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HOGS

HogsHogs - Weekly Continuous: The gray vertical bars represent the expiration month of labeled contract and have prices of each contract as of today labeled. The deferred contracts can use the uptrend/downtrend lines to determine areas to be hedged. The June 21' high has provided a pivot for a down trend line that has acted as a strong area of resistance. Currently the May and June Contracts are near that downtrend line and could warrant some Price protection. Above look at the Red Uptrend line
CME:HE1!
by mtb1980
Lean Hogs on the Move Lean Hogs Technicals (July): July lean hogs were able to breakout above trendline resistance and the 50-day moving average which led way to an extension to our next resistance level mentioned in yesterday’s report, we’ve defined that wide ranging pocket as 112.825-114.00. Previous resistance will now act as support, that comes in near 110.50-111.475. Resistance: 112.85-114.00****, 117.025-117.85** Pivot: 110.50-111.475 Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00**** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:HEN2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
Lean Hogs Test the Last Line of Defense Lean Hogs Commitments of Traders Update: Friday’s CoT report showed Managed Money were net buyers of 4,335 futures/options contracts, through June 7th. This expands their net long position to 21,630. Broken down, that is 46,526 longs VS 24,896 shorts. Technicals (July): July lean hogs were able to stabilize on Friday after defending MUST HOLD support on Thursday. That pocket remains intact from 103.35-103.70. A failure here could take us back to fill the tiny gap left from May 16th, and potentially lower. On the resistance side of things, there are multiple hurdles for the Bulls. The first comes in from 106.75-107.75. A close back above this pocket could help spark some buying interest which could take us back near the 50 and 100 day moving average, which coincides with trendline resistance from the March 31st high. Resistance: 106.75-107.75*** 110.50-111.625***, 114.00-114.825*** Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00**** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:HEN2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
We'll Meat Again, Don't Know Where...This one can be a volatile spread, and that goes both ways. The idea is to buy Live Cattle and sell Lean Hogs for a trade that runs May though to August. The reason for this trade is seasonal. That is, there is a pattern that tends to repeat itself each year. Heading into mid-year, Cattle slaughter tends to be high while Hogs are at the opposite end. But that pattern reverses itself when we are past mid-year and looking towards the end of the year. That creates the spread movement. In the last 25yrs, buying April Cattle and selling Dec Hogs, has lost money only 3 times. 22 out of 25 is not bad. Optimized data of course, but there is a pattern there! The average profit in that time has been over $3500 for one spread. You can also do this spread in nearby contracts, eg Dec Cattle. It’s a volatile one though. Drawdowns can be, what’s the word…interesting. It makes this trade more about getting entries correct. An early to mid-June pull back has happened in more years than not. Waiting for that can give a better entry time. Caveat: it ain’t that simple. Spread trading takes knowledge, support, patience and trade management, but the gems are there when we look in the right place. One last thought: you cannot use 'beef stew' as a password. It's just not stroganoff. - Please follow and like for more trade ideas and learny stuff! -
CME:LEZ2021Education
by TheTradarien
2
LEAN HOGS FUTURES (HE1!) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low. The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates. One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades: For best results trade in the direction of the trend. The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30. When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered. When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered. This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts. This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
CME:HE1!
by Dinjin
Lean Hogs: Ranged 2-month plan. Leans Hogs is on a strong rejection this first few session of 2020, after the top on the 72.100 1D Resistance. The price is currently testing the 1D MA50 (blue line) which has been acting as the pivot since October. With the long term Higher Low trend line (since August 2018) providing Support, we are expecting a bounce on the 61.400 Symmetrical Support back towards the 1D Resistance. 2 way opportunities exist within this range. Make the most out of it. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
CME:HE1!
by InvestingScope
Lean Hogs: 3 tier long term buy opportunity.Lean Hogs have been trading sideways since late 2015 and on the monthly chart is best illustrated by the neutral monthly chart (RSI = 51.940, Williams = -47.019, CCI = 34.8246, Highs/Lows = 0.000). On 1D the MA200 works as a pivot attracting the price always after an annual High or Low. The price is currently trading above so we are expecting a sharp decline below this MA200 consolidation belt and towards the previous 2 lows which now represent a 3 tier buy opportunity: 55.100, 48.000 and 41.000. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
CME:HE1!
by InvestingScope
1
Lean Hogs levels - Factoring in the quote below, I think a Retracement of the move we saw, is in order. - Also, given the historic price action a Retracement does seem likely. Great little quote from some Forbes article: "According to a United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) report, feeding China’s steadily increasing livestock population is a growing challenge. It takes about 3 kilograms of feed to produce each kilogram of meat. As a result, the USDA predicts China’s combined use of soy meal and corn 0.72% for animal feed will rise from 200 'mmt to more than 300 'mmt over the 10-year projection period. Much of this feed grain must be imported. The USDA expects China’s soybean -0.30% imports to reach over 70% of global soybean -0.30% imports by 2024. It also anticipates that China will account for 40% of the rise in global corn 0.72% trade over the coming decade." The counter argument could be summed up best by the wall street journal article: www.wsj.com
CME:HE1!Long
by cgd
Lean Hogs - how much bearishness left in the tank?I called the 'seasonality' correction last week as I was presenting for the Society of Technical Analysts at their annual Summer party & awards evening! A day or so after my presentation and a massive one day 25% correction! The Lean Hogs seasonality play is one of my annual favourites! The question is this year - has it got any southerly legs left after that sizable move last week? Sitting and consolidating on Fibonacci resistance at late 66's looking for a further break from here to possibly target 60 then lows around 40's. If it happens it normally moves fast, which can be one of the frustrating things with this trade but looks to have some gas left in the tank. Upside support at late 72's then mid 81's if it hasn't!
LShort
by StephenHoad
Lean Hog Futures - Inverse Head and ShouldersThe foundation is in place for a potential inverse head and shoulder pattern. Ideally price penetrates the neckline/.5 yearly fib to take out that June 2016 high (89.90) before selling off to close below this area with some sort of deceleration/reversal candle. This would form a higher high that could then send us down to form a right shoulder near that major trend line around 60.00... Opportunities I see: 1. I'm looking to short a nice high at the neckline area and then ride that into the formation of the right shoulder near 60.00 2. I'll then go long on a nice low that established the right shoulder and ride that to the upside (ideal target is yearly .786 fib @ 113.73)
CME:HE1!Long
by patrick186