I am still learning to chart and finding what works for me and what to pay attention to. I have another chart on investing.com that is a bit cleaner if you care to see it.
What are your thoughts?
Peso Chilean / Usd Dollar & Copper Chile is the largest copper producer in the world, the quantity it produces is double that of Canada, triple that of Russia and quadruple the United States, there is a relationship between its currency and the performance of copper , have a very strong weekly trend correlation
Copper MinerNice bull volume on the recent rise in share price, suggesting to greater upside. Keeping the analysis simple.
Increased bull volume
Decrease bear volume on pullback following upside move
Fib ratios align with recent levels of resistance, now to be validated as support
RSI suggests a near term cool off, potentially right into the entry targets of target 1.05 - 1.09 correlating with key fib ratios
Behind the scenes I have completed my due diligence on this copper miner.
Copper: First Corrective Wave TargetIn "Copper Tempest" (see related ideas), I analyzed the macro-view on Copper. Now it's time to act.
My trade starts from 2.8462 with final target of 2.8125 (end of first corrective wave). Stop Loss set at 2.8537.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.