City Lodge heading to the sky at the target R5.35We are revising the analysis from last time City Lodge.
It formed a Falling Wedge which almost touched the stop loss.
The price broke above both W Formation & Falling Wedge and has formed a strong uptrend (safetyline)
So the high probability analysis still stands with Price>20 and 200
Target R5.35
Hotel
UPDATE: Will be get our long awaited breakout yet?Sun International has been a roller coaster of a ride.
Been swinging between R38.00 and R42,50.
Well, lately we've seen higher lows, and the price keeps touching the top.
It's like hitting thin ice. Eventually it'll break up and out.
So, let's see what it does.
UPDATE:
Over the past year, the most notable insider purchase was made by CEO & Executive Director Anthony Leeming, who bought shares valued at R2.2 million, priced around R36.42 each.
While insider purchases are generally a positive sign, it's important to note that this significant buy was made at a price considerably lower than the current price of R41.70.
This lower purchase price suggests that it may not provide much insight into whether insiders currently see the stock as a good value.
During the last year, insiders at Sun International have been buying shares but haven't sold any.
The insider transactions for the past year, including purchases by both companies and individuals, are illustrated in the provided chart.
For detailed information on the transactions, including specifics on who sold shares, the sale amounts, and the timing, you're encouraged to check the chart directly.
Tsogo Sun - WHich way to break out? R1.94 or R27.69?The daily is very noisy.
Even the weekly is crazy.
So I had to really break it down and look at the monthly chart.
And what we can see is the noise being reduced to a RECTANGLE.
Now right now the price action is down. Despite the breakin uptrend. Despite the higher lows.
The current momentum is down. And all we can do is wait for a breakout.
Which way to Break?
Break down - R1.94
Break up - R27.69
I am going to remain neutral and this play is a MAJOR patience game that can take YEARS to play out.
I don't like what I'm seeing with the fundamentals:
High Level of Debt:
Tsogo Sun has been reported to have a high level of debt.
A substantial debt burden can be a concern for investors as it may affect the company's financial flexibility and profitability due to the interest and repayments required.
Unstable Dividend Track Record:
The company has had an unstable dividend track record, which may lead to concerns about the consistency of returns to shareholders.
Valuation Concerns:
Even though the stock has been trading below what is estimated as its fair value, investors may still have concerns about the future growth prospects and other intrinsic valuation metrics.
Performance Relative to Industry:
Tsogo Sun has underperformed the ZA Hospitality industry, which returned 5.1% over the past year, indicating that it may not be keeping pace with its industry peers.
UPDATE City Lodge - Odd Lot Offer and will this be GOOD to buyCity Lodge, has been in this tiresome Symmetrical Triangle since October 2022...
However, recently it's broken above which is showing positive signs that there is upside to come..
However, in the most recent SENS update there was a mention about the Odd Lot Offer.
So let's break it down and what it means.
1. What's Going On:
As of October 16, 2023, there were a bunch of small-scale shareholders in City Lodge, each holding fewer than 100 shares.
These investrs are referred to as "Odd-lot Holders," which make up 58.22% of all City Lodge shareholders.
However, when you look at the total shares they own, it's just a tiny 0.06% of the market.
Now, managing these tiny portions costs a lot, creating a headache for everyone.
2. The solution
To solve this issue, at City Lodge's board of directors are suggesting an Odd-lot Offer.
This means they want to buy back the small amounts of shares from these Odd-lot Holders, making life simpler for everyone involved.
3. So what do these Odd-lot holders get?
If you're one of these Odd-lot Holders, you get a chance to cash at a price that's 5% more than the average value of City Lodge shares over the past 30 days.
It's like a special deal, and you won't have to pay any fees to make the transaction.
4. How it works
To make this happen, City Lodge needs approval from its shareholders.
They discussed it at the Annual General Meeting on November 23, 2023.
If the plan gets a green light, Odd-lot Holders can decide to sell their shares at the offered price or keep them.
5. The tax story
They considered the Odd-lot Offer isn't a dividend but more like a return of capital.
This decision has some tax implications, so they suggest you chat with your tax expert for the details.
City Lodge wants to simplify its shareholder list, and if you're an Odd-lot Holder, you have a choice to make – take the deal or keep riding the City Lodge wave.
City Lodge Symmetrical Triangle getting closer to the breakoutWhich way?
Symmetrical Triangles are generally known as Continuation patterns. This means, when the price breaks out it normally moves in the trend of the prior direction...
However, the trend has been sideways before this. It's been in the Twilight Zone for over a year.
And it gets worse.
When the price oscillates up and down in between the 200MA - You know it's in complete indecision.
Many lessons to learn from this chart and this market. Many technical analysis tips you can add to your acumen and arsenal.
And as City Lodge is in the Hospitality sector, things haven't gone up since Covid... The prices have become more expensive. The seasonal pricing are vastly different and most people just don't have the money like they used to.
It's what I call the slight depression. The rich are getting ridiculously richer and the poor are struggling to even afford Lotto tickets.
And this will get worse and worse. It's time to think above and beyond the system and mentality of the sheeple. And break away.
So there is not much we can do with CLH other than wait for a break up.
But if it breaks down, we can only watch it fall further.
My two targets are in place and my humility is intact because I have NO idea which direction it wants to break.
Wild guess for upside for City Lodge to R7.00I've just gotten off a plane, so excuse if I am missing something.
But these jet lagged eyes potentially sees a massive Cup and Handle in the process.
Ignore the indicators like 7=21 price <200 and RSI<50.
And just see the price action.
We have higher lows forming, strong buying at the bottom of the range (could that be smart money and the big boys.)
We have seen an absolute rally in hotels and accomodation since Covid. Prices are pumping up and yet hotels are still being booked out like no tomorrow.
So, we could actually see a major rally of upside in the sector.
My first crazy target is to R7.00.
What do you think?
City Lodge C&H potential but need to wait - Target R6.51Cup and Handle seems to be forming on City Lodge.
There are signs of a rounding cup, a handle that is in the process and now it needs to complete.
Once the price breaks above the brim level, it'll be more positive for upside.
7=21 = About to cross
Price>200 - Bullish
RSI>50 - Pointing down?
Target R6.51
WARNING is that the previous trend was sideways. We are not a fan of buying breakout when the market is going no where slowly.
HOWEVER, if you look farther back you'll see there is a MASSIVE W Formation that is also showing since May 2022.
So if we get a break above the neckline, this could be a fantastic medium to long term hold as well.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
City Lodge Hotels Limited is a South African company that operates a chain of budget hotels. I still think City Lodge is better than many international hotels "budget" chain. I mean, budget hotels in Switzerland are like motels in America (Just saying).
Founding: City Lodge was founded in 1985 by Hans Enderle.
Public Listing: City Lodge was listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in 1987.
Brand Portfolio: The company operates under various brands including City Lodge Hotel, Town Lodge, Road Lodge, and Courtyard Hotel.
Expansion: City Lodge started with just one hotel in Johannesburg, and as of 2021, the group has over 50 hotels in South Africa.
African Presence: Besides South Africa, the group also operates hotels in Botswana, Namibia, Kenya, and Tanzania.
Room Count: City Lodge Hotels group operates over 7,000 rooms across its various properties.
Bear Diamond Pattern break down on City Lodge to R3.71Bear Diamond Pattern broken down
Bearish Engulfing
Target R3.71
CONCERNS:
This is one of those stocks that move in large Sideways consolidation areas for a long period of time. If the price breaks out of the range, we can get some traction to the upside. But this is not a trading haven.
No PLYA'n Around After EarningsPLYA was a company we discussed late last year before it left penny stock range. Interesting company and idea as a Vice stock that could benefit from reopening:
"Rarely might you expect hotels to be on the list of vice stocks to watch. But think about it. What better way to enjoy a vice than at an all-inclusive resort? Playa Hotels & Resorts has a “sinful” side to it. The company’s adults-only brands like Hyatt Zilara, The Hilton Playa del Carmen, and Sanctuary offer a unique experience to their customers. From unlimited drinks to even offering a “Romance Concierge,” Playa could fit the mold for sin stocks to watch.
What To Watch With Playa
The company has been going through its own reopening following coronavirus restrictions. Earlier this month, the company reopened the Hilton La Romana all-inclusive adult and family resorts in the Dominican Republic. It also resumed normal operations at its Yucatán resorts..."
Quote Source & Read More: What Are The Best Penny Stocks To Watch Now? 4 Vice Stocks To Know
This week PLYA released Q2 results:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2021 Results
Net Loss was $7.8 million compared to a Net Loss of $87.5 million in 2020.
Adjusted Net Loss(1) was $9.6 million compared to an Adjusted Net Loss of $60.3 million in 2020.
Owned Resort EBITDA increased 234.9% versus 2020 to $32.1 million.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 172.9% versus 2020 to $22.9 million .
Six Months Ended June 30, 2021 Results
Net Loss was $77.5 million compared to a Net Loss of $110.0 million in 2020.
Adjusted Net Loss(1) was $60.5 million compared to an Adjusted Net Loss of $58.9 million in 2020.
Owned Resort EBITDA increased 4.8% versus 2020 to $38.6 million.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 7.9% versus 2020 to $20.4 million.
While the fib levels have shown different levels of support/resistance, the 200DMA is clearly a more important level. It was tested and thanks to a news catalyst, PLYA was able to bounce off and get back above the key Fib level (for now).
specialty restaurants Speciality Restaurants was incorporated as Speciality Restaurants on December 1, 1999 as a private limited company under the Companies Act, 1956. It is a fine dining operator in India, with 69 restaurants and 13 confectionaries as of February 29, 2012, featuring certain well recognized brands in the Indian restaurant industry. The company focuses on providing the guests an affordable fine dining experience with quality food and service in a modern ambience. The company’s restaurants consist of different restaurant concepts and are located across India, particularly in the western region. Its flagship brand is Mainland China which serves Chinese cuisine in a standalone fine dining setting. Chinese cuisine is the most popular foreign cuisine in India according to the India Retail Report 2009. As of February 29, 2012, its Mainland China brand encompassed 36 restaurants across India as well as one in Bangladesh.
The company’s Mainland China restaurants contributed 53.27%, 57.03%, 60.28% and 61.13% to its total revenues from food and beverages in fiscal years 2009, 2010, 2011 and the nine months ended December 31, 2011, respectively. Its other core brand -- Oh! Calcutta -- encompassed seven restaurants across India as well as one in Bangladesh as of February 29, 2012 and features a range of cuisines from the east Indian city of Kolkata, including Bengali, Nawabi, British and Continental cuisines served in a fine dining setting. The company’s other restaurant brands are Sigree, Flame & Grill, Haka, Just Biryani, KIBBEH, Kix, Machaan, Shack, as well as a confectionary brand, Sweet Bengal.
MCK Hotel Stock priced how it was 4 years ago - Awaiting AR ?This stock has decent fundamentals with a discounted cash flow valuation at around 70% undervalued at its current price of $1.77 at this time of writing. This company owns hotels all around the world and their market cap is above EV, their Book Value per Share in 2019 is at 6.78 and I suggest you find out the other fundamentals by yourself. Anyways, my opinion is that the market has priced in the Covid19 effects on this stock since this company is obviously extremely exposed to the effects of covid19 (lockdowns, border closed, etc...) since they rely heavily on tourism. However the company's latest annual report was for end of December 2019, and they do not seem to issue interim reports. Therefore we do not understand how much covid19 has actually impacted this company's financials just yet, so... Could this be a golden opportunity to keep an eye out for until their next report is released? What if covid19 has not effected their financial's as bad as the market has decided ? Their price at $1.77 is the price it was 4 years ago. Thats all for now from me. Food for thought!
Accor in the + despite global hotels chains fallingMy most recent post was also about Accor(AC), and since the most recent news about Marriott I'm assured we have a long way to go. with Mariott now down with 65% which I estimate will bounce between 5-10%. this realistically still leaves room for another 10-20% drop for Accor hotels. take my news as you want, but Accor made big investment into buying another hotel group last Friday, of which I estimate the price was based on the early-corona stages.
asides from this the Accor group has a total revenue of about 5,5bil, where the services are responsible for about 1,5 bil. which leaves a large quantity of their business very vulnerable.
bottom is around €18 current puts based on a price around €22,8
FANTASTIC LOW LEVERAGED REITS AT BARGAIN PRICE 13% YIELD Went through the balance sheet again and again and the properties are solid and debit is very low
Net equity per share is much higher than current price not included the dividend paid of 12 % now
It is not a Real estate crisis yet pricing as such
Well I went in and will add along the way