MAR right now is likely a dipFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. For those who sold off last high like the rest of the pros, congrats! Now it looks like Marriot is at the stock price of a dip, and lowest it can likely go may be $85, but I think it has been beat up quite a bit. I can expect this to likely be in a positive retracement pattern quite soon as it has not been historically that underwhelming. As always, this is on an opinion based basis and not meant to be taken seriously as actionable financial advice. Proceed with caution at your own risk.
Hotels
Booking: Forming a very bullish long-term pattern.BKNG has just rebounded off its recent 1D pull-back on the 1D MA50. As in 2016, the recent top was made on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. We expect a slow rise towards the Lower High of the Bearish Megaphone and if crossed aggressive rise to new ATH.
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MGM RESORT. What are price gaps?This is another example of a price gap being closed by future price. I believe MGM will go back to under 10$. Does that mean you should sell everything. Absolutely not. Keep some in the trade, possibly take some out and wait for it to go lower. Or if you have more money don’t be afraid if it goes back to under 10$. But personally I’d cash some out of the trade and see how it goes. Hotels aren’t gonna reopen full business over night and many flights are still grounded. Cheers.
Long Long Long TVIXBail Repo Market
Bail Euro Market
Bail America
Free Money for everyone!!!!!
None of these methods have done enough to quell investor's fear. And deservedly so. There is no end in sight to this CoronaVirus, unless the summer heat "magically" kills off the virus.
Prolonged stretches of forced social distancing and furthermore travel ban will affect the hotel industry, airline industry, taxi industry, cruise industry, etc. These are industries that employ millions of people globally and touch billions of people's lives in some way. To claim that a trillion dollar stimulus would solve this issue when there is no end in sight is laughable. The amount of money that would have to be printed to sustain American society would be in the trillions per month, let alone bailing out each affected industry. America, along with every other country, may be be forced to keep printing to avoid blood on the streets. And even when we manage to solve this CoronaVirus, the damage may be irreparable. Our money supply will have grown so much, yet consumers' purchasing power none. How are they to afford inflated prices? And why are banks still collecting on their loans? Shouldn't the first priority be to pause the expenses of the people, instead of maintaining the revenue of the banks? Maybe I am narrow minded, but I can only see more fear develop as market conditions and society worsens.
I believe TVIX will pass $1000, pass $1150, then $1300 and hopefully peak at $1500.
If by some chance TVIX reaches $2500, it's probably time to stop playing the market and buy a gun.
Please leave a comment on what you think on the current state of the economy and society. I'd love to hear different perspectives.
What will our future society look like? Are we going to move on to a new form of money through the IMF? Is bitcoin the answer?
Will we see a new form of governance? Is this the scenario that gets people to flip the board?
Accor in the + despite global hotels chains fallingMy most recent post was also about Accor(AC), and since the most recent news about Marriott I'm assured we have a long way to go. with Mariott now down with 65% which I estimate will bounce between 5-10%. this realistically still leaves room for another 10-20% drop for Accor hotels. take my news as you want, but Accor made big investment into buying another hotel group last Friday, of which I estimate the price was based on the early-corona stages.
asides from this the Accor group has a total revenue of about 5,5bil, where the services are responsible for about 1,5 bil. which leaves a large quantity of their business very vulnerable.
bottom is around €18 current puts based on a price around €22,8
Bullish pennant pattern on the hourlyI bought the June $200 calls today, which provided the right amount of delta to have my stop below today's gap up candle.
On the daily you can see that this gap is a gap-n-go since traders were shorting for the past 3 days (black candle gapping up). If we go higher, the bears will be forced to close their positions or take some serious pain.
Let's see how she does with the rest of the market. SPY is down about 0.50 % after hours.
BX - Great way to Own Apartments, Hotels and Office SpaceBX Bottoming Process + High Vol Support + IPOs to Resume + Private-Equity / Venture-Capital to SUCCEED. Great Dividends. Put Sell and Call Sell while making money on Dividends. ALL of this without owning any apartments or hotels or office space. I am long the stock right now, but getting ready to do a Call sell on it since up move seems to have ended as of 11/30/2016. As it starts to move down, and the stock bottoms, it is time to do an aggressive Put Sell and get your stock back if you lost it. Remember, you might have double ownership of the stock, so do NOT go in with a full position. Start with 1/3rd position.
Marriott International Inc. (MAR) is on the rising waveThere are three reasons for MAR shares to go up:
1. On Wednesday MAR reported earnings which have beaten the expectations
2. MAR is about to close the deal on acquisition of Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide which will make Marriott the world's largest hotelier
3. Technical analysis is on the bullish side
Mercurius A.M.
Mercurius.a.m@gmail.com