Hidden Bearish RSI Divergence
Optimism poised for a 75% draw downTLDR: Lots of well established TA suggests OP takes out the previous lows at 0.41.
Analysis
I am going to begin with the divergence primer just in case a reader is unfamilar with the divergences and what they mean.
Divergence Primer
Classic Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
As the chart shews both OPUSD and OPBTC both have great deal of hidden bearish divergence on the Log MACD (and histogram) as well as the RSI and Stochastic RSI.
The Gaussian channel is pretty powerful as support and resistance and generally speaking I get excited to buy beneath a red Gaussian channel or when I see price action powering its way through. Not so much with OP right now, with the hidden bearish divergences. I expect the top of the channel will continue as resistance.
Likewise the 100 Daily Moving Average is right above price action and I assume it will continue to act as resistance as well.
The volume situation doesn't look good to me either. With price breaking out above the Value Area of the VPVR to create all time highs and coming back in on both OPUSD and OPBTC I think we are going to see more typical behavior and the value area will act as resistance, especially on OPBTC.
The On Balance Volume has set virtually equal highs with this current peak and the peak from September. That is a sign of bullish exhaustion. It is also concerning that both the 10 and 20 SMA are below the 100. If the OBV regresses to the mean (the 10 or the 20) then that dip would get me deep into the money. Not all the way to target, but deep enough I can have a fairly profitable stop loss.
Here is a similar move on Matic over two years ago where Matic dupped and took out what looked like strong support at the 0 line before rallying up to just above the 0.618 retracement before crashing. From there it went 400x
If OP has a similar run then I will be quite pleased. Also, if OP crashes down to about the 0.28c I will go in full accumulation mode and hopefully we will see it run in another year or so.
Macro I still think a lot of the equities indices are mostly done with their downside. I also like a lot of the "OG" crypto currency coins like XMR, Dash, XPR, BCH and I think a lot of the nu-crypto coins that were the top runners of 2021 are going to crash at bit more before going into long consolidation. That is a lot of moving parts for me to hopefully get right.
BNB Hidden Bearish Divergence as it Breaks TrendWe have a Bearish Bump and Run Reversal Top that is Breaking Down on BNB as we show Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Weekly Timeframe. It should first come down to the 88.6% Retrace at $21 but if that doesn't hold don't be surprised to see it come down to the 1.618 Extension at $1.175.
Wed 12th October 2022 GBP/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Tue 11th October 2022 XAU/USD (Gold) Daily Forex Chart Sell Good morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XUA/USD (Gold) Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Tue 11th October 2022 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bearish DJIA hidden divergenceThe Dow Jones is still in a downtrend even though we had the recent bullish pullback an this is evidenced by the formation of hidden divergence. The formation of hidden divergence usually means a continuation of the established trend will continue. The red lines on the price action and on the MACD, give you the setup. My target would be 31,000 and then 28,750
The COT shows the Non-commercials are short.
Tue 16th Aug 2022 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. This the 4th open Sell trade now on this pair. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
LINKUSD: Bearish Bat with Hidden Bearish Divergence at Range TopCHAINLINK has been trading within this range for the last few months and recently has put in a Partial Decline; However it has formed a Bearish Bat on the Way up and may look to make a 50%-78.6% Retrace before continuing back up again to Bullishly Breakout.
So i would say the short entry is here and the profit target is between the 50 and 61.8 Retrace. Before then reversing again and giving us a Secondary Partial Decline.
Tue 9th Aug 2022 GBP/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC needs to get above $24.666Bitcoin short-term view - BTC needs to get above $24.666...
(a) ... to avoid a hidden bearish divergence on RSI
(b) a correction might find a stop at $23.054 - $23.328 (FIB golden pocket + SMA + EMA)
What do you think dear Crypto Nation?
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Flow at important volume resistanceFlow at important volume resistance combined with a bullish MA-Ribbon bullish
But we also see a hidden bearish divergence with a lower high on price but higher high on RSI
A correction is more than likely IMO - but MA-Ribbon might be new support for more breakout trials dear Crypto Nation
Drop me a nice comment about your thoughts
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Wed 3rd Aug 2022 AUD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/CAD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZDUSD Hidden Negative Divergence Suggests More DownNZDUSD hidden negative divergence suggests that the NZD will move down further and
this is not the bottom. Bulls are thinking
'great, double bottom" but this suggests there the NZD remains weak and the selloff should likely continue.
We need a conter trend candle (a red candle)to confirm the entry point. Stops: 20 pips or so stop.
We are aiming for a lower low
Just wait for confirmation.
What is Hidden Bearish Divergence?Price rises to lower highs when RSI rising, hence 'hidden divergence'; RSI looks bullish but price remains bearish, each rally a bulltrap.
Some of these rallies can get pretty fierce, shaking bears loose and sending shorts for cover. Then the trend resumes, trapping bulls.
These bear market whipsaws just kill all the players. When you're in these, you get the feeling; "I just can't win for losing!" ... all traps.