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Hidden Bullish RSI Divergence

Bitcoins expansive Bollinger Bands suggest Bear Market is endingTLDR Every time the chart has looked like this bitcoin has had a powerful move to the upside. The easy bet is price will go to the upper limit of the monthly bollingerband before "deciding" if it wans to go higher. Analysis The Bollinger bands are a marvelous indicator that helps predict where price action can ranged based off of statistics depending on your lookback period and how many standard deviations you want to include. The default setting suggest that some 95% of price action on the time frame you are looking at will fall in the Bollinger band. Depending on how price action moves the Bollinger Bands can channel up, channel down, expand or pinch. When the Bollinger bands pinch it is a sign that volatility is dropping. When they expand it is a sign that volatility is increasing. In the examples shown the expansion has predicted that bitcoin will move to the upside and really start to put some pressure on the top of the Bollinger band, moving it upward. Right now we are just leaving the only time that bitcoin found support on the monthly Bollinger band. We have done so for many months and so far we are being rewarded with a sign of more upside movement. The RSI and Log MACD suggest that we are at a relatively low and the easiest route is upward. Both have hidden bullish divergence as price has set a higher low but the indicators have set lower lows from the Covid 19 low. Linked Ideas and my plan My linked ideas have shown I have consistently been calling the bottom in this range for many months. I think it is still too soon for the top performers of the last bull run to have their time now but I do think some "OG" goings are going to shine, like XRP, Dash, Bch, and XMR and I will be positioning myself into those tokens shortly.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
3
Chainlink: Partial Decline With Hidden Bullish DivergenceLink several weeks back bearishly reversed at the top of the local range which lined up with the PCZ of a Bearish Bat and the target i had set for it was the 50-61.8% Retracement because there was a higher probability that Chainlink would reverse Bullishly there to begin to attempt a Partial-Decline. We've since begun to reverse at that level and are showing Hidden Bullish Divergence on both the MACD and RSI. One would be lead to believe that this is the start. However as of right now it's unconfirmed until it touches the top of the range again; But we have enough info here to try to front-run the test of the range top and get a better entry today.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by RizeSenpai
Kadena to make bitcoin look like a stable coinKDABTC has a clear rising wedge structure and since it is at support the next move is primed to be to the upside. There is a lot of hidden bullish divergence on the RSI and MACD (and a host of other indicators) and the Stoch is showing momentum is breaking above the 20 level, which shows price is technically coming out of a downtrend on the weekly timeframe Drilling down several time frames, there is a inverse head and shoulders on the 4 hour that developed over the last 10 days. There is a strong possibility that that structure marks a the swing low and the price action will now go below that structure again. Price is poking above the orange trend line and if we can hold that break on the weekly time frame with a whole candle body above the gains are practically in the bag with some patience. This orange trend line also intersects the wedge support lower down and price action could see a retest of both on a pull back. KDAUSDT is in several bullish structures. First is a 50-day ascending triangle it is breaking out off right now And that ascending triangle is at support on a rising wedge that KDAUST had already broken out the top off before returning to support. I see KDAUSDT setting new all-time highs continually over the next several years.
Long
by This_Guhy
9
Comparing indicators from different bitcoin bear marketsTLDR: Indicator similarities suggest a strong buy for accumulators. Introduction Price actions causes indicator action and so you can see patterns on indicators stemming from price action. As price action tightens you can see different indicators tighten as well. Most tightening actions on charts is formed by triangles or wedges and as this idea will show, there has been tightening on the MACD Histogram and RSI. Discussion The MACD Histogram (on standard settings) tracks the distance between the 12 and 26 EMAs. A high positive value means the 12 is high above the 26, a 0 means the EMAs have crossed and a high negative value means the 12 is far below the 26. For the MACD histogram to tighten as it did in the 2018 to 2020 chart and the current chart that means the EMAS have been less volatile because price has been less volatile on the indicator. Of course the price action has been consistently bearish. There is no way for the gaussian channel to turn from green to red on such a high time frame without that downward price action. But just as narrowing price action suggest energy is getting coiled up prior to a release likewise a tightening MACD histogram suggests a large move is brewing The RSI provides us with some more information. In the last bear market the tightening on the RSI was mostly sideways which is why it was drawn as a triangle. We don't currently see the RSI going sideways, it is in a falling wedge. This falling wedge suggests that the RSI will ultimately break to the upside with price action. The fact that RSI hit oversold and is under a red gaussian channel is very promising for an upside move as well. It is also comforting for the bulls that the RSI is lower with price at about 19,800 than it was when the wedge began to form at support point 1 in august 2020 than it it is now. The RSI is even lower than during thr Covid dump. This higher low on price but lower low on an indicator is a clear example of hidden bullish divergence. Hidden divergences are my favorite kind of divergences and it is particularly comforting to see them with the RSI at oversold, below a red gaussian channel with a very tight MACD Histogram. There is a lot more stuff going on with the price action but I don't want to make this a post where I throw "Everything but the kitchen sink" at this idea but I will mention some things. Mr. Bollinger, creator of the Bollinger Bands has pointed out that the price is resting on the monthly BB for the first time in bitcoins history. Followers of the NVT are looking at how undervalued bitcoin is compared to the value transactions on the network. Price is below the weekly Keltner channel which has been a historically great place to buy. Lots of "OG" coins like Dash and BCH are nailing in a higher low on multi-year W patterns. ETHBTC has found support on the 200 EMA and is now fighting resistance at 100 EMA and I think that it will beat that resistance. It appears that this has been a very technical sell off until we retested the all time high on Bitcoin and Eth and now this horizontal retest has been complete are premier cryptos are primed to have their new highs and then a real and proper multi year beak market. As an example of horizontal retests see silver and golds retest below, which happened in the 2008 financial crisis. Should price begin to move up taking profit before the 1.618 level seems to be weak handed based on what we can see happened with silver and gold. My Trades I have taken longs in ethe, dash, bch and trx. I like the older coins because I think targeting on them is easier than the newer coins and the can offer me enough gains that I will be happy with the outcome of the trades. But I think they will still be correlated with BTC so I have to watch BTC. I also see this move happening over the next 2-3 years due to how long the W patterns will need to play out on Dash, BCH and other "OG" coins. I mentioned Dash on a differnt forum and was pleased to hear so many people considered the project dead, just like many people are saying bitcoin is dead. That is a sign to me that these coins will be in the stealth phase for a while. My linked ideas go deeper into my rational and my trades.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
11
Litecoin: Falling Wedge Break Hook and Go at an 88.6% RetraceLTCUSD has been sitting at a 88.6% Retrace for the last few weeks nowholding above both it and above a falling Wedge that it's developed on the weekly timeframe. If it can bounce back up from here i think it will have 3 profit targets: $420, $515, and Finally $645 as that would align with the 100%, 127.2% and 161.8% Fib Extension targets. My targets for this chart are a result of some other Bullish Variables on Various Other Charts i looked at where LTC is either the numerator or denominator, I have included some of these charts in the Related Ideas Tab below and based off all of these Aligned Variables across many different charts I'v come to the conclusion that i could be expecting alot out of the LTC Price Action in the Near Future.
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by RizeSenpai
1
Even more Bottom Calling on BitcoinTLDR: This and my linked post make a very strong case for limited downside, accumulation and reversal for the next several years. Don't get stupid with margin trading. Analysis I use the gaussian channel to find when an asset is undervalued for chosen time frame. Bitcoin has a history of going sideways under the gaussian channel and so far has never returned to levels below the Gaussian channel when it reenters and the channel has gone from green to red. Very simply price under a red gaussian channel means accumulate. Eventually that will not be a workable strategy but so far the logic is solid. The On Balance Volume with EMAs is a great tool to look at what is happening with volume over time. The indicator lets you set three different lookback periods and you can customize it to look for crosses to show when buy or sell pressure has shifted. I have made some mistakes with the OBV because it is hard to do some analysis on assets that are continually printing new "coins" like bitcoin does so you can't exactly use to look for divergences over large time frames. What you can do, however, is notice when the On Balance Volume is under a long term ema, like the 100. That symbolizes a whole lot of selling pressure and it suggests that the selling is about done. If you want to be a investor I suggest you do some tinkering with the On Balance Volume with EMAs because you can notice a a lot of things. On the chart below I have added the 150 EMA in red to the 100 EAM in green. In 2015 to 2016 the OBV was pinched between those two EMAS while the price action bottomed and made beautiful W pattern. That happened again at the low in late 2019 and early 2019. For the C19 dump the OBV lanced through and then recovered. Right now, the OBV is below the 150 EMA. That has never happened before. This is literally one of the best buying opportunities you could ever find for bitcoin using a simple OBV strategy of buying under a long-term EMA. It is as simple as value investors looking to accumulate under the 200 week on a asset they believe has the ability to recover, or people buying the base of the monthly Bolling band or kelter channel, or buying when the RSI has fallen below 20. And the RSI has fallen below 30, and it has done so bullishly! The RSI is lower now than it was during the dip in late 2018 but the price is currently much higher. A higher low on price but lower low on the indicator is hidden bullish divergence and it can mark great long term buying opportunities. Hidden divergences suggest price action will continue in the direction it was going when the divergence formed so in this case we would look for bullish continuation, or a higher high. Divergence Primer Classic Divergence (Trend Reversal) Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator Hidden (Trend Continuation) Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicato For target setting I continue to think there will be major consolidation at the 2 level and a top at the 2.618 level from the draw on the chart below. You see that rising wedge formation? Guess what, targeting suggest we will go to the wedge apex then price will spill to the beginning of the wedge and bitcoin loses almost all of its value. What a hell of a ride. My linked idea will show I have been watching for this wedge to act as support for a while. There is a chance that price falls out of the wedge now, which would be painful, but we can limit that loss with stop losses. I don't see that happening right now on account of the bullishness I articulated in this post. There is a rising wedge on Ethereum as well. Linked ideas The linked ideas show a lot of bullishness in the market, whether it be ideas looking at similar indicators, or massive bullish patterns on other cryptos. and it really helps steady my hands going forward. Hopefully they will be of some use to you as well.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
2