Hg1
COPPER Best sell entry of the year.Copper (HG1!) has entered the 3.9740 - 4.0235 Resistance Zone that has been in effect since May 01 2023. It has provided the rejections of August 01 2023 and December 27 2023, with the latter hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement upon its reversal and the former the 0.786 level.
Technically the current 1D CCI pattern is almost identical to the one that preceded the August 01 2023 peak. We will pursue Target 1 at 3.800 (Fib 0.618) and Target 2 at 3.7400 (Fib 0.786).
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Copper. The spring is compressingEvery day, we are seeing higher volumes in options, with predominantly bullish option portfolios targeting the 4.05-4.1 range. Graphically, after the data release, there is consolidation under the resistance level, which reinforces the possibility of an upcoming upside shot.
COPPER Sell opportunity within a Channel Down.Copper (HG1!) is trading on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), on a Bullish Leg following the February 09 2024 rebound. That was a Lower Low within the Channel Down that started in December. The long-term pattern is a Falling Wedge and being much closer to its top, after the January 31 2024 than its bottom, this is a strong sell opportunity.
The August 2023 Lower High rejection initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before making a Lower Low much later. As a result our target is 3.6250, which is just above the0.786 Fibonacci level and a technical Lower Low for the short-term (blue) Channel Down.
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Copper futures. Disinflation is almost there to comeCopper futures fell further to around $3.8 per pound, marking a weekly loss driven by concerns over demand from China and heightened US interest rates.
China's manufacturing sector contracted for the fourth consecutive month in January, contributing to the negative sentiment.
With a robust US jobs report, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March have diminished.
Weaker Q1 industrial activity is expected to dampen demand, although Glencore's projected 5% production decline in 2023, along with an anticipated additional drop in 2024, could offset this.
Despite these challenges, there is still hope that China will implement measures to stabilize its economy.
Technical graph illustrates also, 5-years SMA is a massive long term support in this time for Copper futures COMEX:HG1! , as it breakthrough can deliver solid further losses for Copper futures prices, like in 2020 (30% off), in 2014-16 (40% off) and in 2008-09 (50% off).
COPPER 13/01Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and making its " A " Corrective Wave. We have LL - LH and Break of Structure
COPPER, Teasing a multi-weekly TOP GAINS soon! SEED!Copper is in continuous ascend mode this past few days / weeks after touching an important major order block at 61.8 FIB levels. Since then, significant net accumulation has been registered on a daily basis.
Expect some generous price growth from the current price range. A seed from here is ideal while it's still in a slow roll ascend -- but not for long.
Initial target is 5.0.
Spotted at 3.80
SEED LONG.
TAYOR.
Safeguard funds always / not advice.
#COPX Copper miners ETF reclaims support and now heading higherNice reclaim of the broken horizontal and channel support on the COPX Copper miners ETF. Looks like we're headed back to the top of the years trading range at 41.80 which is an approximate move of 12% from current levels. Dr Copper being a proxy for global growth is always a positive for global markets.
COPPER: Long term sell signalCopper is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.350, MACD = 0.033, ADX = 19.471) as it is at the top of the 2023 Channel Down, but having failed to cross over it, opens the way for a big decline in the first quarter of 2024. As you can see the Channel Down that started last January looks very similar to the one in 2012/13. Both emerged after a Global peak and then rejection to an oversold 1W RSI bottom.
It is very interesting how similar the ranges are, both Channel Down bearish legs have been around -18.50%. We are turning bearish on the most optimal technical level and aim for another -18.50% decline (TP = 3.2500) or up when the 1W RSI gets oversold (under 30.000).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Copper ~ Help Me Obi-China, You're My Only Hope (2H)CAPITALCOM:COPPER chart mapping/analysis.
Copper - off its October lows, yet still contending with global macro headwinds & China's difficulty in shaking off its deflationary economic funk..
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Prelim trading range = ~3.93 - ~3.73.
Under bearish pressure from 38.2% Fib rejections.
Bullish reaction to China/macro economic news = bounce off lower range of parallel channel (green) + 200SMA confluence support / break above 38.2% Fib / break above ~3.93 upper trading range.
Bullish extension target(s) = 50% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
Bearish reaction to China/macro economic news = break below ~3.73 lower trading range / lower range of parallel channel (green) / break underneath 200SMA, becoming dynamic resistance.
Bearish extension target(s) = 23.6% Fib / lower range of descending parallel channel (light blue).
COPPER Correction to accelerate lower.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) 1.5 months ago (October 24), we caught the most optimal bottom buy signal:
The price action didn't only hit our Target but also broke above both the January 18 2023 Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The rejection that took place on Monday though, is giving rise to a new Falling Wedge pattern with the current Bearish Leg on full display. The bearish signal is already confirmed as the 1D MACD has completed a Bearish Cross, and so far the sequence is very similar to the August 01 rejection.
As a result, we are bearish on Copper, looking to take advantage of today's green 1D candle and short near the closing in anticipation of being close to the peak. Our short term Target is 3.6100, which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, a symmetrical level where the price bounced on August 17. Selling can only be extended if the green Support Zone breaks.
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COPPER 06/12Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves at Daily Demand Zone. Its Rejecting from the Resistance Level to make its Impulse Again. Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Breakout of the Lower Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Retracement