Hg1
EPA approval & Partnership news within 2017--> very BULLISHAMEX:NAK TSX:NDM FWB:ND3
NAK (Northern dynasty minerals) 100% ownership of the pebble project (pebble mine)
the following is just my opinion, you never know what happens :)
this month is probably the last chance to jump in.
- official EPA approval incoming, with pruitt its a done deal already! just formalities!| latest 14th Nov --> institutions jump in? spike to USD3+
- partnership news incoming, as per mgmt within 2017--> hopefully JV for 50% with an option for the other 50%! Maybe a consortium, and if we are very lucky BO | 50% for USD7 - USD9/ shares | BO USD15+
- permitting process incoming, starting end of 2017
the reason why we will get partnership news within 2017? The company has too little money left for the permitting process, and they already hired these guys:
"
Senior Vice President of Engineering and Project Director Stephen Hodgson (P. Eng.) will lead Pebble’s engineering and project development team, with responsibility for all aspects of project design, engineering and financial studies and regulatory compliance. He will be supported by Vice President of Permitting James Fueg (PMP, CPG), who assumes responsibility for all aspects of the project’s regulatory permitting team and process , including management of environmental and socioeconomic studies, liaison with federal and state agencies and active management of Pebble’s forthcoming Environmental Impact Statement (“EIS”) process under the National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”).
"
source www.northerndynastyminerals.com
- 33m short interest = ~10% --> short squeeze when we hit >USD3-4?
- biggest copper, gold, moly, silver mine found on this planet yet!
- safe mine design! no cyanide used. source www.northerndynastyminerals.com
- metal prices are rising, specially copper.
must read: very detailed report about this mine www.docdroid.net
COPPER Losing Some Steam for NowOverall, I am still bullish on Copper to the mid $3.50 range. However, at this moment I am expecting a pull back because of a stronger dollar, a weak AUD, were at channel resistance, divergence, and we have made 3 waves up. I am expecting at least a rebound back to the 2.90 area, but I think 2.50-2.60 is very likely where we will have levels of support. At this point, I would strongly suggest to take off bullish bets and bet on the downside to happen.
Short Bonds & Long Copper | Copper/Gold vs. 10yr YieldsIt looks like the Bond market hasn't priced in growth or we're going to see a nasty reversion trade in the materials sector and a bond pop.
The Copper / Gold pair is a great proxy for inflation due to the divergent properties of the 2 metals. Copper is purely an industrial metal and a proxy for inflationary growth so the 10yr reacts correspondingly. Gold, on the other hand is a precious metal and trades similar to a monetary instrument and is loosely correlated to the long-end from the inverse yield relationship.
Copper: Getting Ready to LongAfter the amazing bullish run late last year Copper has been consolidating. I am now getting ready for the possibility that the correction is soon to be completed and looking for long set-ups.
This wave count is by no means an expert wave count or meant to be exact but conveys my idea that there was a motive wave followed by a three wave correction (labeled (A)-(B)-(C) in the parallel channel (flag?)) that may be close to completing.
My two areas of interest are:
~2.45 -- in this area Wave (A) = Wave (C). It is also the .5 retracement of the impulsive leg in copper which started in October, and may coincide with the bottom of the channel/flag
~2.38 -- in this are Wave (C) = 1.272 * Wave (A), and is also the .618 reatracement of the impulsive leg from October as well as the .5 retracement from last year's low to this year's high. A further drop to this level may also allow RSI to drop into oversold which would be a more ideal situation.
My plan is to continue my recent strategy by trying to enter with very small risk upon a bullish candle on the small time frame once Copper reaches this zone, and move stops to breakeven after I am up a few pips (see my linked idea on the Canadian Dollar for more details about this strategy).
If you have any comments or feedback on this idea or your own view on Copper please share! Best of luck in your trades.
Copper (HG) looking weaker in the short term?Fundamentals around Copper, Steel rebar, Iron ore, Coal not looking so rosy currently. Technically Copper HG looking weak. Dec'16 lows could be next resistance at 2.4785 (Approx LME 5500), a further significant break here could see 38.2% Fib area tested (2.3425) then Nov lows of 2.09. Support may be found at 2.5935.