Highs and Lows Move Together: A Key Insight for Retail Traders█ Understanding Daily Highs and Lows in Trading
When it comes to trading, understanding the dynamics of daily price movements is essential. Daily highs and lows, which represent the highest and lowest prices of an asset within a single trading day, are more than just numbers—they provide valuable insights into market behavior, volatility, and potential trading opportunities.
█ What Are Daily Highs and Lows?
Daily Highs: The highest price an asset reaches during a trading day.
Daily Lows: The lowest price an asset hits during the same period.
Price Range: The difference between the daily high and low, which gives a measure of the day's volatility.
These metrics are crucial for traders because they not only reflect the volatility but also highlight the turning points in the market. A wide price range indicates high volatility, while a narrow range suggests the opposite.
█ Insights from Research
Research shows that daily highs and lows are not just random occurrences—they are statistically significant and can be forecasted with reasonable accuracy. For example, models that analyze the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range can outperform simple predictions based on past prices alone.
⚪ Highs and Lows as Important Levels:
The daily high is the highest price that an assets reaches in a day, and the daily low is the lowest price. These points are important because they often act like barriers in the market. If the price approaches the daily high, it might struggle to go higher, like hitting a ceiling. If it can’t break through, it might start to fall back down. Similarly, when the price gets close to the daily low, it might find support, like hitting a floor, and start rising again.
⚪ Market Reactions:
When the price reaches these highs or lows, it often reacts strongly. For instance, if the price hits a high but then drops, it suggests that traders think the price shouldn’t go higher, leading to a possible reversal. On the other hand, if the price keeps pushing against a high and finally breaks through, it could signal the start of a new upward trend.
In simple terms, the highs and lows act like important checkpoints in the market. Watching how prices behave around these levels can give traders clues about what might happen next.
█ Key Findings
⚪ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together:
The study found that the highest and lowest prices of oil each day are connected and tend to move together over time. This connection means that if one changes, the other usually does too. For retail traders, this suggests that tracking these levels can provide important clues about where the market might be heading next.
⚪ Price Ranges Indicate Volatility:
The difference between the daily high and low (known as the price range) is a strong indicator of how volatile the market is. A large range means the market is very active and prices are swinging widely. For traders, this could mean more opportunities to profit, but also more risk. Conversely, a small range indicates a calmer market with less movement.
⚪ Better Forecasting Models:
The study shows that by understanding the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range, traders can use more accurate models to predict future prices. These models outperform simpler methods that many traders might be using. For retail traders, this means there are better tools available that can help them make more informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of success.
█ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together
Daily highs and lows are connected and influence each other. This means that the highest and lowest prices of an asset during a trading day tend to move in relation to one another.
Imagine you're tracking the price of crude oil. On Monday, the highest price of the day was $80 per barrel, and the lowest was $75 per barrel. On Tuesday, the price went up, with the high being $88 and the low being $79. What the research found is that these daily highs and lows tend to follow a pattern or move in sync with each other over time.
The increase in both the high and low suggests that overall market sentiment is positive, and traders are willing to pay more, even at the lowest prices of the day.
█ What It Actually Means
⚪ Connection Between Highs and Lows:
If the daily high price increases, the daily low price often increases too, and vice versa. This doesn’t mean they are the same price, but rather that they tend to trend in the same direction. For instance, if the market is generally moving up (bullish), both the daily high and low prices will usually increase from one day to the next.
⚪ Why They Move Together:
This movement happens because the factors driving the price up or down (like supply and demand, market sentiment, or external news) impact both the high and low of the day. If there’s strong buying pressure, it will push the daily high up and also raise the floor, or daily low, as sellers adjust their expectations.
█ What It Means for Retail Traders
For new traders, understanding and using daily highs and lows can be a game-changer. These metrics offer a glimpse into market sentiment, help identify trading opportunities, and can form the foundation of robust trading strategies. By incorporating the analysis of daily highs and lows into your trading routine, you can make more informed decisions and improve your chances of success in the markets.
Understanding that daily highs and lows move together can help you predict market trends. If you see a pattern where both the highs and lows are steadily rising, it’s a sign that the market is in an uptrend, and you might decide to buy, expecting prices to keep climbing. Conversely, if both are falling, it might indicate a downtrend, suggesting it’s a good time to sell or avoid buying.
█ Reference
He, A.W.W., Kwok, J.T.K., & Wan, A.T.K. (2010). An empirical model of daily highs and lows of West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1499–1506.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
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Highlowtrading
XAUUSD : WEEKLY SIDEWAY BIAS SHORTWhen it comes to gold, Yes, shorting is still preferred.
Crushing gold on August 9th, though, leaves long wick a little puzzled.
So I'd like to see if gold can close as a bear candle at the end of the month.
However, for the time being, a two-position high-low level is my preferred level for short-term long-term trading.
Please check my previous gold trade plan.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
SILVER : ARE YOU LOOKING FOR A REVERSAL OR JUST A PULLBACK?Silver managed to breakout of a week of sideways trading last week, ending the week high at 24.87150.
However, on the weekly chart, silver has already made a new bottom, and the current rise is probably a short-term retest of the previous weekly high 24.87150
So, if there is a rejection at level 22.72450 and a breakout at 23.59300, I see a chance to short-term long till 25.17450 or 25.80050 before shorting again and targeting 21.03248
Yes, the short position is still favoured.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
EURJPY : UPDATEEURJPY has been trading sideways for a few days...
if price fails to break through a fresh high,
it may be possible to ride this trend until target 1 is reached.
For explanation, please refer to the previous trade plan.
Please give me a thumbs up if you like this idea. Until then, happy trading!
AUD/NZD SHORTHello Traders !
Today we have a nice trading day !
USD is weak and most of the pairs like GBP/USD , AUD/USD are all the way up !
This could be change when US Stock Market will open up .
For today I will bring you this trade, a short idea in my opinion and I tell you why
AUDNZD entered in this low area in November 2018 and stay there, try several times to make a way the break that zone at 1.08800- 1.0700 but without any success.
So as you can see, if you switch to Daily or Weekly TF you can see a solid resistence at 1.07180 / 1.07200, everytime in last weeks when price come to this level, it was rejected, also we have that double top on daily from May.
Personally I will be a seller on this pair at this time and also until the pair will break up the zone from November and also 1.08900.
You can join this trade using next information :
You can entry at 1.07170 and also you can entry now if your appetite for risk is higher or you can wait.
Put your SL at 1.07250
TAKE PROFIT @ 1.06900.
Depends on your entry, this trade can bring you 2+ 2.5 + R/R
Soon I will launch the telegram channel and I will inform you about that and there I will continue my work from trading view and offer live oportunities for you !
Take care and stay safe !
Have a great day and a productive week !