29 -> 35-40 (max) -> 23
We haven't seen a SFP and "just" bounced o f a HTF Daily support level. Should we reject from the W (yellow, dotted since traded), I expect another leg down into the 1:1 trend based fib extension.
However, flipping that W(eekly) S/R Level into support, should bring us up to 35, if not 38. Unlikely, but possible, the highs around 40k could be taken too, while I believe they serve better for a re-visit at alter point - sometime...
Ensure to add VPFR(s) to get VAL/VAH/POC on this "bounce".
Long story short: I can see some relief but doubt the bull market is back and expect lower - rather sooner than later.
Note:
I am sharing my personal point of view based on my own analysis - which is a lot more in depth than shown on the chart(s).
The mix between a "simple" Chart while still providing enough context to make sense of it is a matter of taste. Like it or not. However, I, personally, "hate" those people throwing a line on the chart leaving the audience in doubt completely.
I don't care if I am wrong or right. My plan could change within 15 minutes without me sharing an update. Therefore take this is an idea rather a setup.
In no way, I am sharing any kind of financial advise.
Horizontals
BTCUSD - Welcome to the JungleLet's keep it simple: there's a lot of resistance we need to break past in order to actually break up. Even still, looking downwards for an easy path is not certain either. If Bitcoin can survive the declaration and act of sudden war of a large country and economic powerhouse such as Russia, can we even trust that it will break downwards?!
The path is not clear, other than the fact that the path will be painful. Still, let's make the best of it. Good luck out there.
Oil's Dominance is Destroying BitcoinBecause of the world's actual, practical reliance on oil, even BTC is having a hard time keeping up.
Bitcoin, sadly, is in a bear trend against oil. I don't know when this bear trend will end, either. I cannot tell if it is short or long term.
Perhaps someone with experience trading oil futures and whatnot can chime in. Otherwise, watch out, fellow crypto enthusiasts. Looks like Oil's very stubbornly dragging BTCUSD down through all this worldly conflict.
What do you think? Does this indicator even matter? How does this affect market confidence in bitcoin? Does it even affect it at all?
Lost in WavesPlease be kind, i´m just starting to lern the Elliot Wave Theorie and want to praktice what I`ve learnd in the past week.This is only a Idea of a midterm Trading Plan, its no Financial advice nor a trading setup itself.It just shows an Idea which could be used to form a proper Trading setup.
We can see a Breakout of the corrective Triangle but without Volume so it´s more risky. In Case of failing of this breakout and if it can´t hold The 0.618 fib lvl. and fall back into the triangle would be really bearish and would invalidate this IPlan. This could result in a Bulltrap so take care of your Riskmanagement. The Wave Targets are based on the trending Fibonacci extensions and should be adjusted with Horizontal Levels, shortterm Reversal Patterns, RSI divergences/MACD Crossovers for much more Precision.
Greets,
Crafty