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HLF

$HLF 55/50 Bear Put Spread i'm inIf price is around 63ish by earnings I expect a drop on this due to past patterns. This company is supposed to restructure its business model around May I believe and also a new CEO is coming in. The current CEO Michael Johnson is a respectable man who has handled $HLF's problems very well. Him stepping down will open this company to volatility because the new CEO Rich Goudis is a lot more corporate and I can think of it as trying to jam a square block down a triangular hole which is not what $hlf needs because it is essentially a pyramid scheme. Thus a sleazy CEO works better with a sleazy company. Nevertheless my option is short term and works with the market making a big correction very fast. This will be interesting.
NYSE:HLFShort
by Tapia
2
HLF Triangle Pattern Coming to a HeadHLF is moving out toward the end of this triangular consolidation pattern. Several previous consolidation patterns for HLF have not panned out and have morphed into more extended consolidation patterns. Thus it is possible that this could morph into a rectangle-shaped consolidation and extend further. I'm still long. Icahn has added to his position twice for the first time in quite a while. That has taken some supply of shares out of the market. I expect that he will purchase some additional shares and try to get his position up a few more percentage points. Once that has been accomplished, I expect the company to announce a Modified Dutch Tender offer for something on the order of $1.2 billion of stock using its new credit facilities and cash on the balance sheet. That could reduce the share count a further 10%-20%. The M.O.A.S.S.* is almost upon us! *M.O.A.S.S = Mother of All Short Squeezes
NYSE:HLFLong
by jhains2
HLF - Icahn & Ackman & an Inside CandleIt is fun to sit back and watch two billionaires take different sides of a trade. You may have your favorite between the two billionaires or you may be a little more like me and ponder which side of the trade YOU would take if you were a billionaire. Someday we will find out which of them was right. But do they want to be right? I would say they just want to lock in a profit... I don't know anything more than what i have heard in the media about this company. I am only intrigued because the billionaires are on opposite sides. I will not take the time to learn more about the company. But I will use some technical analysis to decide what may happen next... First, the "general" technical analysis. Focus on the gray horizontal line at about $72 and the green up trend line. The shaded triangle between them shows some future boundaries for the stock price. In general, you can see that HLF has reached the $72 level 3 times on this chart. If it can get above that level and stay there maybe it's going higher. It has also put in a series of higher lows (which allows me to draw the green uptrend line) so eventually it may continue above the $72 level. But at any time, HLF could cross below the green uptrend line. If this happens you could make an argument that it may be finished going higher and is ready to go lower. August and September have pretty large ranges. The range in August was about $15 and the month was a positive one. The range in September was about $12 and the month was a negative one. What does this tell us? Not much... It might be a sign of negativity but there is no clear indication that I am aware of. Now, the more "Specific" technical analysis. Notice that the September candle is smaller than, and inside of, the August candle. There are many potential reasons for the "inside candle" of September but all in all it give us a contraction of the upper & lower boundaries. It is understood that following the break of an inside candle can give you an indication of the future direction. In this case, the break of the inside monthly candle may be an indication of which billionaire is right... As I understand it, Icahn is sitting on a large profit and Ackman is sitting on a large loss at the moment. Could that change in the future? Maybe :) Here is why I say maybe. Ackman said the other day that Icahn was close to selling. Maybe it was an all out lie and maybe it was a fact that was just not supposed to get out to the media... If Icahn looks at this chart the way I do, he may be realizing he should have sold in August when HLF was close to $70. Typically, the third failed attempt at a resistance level is not a good sign for higher prices. If Icahn has a profit he could sell and move on. There is no harm in taking profits. Yea, he bought millions more shares just recently. But big deal if he doesn't actually make money on those. He would be close to even on the new shares and have a large gain on the older shares. It is still a profit no matter how you cut it. If Ackman can hold on until Icahn sells AND if the third failed attempt at the $72 level is an indication of lower prices, he also has a chance to book a healthy profit. Sometimes profits are more of a function of how long you are willing to hold. Especially when your initial purchase(s) were wrong and you didn't accept your error and exit the position. Don't count out either one of these billionaires. You can have your favorite but they may both wind up victorious. It will be fun to watch for sure! Have a great Labor Day.
NYSE:HLF
by TheTrendLineInvestor
THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS PLAYS -- HD, FSLR, CRM, LOW, TGT, BIDUHere's are next weeks earnings plays that I'm thinking of playing via options, assuming the implied volatility rank "stars" line up correctly ... : HD: announces on Tues 2/23 before market open.The rank is 55, the implied 32, neither of which is that great. If IV doesn't pop, I'll pass. FSLR: announces on Tues 2/23 after market close. With a rank of 72 and an implied of 69, it's good to go . LOW: announces on Wed 2/24 before market open. Its rank is 65; implied, 35, so it's kind of the edge. Like HD, its volatility needs to pop a bit for me to play. TGT: announces on Wed 2/24 before market open. Rank: 57; implied 33. Needs to pop. CRM: announces on Wed 2/24 after market close. Also good to go with a rank of 71 and an implied of 60. BIDU: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. It's good to go with rank at 72, implied at 60. EOG: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. Good to go, but I don't think I've played this one recently, which is surprising because it's an oil and gas play, and that sector's been hot volatility wise. HLF: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. Also good to go, rank and implied volatility wise. I'll post setups the day immediately preceding the announcement if it looks like they're still good plays.
NASDAQ:FSLR
by NaughtyPines
3
HLF Putting in a Bottom, But in Need of Buyers!The 50 support has held up before and today's close may indicate that it won't breakout short. I think the best the bulls can get now is a trading range while the bears may begin to cover at support (50). There has been very little buying pressure for the past month. Longs also resisted 68-70. Shorts (which have ruled for a month) are indecisive based on the doji bottoms and sluggish momentum. I would cover here if I were short. Two proprietary indicators are putting in bottoms also, so that helps. It will definitely be a weak follow through unless a short squeeze will follow. The next minor resistance is 54.50-55 which would be a nice 10% move. Will be watching for a bull reversal setup for a long.
NYSE:HLF
by mbrennan
$HLF Technicals Overpowered Bill Ackman's EgoLooking at the recent Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE:HLF) drama, there is no reason any investor should find themselves in the situation like Bill Ackman placed himself and his investors in. Have you ever let a position go from profitable to a losing trade, without a clear way of managing it? Well, Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE:HLF) is a prime example of why as an investor, you must know how to read the charts and leave your ego at the door. If Ackman did that, not only would he have saved himself millions, he would have made double that. Imagine if you were going to place a bet on a good ol' street fight. Would you put your money on the street fighter who has a studied and well practiced technique, or the fighter who has never taken the time to learn any kind of strategy for fighting, like martial arts? How about the fighter who has won a match or two by pure luck knockout? Or would you place your bet on the experienced proven fighter who has been winning fights consistently because of his training, dedication and time invested into learning his craft and mastering the technical aspect of the battle? As an investor, you must ask yourself the same question. Should I invest my time and money in those who simply get lucky, or something proven? Should I enter a trade without a predefined exit strategy and basis for managing the position? Well, the answer to the questions is obvious. If you are going to follow or listen to anyone regarding investments, you must find the experienced trader with a proven track record. The ones that have taken years and years to learn the markets and have developed a strategy for managing it. This is the same concept as the pro fighter. As I said, sure one can get lucky with a knockout on occasion, but those who last are those who are committed to the craft. Let's take this a step further, why not learn the technicals behind the market moves and how the markets function so you can care for your own hard earned money yourself? Doing so will enable you to invest your money with the person that cares most about your investments... you! By learning to read the charts, you can detach yourself from any kind of emotional decision, ego driven analysts with ulterior motives or falsified financial report. Stock charts are one of the most pure forms of recognizing the trend of a stock; informing you of exactly when to take profits and more importantly when to admit you're wrong and take a loss. Stock charts eliminate the noise. After all, why would you want to spend an endless amount of time reading financial reports which might not be accurate? The same reports that companies use to manipulate and appeal to investors. Let's take the case of Bill Ackman and Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE:HLF). After a revelation by Ackman of his massive short position in the stock, the equity dropped fast. Most amateur investors sold the equity for fear of owning a company which Ackman was calling a "fraud" and "would collapse." A technical savvy trader, however, would have been short Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE:HLF) well ahead of Ackman's first announcement; ahead of the news and crowds. The reason why those traders who utilized technical analysis were a step ahead of the crowd was based on the weekly chart pattern of Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE:HLF), which was extremely bearish..... To read full article please visit the blog at, www.inthemoneystocks.com, as this time the article was too long to post here. Kiliam Lopez Pro Trader, Elite Round Table Follow me on twitter @kiliamLopez
NYSE:HLF
by KiliamL
I do not see why this puppy shuld not go higherAfter all the scandal about Herbalife and Ackman talking against this company, from a merely technical stand point of view I must say, can't see why should not look for new highs. As long as the historic of this chart let's me view, we came from a strong rally, that were severely retraced 76.4% in log scale. This means that this or is the A or 1 of a structure, which means that the price usually could rise till 1 to 1 relation-ship which should be at least to 93 per share (more or less). Besides the last stated, the last impulsive wave do not seems finished as you can see in my wave count the last structure misses a v)) wave to be completed. Even more, if the price breaks the 47 level, the retrace is more probably a new sing of extension. So this shuld not fall, at least, until it gets the 93 per share or more.
NYSE:HLFLong
by 7pasos
1