Hourly
EURUSD : late night bear Cypher forming on the hourly Bearish Cypher pattern @ 1.09225
Target 1 1.08933
Target 2 108742
Stops 1.09556 (Based off of a 1.13 fib inversion from the C to X leg)
In addition to that, we have other reasons for entry. Not only does the pattern complete in an area where three major resistance levels coalesce (as dictated by the four hour), the overall leg of the move down has a .618 retrace in that same congestive area where the pattern completes.
Note the B to C leg pattern and how the pattern is not drawn from the wick down there in this particular instance. That is because according to rules governing cyphers, that actually is a 1.618 extension. However, the pattern is allowed to wick down there, provided it closes at or above the 1.414 which it did in this instance.
I predict we will wick to the completion point of the pattern, as price will test this strong area and ultimately get rejected downwards. This pattern has an ugly risk/reward profile, so plan accordingly....
BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Long term bearish channelNov 13 2015: BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Long term bearish channel
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Observations
1. Long term bearish channel
2. Two short term bullish channel
3. Bullish head and shoulder pattern
4. Price at weekly swing low
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
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BEARISH EURGBP 1 Hour: Bullish BAT pattern at marketNov 12 2015: BEARISH EURGBP 1 Hour: Bullish BAT pattern at market
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Observations
1 Short term down channel
2. RSI oversold at swing low
3. Price at down channel mid-line
4.BAT at pattern at market
5. RSI hidden divergence
6. RSI regular divergence
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
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BULLISH USDJPY 1 Hour: Buy flag pattern breakoutNov 12 2015: BULLISH USDJPY 1 Hour: Buy flag pattern breakout
(Analysis Based on 1 Hour chart)
Observations
1. This pair has consolidated after a sharp up move
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
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Nov 5 2015: Bullish BAT pattern at marketNov 5 2015: Bullish BAT pattern at market
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Observations
1. Price in short term up channel; Now broken
2. Price has been consolidating for the past few hours
3. Bullish BAT pattern at market
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of this level.
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BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Sell channel tops; Buy BAT patternNov 3 2015: BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Sell channel tops; Buy BAT pattern
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Observations
1. Long term down channel
2. Short term down channel
3. Bullish BAT pattern
4. Oversold RSI at 1H swing low
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
NOTE: This is a counter trend opportunity based on my daily outlook
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BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Support becoming resistance.BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Support becoming resistance. Wait for bearish price action.
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Criteria
1. Sell at daily Support/Resistance
2. Sell at daily swing low
3. Sell at channel high
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
NOTE: This is a counter trend oppertunity based on my daily outlook
EURUSD SHORT TERM PERSPECTIVE (SHORT) Short term targets on the downside, however key levels based on the Monthly chart 1.2000 looks ideal. I believe price would reach 1.100 levels. If the trend line is breached then we can see further downside targets 1.0500 then lower. However, once my short term target of 1.10500 is met I would be then waiting for PA confirmation for the long set up to 1.200.
Daily Double Top + Hourly H&S Pattern - AUD/USDConfluence Factors:
1. Double Top on Daily
2. Close below 50/60 EMA on Daily following a long-legged doji on 3/24/2015 via Daily Chart
3. Rejection of Key Weekly/Daily Resistance at .79000
4. Head & Shoulders Pattern on Hourly Chart
5. Trade is in agreement with overall Monthly/Weekly Bearish Trend
EURUSD 60 potential bearish Gartley - continued consolidation ?Depending how the world might react on the failed negotiations between the EU finance ministers and Greece, we could see a completion of this Gartley or not. I will certainly keep an eye on it.
I would strongly advise to put the stop above previous breakout - if you don't, stop loss might be hunted and you'd lose out on a nice opportunity. Even with this stop loss, the RR for TP1 is 1.5/1 and >3/1 for TP2.
Questions about this setup ? Don't hesitate to contact me.
May the pips be with you !
Is AAPL Ready To Continue Higher?If you want to try AAPL Long right here, just use UT 2 (the green uptrend line) as your guide. It could be a short ride but you never know...
As long as AAPL is above UT 2, stay the course. But if AAPL closes below UT 2 before you have profits, get out of the trade. Once you have profits you have the ability to make "small adjustments" to trend lines. Just remember to never let a winning trade turn into a losing trade.
Today, in the last hour of trading, you will notice the first candle to close above the red downtrend (DT) line. This is your first hint that AAPL may be ready to continue even higher. The Trend Is Your Friend... Until Its Not.
I really like trade setups like this. The price moves above the DT line and that leads into a long trade. Nothing is a sure thing but this works many times. The key is to keep your stop tight so you don't lose too much money if the setup was a false breakout. You have to be willing to let the price close below the green DT line on an HOURLY chart if you are using this chart to enter the trade. When the market opens, DT 2 will be about 60 cents below today's closing price.
If you want to short AAPL, I would suggest waiting until we get a close below DT 2. At that point you could look for the price to get back to UT 1. If any of this happens, you will be able to draw another red downtrend line as your guide.
Trade What You See... Not What You Think, Or Feel, Or Hope, Or ...
The Trend Is Your Friend... Until It's Not. ~ Protect Profits & Limit Risk
Want to learn more? Check out the blog : trendlineinvestor.blogspot.com
NZD - 1HR TrendThe NZDUSD is in a really interesting place right now it is currently trending upwards and looks like it will be doing so at least for the next few days.
I am currently short right now however I will be buying and selling several times within this trend.
I was long yesterday.
This is an incredible opportunity with the average trade ranging from 50-70 pips.
Trigger Trades - Precision Trading
Crude Oil Wedge or Triple Bottom?Coming off from a bearish AB=CD pattern, Crude Oil is probably now zigzagging along a Wedge pattern. With price just bounced off the 78.6% fib and RSI above 30, I am looking for a long position with target price just below the channel's ceiling if it breaks the ceiling I will hold long playing the triple bottom pattern with target just below the previous high.