Go long next daysGo long next days, we have a strong probability that the copper will rise approximately 8%.
Hg1
Copper to $10+ by 2024. Easy. ~$4.50 today is fundamentally not the same as ~$4.50 in 2011 - the last time copper traded at these prices. QE was fresh off the block in 2011. today, it is standard operating procedure and although the fed talks a good game with tapering, we have yet to see any balance sheet reduction.
Looking at this monthly chart, I noticed an interesting double bottom that hits its' target before entering price discovery between 1999-2006. the pattern is not perfect but it looks really similar to copper 2016-2022. Double bottom, target reached around $4.30, and now we're off to the races - price discovery.
I think copper to $10 in under 2 years is a very safe bet. It doesn't threaten fiat as much as gold/silver and is manipulated less as a result. It is critical in many industries and the push for everything to go IoT will continue the increasing pressure on copper as well.
Let's see how this one ages.
Copper in free fall, but ...It is well known that due to the current circumstances of multifactors of the negative order, they are causing a Global crisis, which in turn cuts the industrial demand, clearly that happened in the past and is clearly illustrated in the last crisis ( "Subprime Crisis" ).
we have clear then the "high ceilings" and the "low floors",.
although there is copper falls without stopping,
but remember that this element is essential for the industry
in future mankind in electromobility plus also of electronics in general and industrial and so on.
and that is why the deep zone would eventually be a good buying zone. ,
also the fall of this metal is closely related to the Chilean ( clp ) peso.
copperThe support index lost $3.3.
But static support is $2.96 and dynamic support is #2.
The negative divergence caused the price to fall, but now we are seeing a positive divergence as it approaches the $2.7 support.
We should wait and see if the price will be supported by this strong downward momentum or not?
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Copper at a key levelTrade Idea: Buying Copper
Reasoning: Copper oversold and trading at a key 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Entry Level: 3.5079
Take Profit Level: 3.6428
Stop Loss: 3.4763
Risk/Reward: 4.04:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Dr Copper is telling us deflation is comingAt the beginning of June I put out an idea about shorting Copper . The market didn't do me the favor to get up to my entry, as I ignored past resistance. Probably got a little greedy too. Currently copper is sitting at support and could bounce up to 4$, maybe even up to 4.25$.
However in the long term, I see it go much much lower. In my opinion we are in a global recession, and probably even in a global depression. As interest rates and energy costs have risen rapidly, the demand for many things has gone down. We haven't seen the full effects of too much debt + lockdowns + WW3 + not enough energy production yet, but we are getting there. Copper going down is just the first step, and this could turn really really ugly.
The 2006-2008 top on Copper looks pretty similar to this one. Huge rally up, consolidation, attempt to breakout, failure, massive collapse. This time around we had a shorter cycle due to the lockdowns + stimulus + low rates + ESG , but this situation is truly reversing. We have no lockdowns, no stimulus, high rates and the ESG movement is clearly losing steam. Overall volume is low and that's a sign that demand for Copper isn't all that high. It was mostly supply being low, and not demand being high.
So how low could we go? The truth is that for some time this could be a bottomless pit. However, I believe the bottom will come in the 1.5-1.9 area, as the market needs to sweep the double bottom at 1.9. In terms of technical analysis this is the area anyone should be targeting. Once we get there, we could see a swift reversal as the Fed and all central banks are forced to cut rates and print money once again, in order to save the system from collapsing. They are stuck between a rock and hard place, and although they are doing their best to fight inflation now, they will soon be trying to fight deflation.
LONG ON COPPER - Will This Chart Save us From Recession Worries?It probably won't but a relief rally could be in play.
Watch Our Bronze Age Bitcoin Video today:
The Bronze Age followed the Stone Age and began around 4000 years ago. The Iron Age followed the Bronze Age and began around 3000 years ago. That's some time ago, yes.
Could Bitcoin play a role as the beginning of a 'new age'? Sure.. it's a trustless system in a stupid planet with no trust between it's 'nations'.
Funnily enough, I come from the island of Cyprus. 🏖️🌴🐬
Cyprus was famous in antiquity for its copper resources. In fact the very word copper is derived from the Greek name for the island, Kupros.
Watch this if you like history: www.youtube.com
Copper Price as an indication of what happens next:
The price of copper is largely influenced by the health of the global economy. This is due to its widespread applications in all sectors of the economy, such as power generation and transmission, construction, factory equipment and electronics. Sometimes referred to as Doctor Copper , the base metal is seen as a reliable leading indicator. A rising market price suggests strong economic health, while a decline suggests the opposite.
So we keep having many Copper related articles lately: Copper has entered a bear market , which may indicate a stronger chance that recession is coming.
OUR ANALYSIS:
We had shared with YOU, HERE a perfect short on Copper last summer:
COPPER- Poised for a Correction
At this stage we see Copper on MAJOR SUPPORT and this is only Good news:
snapshot
Hope it all makes some sense.
If you Like the idea, we Like to see you Liking our post.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
Bitcoin Today: Let's Talk about 'BRONZE AGE'The Bronze Age followed the Stone Age and began around 4000 years ago. The Iron Age followed the Bronze Age and began around 3000 years ago. That's some time ago, yes.
Could Bitcoin play a role as the beginning of a 'new age'? Sure.. it's a trustless system in a stupid planet with no trust between it's 'nations'.
Funnily enough, I come from the island of Cyprus. 🏖️🌴🐬
Cyprus was famous in antiquity for its copper resources. In fact the very word copper is derived from the Greek name for the island, Kupros.
Watch this if you like history: www.youtube.com
Copper Price as an indication of what happens next:
The price of copper is largely influenced by the health of the global economy. This is due to its widespread applications in all sectors of the economy, such as power generation and transmission, construction, factory equipment and electronics. Sometimes referred to as Doctor Copper, the base metal is seen as a reliable leading indicator. A rising market price suggests strong economic health, while a decline suggests the opposite.
So we keep having many Copper related articles lately: Copper has entered a bear market, which may indicate a stronger chance that recession is coming.
OUR ANALYSIS:
We had shared with YOU, HERE a perfect short on Copper last summer:
At this stage we see Copper on MAJOR SUPPORT and this is only Good news:
Hope it all makes some sense.
If you Like the idea, we Like to see you Liking our post.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
HG1!6.28.22 hg1! On this video I am showing you how to set up copper for a possible long trade. The market had to move a little bit higher before I could go along, assuming that I didn't get in at the beginning of the reversal higher. I believe many Traders work hard, but they're not working smart. This concept was absolutely not developed by me, it's something that I learned. And in my own transitions, it became apparent to me when I was working hard but not smart. That will burn you out and use up a lot of time. What are the best things you can do if you want to avoid your fear of trading is 2 choose markets That are not ready to be traded, and therefore you won't be pressured to make a trade decision. In other words, it's a safe market because you're not going to make a trade decision. I opened the video, cleaned up my chart, and then went to a time frame where I could judge a market, and what was needed to make a trade decision... In the near future.
Copper Responding to SupportThere is a lot to like from a technical perspective regarding copper. Price carved a doji on Friday and price has reacted to a level defined by VWAP from the March 2020 low and former resistance (January 2021 high). Also, the decline from March consists of 2 equal legs. I'm thinking higher as long as last week's low holds. The May low at 4.0370 is a soft target.
-Jamie
Copper CMP 709, looks like going towards 750 tgtCopper CMP 709, looks like going towards 750 tgt
copper looks like completing a 5 wave down move and should give a good retracement till wave 4 of smaller degree
Copper is in a death cross: $3.5 is the next crucial supportThis week, copper plummeted to fresh 52-week lows, breaking below the $4 per pound support level held since April 2021. Prices have now reached oversold territory as the 14-day RSI went below 30 this week, and is currently trading at 22, reflecting the brown metal’s severe sell-off.
Moving averages have also created a so-called death-cross pattern, with the 50-day crossing the 200-day, possibly indicating a shift from a bull to a bear market.
Copper sales have surged as recession concerns grew significantly, especially in the United States. Inflationary pressures in many nations of world are much harder to control than expected, and they are also widespread in goods and services not directly connected to energy prices, requiring higher interest rates that would inevitably slow economic activity. Copper , being one of the most sensitive commodities to the economic cycle, suffers substantially during phases of slowdown in the US ISM Manufacturing index , as we explained in this analysis .
Copper prices are presently testing the $3.7 resistance level established in January ’21 and are down 27% from their March ‘22 highs. Below this level, the $3.5 pound support in December 2020 and January 2021 could be tested.
This is a crucial threshold for the Fibonacci retracement analysis since a fall below the 50% level would boost bearish' convictions and confirm the presence of a copper's bear market.
Copper Sell into 20 EMA.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4.099 (stop at 4.135)
Our short term bias remains negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 4.100.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 4.011 and 4.001
Resistance: 4.050 / 4.100 / 4.130
Support: 4.000 / 3.950 / 3.900
COPPER High probability for a reboundCOPPER (HG1!) has been trading within a Channel Down ever since the March 07 High caused of the Russia - Ukraine war escalation. Right now the price isn't just approaching the Channel's Lower Lows trend-line (bottom) but also the March 04 2021 Low of 3.8500. With the RSI dropping below the oversold 30.00 barrier on the 1D time-frame and making a Double Bottom. the market may soon reverse towards the Channel's top again.
The last time we saw all these parameters aligned in the same order was during the May - August 2021 Channel Down, where the price after the RSI Double Bottom on the 30.00 mark, it rebounded above the 0.618 Fibonacci to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel.
Our strategy is to initially settle for a short-term target just below the 0.618 Fib extension at 4.3000 and then re-evaluate as a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is most likely needed in order to reverse the trend completely.
If on the other hand 3.8100 breaks, we expect a sharp sell-off towards the 3.4500 Low of December 10 2020, where the price can also make contact with the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
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Copper Futures setting up for a potential long tradeCopper / HG Futures market may be setting up for a move back to the upside.
After a huge expanding bullish candle in the beginning of June that saw price blast through the volume Point of Control (POC) which goes back to October last year the price then immediately reversed and we have seen a sell off for the majority of this month. However yesterday we saw a spinning top candle form at a critical point which had been a support level, this has also painted bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Further to the above technical analysis we have also seen net buying activity from commercial operators which indicates a slight under supply : demand imbalance. On many occasions large commercial buying can lead to a price hike as supply squeeze takes hold. Lastly commodity seasonal reports also show that copper does have a tendency to sell off in the beginning of June but then turns around at the end June and price upwards again through until end of July before dipping again coming into August.
I would like to see price close above yesterdays close and hold above ~$4.05 which is roughly a support zone. Ideal entries could be above yesterdays high with price targets at ~$4.25 and / or ~$4.40, which are both just below previous support and resistance levels and large volume clusters. However if price cannot break above and hold $4.05 and instead falls and closes under $4.00 then I would not be looking at any long trades.
Playing Dr.Copper DownsideIn this update we review the recent price action in the Copper futures contract and identify the next high probability trading patterns and price objectives to target
Copper Is Forming A Bullish Running Triangle PatternHello traders, today we will talk about copper, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott wave perspective.
Copper is trading sideways since May 2021 and we see it trapped in consolidation, ideally within a bullish running triangle pattern in wave (4).
Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs A-B-C-D-E that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3 as an a-b-c. They appear to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. Triangles fall into four main categories i.e. ascending, descending, contracting, expanding. It is quite common, particularly in contracting triangles, for wave b to exceed the start of wave a in what may be termed a running triangle.
Triangles, by far, most commonly occur as fourth waves. Triangles are very tricky and confusing. One must study the pattern very carefully prior to taking action. Prices tend to shoot out of the triangle formation in a swift thrust. When triangles occur in the fourth wave, the market thrusts out of the triangle in the same direction as Wave 3.
Well, looking at the daily chart of copper, seems like it has completed a three-wave a-b-c decline for wave C and it's already trading now in final stages of "c" of wave D, so final leg E yet to come before rally back to highs for wave (5)?
Technically speaking, we see intraday resistance for wave D around 4.6 - 4.8 area, from where we may see final wave E slow down back to 4.3 - 4.1 support zone.
Trade well!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Jamie Gun2Head - Selling CopperTrade Idea: Selling Copper after 78.6% resistance
Reasoning: Intraday head and shoulders top, looking to hit measured move target
Entry Level: 4.276
Take Profit Level: 4.175
Stop Loss: 4.301
Risk/Reward: 4.04:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Jamie's Gun2Head - Selling Copper Trade Idea: Selling Copper on 50% pullback
Reasoning: Rallied into resistance level, looking to continue move lower
Entry Level : 4.2170
Take Profit Level: 4.0370
Stop Loss: 4.2440
Risk/Reward: 6.67:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Copper Futures (HG1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip
Resistance: 4.5250
Pivot: 4.4920
Support : 4.4205
Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot level of 4.4920 which is in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement extension towards our 1st support level of 4.4205 which is in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price might break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance level of 4.5250 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Copper: Bullish Move From Key Level
Copper reached a very peculiar confluence zone:
we see a perfect match between a horizontal daily demand area,
618 and 786 retracement levels of the last two bullish impulses.
Analyzing the candlesticks, we may spot a nice dodji candle being formed on that structure.
Then, analyzing an intraday perspective, I spotted a bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern formation.
I assume that it will trigger a bullish move.
Resistances on focus: 800 / 805
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Copper May Put in Fresh 2022 Lows if Key Moving Average Breaks Copper prices are probing its 200-day Simple Moving Average after a bout of weakness. A clean break lower would expose the 2022 low at 4.2820, with a deeper pullback potentially threatening the 4.0000 psychological level.
Copper - 26/04/2022the push higher than 5.04 will let us expect that wave 3 of (5) is in play, on the other side the move lower than 4.28 will let us expect that the larger flat correction in wave ((2)) started
