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HONG KONG 33

HSI1! 2022 JAN 17 Week HSI1! 2022 JAN 17 Week Last week scenario 1 played out - HS exited trend line, breakout was tested and now price is at a previous supply zone. (24391 and HTF brown dashed trend line) Possible scenarios are mapped out 1) Break of 24391 and resistance becomes support 2) Pullback below 24391 to test for supply before continuing on the uptrend 3) Do note the possibility of a formation of a larger rotation area 24391 - 22663,of which testing of the bottom of the range will not be a surprise. Daily: Average volume down bar closing off low = demand is present. Next bar should close higher in order for strength to continue. H4: Weak closes may see price heading lower temporarily, leading to scenario2. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2022 JAN 10 Week HSI1! 2022 JAN 10 Week If breakout of 23695 and is supported, this may signify change in trend. Possibility of demand returning as price has been peeling away from the lower trend line (black). Fresh trend line (brown) scenarios will be 1) bounce from trend line and breaking upward and supported by 23695 could lead to change in trend. 2) Oversold and market re-enters the asymmetrical price boundary between the brown and black trend line. Daily: Downtrend. Approached trend channel on low volume and closing off high = weakness H4: Up bar closing off high on low volume = weakness. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2022 JAN 03 WeekHSI1! 2022 JAN 03 Week Trade remains guided by trendline. If breakout of 23695 and is supported, this may signify change in trend. Daily: Downtrend. Price bar closed off high = supply is present. H4: Ranging between 22964 - 26395. Last bar Upthrust bar shows supply is present. Price may test 23160 - 22964 in the short term. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Dec 06 WeekHKEX:HSI1! HSI1! 2021 Dec 06 Week Trade remains guided by trendline. Market trading in a 500pt rotation, will it be accumulation or a pause? If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted. Weekly: Low volume down bar closing on low = Supply weakening, BUT not change in behavior yet. Daily: Low volume down bar closing near off low = some support BUT no change in trend yet H4 = High volume down bar closing near low = weakness Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : ) HSI1!
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
1
HSI1! 2021 Nov 29 Week HSI1! 2021 Nov 29 Week This week's trade plan will still be guided by the trendline. If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted. Weekly: Average volume down bar closing near low = weakness Daily: High volume down bar closing a little off low = sone demand Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Nov 22 Week HSI1! 2021 Nov 22 Week Market again tested 247XX. It was not ready to go up . Trade will be guided by the trend line and will only long if market exits trend line and is supported. If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted. Weekly: Average volume down bar closing near low = weakness Daily: High volume down bar closing off low, some demand present. Market came down on lower bearish volume, supply may be exhausted. H4: Friday's market came down on relatively higher volume, but no result, there is some support / bears are exhausted at the moment. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Nov 15 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Nov 15 Week Market took out temporary support 24737 before making a recovery. 24737 again provided a long opportunity. Market should next be trying for 26000 which is the upper end of the rotation zone. If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short Weekly: Average volume up bar closing off low = weakness. Supply is present Daily: Narrowing of spread, and up bar closing in middle = Undecisive. Wait for next bar for demand/supply to surface. H: Friday's market came down on bullish volume, smart money buying as price comes down. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
2
HSI1! 2021 Nov 01 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Nov 01 Week Market was resisted at 26227 and theme of the week was short. No sign of strength yet. Probably may test previous rotation (grey area). If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short Weekly: 2 bar Bearish reversal, Average volume down bar = Weakness Daily & H: Market came down on reduced volume, bearish momentum may be waning. But no confirmation of strength yet. Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
2
HSI1! 2021 Oct 25 Week HSI1! HSI1! 2021 Oct 25 Week Weakness as price approached previous resistances. If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support. If market rotates, stay out If market breaks resistance and turns support = long If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short Weekly: Average volume wide spread up bar closing off high = weakness Daily: Average volume down bar, previous bar saw price rejection, shortening of thrust = weakness Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Oct 04 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Oct 04 Week Weekly: Average spread up bar closing near high, we see some strength returned. Daily: Market temporarily resisted at 24620-24680. The narrow spreads on 01 Oct due to start of the China holiday week. H3: Higher lows observed. Bar A effort with little result = temporary weakness. As price converges at the recent highs, wait for entry opportunity on signs of strength. Strategy for Short (Test and Reject) Strategy for Long (Test and Support) Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Sep 27 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Sep 27 Week Rejection at about 24587, the 50% of the Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 uptrend provided short opportunity, besides rejection at previous H3 UHV bar high 24718. Weekly: Down bar closing off low, a little demand, but no signs of strength. Weakness expected to continue. Daily: Weakness. The last 2nd and 3rd bar appeared as bearish reversal, last bar is down bar closing at low. H3: The most recent UHV bar A, buying effort but spread was narrow and market fell informed us of weakness. Strategy for Short (Test and Reject) Strategy for Long (Test and Support) Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Sep 20 Week HSI1! HSI1! 2021 Sep 20 Week Weakness played out last week and market was supported at about 24587, this is the 50% of the Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 uptrend. If there is a breakdown and this becomes resistance, market would see more down side. The last up move from 20 Aug - 08 Sep took more days and volume than the one before it while we see more ease of downward movement. Weekly: Wide spread down bar closing off low net change from previous down bar is narrow = some demand Daily: Up bar closing off high = weakness H3: The last wide spread UHV up bar is SOW. Market exited down channel. Will its demand line become resistance or will price attempt to re-enter the channel? Strategy for Short (Test and Reject) Strategy for Long (Test and Support) Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels: Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Sep 13 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Sep 13 Week Last week's preference to keep to long last week was fruitful. Weekly: Up bar close below 50% of bar = weakness and a third off the high = weakness. Daily: Price is attempting to test recent high in the red zone, nothing meaningful yet on daily chart. H3: Market moving up, but shortening of thrust. Effort no result = weakness Long will be at the channel's demand line or when price is marked down to test previous UHV wide spread bars. Strategy for Short (Test and Reject) Strategy for Long (Test and Support) Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels: Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Aug 30 Week HSI1! HSI1! 2021 Aug 30 Week Last week's long preference worked well. 24306 was a previous high demand area, will buyers come in to support should price reach there? Daily: No Demand tiny spread, background = lower high. Last 2nd and 3rd bar effort not result for the bears. H4: 20 - 25 Aug we see the highest bullish volume emerged on the background of this downtrend. Also a spring in the 24780 - 26900 range. Prefer to long on test of low. Strategy for Short (Test and Reject) Strategy for Long (Test and Support) Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels: - 26900 - 26584 - 25955 - 25682 - 25330 - 24780 - 24306 Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Aug 23 WeekHSI!! HSI1! 2021 Aug 23 Week Last week's long levels become short levels market did not even try to test the immediate high. Supply proved stronger. Market returned to test the UHV, and it looks like a spring has occured Weekly: Wide Spread sown bar closing off lows = Demand has come in. Daily: Wide spread down closing in middle, rejection of lower prices. Reduced bearish volume on the test. H4: Demand has come in to support the market. Bearish effort no result, reduced bearish volume on test of previous low. Prefer to long on test of low. Strategy for Short (Test and Reject): - 26900 - 26584 - 25814 Strategy for Long (Test and Support): - 25400 - 24780 - 24306 - 23870 Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
HSI1! 2021 Aug 16 WeekHSI1! HSI1! 2021 Aug 16 Week Gentle ascend, intermediate trend channel established. High probability short trade from the upthrust. Tested Historic UHV High from 27 Jul Weekly: Up bar close above middle (some strength, but supply still present) Daily: Strength coming in H4: Supply still present and Lower High Strategy for Short (Test and Reject): - 26900 - 26584 Strategy for Long (Test and Support): - 25815 - 25560 - 24743 - 24930 - 26340 (ultimate confirmation if there is acceptance at this price followed by strong bullish volume) Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
2021 Aug 09 Week HSI1! HSI1! HSI1! 2021 Aug 09 Week Last week's market: = No follow through in breakout - Weakness - Upthrust and returned to rotation zone = weakness - Yet to test the Historic UHV from 27 Jul - Market in 650pt rotation (grey box) Monthly = UHV wide spread down bar closing off low (Change in behavior takes time) Weekly = Potential demand, close on middle 26042 Daily: No result from Reversal1. Last bar closing off low, no sign of strength yet H4: Supply still present. (Weakness appears on Up bars) Immediate Resistance 26340 - 26483 Intermediate support 25560 - 25650 Strategy: 1) Price reaction off Red/Green Zones 2) Price reaction off boundary of rotation zone (grey box)
HKEX:HSI1!
by paradox677
Start of another mark up or Fake out?After the re-accumulation at 26500-26000 in December, HSI rallied all the way to 30k before climaxing. Volume was very low throughout and the move appeared rather laboured which was unlike the markups/downs i have witnessed before in HSI . We again saw good amount of buying in couple of weeks before the holidays. Price has now broken out of the top of re-accumulation range at 29500 and is poised to break above the swing top at 30336, possibly Tomorrow. If it is the start of another mark up then next stop might be around 31500-32000. I was wrong about a fake out the last time it break out of the range at 26500 and i can be wrong again but i have a strong feeling that a big selloff to at least 27500, possibly 25500 is coming before a multi month rally to new ATH . I will be looking for sell signals at 30350-550.
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by Dec0der
27