Hilton Worldwide Faces Headwinds Despite Strong Occupancyhotel giant Hilton Worldwide ( NYSE:HLT ) emerged as a beacon of hope, capitalizing on pent-up travel demand and soaring occupancy rates. However, as the industry adjusts to the new normal, challenges loom on the horizon for Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ), with forecasts for 2024 profit falling below market expectations. We delve into the intricacies of Hilton's ( NYSE:HLT ) recent performance, the factors driving its subdued outlook, and the strategies it may employ to navigate the evolving landscape of the hospitality sector.
Pent-Up Demand vs. Emerging Trends:
Hilton's ( NYSE:HLT ) robust performance in the aftermath of the pandemic underscored the resilience of the travel industry. The surge in travel demand, particularly in the U.S., propelled the company's growth trajectory. However, the euphoria of pent-up demand seems to be waning as consumers explore alternative travel options such as cruises. This shift highlights the need for Hilton to adapt its strategies to cater to evolving consumer preferences while maintaining its competitive edge in the market.
Analyzing Financial Performance:
Despite reporting a commendable increase in revenue per available room (RevPAR) and fourth-quarter revenue, Hilton's ( NYSE:HLT ) profit forecast for 2024 fell short of market expectations. The company cited higher expenses as a key factor contributing to the subdued outlook. With total expenses outpacing revenue growth, Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ) faces the challenge of balancing cost management with sustaining profitability. Moreover, the marginally missed revenue estimates underscore the importance of accurately gauging market dynamics to drive future growth.
Strategic Imperatives:
In response to the evolving landscape, Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ) is doubling down on its global presence and diverse brand portfolio. Leveraging its strengths, the company aims to mitigate the impact of COVID-related uncertainties and geopolitical concerns. However, as competition intensifies and consumer preferences evolve, Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ) must continually innovate and differentiate its offerings to stay ahead of the curve. Embracing digital transformation, enhancing customer experiences, and optimizing operational efficiency are imperative to drive sustainable growth in the long run.
Future Outlook:
Looking ahead, Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ) remains cautiously optimistic about its prospects for 2024. The company anticipates modest revenue per room growth and aims to expand its footprint through net unit growth. Despite the challenges posed by the uncertain macroeconomic environment, Hilton's resilience and adaptability position it well to capitalize on emerging opportunities. By staying attuned to market dynamics, prioritizing innovation, and fostering strategic partnerships, Hilton aims to navigate the headwinds and chart a course for sustained success in the dynamic hospitality landscape.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Hilton Worldwide's ( NYSE:HLT ) performance reflects the dichotomy of resilience and uncertainty characterizing the post-pandemic era. While the company has demonstrated resilience in the face of adversity, challenges persist in the form of evolving consumer preferences and economic uncertainties. By embracing innovation, optimizing cost structures, and staying agile, Hilton ( NYSE:HLT ) can weather the storm and emerge stronger in the long run. As the hospitality industry continues to evolve, Hilton's ( NYSE:HLT ) ability to adapt and innovate will be crucial in shaping its future trajectory amidst a rapidly changing landscape.
HLT
KLSE Advance Analysis : Price BottomDisclaimer : Opinions below are based on our own analysis & for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to buy or sell securities mentioned herein. Viewers/readers should do their own research & studies before investing. Round & Surge or its associates are not responsible for any trading or investment losses incurred.
We often analyse daily charts for stocks in KLSE. This is because the stock prices in the 5 mins chart are not as "beautiful" or well formed as the daily candlestick. But not for us, we find the most important information of the big boys next move are shown in the 5 mins chart & their transaction data.
Although there aren't well-formed candlesticks in the 5 mins chart, analysing the price & volume flow will help us to understand more about the current intention of the big boys, whether there will be a price pause or continuation of price in the short term.
Example in this stock we can see the price down in the daily chart on 21 October 2022, which many retail investors who bought at the higher price for their own reason would have been panicking. They could be Google-ing for the answer of the price fall (Often we don't find any reason for its price action.) and wondering whether the price will fall further?
Traditional way to look for a price bottom is either by the guts feeling of "is too low to go lower" or using the technical support. Finding where the next support & watch whether it will rebound.
To find the bottom of the price, we will need to look into the 5 mins chart to analyse where the major volumes are created within the day.
*kindly open the 5 mins chart of 21 OCT 2022. Not able to post 5 mins chart in idea*
We can see the volumes are mainly created at the day low from the 5 mins chart, which shows multiple high volumes but price is not moving lower. If the selling pressure is high, the price should go down lower instead of staying at the same price. From our point of view, this price & volume action is a sign of a pause in price fall or the price fall is softened.
But this is only a PAUSE, it is not showing signs the price will have a markup or rebound. We will need to wait for the big boys to show us that they have intention to mark the price higher to attract buyers in for profit taking at higher price. The price movement now is just indicating there aren't any buyers in the market for the big boys to sell their shares.
*Note : a pause in price is not a signal of rebound, the price might stay sideways within a price range & continue to fall. For short term traders, always wait for the big boys to show us that they have intention to mark higher. It is always about the best timing, not the best entry price.
When will the price markup? We will have to continue monitoring the price movement after this for price & volume actions that show the big boys are ready to mark higher. How far will they mark the price up will depend on how soon the big boys distribute their remaining shareholding.
Visit our website to find out more about our upcoming webinar to learn the detail price & volume analysis for KLSE!
#HILTON HOTELS GROUP #HLT plus #TCOM ctrip.comA solid #company hmmm but doesn't pay you to hold
(not much in #dividends)
strong balance sheet as it has plenty of cash.
BUT
#TCOM could be a real money maker
please do your own research on the metrics of this company
in terms user growth
and market penetration.
KLSE - Battle of the GlovesWe charted the percentage gain since 1st January 2020 till today for 1st tier glove and 2nd tier glove stocks. We use % scale so we could see how much % it has gained. We also include the healthcare sector RSI 14 to show the sector momentum. We also added few key dates
18/3/2020 MCO1.0 started
1/7/2020 Malaysia covid down to 1 case
9/11/2020 Pfizer claims their vaccine is 90% effective.
Since 1-Jan-2020 till its highest price, the highest % gained is HLT-WA with 3077%. Below the list sorted from the most gained.
HLTWA 3077%
CAREPLS 3065%
HLT 1663%
SUPERMX 1641%
RUBEREX 1447%
COMFORT 771%
ADVENTA 695%
TOPGLOVE 527%
HARTA 269%
KOSSAN 114%
We also checked the Last price on each stock, and check how much is the gap to reach the highest peak again. Here's the list from highest gap
SUPERMX 72.30% to ATH
TOPGLOVE 37.27% to ATH
KOSSAN 117% to ATH
HARTA 56.59% to ATH
ADVENTA 239% to ATH
CAREPLS 121% to ATH
COMFORT 124% to ATH
RUBEREX 70% to ATH
HLT 176% to ATH
HLT-WA 107% to ATH
We also looked up the fair value in Simply Wall St , here’s the list from top most discounted price
CAREPLS - undervalued by 90.7% (FV 26.56), traded at PE x16.4
HLT - undervalued by 89.7% (FV 11.84), traded at PE x97.6
COMFORT - undervalued by 88% (FV 26.07), traded at PE x11.46
RUBEREX- undervalued by 62.1% (FV 4.59), traded at PE x19.14
KOSSAN - undervalued by 61.4% (FV 11.52), traded at PE x18.79
SUPERMX - undervalued by 61.1% (FV 17.47), traded at PE x7.98
HARTA - undervalued by 27% (FV 17.61), traded at PE x23.42
TOPGLOVE - undervalued by 21.2% (FV 8.56), traded at PE x13.37
Hope you will find it useful. Thanks.
HLT-WA - potential +40% gain ahead?In H1, we observed a pullback entering 61.8% support. We also observed the counter is in major uptrend and ready to form a new higher low anytime soon. Based on previous pullback, using Time-based Gann of 1.0, we expect the HL could complete somewhere ard 3-February, before doing a quick jump of +40% to 1.41.
This would be invalidated if price break support of 0.87 which breaks major uptrend.
Sentimen: Extended MCO and overvalued glove counter causing volatility of the price
TAYOR
HLT-WA - possible limited upside to close exhaustion gapThe stock is highly overbought now where it already making a strong move in past few trading days. We expect the stock will continue limited upside for a few candles to close the previous exhaustion gaps and continue with a pullback (should the glove sentimen fades) towards area of value around 38.2% (1.08).
Best is to wait to buy on dip in the area of value during pullback.
Sentimen: Covid cases all time high, uncontrolled situation, and possible MCO (Mandatory Control Order) in coming weeks
TAYOR
Bursa HLT Global Berhad - Look for Re-Entry & TP Short-termI am looking for an opportunity to get in/ entry at more low as re-entry & tp short period or hold for longterm depends on local market news.
Disclaimer: If you choose to follow this trading idea you do so at your own risk after giving thorough and reasonable thought and consideration to your actions. All trading is high risk and one of the most difficult activities you will ever consider. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
HLT-WA potential upsideRunning through an uptrend parallel channel since 11-Sep, HLT-WA has potential to continue making Wave 5, as long as the channel didn't break. Strong support identified at 1.01 and 0.645 region.
Bankers chip still low at this point. It needs to break 50% before it could really fly.
Volume still low compared to August. With Glove-Vaccine sentiment and political uncertainty in Malaysia, the stock might have some slow movement, unless more catalyst generates in Glove sector.
This stock move inline with its big 4 brother, so this is still worth venturing.
TAYOR guys !
p/s: I'm no expert, only a newbie trader practicing my new understanding on EW. Please help guide me to the correct path if you see any room for improvement. Thanks everyone.