Geopolitical Risk Analysis - U.S DollarMajority of economists misjudged the US dollar valuation . The conventional consensus claimed that Quantitative easing (QE), or increasing the money supply, would depreciate the currency. However, It doesn't appear to be as straightforward as it portrays. Valuation of a currency is determined by multiple factors like, where the new money supply gets channelized, whether the economy is expanding in tandem with the new money supply, the comparative perception of the currency's stability & safety, the income & capital appreciation provided to those holding assets denominated in that currency, and, in the broader context, the government or institution issuing the currency's resilience, transparency, and adaptability.
Key traits of a stable global currency:
• Currency Standard - The currency is free to float in any and all international markets; it is not tied to any other currency.
• Global Market Transparency - which means that the market and governance systems are visible to everybody and are not vulnerable to overnight devaluations, confiscations, capital restraints, and other measures imposed by opaque governments.
• Diversely Allocated - The currency is allocated by broad economic segments and not rely on imports & exports to maintain its essential stability and strength. (eg: Venezuela Hyperinflation)
• Free Flow - The issuing country ensures ease of flow: capital, skills, and businesses enjoy basically unlimited freedom of movement within the jurisdiction of the issuing nation or entity.
• Stable FX Rates - The official exchange rate and the street or OTC exchange rate are almost equal.
• Store of wealth - Enough currency is issued to serve as a store of value and a medium of exchange worldwide.
Transparency and adaptation lead to systemic stability. The stability of a strict centrally planned economy is tenuous because it is a symptom of fragility and anxiety: fear that if the restraints are removed and markets are finally free to determine price, the entire system would eventually collapse. This takes us to the US dollar, with it's increasing purchasing power. using conventional methodology we can argue that this is attributable to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates and limiting money supply in order to fight inflation.
However, this emphasis on the domestic economy misses the fact that the Federal Reserve is also a global central bank. Many of the backstops and guarantees granted by the Fed to "rescue the world" during the 2008 Global Financial Meltdown went to non-U.S. institutions.
The money issued by a nation or organisation is the basis of worldwide influence and power. Currency standard and exchange rates set by government are indicators of systemic instability, indicating that the authorities are aware that the market will not place the intended value on the currency.
Markets, however, discover pricing independent of currency standard or authorized FX rates. Market participants value a currency that trades transparently on global marketplaces. This price-to-value is reliable. Currency standards and authoritative currency rates are untrustworthy because they can be modified overnight by opaque organizations.
HOLD
BTCUSDT 4h shot-term forecast BTCUSDT 4h shot-term forecast from WunderTrading
After entering overbought, the expectation of a reverse movement to previous volume levels
There is a possibility of a sharp movement to the 25000 zone in order to knock out stop orders
Immediate support for VAH based on previous move
It is possible to go beyond the channel border and the red line in order to knock out the accumulated longs
The 0.618 Fibonacci zone confirms the target for the nearest fall
GME - FREEDOM AT LAST!GME weekly chart - by now most of you already know... Technical indicators and chart dynamics pretty much say it all.
Financial FREEDOM in our time! Adding to shares - on the split.
Maybe the shorts have a little more fight left, but not much I think, and it doesn't really matter. Tick Tock.
Holding for GLORY! Dedicated to most truth spitting fool I ever knew - HYPERTIGER.
NFA.
⚡️ #DCR/USDT - Potential 400% ⚡️⚡️ #DCR/USDT - Potential 400% ⚡️
Entry Conditions:
- Daily RSI Trendline Breakout
- Bullish Divergence
- RSI Daily Oversold
- Higher Low
Entry: 16.7 - 25.6
TP1: 32.9
TP2: 44.6
TP3: 72.4
Yolo: 85.7
SL: 9.9 or HOLD
#MNST FALLING WEDGE BREAK OUT!!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Do consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
Let’s get to the chart!
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart, Do not consider it as financial advice.
BUY MNDT/USDT ON THE SPOT
MNST is making this falling wedge pattern
Entry range:- CNP and add more up to $0,00698
Target:- 100%
SL:- $0.00491
This chart is likely to help you in making better trade decisions if it did consider upvoting this chart.
Would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
DOGE - HOLDHello friends, today I picked up a coin for myself that I will buy in my portfolio, globally it looks very good, now we are in a very strong purchasing zone, I don’t really believe in a coin, but I believe in the person who took it up, namely Elon Musk, it’s also going now we have a falling wedge, I showed more details on the chart, this is no longer a trade recommendation, but more like an investment.
Have a nice day, everyone
MITX to 0.04I think the currency that rises if the market stays green
🟢All goals are to stop the loss from appearing in the analysis
🔴Do not enter with more than 10% of your capital
BTC: SHORT AND QUICK UPDATE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update. First of all there is no need to be panic here. We have seen this kind of pump and dump from the past few days.
Now let's get to the chart.
According to the 4hr chart structure BTC is still holding the support of $28,800 and currently testing the lower trendline of the symmetrical trendline. We can expect a bounce from here.
As long as BTC stays above $28k there is no need to be panic. If any 4hr candle closes below $28k then it would be very bad and we might see another low of $24k-$26k
So keep an eye on next 4hr closing.
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
BTCUSD weekly (10/06/2022)Weekly Review Of Bitcoin:
On this time we are all waiting for the last bottom on the bear cycle,
Getting out of emotions, the market has a perfect indicator tool kit to understand with psico-social parameters her own sustainability.
The weekly candle analysis have the most powerfull inidcators for the Macro Movements;
(logarithmic scale)
- The 50/200 MA is showing us a posible final botton around the actuall price.
- The pattern of the macro movements may be designing a extended and bullish flag.
- RSI is finding a bottom.
...
For a reversal trend we need:
- High Volume Bullish Movements, but not to much volatility in acumulation zones.
- News and Advices.
- Recover hope on subvalued zones on Bitcoin.
US30 H4 LongsAs previously mentioned - showing bullish strength and momentum on both Daily and H4 charts - looking to target the resistance/supply zone.
Simple HL/HH trend structure, continuing on the same trajectory.
BTC->No one should wait for the price to rise.
The price may rise after the price correction.
Falling to $ 17,500
And the next step up to $ 8,000
May.
After the long-term Saudi market correction, $ 70,000, $ 120,000 and $ 200,000.
$ 30,000 is a good selling position, provided you buy at $ 18,000 to $ 20,000.
Bitcoin Holds the $30K'sBitcoin has found stability in the upper $29K handle. It has just now been able to recover $30K and is hanging onto this level by a thread. We do appear to be seeing a bull wedge forming and the Kovach OBV has been steadily climing, suggesting a breakout may be near, especially if we see a rally in stocks today. If we do breakout, then $32K is the first level to break before considering further resistance in the $34K's. If we retrace, we will have strong support from $27K and $28K.
LUNA Buy & Hold Monthly Returns in April, 2022In this idea we want to show our operation as a long term trader - another definition for the term "Investors" - in which we select - doing also fundamental analysis - assets with long term bullish Bias.
During the selection process it is important to evaluate the performance of the assets and - once in the portfolio - to monitor how the situation evolves.
How did LUNA perform in April 2022? -26.26%
As Quant Traders and Investors, we have developed a tool to help us decide if the asset has a long-term bullish bias and - even more important - to evaluate not only the profits but also the drawdowns at least on a monthly level - as investors portfolio monitoring is not that frequent - that we can expect.
What do you think about the trend of LUNA? Other assets to analyse?
ETH Buy & Hold Monthly Returns in April, 2022In this idea we want to show our operation as a long term trader - another definition for the term "Investors" - in which we select - doing also fundamental analysis - assets with long term bullish Bias.
During the selection process it is important to evaluate the performance of the assets and - once in the portfolio - to monitor how the situation evolves.
How did ETH perform in April 2022? -21.11%
As Quant Traders and Investors, we have developed a tool to help us decide if the asset has a long-term bullish bias and - even more important - to evaluate not only the profits but also the drawdowns at least on a monthly level - as investors portfolio monitoring is not that frequent - that we can expect.
What do you think about the trend of ETH? Other assets to analyse?