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Historical

Bitcoin Tumbling Down the StairsThis probably won't be a fast drop at all. More like falling down the stairs... We might pause a couple of times thinking we have stopped, only to continue to snowball down. The FUD with Binance helped exacerbate what was already on the charts and forced this down action today. Looking at fractals from 2014 it is hard to decide if the #1 and #2 are matching up or is the 2014 #2 = 2018 #1 ? If it is the latter then I would expect to see a bump up from our current price levels, but I am more inclined to think we are matching the #1 and #2 and the only move left is to fall down some. Price targets will be as low as $8,000 to $7,700.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Bonavest
1
Historical Resistance Levels Coming Into PlaySo I'm just gonna point out some previous resistance levels from the climb up to the ATH that are now serving as resistance on the way down. Levels #1, #2 and #3 provided some resistance on the way up while Levels #4 and #5 did so as well but were merely bumps in the road. On the trend down we've revisited the #5 and #4 levels and seem to have a clear path, meaning no historical support/resistance, all the way to Level 3 at $8142. The next levels are #2 and #1 at $7385 and $5908. I'm still a noob so hesitated to share, but something I've been told over and over is playing out, which is that previous resistance can later become support. Zooming way out and taking in the big picture, this seems to be true. Happy trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by drake7
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Tends To Drop Post-EarningsMicrosoft Corporation has been trending upward as are most stocks and sectors since the U.S. elections last year. Although "good" numbers and much hype surround markets, Microsoft has not had great results after their earnings calls for the last four years. The stock is also at the top of its clearly defined trend channel which has always resulted in a decline over the next few weeks. We have laid out a study of historical movements for the stock in this article. Will history repeat itself again causing a 5% plus drop? When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 78.4752. RSI tends to determine trends, momentum, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The RSI is currently overbought. This milestone has occurred 112 times and its significance is discussed below. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.3159 and the negative is 0.6303. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the stock is moving down. The positive and negative are at somewhat extreme levels away from their central point of 1. Their current retreat back to 1 typically flags the end of the upward movement while signaling a drop for the stock. The stochastic oscillator K value is 94.8017 and D value is 81.1292. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is certainly in overbought territory. The D value is still well below the K value and it could be a few more days before the D is greater than the K. When this crossover occurs, the stock could be ready to drop. SPECIFIC ANALYSIS Only one other time since 2000 was the RSI and positive VI at or above today's level at the same time the stochastic oscillator was overbought with the earnings call three days away. The stock dropped 5.21% over the following 14 trading days on that occasion. The stock has dropped 12 of the last 17 times from its close price three days prior to the earnings call. Of these 12 occasions, the minimum drop is 0.67%, median drop is 4.40%, and maximum decline is 14.97%. On four occasions since the start of the Dot Com Bubble Burst has the RSI and positive VI been at the same level while the stochastic oscillator was overbought. The minimum days to hit a bottom was 14 and the minimum stock loss was 4.62%. The median stock decline was 5.81% and maximum was 16.54%. On 12 occasions the RSI and positive VI have been near their same levels are higher while the stochastics oscillator was overbought. The stock has dropped a minimum of 3.03% and median of 5.79% throughout these instances. The RSI has closed at or above its current level 112 times since 1986. Over the next 30 trading days from this point, the stock does not always drop, the median decline is 6.86% and average loss is 8.68%. Finally, the stock has been in a discernable trend channel since April 2016. The stock hit the top of this channel on Friday which it has done five other times since it began. The quickest drop from the top has occurred in three days and the slowest bottom occurred in 20 days. The minimum drop from the top of the channel is 3.23%, median is 4.79%, and max is 5.79%. Between all of the aforementioned historics, we are confident the stock could drop at least 3.5% over the following 35 trading days. The significant drop should take shape after earnings are announced around October 26. Remember, even positive earnings have resulted in declines.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by StockSignaler