BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
Hightimeframe
XAGUSD (Silver) Weekly - Potential High-Probability ReversalOn the weekly chart for XAGUSD (Silver), there are signs of a potential reversal setup contingent on this week’s candle close. Price recently tapped into a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had previously broken structure, displacing price higher. A swing low was established above a key high, and this low has since been swept, indicating possible liquidity capture. Price is now interacting with the FVG while taking out this swing low, hinting at a possible reversal.
If this week’s candle closes above the FVG and the recent low, we could anticipate a strong push to the upside in the coming weeks, with an initial target around 34.88981, aligning with the next area of buy-side liquidity.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
DXY Set for a Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep Following HTF RejectionAnalyzing the recent price action of the DXY, it appears that a retracement to sell-side liquidity is in progress. Price has respected a higher timeframe order block (HTF OB) near 102.798, showing a significant wick into the OB before closing below it—a clear bearish signal. This indicates a likely push towards key sell-side liquidity around 100.215. Traders should watch for bearish continuation setups as liquidity pools are targeted.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
TUTORIAL:
Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach.
As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe.
If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message.
I hope you have all had a great week so far.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
XRP - High Timeframe Analysis - SHORT TRADE SETUPDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice, this is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my 12 Month - 2 Week - 12 Hour Mult-Timeframe approach, I have identified XRP as a market that I would consider shorting IF price action satisfies my rules for entry.
The 2023 candle traded up into the 2022 high and failed to close beyond it. For this reason, I have a bearish bias down to the 2023 lows.
XRP intermediate timeframe (2 week) is currently delivering price bearishly, and is currently in a intermediate timeframe bearish orderblock, which is a point of interest for me to look for entries. For this reason, I am satisfied taking an entry on the 12 hour timeframe if we get one of the following entries: Bearish change-in-state-of-delivery (CISD), 18 Period MA Entry, 10h8c MAC w/ Acc/Dis confirmation. I note that if price trades up into some of the intermediate term swing highs that I would consider shorting there as well, in the event that price trades through the intermediate timeframe bearish orderblock.
Let me know if you have any questions about this multi-timeframe approach.
I hope you are all having a great week.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
High Timeframe Analysis for Canadian DollarDISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. There are significant risks involved with trading. Do your due diligence.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME STRATEGY.
This approach is great for traders that don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. This strategy can easily be managed with a few minutes a night. If you have kids, or are busy with another profession, this strategy is excellent.
HTF: 12 Month
ITF: 2 Week
ETF: 12 Hour
CANADIAN DOLLAR ANALYSIS:
I am looking for the Canadian Dollar to trade up to 2023 highs. My bias is due to the "swing low" we put in over the last few years, suggesting that overall there is some bullish momentum.
The intermediate timeframe is in flow with my htf objective. I want to see CAD trade down into the 2W fair value gap &/or 2 week orderblock, and then give an entry (cisd, 18 period ma entry, 10-8 mac entry). The target is 2023 highs. These trades can last a fairly long time due to the high timeframe objective. I will either roll over into next contract, or utilize spot forex market for these positions. To be clear, this does not mean I blindly long. What this means is this market has a setup, which means we wait for the trigger/timing tool to get me in. Until then, I do nothing.
If you want to learn more about the PD (Premium/Discount) arrays, I suggest you study ICT (Inner Circle Trader). My application of his work is unique, but to learn the fundamentals, there is no better place than his YouTube.
If you have questions, feel free to shoot me a message.
Have a great week.
A simple long-term T/F Stochastic Trick You Will Only Learn Here
Cast your minds back to the end of 2015 guys. I know you probably have no recall on the Gold-price.
So let me tell you how the Gold price was behaving at the end of 2015.
For several years prior (approximately) 2012-2015 the Gold Price was trending down to a support level around December 2015.
Now, take a look at the 3 MONTH-Chart for XAU USD. What do you see when looking at the 2nd bottom of chart indicator the Stochastics. Scan from left to right from 2007 to 2024. How many times does it get over-sold under the crucial 20 level. Do you get my drift?
Just prior to December 2015 the Stochastic on the 3M chart crossed-down below the 20 level. But it would've been pressing-down-hard at the floor so you would not be buying yet.
But now, look what happens to price around December 2015 when the 3-MONTH-STOCHASTIC INDICATOR crosses up the Green-20 line. You are correct, price starts to rally-hard.
Forget the so-called gurus selling the b.s. indicators guys. Stochastics and especially on the Higher-Time-Frame is the "KING" of all indicators. It's only let-down is that it does tend to give you a road-map of when to exit your trade. That road-map can be achieved tracking the MACD, which incidentally, the MACD got you into a trade here in Gold not long after the Stochastic crossed-up the 20, there was a Bullish cross-up of the MACD lines. The lower under the zero line this MACD cross occurs. Following the MACD and RSI can actually create a road-map like you are driving a car and trying to avoid an interest, I might explain this another time.
But again, nobody will teach you this trading secret on the Highertimeframes, you will only learn it from the 100% free subscription service delivered by me here at easy_explosive_trades. Just imagine buying 1 lot in XAU USD and capitalising on that 138% move. I have not done the maths.
These are the big trades I look for on the highertimeframes. I started investing and trading during the GFC in 2008 but in 2015 I did not know about this very insider high-time-frame trick using the number 1 indicator, the King-Stochastics, it get you into trades on HTF with needle point accuracy.
Nobody showed me this trick. I work these things out myself. I wanted to share it with you. As I am proud to have you part of my channel.
Cheers,
Chris
easy_explosive_trader
* Trading is risky. Don't rely solely on my investment advice.
Monday's trades: We are bidding up the Silver price & Palladium. Both of these and especially Palladium are bullish on the HTF.
Hey..... forget these gurus with their 72 day moving averages & 171 day moving averages. You make money sticking to the basics in trading.
Finally, I encourage you to, if you take my trades, to always risk no more than 0.25% to 0.50%. I endeavour always to give you fantastic RR not this 1:1 crap that the expensive subscriptions in Gold and Currency's charge. I make enough money trading, I don't need to make money out of you.
F Bearish Bias Again SHORTFORD ( F) on a weekly chart is in a falling wedge pattern. Fundamentally, it is challenged
by the EV vs hybrid dynamic, weak EV sales and the federal slowly ramping up MPG
requirements as potentially rising gasoline prices affecting consumer decisions away from the
gas consuming F-150 where the profits are the highest. Unless F can breakout of the falling
wedge, price could compress further in the wedge with a move down as far as 9.
At present F is testing the upper resistance descending trendline. The predictive algorithm
suggests it will be rejected and fall. I am entering a short trade here for a long term swing.
GBPUSD - Long ( Potential Swing Trade)Happy Wednesday Everyone!
I trust everyone is bless.
New potential swing trade for 2/4 - GU
Higher Time Frame Analysis - Lower Time Frame Entry
- Price broke previous daily resistance, now support.(Also weekly support)
- Daily strong bullish trend line.
- As we look to close the first 3M candle for the year, if the markets holds above the support line&trendline, I see price heading towards 1.31 (Previous Yearly resistance candle)
- 50% Fib Retracement
- (Not considered any news events yet - purely analysed from a technical standpoint)
I’ll definitely keep my eye on this and share my thoughts/updates as we approach April.
Please share your own view below.
Happy Trading/Investing :)
God bless
ATOM/BTC Long HTF TradeI have been looking for a good long opportunity against Bitcoin. With the high volume of capital inflows to crypto that has been stimulated with the ETF/Halving Bull Cycle, the question is, where will it flow to next?
Meme coins, old school cryptos, L2s, gaming?
The answerer is all of the above... duh.
If I had time I would scour the crypoverse looking for some promising low caps or the latest and greatest AI coin. But alas, I do not..
So... lets look at what coins have absolutely killed in the last six months. INJ, TIA, FET, and RUNE. What do they all have in common? Cosmos! Looking at a high time frame trade to capture the bottom of a grinding 390ish day erosion of price on the ATOM/BTC pair. I tried to illustrate how the pair trends for about 3 month clips up and down. Going from yearly high to yearly low.
I really think this could rally 50% in a hurry. You can see that the pair has gone on a more than 200% gain from the trend low to high. (Has actually happened 5 times!) I think this trade is primed due to how beat up the price pair is and the year plus single direction move. The compression of the price range, extensive price move of Bitcoin and money flow to coins built on the Cosmos ecosystem are the catalyst to kick start this trend change.
I would love other's thoughts on this idea. Am currently looking into the tokenomics of the coin to see if I am missing anything but since when do tokenomics and logic mean anything in crypto? I know there was hard fork talk and contention about lowering the yield down to O%, the proposal failed but the BTC price pair has never recovered.
EUR/CHF Quick HTF Analysis - Important Price Action to followFor all watching, I kept this video very short and straight to the point to show longer term opportunities for the pair and overall objective of where market may want to go. In order to create your own trade bias, further confluence and analysis is needed.
TL;DR (or watch) - I see some signal opportunities in the near-term outlook of EUR/CHF as to the downside we are entering a 'liquidity drought' and are requiring further selling support by mitigating former Supply Zones. We are also approaching major resistance in the form of a multi-year trend line top and will therefore require a push from buyers (as we saw today) to push us through resistance to liquidity above.
For a trade to the upside, we are above our former low so we will look for a MTF/LTF change of character and ideally, confluence with a HTF break.
This requirement for liquidity to create new lows coupled with strong resistance and the overarching downtrend allows for an open-ended bias and with patience and market structure we will wait for trend continuation (with a break of structure to the downside) or signs of reversal (with BOS to the upside) to form our bias and look for entries.
Hope this is helpful and enjoyable for those who care and boring for those who don't! ;)
XAUUSD HTF ANALYSIS SELLS PENDINGUS DOLLAR IS LOOKING TO INFLATE THE NUMBERS AS WE HEAD FOR SOME FORM OF SWITCHOVER.
I have predicted since january we could see an offering by the fed to buyback all fiat currency (USD) in exchange for the new alternative digital standard. Being that more than 90% of circulating currency is digital this would be an easy and palatable transition by most of civilization. I believe they over a 1:1.5 Ratio take back all the USD Then pay off the debt.
However the HTF Dollar Chart tells a slightly different story.
Lets see what the CPI brings this week good luck to everyone.
For more info follow my socials located in my BIO!
Cheers.
NAS100 Macro ThesisHello Traders I have become very fond of the higher time frames. After 4 years plus experience you do everything you can to drown out the noise.
This is a macro thesis but will allow you to feel confident in playing one side of the market for the coming months.
We must wait for the DXY to Retrace before this potential thesis hits its breaker trigger!
Happy trading safe trading everyone!
My thoughts about BTC bottoming Last several years I've been using many tools to analyze, and try to take advantage of opportunities in terms of long-term market structure on BTC .
One of the main tools I really like to use and came with the most reward so to speak, is a specific Fib level. It proved to read with a very good probability the potential bottom of BTC ( especially BTC ) on the higher timeframes.
As you can see on the chart, each cycle has a corresponding fib plotted which starts at the H and goes to the L of that particular cycle. The fib levels presented are only 2, with the green one being the "default", and the gray one being a secondary, only touched once, after a crisis-like moment in 2011. I believe this year we will be seeing it again, so the chart plots both levels and my expectation is that the bottom would be somewhere inside the range of $8K to $13K by end of Q3 2023. The projection coincides with a potential additional drop of the stock market this year, and the overall macroeconomic conditions we are living through.
We will see how things play out, but I am building confidence on the usefulness of these levels.
WTI Oil Macro LevelsGood Evening Everyone,
Please watch the entire video to understand my break down and thesis.
As always trade safe set stops set takes and make sure you are always using appropriate risk for your RR.
Happy Trading + Safe Trading = Profits
I'll get back to posting more frequently if we can give this video some love!!!! Cheers
TESLA Hightime Frame Analysis - $TSLA - Long term Buy Zone.Tesla may finally continue downtrend,
i would personally enter after a sweep of those lows (mentioned in chart) around 100's might take few weeks/months to reach though.
Long term buy zone = 92-120 levels.
Potential targets = 200+ mid term, long term would like to see a double top rejection @400 , until then it's level to level play.
No guarantees we get it anytime soon, just my HTF plan.
Cheers.
AMZN Can it reverse and go LONGOm a monthly chart from Amazon's beginning to the present.
Amazon was in a sustained uptrend peaking in the summer of 2021.
Since then it has retraced down to the Fib 0.5 level. Price
was more than two standard deviations above the long term
anchored VWAP and is now downtrending into a value area.
The volume profile shows three high volume nodes and price
is currently in the middle node, Finally, the volatility on the
RSI indicator has decreased as had the strength itself.
AMZN is likely setting up for a reversal. Now, is a good time
to buy stock or a long term call option. This is a long idea
for investors not traders.
Ethereum deviation? #ETHHi Everyone!
"simplicity is the ultimate sophistication"
Looks like a weekly deviaton at previous ATH...and a retest with a high volume up momentum so far.
-High volume at the lows - "you need volume to stop the falling" (Technical and Stock Market Analysis Profits - by Richard W. Schabacker)
-RSI downtrend broke, 2 rounded bottom retest
My target is 2500-3000.
Only concern is BTC:
Let's see!
Bitcoin HTF overview - more downside$BTC basically at the 2017 high right now. Should be strong support.
But looking at this 1W HTF chart I can't help but see more downside potential. Seems very counterintuitive to look at this chart and conclude the lows are in, imo. Notice the increase in volume as price continues to drop.
And looking at the volume profile, and the visible gap, I don't think a drop to 13k would be unrealistic before the next bull market (2024?).
One thing I wonder, looking at that POC, is if 9k would happen at one point. Could be a very quick move. Not a bad idea to set a buy order imo, just in case.
What's NextHey everyone,
My last post was just before the last bullish move the crypto market made and was about DOTUSDT precisely. It turned out very well as I published before the move along with a signal that the TP level got hit 2 days after the price consolidated for a day. So if you have seen it, it is perfect because you were able to catch the move. (link down below)
For now, I think that we have been consolidating for too many days now. We might be in a consolidation box (or in a symmetrical triangle), which means that we are preparing for a volatile move after breaking this range.
Looking at Altcoins like ETHUSDT and DOTUSDT, I lean towards a short-term bullish pullback since we will revisit the 50% Fibonacci level in the higher timeframe.
If it breaks to the upside or the downside, we are going with the trend depending on which direction the price goes.
Please comment if you have any questions, I will try my best to answer them.
Thank you😊