Hg1
Copper (HG): Strong long term Buy Signal.Copper is on a three day bullish streak since the February 3rd rebound near the 2.4800 Support. The 4H chart has already turned bullish (RSI = 54.648, ADX = 36.919, ADX = 36.919) but 1D is still bearish (RSI = 34.595, MACD = -0.070, ADX = 52.434, Highs/Lows = -0.0336) so the risk remains.
That risk is concentrated on the 1D MA200. As you see the MA200 on the 1D chart has acted as Resistance on previous occasions especially on the first rebound attempt after the last -13% fall in May 2019. If the price is rejected again (especially if a Double Top is made), then we expect a new rejection. On a different occasion (MA200 break out) we expect a new rally towards at least the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance (which is our Target).
There are numerous reasons that give more probabilities for a bullish break-out:
* The 1D RSI has bounced on a monthly Support level, which was last hit in July 2018. What followed last time the RSI hit 19.500 on 1D was a strong rally towards the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance, which is our Target.
* The current rebound is practically a Double Bottom as it was made near the 2.4800 Low of September 3rd, 2019.
* Last time Copper made a Double Bottom was on January 3rd 2019. The result was a bullish rally even higher than the 2.8800 Symmetrical Resistance.
Previous successful Buy Signal on Copper made last August:
** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. **
Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
FCX updateNYSE:FCX
Revision to previous chart/idea. After earnings, fcx took a dump, thanks to corona virus news, copper prices dropping, and overall index weakness. Not really sure how the market will react to fed day on wed. Assuming its not too bad, i think the bullish pattern continues. FCX is on sale and could be a good long term entry. With production in Indonesia ramping up and a return to bullish copper prices we could easily hit $60 a share in a couple years.
On the other hand, if the fed disappoints and virus business continues to spook the market we might be headed to single digits (something that I have been waiting and watching for) before heading back to ATH's.
Something tells me we keep the boat afloat a while longer. Playing it day by day.
I apologize for the "busy" chart. I am still learning to chart and finding what works for me and what to pay attention to. I have another chart on investing.com that is a bit cleaner if you care to see it.
What are your thoughts?
Peso Chilean / Usd Dollar & Copper Chile is the largest copper producer in the world, the quantity it produces is double that of Canada, triple that of Russia and quadruple the United States, there is a relationship between its currency and the performance of copper , have a very strong weekly trend correlation
Copper MinerNice bull volume on the recent rise in share price, suggesting to greater upside. Keeping the analysis simple.
Increased bull volume
Decrease bear volume on pullback following upside move
Fib ratios align with recent levels of resistance, now to be validated as support
RSI suggests a near term cool off, potentially right into the entry targets of target 1.05 - 1.09 correlating with key fib ratios
Behind the scenes I have completed my due diligence on this copper miner.
Copper: First Corrective Wave TargetIn "Copper Tempest" (see related ideas), I analyzed the macro-view on Copper. Now it's time to act.
My trade starts from 2.8462 with final target of 2.8125 (end of first corrective wave). Stop Loss set at 2.8537.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
Copper Tempest: The Bear before the BullIf you like this idea, don't forget to hit the Like Button and to Follow Me!
Exciting days for Copper. The brown metal reached the $2.8575 level. I'm confident that copper price will rise in the long run if copper demand, especially for China (largest copper consumer), will continue to record highs (527,000 tons in December 2019).
However, we still live on planet earth, and we need to make a deal with technical analysis. I believe Copper has terminated an Elliot wave impulse, with wave 5 hitting today's high ($2.8575). I will expect in the next days the A, B, and C corrective waves.
This theory is enforced by Volume Profile analysis (performed on Elliot Impulse Range) that shows POC support at $2.6436, and an exciting volume development around $2.7947. I expect corrective wave C to touch this support to bounce back for a new impulse wave 1 (If the market will let it).
Stochastic still confirm this analysis. The indicator showed no reversal for this cycle, and it is approximating the overbought area, by the way, again with a bullish setting.
Disclosure: My ideas contain statements and projections based on assumptions on capital markets, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks and uncertainties.
Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
I am not a financial advisor.
FCX longShort update.
Please reference my first FCX chart for my initial thoughts.
The current rally is sitting roughly at 78.6% retracement of the prior move from April 16th of 2019. As you can see we paused a little bit and consolidated after the initial move up from $8.30 (which also resulted in a pause/sideways movement). I'm looking for AT LEAST a movement to the 100% retracement at 14.51 which is currently serving as resistance from Aug-Sept double top. This level also lines up with the 2.272, 2.414, and 2.618 fib cluster extension of the prior swing high-low.
I'm looking for a small retracement of the last (second red line) movement. As you can see this movement already flagged a bit and after todays late day pump im expecting a little relief before wednesdays announcement of china trade deal.
Assuming things go okay with the signing and whatnot, I think we will at least see the 1.272 or 1.618 extension by spring/summer.
One thing to keep in mind is that FCX earnings are on Jan 23rd. Im expecting a small beat or miss. I need to refresh my memory but the prior earnings were a miss or barely beat but the FCX continued upwards on china talks and futures pumping. Earnings are turning around and production is ramping up with the opening of new deep mine in Indonesia.
What are your thoughts?
Copper (XCUUSD): Catching Bearish Wave
hey traders,
I really like copper chart :)
from a technical perspective, we have a very nice conjunction of multiple selling signals.
first of all, on a daily the market is currently standing on a strong structure resistance.
moreover, after a strong bullish rally, the market has perfectly stoped on the underlined level with rsi showing clear divergence.
in addition to that, on a daily we see a completed bearish abcd pattern.
The last thing to short the market is the confirmation on a lower timeframe!
on 4H I am focused on a bearish flag formation.
bearish breakout of it will be a perfect signal to short the market.
the initial target will be 2.75
the second target will be 2.71
stop will be above the highest point within the flag.