HK50 | Sell the reopening hopesHK50 has retraced almost 20% after advice from Gov. on reopenings and easing of China's strict COVID policies to hit the 200-day MA, sloping down in a parallel channel since.
Current market sentiment has declined on re-escalation of COVID related deaths and infections, however the market has yet to correct inline with this, so any continued deterioration will lead a significant move lower.
Furthermore, China's growth prospects (GDP) for 2022/2023 have been slashed by the World Bank, with others yet to decide.
Key resistance sits at 19638 (200D MA), with local resistance of 20096 and local support of 18339. 0.618 retracement sits at 17982, 50% at 17334. I expect a rise to re-challange the 200D MA and reject from 19500.
Hk50
Fading into HS50 negative trend.HS50 - 21h expiry - We look to Sell at 19475 (stop at 19795)
We are trading at overbought extremes. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
Price action looks to be forming a top. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19475 level.
Our profit targets will be 18675 and 18540
Resistance: 19480 / 20635 / 22510
Support: 18540 / 17605 / 16450
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HK50 - Price action looks to be forming a topHK50 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 19560 (stop at 19821)
We are trading at overbought extremes. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high. Price action looks to be forming a top. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19560 level.
Our profit targets will be 18755 and 18540
Resistance: 19480 / 20635 / 22510
Support: 18540 / 17605 / 16450
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Buying HS50 at current support.HS50 - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 17450 (stop at 17115)
Buying pressure from 17289 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 17450 level.
Our profit targets will be 18395 and 18485
Resistance: 18540 / 19480 / 20635
Support: 17605 / 16450 / 14580
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Top pattern on HK50Trade Idea: Selling HK50
Reasoning: Top pattern on HK50
Entry Level: 17641
Take Profit Level: 16980
Stop Loss: 17796
Risk/Reward: 4.25:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
HK33 to extend gains?HS50 - 22h expiry - We look to Buy a break of 18465 (stop at 17985)
Buying pressure from 17703 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Previous resistance located at 18470.
Further upside is expected, however, due to the strong resistance above we prefer to buy a break of 18465, which will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 19835 and 20635
Resistance: 18540 / 19480 / 20635
Support: 17605 / 16450 / 14580
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying HK50 at key support.HS50 - 21h expiry - We look to Buy at 16461 (stop at 16249)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 16400 level.
Our profit targets will be 16969 and 17169
Resistance: 18540 / 20635 / 22510
Support: 16450 / 14580 / 14000
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Selling HK50 at previous support.HS50 - 22h expiry - We look to Sell at 16140 (stop at 16680)
Previous resistance located at 15836.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We look to sell rallies.
Our profit targets will be 14600 and 14000
Resistance: 16940 / 18130 / 19165
Support: 15425 / 14000 / 12000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Watchout for early optimism in HS50,HS50 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 18890 (stop at 19100)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 18285 and 18130
Resistance: 19165 / 19800 / 20320
Support: 18130 / 16940 / 15425
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Can the Hang Seng cobble together a sympathy bounce?Whilst the overall trend and sentiment point lower, yesterday’s false break of support could provide a potential bounce for the Hang Seng index.
Despite its downtrend on the daily chart, the HSI produced a strong bullish engulfing candle on the 25th of August which showed strong demand around 19,200 – a level which has held since May (and a similar candle occurred). Whilst it printed a bearish pinbar and then fell back below 20,000, the fact it took 6 days to unwind the gains of the engulfing candle can be seen as a form of strength.
Also note that we saw a false break of the 19,200 support area yesterday despite the negative sentiment, and the day closed with a bullish hammer. Furthermore, the hammer formed and closed above key support and the weekly S1 pivot point, and a bullish divergence formed on the RSI.
The near-term bias remains bullish above yesterday’s low and for a move back to the 20-bar eMA, or weekly pivot point. Whereas a break beneath yesterday’s low (or daily close) assumes its next leg lower has begun and brings the 18,400 region into focus.
HK50 is need of direction - levels to watchChina has been performing well of late as capital flows towards the geography with the most accommodative central bank and increased liquidity. After a solid rally from the mid-May lows were seeing the HK50 print a series of lower lows and highs, although the wicks are getting longer suggesting there is still solid buying pressure into weakness. We see the price now curbed at the 20-day MA, ahead of the rising TL support.
Our analysts see the TL holding for now, with a renewed push into 22,310 offering increased confidence of a push higher and the potential for trending conditions. An upside break of 22,100 would give this call increased confidence. If the TL gives way, we see double top neckline support at 20595, where a break here targets the May lows and even 18,850.
Levels to guide on the daily timeframe
Jamie Gun2Head - Selling HK50Trade Idea: Selling Hang Seng
Reasoning: 50% fib sell on Hang Seng
Entry Level: 21082
Take Profit Level: 20597
Stop Loss: 21195
Risk/Reward: 4.29:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
HANG SENG 30th MAY 2022In China, authorities are holding an unprecedented national meeting by teleconference in a bid to boost the economy hit by Covid-19. Investors' concerns about tightening monetary policy seem to have eased. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index led the strengthening of Asia-Pacific markets today. One of the driving factors was the soaring stock of Alibaba.
Premier Li Keqiang also warned that China's current economic difficulties outweigh the severe shocks at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. So the bearish possibility could occur before they actually get out of the fight against the pandemic.
HK50 Index Intraday Technical AnalysisHK50 Intraday Technical Analysis:
HK50 took support from 19240 in Asian session with an intraday closure of 19622 in Asian markets. The Asian index is expected to face resistance from this level . my target is the support of 19440 in intraday. My idea is entry at 19600 resistance level with the target of 19400 and 19200 support levels.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
HK50 Index Intraday Technical AnalysisHK50 cash index opened with a gap towards downside. The price is expected to take support at 19500. My idea is that the price will make a false breakout towards downside and then reverse the trend. My target is support of 19500 with the goal of resistance of 19800 for intraday.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics