USDHKD One of the best buys in the market.The USDHKD pair just formed a 1W Death Cross this week but the current 1W candle is a green one. The reason is that it is rebounding after reaching last week the 2-year Support Zone. We believe that we will see an aggressive rise next that will approach the Lower Highs trend-line. Our target is just below it at 7.82500.
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HKD
HKEX to find buyers at market price?HS50 - 24h expiry
Selling posted in Asia.
Short term bias is bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Weekly pivot is at 17348.
We look to Buy at 17350 (stop at 17190)
Our profit targets will be 17750 and 17850
Resistance: 17870 / 18600 / 19780
Support: 17285 / 16695 / 15860
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USDHKD Bounced off the 2022 Support! Strong buy!The USDHKD pair hit amidst Monday's turmoil the top of the Support Zone that was established back on the week of December 05 2022 and instantly rebounded. This naturally shows the strong technical demand of that level.
Even tough another 1-2 weeks of consolidation is possible, on the long-term, we expect a test of the May 01 2023 Lower Highs trend-line. Our Target is 7.8300.
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USDHKD Be ready for a long-term buy.The USDHKD pair has been giving us excellent trades in the past 12 months and the latest (April 18, see chart below) almost hit our 7.79500 Target about 3 weeks ago:
With the price approaching yet again the 11-month Support Zone, there is no reason to diverge from this successful pattern. Right now by being so close to the Support Zone, the R/R ratio favors buying towards the Resistance Zone.
Our Target will be slightly lower at 7.83900 (April 08 High).
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 48 - HKDTWD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing HKDTWD, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
USDHKD Approaching the 2-year Resistance Zone. Major Sell.The USDHKD pair has been rising since November 2023 after hitting the Support Zone and is approaching the 2-year Resistance Zone. The Sine Waves help us understand the cyclical nature behind it. This is a low risk sell opportunity for the long-term. Our Target is 7.79500 (top of Support Zone).
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USDHKD Wave trading continues for high percentage profits.We have been using the USDHKD pair for wave trading for a very long time (see standard example below) due to its distinct characteristic and tight correlation:
It is more than obvious on this 1D chart that the application of the Sine Wave tool gives high probability entries and exits for bottom/ top buying and selling. Currently we are on an uptrend that should start topping in February. That will be our next low risk trade and it will be a sell. Profit taking will be made towards the end of June as the Sine Wave approaches its bottom.
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USDHKD BUY AnalysisI've been following this chart for a while. After having an OVERSOLD signal in the 1D chart, I also received buy signals in the 4H chart and therefore I decided to report this position.
At this moment the position is not open yet, but if it follows the trend, as indicated in the graph (by the blue arrow), I will open the trade as soon as it reaches the indicated price (in the yellow circle).
Naturally, if it were to reverse course and therefore take the wrong path (red arrow), this trade will not open and will be cancelled.
USDHKD: Rejection on the 1D MA50 and LH trendline. Sell.USDHKD is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.421, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 19.830) as it is approaching the end of a Descending Triangle pattern. Yesterday it got a double rejection on the 1D MA50 and the LH trendline.
A harmonic Descending Triangle broke down to the S1 level after after its third contact with the LH trendline. Consequently we trrat this as a sell opportunity (TP = 7.7940).
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USDHKD The wonderful wave trading of this pair.It has been almost 1 year since we published a long-term perspective on the USDHKD pair (chart below) based on a cyclical behavior and as you see it has worked wonderfully:
Basically the Sine Waves couldn't have mapped it better and have successfully projected the sharp fall straight after our article as well as the one that started in May (2023). Right now this Cycle has bottomed and we should again see it rise to the pivotal 7.8500 level. What we want to see after that is a series of Lower Highs on the 1D RSI and as usual that will be the signal to sell.
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HANG SENG: Buy signal on the bottom of the Channel Down.Hang Seng got rejected on the 1D MA50 two weeks ago and is headed again to the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D timeframe turned red again on its technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -221.700, ADX = 20.498) and this is becoming a buy opportunity again. Every prior rise inside this Channel Down has been at least +10.90% so the one that started on the August 22nd low isn't technically completed. Buy and attempt contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 19,400).
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HKEX bias is still for lower levels.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 18100 (stop at 18300)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 18100 level.
Our profit targets will be 17600 and 17510
Resistance: 18015 / 18520 / 18915
Support: 17375 / 17040 / 16560
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
HKDTRY LONG HKD can be a reserve currency candidateSince 1983, there have been many calls for Hong Kong to change its HKD peg. Economists at ANZ Bank analyze HKD amid de-dollarisation.
HKD is like a ‘stablecoin’
“The decline in the HKD aggregate balance is unlikely to cause market panic. Once the HIBOR-LIBOR gap narrows, HKD outflow pressures will be alleviated. The HKD peg to the USD is defended via changes in the cost of carry.”
“Pegging HKD to the RMB does not add value to China’s development as there is already a CNH market. Instead, HKD is a reserve currency candidate backed by solid financial infrastructure and freely convertible exchange rate regime.”
“The HKD peg is akin to a ‘stable coin’ as its value is tied to a reference asset. Blockchain technology and the tokenisation of government bonds will increase the security qualities and make it more attractive to investors who seek diversification from the conventional dollarised regime in the digital era.”
Selling HK50 at previous resistance.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19213 (stop at 19373)
We look to trade the current range.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Bespoke resistance is located at 19200.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our profit targets will be 18813 and 18733
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Resistance: 19000 / 19200 / 19350
Support: 18800 / 18700 / 18600
HKEX to find buyers at neckline support?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 19220 (stop at 19060)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Neckline support is 19217.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 19220, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 19620 and 19680
Resistance: 19840 / 20400 / 20965
Support: 19140 / 18015 / 17710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HKEX to stall at recent high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19220 (stop at 19405)
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 19235.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19220 level.
Our profit targets will be 18770 and 18670
Resistance: 19840 / 20400 / 20965
Support: 18015 / 17710 / 16320
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HKEX to find buyers at previous resistance?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 19450 (stop at 19250)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 19430 level.
Our profit targets will be 19950 and 20000
Resistance: 20400 / 20965 / 21770
Support: 19140 / 18015 / 16325
HK50 to stall at current swing high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19469 (stop at 19619)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 19458.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19485 level.
Our profit targets will be 19069 and 19009
Resistance: 19650 / 20850 / 22790
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16320
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HKEX to find resistance at psychological level?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19995 (stop at 20155)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The Ichimoku cloud and 200-day moving average provide further resistance and we look to set shorts in early trade to capture this selling opportunity.
The weekly pivot is at 20000.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 19605 and 19525
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16330
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HKEX to stall at current high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 20305 (stop at 20425)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 20305 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 20005 and 19650
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 19650 / 18680 / 17710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Buying HKEX on dips.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 20260 (stop at 20090)
Selling pressure from 20753 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned.
The current move lower is expected to continue.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 20210 level.
Our profit targets will be 20690 and 20770
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 19650 / 18680 / 17710
lease be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Hang Seng Index to turnaround?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 20150 (stop at 20455)
Previous support located at 20250.
Previous resistance located at 20500.
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (20600).
We expect a reversal in this move.
A move through 20150 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 19400 and 19200
Resistance: 20500 / 20525 / 20600
Support: 20250 / 20150 / 19500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.